Научная статья на тему 'Issues of strategic modernization of think Tanks'

Issues of strategic modernization of think Tanks Текст научной статьи по специальности «Политологические науки»

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think tanks / public policy / expert community / COVID-19 / pandemic / crisis / new normal / мозговые центры / публичная политика / экспертное сообщество / COVID-19 / пандемия / кризис / новая нормальность

Аннотация научной статьи по политологическим наукам, автор научной работы — Vardan Atoyan

This paper is devoted to the analysis of the challenges and opportunities facing the think tank industry that arise as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. The issues of modernization of think tanks operating models and their toolkit are discussed. The research emphasizes the importance of taking steps in accordance with changing realities, including for preparedness for a post-pandemic world and a more effective response to current and future crises. Recommendations have been developed that can help the think tank community to keep balance and become the basis for a survival strategy during ongoing crisis, and to design a comprehensive development strategy in the post-pandemic period.

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ВОПРОСЫ СТРАТЕГИЧЕСКОЙ МОДЕРНИЗАЦИИ МОЗГОВЫХ ЦЕНТРОВ

Статья посвящена анализу вызовов и возможностей, стоящих перед индустрией мозговых центров, которые возникают вследствие пандемии COVID-19. Обсуждаются вопросы модернизации операционных моделей мозговых центров и используемого ими инструментария. Подчеркивается важность осуществления шагов в соответствии с меняющимися реалиями, в том числе для готовности к постпандемическому миру и более эффективного реагирования на будущие кризисы. Выработаны рекомендации, которые могут быть полезны сообществу мозговых центров «поддерживать баланс» в текущем кризисе и стать основой для стратегии «выживания», а в постпандемический период – для разработки всеобъемлющей стратегии развития.

Текст научной работы на тему «Issues of strategic modernization of think Tanks»

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<mJmummhh m^b^rnjhh Ibhmpnhhbph dwuhh sb'u Atoyan, V. (2017). Some features of Armenian think tank industry. European Science Review, 3-4, 87-89; Atoyan, V. (2017). Armenian Think Tanks influence aspects on Public Policy. European Journal of Law and Political Sciences, 2, 59-62; Atoyan, V. (2015). University Affiliated Think Tanks in Armenia. Austrian Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 11-12, 58-59.

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3 Sbu Tom Nichols. The Death of Expertise. New York: Oxford University Press, 2017.

4 Sbu World Health Organization. (2020). Situation Report 13, Retrieved 25 June, 2020, https://www.who.int/ docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200202-sitrep-13-ncov-v3.pdf

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3. U.^w^bhspnhwgmd. hhmpm4npm-pjmh ^b^fmJ mhhpmdb2s t ^^ fmj[ mnmg qhm[ U 5Um4npb[ m^m^bhrnpnhmg-4mS U gmhgmjhh hmummmmpjmh qnp-Smnhm^mh Jn^b[: <bmmqnmn^hbph m-^m^bhmpnhmgJmh ^mpmqmjmJ qpm-ubhjm^mjhh smpmSfhbph ^mh^mhJmh U ^pmh mj[ Sm^ubph h4mqm^g 5Um4np4nn. ^hmjn^mpjmh-hbpD ^mpn^ bh mJpm^h^b[ hmummmm-pjmh ^hhmhum^mh ^mjmhmpjmhD:

4. LhpqpwMwdnLpjmh U ungfrw[w-Ijwh lywswufawhws^nLpjnLh. 6h2s dm-Jmhm^h t mnm4b[ m^mh4npbh hbpqpm4-4b[ qnp&DhpmghbpmJ: HL^b^mjhh ^bhm-pnhhbpmJ 5Um4np4nn. qm^m^mphbpD hmm^m^bu ^mpUnp bh 6qhmdmJmjhh ^mