Научная статья на тему 'КОНЦЕПТУАЛЬНАЯ РАМКА ФИНАНСИРОВАНИЯ ИНВЕСТИЦИЙ, НЕОБХОДИМЫХ ДЛЯ ПОВЫШЕНИЯ УРОВНЯ ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОЙ СЛОЖНОСТИ, ПРИ ПОМОЩИ ВНУТРЕННИХ СБЕРЕЖЕНИЙ'

КОНЦЕПТУАЛЬНАЯ РАМКА ФИНАНСИРОВАНИЯ ИНВЕСТИЦИЙ, НЕОБХОДИМЫХ ДЛЯ ПОВЫШЕНИЯ УРОВНЯ ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОЙ СЛОЖНОСТИ, ПРИ ПОМОЩИ ВНУТРЕННИХ СБЕРЕЖЕНИЙ Текст научной статьи по специальности «Экономика и бизнес»

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Ключевые слова
ВАЛОВЫЕ СБЕРЕЖЕНИЯ / ВАЛОВЫЕ ВНУТРЕННИЕ СБЕРЕЖЕНИЯ / НАКОПЛЕНИЕ ОСНОВНОГО КАПИТАЛА / ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ СЛОЖНОСТЬ / ПЕРЕДОВЫЕ ТЕХНОЛОГИИ / ВНУТРЕННИЕ ИНВЕСТИЦИИ ЭКСПОРТНОЙ ПЛАТФОРМЫ / ПИИ

Аннотация научной статьи по экономике и бизнесу, автор научной работы — Варданян Давид, Варданян Мгер

В статье рассматриваются вопросы, связанные с внешними и внутренними источниками финансирования инвестиций для внедрения передовых теxнологий, с учетом ориентиров по повышениию экономической сложности Республики Армения, установленных в программе Правительства Республики Армения на 2021-2026 гг. Степень экономической сложности зависит от ее удаленности от мирового технологического рубежа. Одним из каналов передачи производительных знаний, необходимых для внедрения передовых технологий, являются ПИИ, уровень притока которых недостаточен, а под влиянием COVID-19 и тенденций последнего десятилетия увеличилась неопределенность внешних источников финансирования инвестиций. Основываясь на результатах анализа, авторы пришли к выводу, что стабильный, высокий уровень инвестиций, необходимый для устойчивого экономического роста на основе технологического прогресса, должен обеспечиваться за счет внутренних сбережений. Предложена концептуальная рамка экспортной платформы ПИИ и внутренних инвестиций, нацеленной на повышение уровня экономической сложности страны.

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A CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK FOR DOMESTIC SAVING FINANCING THE INVESTMENT REQUIRED TO INCREASE THE COMPLEXITY OF THE ECONOMY

The paper reviews the issues related to external and internal sources of investment financing for the introduction of frontier technologies, considering the guidelines for increasing the economic complexity of the Republic of Armenia, established in the program of the Government of the Republic of Armenia for 2021-2026. The degree of economic complexity depends on its distance from the world technological frontier. One of the channels for the transfer of productive knowledge needed for the adoption of frontier technologies is FDI, which suffers insufficient levels of inflows. In addition, the uncertainty of external sources of financing has increased under the trends of the last decade and recent influence of COVID-19. Based on the results of the analysis, the authors concluded that the stable, high level of investment required for sustainable economic growth based on technological progress must be provided through domestic savings. A conceptual framework for an export platform for FDI and domestic investment is proposed, aimed at increasing the level of economic complexity of the country.

Текст научной работы на тему «КОНЦЕПТУАЛЬНАЯ РАМКА ФИНАНСИРОВАНИЯ ИНВЕСТИЦИЙ, НЕОБХОДИМЫХ ДЛЯ ПОВЫШЕНИЯ УРОВНЯ ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОЙ СЛОЖНОСТИ, ПРИ ПОМОЩИ ВНУТРЕННИХ СБЕРЕЖЕНИЙ»

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JEL: E21, E22

DOI: 10.52174/1829-0280_2022.1-9

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7 Sb'u Commission on Growth and Development. The Growth Report : Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development. Washington, DC : World Bank, 2008, t2 42:

8 Sb'u Howitt P., Mayer-Foulkes D., R&D, Implementation, and Stagnation: A Schumpeterian Theory of Convergence Clubs// ournal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 37, No. 1, Feb., 2005, t2147-177:

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9 Sb'u Aghion Ph., Comin D. and Howitt P., When does domestic saving matter for economic growth? Working paper, Department of Economics, Harvard University, 2006, 44 tg (+8), http://nrs.harvard.edU/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:27759050

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10 Sb'u Mealy P., Farmer D., Teytelboym A., Interpreting economic complexity//Science Advances, Vol. 5, Issue 1, eaau1705, 4 Jan 2019, t2 1-8:

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2 Switzerland 2.13 36 Canada 0.69 70 Mauritius -0.19 104 Nicaragua -0.88

3 4 Germany South Korea 2.07 2.05 37 38 Latvia Portugal 0.67 0.63 71 72 Chile Namibia -0.21 -0.22 105 106 Bangladesh Uganda -0.88 -0.89

5 Singapore 2.00 39 Saudi Arabia 0.62 73 Argentina -0.24 107 Zimbabwe -0.91

6 Czechia 1.80 40 Turkey 0.61 74 Jamaica -0.24 108 Ethiopia -0.92

7 Austria 1.77 41 Norway 0.56 75 Sri Lanka -0.25 109 Burkina Faso -0.93

8 Q Sweden 1.75 1 &A 42 A Bulgaria 0.53 O AR 76 77 77 Armenia -0.27 n ßn 110 111 Malawi -0.94

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13 14 Finland Slovakia 1.48 1.45 47 48 Ukraine Panama 0.30 0.24 81 82 Qatar UAE -0.42 -0.44 115 116 Tanzania Algeria -1.00 -1.03

15 Italy 1.37 49 New Zealand 0.23 83 Albania -0.44 117 Ecuador -1.11

16 China 1.35 50 Greece 0.13 84 Oman -0.44 118 Cote d'Ivoire -1.11

17 Ireland 1.33 51 Trindad & Tobago 0.13 85 Paraguay -0.45 119 Yemen -1.13

18 1Q Mexico 1.31 52 CO Russia Pi-mii 0.12 n in 86 A7 Australia -0.45 n /Iß 120 Azerbaijan -1.11 1 O/l

19 20 France Israel 1.31 1.26 53 54 Brazil El Salvador 0.1 0 0.09 87 88 Uzbekistan Cambodia -0.48 -0.50 ■ ¿I LlUyd 122 Mozambique -1.24 -1.25

21 Belgium 1.21 55 Colombia 0.09 89 Morocco -0.52 123 DR of the Congo -1.34

22 Romania 1.20 56 Vietnman 0.05 90 Honduras -0.57 124 Mauritania -1.37

23 Thailand 1.15 57 Lebanon 0.04 91 Mali -0.60 125 Republic of the Congo -1.38

24 Malaysia 1.12 58 North Macedonia 0.04 92 Laos -0.65 126 Gabon -1.44

25 Netherlands 1.11 59 Bahrain 0.04 93 Pakistan -0.66 127 Angola -1.49

26 Denmark 1.10 60 South Africa 0.03 94 Cuba -0.69 128 Venezuela -1.49

27 Poland 1.08 61 Indonesia 0.02 95 Turkmenistan -0.70 129 Cameroon -1.53

28 Philippines 0.95 H QO 62 CO Uruguay 0.01 n 96 Q7 Zambia -0.72 O 7/1 130 1 Papua New Guinea -1.57 1 7H

29 30 Eston ia Croatia Belarus 0.92 0.87 f) 63 64 Georgia Eswatini -0.0I -0.03 P) DA 97 98 QQ Tajikistan Kuwait Botswana -0.74 -0.77 H 7Q 131 132 Liberia Guinea -I./0 -1.75 1 77

31 32 33 Spain Lithuania 0.83 0.81 0.79 65 66 67 Jordan Kyrgyzstan Egypy -0.04 -0.04 -0.15 99 100 101 Peru Senegal -0.7 9 -0.80 -0.80 133 Nigeria -I.ZZ

34 Serbia 0.75 68 Moldova -0.16 102 Bolivia -0.83 Uqpjnip* https://atlas. cid. harvard. edu/rankings

11 UipjnL|V https://www.worldstopexports.com/armenias-top-10-exports/

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13 9Um^n^nLpjnLhhbpp L|mrnmpb[ bh hb|hhml|hbpp: U|pjnLp' https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/rankings

14 UipjnLp' https://oec.world/en/rankings/eci/hs6/hs96

15 « Mmnm^mpnLpjmh 2021-2026 pp. Spmqhp, t2 29-30:

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16 Sb'u Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 4. United Nations, 2006, t2 113, 139:

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19 Sb'u Hidalgo C., Hausmann R., The building blocks of economic complexity//PNAS , June 30, 2009, vol. 106, no. 26, https://www.pnas.org/content/pnas/106/26/10570.full.pdf

20 U^pjmp' - 1995, 1996, t2 183, - 2005, t2 484-485, - 2021, t2 527-528:

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21 Sb'u « Mwnw^wpnLpjwh 2021-2026 pp. ôpmqhpp, t2 29:

22 Sb'u These are the most complex economies around the globe, https://www.weforum.org/agenda^019/12/countries-ranked-by-their-economic-complexity/

23 Pnpu^whw, Ppwqh[|iw, Qhhmummh, <nh^nhq, hh^nhbqhm, Ûwi^nhhw, Mnpbmjh <mhpm^b-mnLpjnLh, Um[mjqhm, Uw[pw, OJmh, Uhhqm^nLp, ^mj^mh, ^mhLmh^:

24 Commission on Growth and Development. The Growth Report: Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development. Washington, DC : World Bank, 2008, pp. 34, 54.

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2008 p. $|hwhuwmhmbuwlwh 6qhwdwJ|g hbmn, ph^hrn^ J|h^U 2020 p., « hbphnuni OnhL-p ^.puUnpb[ bh ^^us pwgwuw^wh J|mnLJhbp (q&w^wm^bp 3), npnhf w[b|| nLdqhwgwh COVID-19 hwJw[wpwl| hb-sUwhfn[: UUM-| World Investment Report 2021-mJ hbp^wjwg[w6 t wj^. wq-^.bgmpjwh ^w^p. 2020 p. 35%-n[ h[wqb[ bh OnhL-| hwJw2^wphwj|h hnu-fbpp, |ul «-mJ1 54%-n[: Qb^nygnLJ h2[nLJ t, np w[b|| Jb6 t bqb[ qwpqwgni U whgmJwj|h mhmbunLpjwJp bplphbp hnufbp| wh^mJp: <b-mUwpwp' « Mwnw[wpnLpjwh 2021-2026 pp. 6pwqpn[ uwhJwh[w& h^w-mwl|h hhwpw[np t hwuhb[ hbpf|h ^hwjn|nLpjnLhhbp| IbhmpnhwgJwJp, OnhL-| h[wqn| hnufbpp uwhJwhwj|h mb^hn|nq|whbp| hbp^pJwhh nL|-|np^.b|nl, npnhf ^h^wumbh mhmbunLpjwh pwp^nLpjwh wum|6wh| pwp5-pwgJwhp:

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25 Howitt P., Mayer-Foulkes D., R&D, Implementation, and Stagnation: A Schumpeterian Theory of Convergence Clubs// Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 37, No. 1, Feb., 2005, pp. 147-177.

26 <w2[wpl|hbpp L|wimwpb[ U qSwi^wiml|bpp L|wqJb[ bh hbqjihwlihbpp: UipjnLp' <4S, 20002021: <wJw2^wphwjfih pwhl|| im[jw[hbpfi pwqw:

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27 UipjnLp' World Development Indicators// https://data.worldbank.org/indicator

28 UipjnLp' <wJw2^wphwj|ih pwhl|h rn[jw[hbph pwqw: World Development Indicators// https://data.worldbank.org/indicator

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Uqpjmp' <UuiLiui2lwuiphuijlb pwbtyp ip^jw[bbpp puiqui: World development indicators, https://data. worldbank. org/indicator

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29 « Mwnw^wrinLpjwb 2021-2026 ôpwq^p, t2 29:

30 Sb'u Commission on Growth and Development. The Growth Report : Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development. Washington, DC : World Bank, 2008, t"2 21:

31 Sb'u Ekholm K., Forslid R., Markusen J., Export-platform foreign direct investment. NBER Working Paper, No. 9517, February 2003, 35 tg:

32 Sb'u ^mp^mbjmb T-., UpmwhwbJwb hwppwl|bbp|i omwpbpl|pjw nL^^w^^ bbp^pnLJbbp^

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ЬиЭ^ «Ьфши^ш|ш^ т^тЬиш|ш^ d^nLрJnLhnLd т^тЬитр^^' ^^тЬ^рш-д^п^ ^Ьрт^ т^Ьдп^ пщрт^Ьр^ и |рш oqmшqnp&dшhh т^дЦшб dши^» фшитшр^р^' «^ЬтЬишр^Ь' Ьррпр| ЬрЦрЪЬр шpmшhшЫшh dЬ-&шдdшh и ф^ЬриЬФЬ^шд^Ь ^Ьрт^ т^Ьдп^ 6]т^Ьрр» 2.2 |Ьт^, пртЬ^ Ь^ ш^ ^прбп^^Ьрр, прп^д ЦЬр|ш5шр]ш№Ьрр рпьц ЬЬ

тшфи т^тЬитр^^ пLпpmпLJ ^mЬqpdшh ЬЬрш^ шп|ш]шр]шЬ dши^h Ьqpш|шдnLрJnLh ш^Ь[. ш) шщрш^р^Ьр^ (бшпш^р^^Ьр^) шртшр^ ш^итр^ ^ип^ шh|шd щЬттр^^Ьр^ hшdЬdшmш|шh шпшЦЬ|шр]ш№Ь-рр' Ш2^шph^ шд ЬрЦрЪЬр^ hЬm hшJЬJшmш6 (ш2^шph^ рп|пр ЬрЦрЪЬр^ Jшип4 пpп24пLJ ЬЬ Рш|шишф ^Ь^ЬрипЦ), р) Ьррпр| ЬрЦрЪЬр и ифтр^Ь шh|шd щЬттр^^Ьр фшитшд^ и hhшpш4np шpmшhшЫшh |шптд-^ш&рр»34:

и<ОЪЪ qшpqшдdшh hшJшp |шpUnp4nLd ЬЬ ЬpЦпL тЬиш|^ ^рш^Ьр. (1) и<ОЪЪ отшрЬр|р]ш ^Ьр^рпфЬр^ mpшdш|p4n^ hшp|шJ^ шртп^т-р^^Ьрр, (2) и<ОЪЪ ^Ьр^рпфЬр^ mpшdш|p4n^ hшp|шJ^

шртп^тр^^Ьрр и итри^фш^Ьрр' ^Ьрр^Ь ^ш^^тр^^Ьр^ ^ршЫш^ и ишhdшhшJ^ тЬ^п^^ш^Ьр^ ^Ьр^^ш^Ь т^дпр^Ьщ Ьцштш-

|пф Чшпш^шртр^^Ьр^ JЬ6 ^и^ ш|т^прЬ^ шпш2 t ^р ЬрЦ^рр' прщЬи hЬp|pnLdшJ^ qшpqшдdшh hшиhЬ|nL hшJшp

Jши^ш4пp |шщ^тш[, тЬ^п^^ш^Ьр и hdmnLрJnLhhЬp

hЬpqpш4Ь|пL ^щштш|пф Uшhdшh4nLd Ь^ шртп^тр^^Ьр, ^рш^Ьр: Цц

^Ь^ии 1994 р. t «ОтшрЬр|р]ш hЬp|pnLdhЬp^

iНе можете найти то, что вам нужно? Попробуйте сервис подбора литературы.

и^» « орЬ^рр: и<ОЪЪ шпт^ф ^пирр 4ЬpшрЬpnLd t ОрЬ^р^ 4-р| hn|-^шбп^ ишhJш^4ш6 отшрЬр|р]ш тЬиш|^Ьр^д р) |Ьтп^ шJ-

pшqp4ш&^. «<ш]шитш^ <шЬршщЬттр]ш^ ш^Йш^д,

ш^Й^ |шpqшф6ш| ^п^Ьдп^ ЙЬп^шр^тр^^Ьр^ |шd <ш]шитш^ <шЬршщЬттр]ш^ рш^шршд^Ьр^ dшиhш|дnLрJшdр ^пр ЙЬп^шр^тр^^Ьр h^J^ш^pЬLпL qпp6п^ ЙЬnhшp^пLр|пLhhЬpпLd рш^-^ЬJши ЙЬпр рЬpЬLпL ^2пдпф>: Сит tпLрJШ^, ОрЬ^р^ ^ ^Ьр, рп-

[пр тЬиш^^ отшрЬр^ш mpшJш^p4ЬL Ь^ шртп-

^пLрJпL^^Ьpр, ^рш^^Ьрр: Up^.JпL^fпLJ, прп2 фпрр ршдшnпLрJпL^^Ьpп4, ЬрЦр^ m^mЬипLрJШ^ шпш2р^-

ршд ^^ 4^ШJпLрJпL^р 4Ьpп^2|ШL hшJшр4Ьp^ Ь^: ^^^^р^ ш]^

t, пр hшp^ШJ^ ^pш^пLипLJр цЬтр t hиmш^ ^цштш^^Ьр'

33 ^Ь^Ьт, hшJшЙШJb Распоряжение Евразийского межправительственного совета от 7 марта 2017 г. N 2 фшитшр^р^, bU.SU ^ЬmnLрJnLbbЬp шртшИшЬт^ t пр^Ьи ЬЬрр^Ь шпитр|пЬ ЬpUnLJр, ШJ^nLhшb^ЬpЙ, U^nLрJшb 2P2ш^шN^ЬpnLJ « Jшubшq^-mшдJшb ^npшдJшb l^.ЬщgnLJ U^nLрJшb ЬЬрр^Ь 2nL^ш шртш^ршЬр^ ^тш1|шршр^ф ИЬшрш^пр t фп^шр^ЬЬ[ ш][ ^ЬmnLрJnLbbЬp Ьррпр| Ьр|рЬЬр^д bЬpJnL&nLJр^

ип^ JЬ&шдbЬ[n4 « шpmшhшbJшb йшфшщ:

34 Распоряжение Евразийского межправительственного совета от 7 марта 2017 г., N 2, О сферах экономики, обладающих интеграционным потенциалом в Евразийском экономическом союзе, и мерах, направленных на его использование.

bp^p^ qmpqmgJmh mbumh^jmh^g, fiu^ ORhL-^ ^pmhmJp L^h^ rç.pm hbm. hbp^pmJhbpp ^bmp t hbpqpm^b mjh^u^ nLnpmhbp, npnhf h^mummJ bh bp^p^ mb^hnLnq^m^mh mnmgphpmg^h (op^hm^' tLb^mpn-h^mj^), U rçpmhp ^pm^mubL mjL nLnpmhbpnLJ (op^hm^' hmhfmprçjrnhmpb-pmpjmh), ^h^bu phrçmh^mô t brçbL hmJm2^mphmj^h mb^hnLnq^m^mh umhJmh^h JnmbhmLnL hmgn^mô ^npö rnhbgn^ bp^phbpmJ35: Sb^hnLnq^m-^mh phpmg^ umhJmh^h «-^ JnmbhmLnL' ommpbp^pjm U hbpp^h hbp-rçpmJhbp^ mpmmhmhJmh hmppm^ hmjbgm^mpqmj^h 2p2mhm^p hbp^m-jmg^mô t qöm^mm^bp 5-nLJ:

hh^bu bpUnLJ t qöm^mm^bp 5-^g, « mhmbum^mh pmprç.mpjmh mum^ömh^ pmpÖpmgJmh, hbmUmpmp' ^mjmh U mUm^mh mhmbum^mh m6^ hmJmp hm^m^pjmLhbp^ umbrçôJmh $^hmhum^mh ^nrçdp bhpmrçpmJ t ^pmhhbp^ bp^nL mbum^. hmp^mj^h ^pmhhbp' umhJmhmj^h mb^hnLnq^m-hbp^ ^n^mhgmJh m^mhn^n^ ORh-L-^ hmJmp U umpu^m^nprnJ' umhJm-hmj^h mb^hnLnq^mhbp (US) hbprçhbLnL hmJmp hbpp^h ^hmjnrçnLpjmhhbpp ^bhmpnhmghbLnL h^mmm^n^:

j «Greenfield» tibpr^priLd «-mil tinp ÖbtlllUipl|llL- Upipui- mm

UiuhJiubiujIib mb[ubn[nq|iLU pjmti h[iiftiuii).pni\ huibnid

1 ^ J «Upmwr|.pnriiul|iub q|imb[)ig» [ipuii|uipuitiuiljuiti uitiä, UH

Umpupqptubbp' tibpgfiti jubutjnqnipjnibbbpQ tjbbtppnbtugbbini htutitup

buiujLpujLip' uiuhtliubiujpb qib[vbn[nqpiubbpp bbpqpiliub Ivpiubnul' huiiluiäuijb Uqhpbbp b mpp2bbpp ¡¡¿uilfuià iinqb[p: US-bbpnil hiutliuiphq âbnbiupljnLp-jnLb uipbqâb[riL huiiluip « "-(uinuiLluipnL[3juib umpupqpuijp 30%-p ¿ujiprul IvbiujnqnLp-jriLbbbp bbpqpiuilb[m iqiujtliubnil:

5. Sbfabn[nqfiiutyiub pbpiugfä uiuhdiubfib CC-f ilmpbbiu[m' lupipiu-hiubdiub hiuppiu^fi oipiupbp^pjiu b bbpffb bbpqpmdbbpfi (Ü.COLL) hiujbgiutyiupqiujfib 2p£iubiutyp

Ldwhwm^ hwp^wj^h ^pwhhbpp hwdw^wp^w^ hbp^wjwg^wö bh wnUmp^ U qwpqwgdwh hwdwdn^n^h Tax Incentives and Foreign Direct Investment ^wumwp^pmd36 U d^ 2wpg wpdbpw^np d2w^mdhbpmd37. Un^npwpwp, hdwhwm^ wpmwhwhdwh hwppw^hbpp qnpörnd bh wqwm wnUmp^ qnm^hbpmd (Free-trade zone-FTZ): Lnp umb^ö^nT. fibnhwp^nLpjmh-hbpmd hbp^.pmdhbpp (Greenfield Investment) dbö hbmwppppnLpjnLh bh hbp^wjwghmd hwm^w^bu qwpqwgnq. bp^phbp^ hwdwp, pwh^ np h^wu-mmd bh mhmbumpjwh wpwq ph^.|wjhdwhp, pwpöp ^wpÖwrnp^nT. U pwpöp

35 Sb'u Commission on Growth and Development. The Growth Report : Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development. Washington, DC : World Bank, 2008, t2 34:

36 Sb'u Tax Incentives and Foreign Direct Investment. A Global Survey. New York and Geneva, UN, 2000, t2 13:

37 Devereux M., Griffith R., 2003; Egger P., Loretz S., 2008; Muthitacharoen A., 2020:

biyuiqiwlji]' «Sbfabn[nqpwbbpp ipnfawbgmb» (fapwbbbp' hpbb^ujô UNCTAD/ITE/IPC/Misc.3 lïhlbwpwbmp-jnLb, qputynb-ipuiilnpluiâ EMTR-p b EATR-p):

npm^m^npnLJ ^mhmlgn^ m2^mmmmbrçbph umbrçôJmlp U mb^ln[nqhm^ml mnmgplpmghl:

<mp^ t l2b[, np lbp^pnLJlbph ^mjpl plmpb|nL ^bpmpbpjm[ npn2nLJlbpp ^m^^mö bl hmp^mjhl öm^ubphg' hl^bu lbpfhl, mjl^bu t[ Jh2mqqmjhl: <bmUmpmp' hmp^mjhl ^pmllbp J2m^b[hu un^npmpmp hm24h t mnl^nLJ hbmUjmip. 1) lbp^pn^lbpp ^mlqlmö bl bp^nL ^mJ m^b[h ^n^m^mpömpmp pmgmnn^ lm^mqöbph JhgU rçhu^pbm plmpnLpjml mngU, 2) 4bpmqqmjhl pl^bpnLpjnLllbph qml^b[nL 4mjpp U mjl, np lpmlg plmpnLpjnLlp ^m^^mö t mp^jnLlm^bm Jh2hl hmp^mjhl rçpnLjfm^m^hg, 3) np^bu hhJf ^mpn^ bl pl^nLl^bL bp^nrçJmlh mp^jnLlm^bm hmp^Jml JnmbgnLJlbpp:

Slmbumqbmlbph 2p2mlnLJ Lmjlnpbl pl^nLl^mö t, np pmqJmqq pl^b-pnLpjnLllbph mpmm^pmpjml U lbp^pmJmjhl npn2nLJlbph hmJmp ^np^n-pmmh4 hmp^Jml rçbph 4bpmpbpjmL ^npömnm^ml m2^mmmlfp ^bmf t hhJl^h hmp^mjhl m^bLh pl^qp^nLl pm^m^ph^lbph, mjL n^ Jhmjl opblu-rçpmpjmJp umhJml^mö ^np^npmmh4 hmp^h ^pnLjfm^m^bph 4pm:

UmjfL ^Ubpnl U hmJmhb^hlm^lbpp l2nLJ bl. «Un^npmpmp, ^np^npm-mh4 b^mJmmjhl hmp^p.... qnpönLJ t np^bu ^n^pl^nm lbp^pmJlbph hmJmp: Ujrç. ^bpm^n^nLJlbph bp^nL ^nrçJp (rçpnLjfm^m^h l^mqbgnLJ U pmqm-jh pl^LmjlnLJ) ^n^hmmnLgn^ mqrçbgnLpjrnl bl nLlblnLJ mjrç. ^n^pl^nmh 4pm. gmöp hmp^mjhl ^.pnLjfm^m^p pmpÖpmglnLJ t lbp^pmJlbph ^pmlp, Jhl^bn mJnpmhqmghnl gmöp JmuhmlnLJlbpp JbömglnLJ bl rçpmlf»38: <b^hlm^lbpl oqmmqnpöbL bl «mprçjmlm4bm hmp^mjhl rçpnLjfm^m^bp» (effective tax rate-ETR) bqpnLjpp' Lhlh umhJmlmjhl (effective marginal tax rate-EMTR), pb Jh2hl (effective average tax-EATR) hmp^mjhl opblu^pmpjml 4pm hhJl^mö JhgngmnnLJlbph hmJmp:

OnhL-h ^pmllbpp np^bu hhJf bl pl^mlmJ hl^bu hmp^mjhl T-pnLj-fm^m^p, mjl^bu tL hmp^mjhl pmqml, hl^p ^mjJmlm4np4mö t 4bpnl2jmL mnmghl ^bmn4, Jmulm4npm^bu' rçhu^pbm plmpnLpjmJp. m) np mbum^h lbp^pmJp ^bmf t Öbnlmp^bL, p) lbp^pmJlbph öm4mLp, q) lbp^pmJlbph 4mjpp: ^hpbp tqbpp U UmjJnl Unnbgp39, nLunLJlmuhpbLn4 S<2M bp^plb-pnLJ qnpön^ hmp^mjhl opblu^pnLpjrnllbpp U hmp^mjhl pnLnp hmJmÖmjlm-qpbpp, hm24mp^bL bl mprçjmlm4bm (umhJmlmjhl U Jh2hl) hmp^mjhl ^pnLjfm^m^bpp, npnlf ömnmjmJ bl S<2M bp^plbph JhgU bp^nrçJmlh mpmmhnun^ OnhL-h öm4mLlbph 4pm ^np^npmmh4 hmp^Jml mqrçbgmpjnL-lp qlmhmmbLnL hmJmp: Lpmlf hmlqbL bl hbmUjmLhl. 1) ^np^npmmh4 hmp^bpl tm^mlnpbl mq^mJ bl mpmm^pmpjml U mb^mpm2^Jml 4bpm-pbpjmL 4bpmqqmjhl pl^bpnLpjnLllbph npn2nLJlbph 4pm, 2) qnLjq bp^plbphl plnpn2 hmp^mjhl pbnh hmpm^m^l mpmmgnLnLJ t nL^^m^h mqrçbgnLpjrnlp OnhL-h 4pm' mqqmjhl pl^bpnLpjnLllbph hmJmp hmp^mjhl rçpnLjfm^m^bph hm24mnJmJp, 3) Jhm^nrçJmlh hmp^mjhl rçpnLjfm^m^bpp lbp^pmJlbph ömqJml U plrçmln^ bp^plbpmJ mpmmgnLnLJ bl hmp^mjhl rçpnLjfm^m^bph rçbpp, nphl hml^h^nLJ bl mqqmjhl pl^bpnLpjnLllbpp hmJm^mmmu^mlm-

38 Devereux M.P., Griffith R., Klemm A., Economic Policy, Volume 17, Issue 35, 1 October 2002, p. 452.

39 Sb'u Egger P., Loretz S., Bilateral Effective Tax Rates and Foreign Direct Investment // International Tax and Public Finance, 16(6), 2008, t2 1-24:

pmp' ömqJmh m4jm[ bp^pmJ U ph^.mhn^ bp^pmJ, 4) Jhmjh Jhm^n^Jmhh mp^jnLhm4bm hmp^mjhh ^.pnLjfm^m^bph oqmmqnpömJp ^mpn^ t hmhqbg-hb[ bp^n^Jmhh ORhL-h 4pm hmp^mjhh qnpöhfhbph (ophhm^ bp^n^Jmhh hmp^mjhh hmJmÖmjhmqpbph Jhgngn4) ^n^n^mpjmh mq^bgmpjmh Jmuhh n^ mpdmhmhm4mm bqpmhmhqnLJhbph: Ophhm^' hhmpm4np t, np ph^mhn^ bp^pmJ Jhm^n^Jmhh hmp^mjhh ^.pnLjfm^m^bph pmpÖpmgmJp, nph mq^.mJ t mqqmjhh ph^bpnLpjrnhhbph 4pm, u^m|JmJp ^m^4h mj^ bp^pmJ ORhL-h h4mqJmh hbm:

4bpn^2jmLP hhJf t' bqpm^mghb|nL, np umhJmhmjhh mb^hn|nqhmhbph hbp^.pJmh L^mmm^n4 « ORh-L-h hbpqpm4Jmh hmp^mjhh ^pmhhbpp ^bmf t hh Jh4mö [hhbh bp^n^Jmhh mp^jnLhm4bm hmp^mjhh ^pnLjf m^m^b-ph 4pm, npn2 62qpmnLJn4' ^m^4mö <<-h' ön4mjhh b|f ^rnhbgn^ bp^ph ^mp-qm4h^m^h hbm: <mJmÖmjh ^UM-h qhmhmmmJhbph' ön4mjhh b|f ^rnhbgn^ bp^phbph mpmmhmhmJhg Jhh^U 15%-n4 ^m^mu b^mJmm bh ummhmJ, fmh mhbgnqhbpp: UNCTAD-h ^npömqbmhbpp ^mpömJ bh, np «mmpmöm2p2m-hmjhh mnUmpmmhmbum^mh hhmbqpmJp, hh^bu hmU n|npmhbph qmpqmg-Jmh h^mmm^n4 mmpmömpjmh h^mmJmJp n^ qqmjrnh, ORhL-h hbpqpm4-Jmh gmhfbpp ^mpn^ bh oqhbf ^n^hmmnLgbm mj^ bp^phbph' m2^mp-hmqpm^mh mnmJn4 pnLjL ^n^Jp»40: « mj^ pnLj[ ^n^Jp Jb^Jbm JnmbgnLJ ^mpn^ t T-hm4b[ «wp^jnLhw4bm hmp^mjhh ^.pnLjfm^m^bph» ^hu^nhmm4n-pnLJp' mpmmhmhJmh U hbpJnLöJmh hm4bijm[ öm^ubph qnpöm^gn4: L^mmh rnhbhm|n4 ön4mjhh b|f ^nLhbhmm qnpönhp U hhJf ph^.nLhb|n4 ^mjf[ H-Ub-pnjh nL JjnLuhbph Jbpn^mpmhnLpjnLhp'41 mpmmhmhJmh hmppm^h ORh-L-h hmJmp «wp^jnLhw4bm hmp^mjhh ^.pnLjfm^m^bph» hm24mp^p ^mpn^ t ^m-mmp4b[ hbmUjm[ pmhmÖUbpn4.

1. LupiynLhw^bs uuihduihuijfih huipliuijfih

DEMTR = EMTR * (XCt + Mj),

2. LupijnLhw^bs dfahh huipiiuijfiti rpnLjfw^w^.

DEATR = EATR * (XCi + Mj), nprnb^' DEMTR-p U DEATR-p ön4mjhh b[f ^nLhbhmm qnpönhn4 62qpm4mö, hmJm^mmmu^mhmpmp' umhJmhmjhh U Jh2hh hmp^mjhh ^.pnLjfm^m^bph bh, XCi -h' mpmmhmh4n^. i mpmm^pmhfn4 Ö2qprnJmh qnpöm^hgp, MCi'-h hbpJnLÖ4nn. mpmm^pmhfn4p: L24mö qnpöm^hghbpp ^mpn^ bh ummg4b[ m2^mphh ^mJ ORhL-h ömqJmh bp^ph mpmmhmhJmh U hbpJnLÖJmh öm^-ubph Jm^mp^m^hbpp hmpmpbpb[n4 ph^nLhn^ bp^ph, mju ^b^fnLJ' « mpmmhmhJmh U hbpJnLÖJmh öm^ubph Jm^mp^m^hbphh' pum pn^mp^4b[hf mpmm^pmhfh: U^hhmjm t, np mj^ qnpöm^gh JbönLpjnLhp ^mjJmhm4np4mö ^Lhhh pn^mp^4b[hf mpmm^pmhfh pmp^nLpjm Jp42, hh^h w4b|wgJwJp mm-phhbph phpmgfnLJ pmpÖpmhnLJ t hmU bp^ph mhmbum^mh pmp^nLpjmh mu-mhömhp, mj^^hun4' ^pm^mh mq^bgnLpjnLh nLhbhm|n4 mpmmhmh4n^. mp-mm^pmhfh m^mhn4mqpm^mh U ^n^m^pJmh öm^ubph 4pm: ^jnLu ^n^-Jhg' ORhL-h mpmmhmhJmh hmppm^nLJ mpmm^pmhf pn^mp^b[nL hmJmp hmp^ t hbpJnLöb[ npn2m^h hnLJf U hjnLpbp, hh^p ^^mhmhgh ^n^m^pJmh

40 Development and Globalization: Facts and Figures. UNCTAD. New York and Geneva, 2004, p. 4.

41 Sb'u Devereux M.P., Griffith R., Klemm A., h24. W2^., t2 452:

42 Sb'u Country & Product Complexity Rankings, https://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/rankings/product

w^b|h dbS Sw^ubp: ^Sw^wrnlbp 6-nLJ, ophhwl, hbplwjwg^wS t hbpdrnS-dwh Sw^wLh hlwmdwdp (%) w^whn^wqpwlwh U pbnhw^n^w^.pmdhbph Sw^ubph (Costs of insurance and freight services) dwlwp^.wlh 2wpdphpwgp 1980-2002 pp.43, bpp, mb^blwrn^wlwh mb^hn|nqhwlwh hb^w^n^mpjwh wq^bgmpjwdp, hhmbhuh^wgwh n^ dhwjh mhmbuwlwh q|npw|wgdwh, wj|U wprnw^pwhfh pwp^mpjwh wurnh^whh pwpSpwgdwh qnpSphpwghbpp:

Suipquigwd hptypbhp

Ltbbyipnbuityuib b Upbhywb bijpniyuijp hptypbhp

&n^wjpb hf ¿mbhgnq hptypbhp Suipquignq hptypbhp U.2^uiph

■ 2002 ■1980

3.8

4.8

3.3 8 4.7

13.5

10

15

4

3

0

5

6. Uiqiuhntfiuqpiutylub b pbnbiuilinfaiuqpmdbbpfr dwfaubpp44

hh^bu bpUnLd t q&w^wmlbphg, Sn^wjhh b[f ¿rnhbgn^ bplphbph hbp-dnL&dwh Sw^ubpp h2whwlw|h qbpwqwhgnLd bh djnLu bplphbph Sw^ubpp: <w2^wp^h hwdwp Iwrnwpbhp npn2 bhpw^pnLpjmhhbp. EMTR = 10%, EATR = 15%, XC=i 0.05, M/=0.1: <brnUwpwp' MTR = 8.5%,

DEATR = 12.75%:

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45 Sb'u Muthitacharoen A., Tax Incentives and Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries, Austaxpolicy: Tax and Transfer Policy Blog, 9 March 2020:

46 Sb'u Loretz S., Determinants of Bilateral Effective Tax Rates: Empirical Evidence from OECD Countries. Fiscal Studies, Vol. 28, No. 2, 2007, t2 227-229:

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30 риърьп

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ДАВИД ВАРДАНЯН

Аспирант кафедры финансов АГЭУ

МГЕР ВАРДАНЯН

Магистр компьютерных и информационных наук АУА

Концептуальная рамка финансирования инвестиций, необходимых для повышения уровня экономической сложности, при помощи внутренних сбережений.- В

статье рассматриваются вопросы, связанные с внешними и внутренними источниками финансирования инвестиций для внедрения передовых технологий, с учетом ориентиров по повышениию экономической сложности Республики Армения, установленных в программе Правительства Республики Армения на 2021-2026 гг. Степень экономической сложности зависит от ее удаленности от мирового технологического рубежа. Одним из каналов передачи производительных знаний, необходимых для внедрения передовых технологий, являются ПИИ, уровень притока которых недостаточен, а под влиянием COVID-19 и тенденций последнего десятилетия увеличилась неопределенность внешних источников финансирования инвестиций. Основываясь на результатах анализа, авторы пришли к выводу, что стабильный, высокий уровень инвестиций, необходимый для устойчивого экономического роста на основе технологического прогресса, должен обеспечиваться за счет внутренних сбережений. Предложена концептуальная рамка экспортной платформы ПИИ и внутренних инвестиций, нацеленной на повышение уровня экономической сложности страны.

Ключевые слова: валовые сбережения, валовые внутренние сбережения, накопление основного капитала, экономическая сложность, передовые технологии, внутренние инвестиции экспортной платформы, ПИИ. JEL: E21, E22

DOI: 10.52174/1829-0280_2022.1 -9

DAVIT VARDANYAN

PhD Student of the Chair of Finance of ASUE

MHER VARDANYAN

Master of Science in Computer & Information Science AUA

A Conceptual Framework for Domestic Saving Financing the Investment Required to Increase the Complexity of the

Economy.-The paper reviews the issues related to external and internal sources of investment financing for the introduction of frontier technologies, considering the guidelines for increasing the economic complexity of the Republic of Armenia, established

in the program of the Government of the Republic of Armenia for 2021-2026. The degree of economic complexity depends on its distance from the world technological frontier. One of the channels for the transfer of productive knowledge needed for the adoption of frontier technologies is FDI, which suffers insufficient levels of inflows. In addition, the uncertainty of external sources of financing has increased under the trends of the last decade and recent influence of COVID-19. Based on the results of the analysis, the authors concluded that the stable, high level of investment required for sustainable economic growth based on technological progress must be provided through domestic savings. A conceptual framework for an export platform for FDI and domestic investment is proposed, aimed at increasing the level of economic complexity of the country.

Keywords: gross saving, gross domestic saving, fixed capital formation, resource gap, economic growth, economic complexity, frontier technology, export platform FDI and domestic investment JEL: E21, E22

DOI: 10.52174/1829-0280_2022.1-9

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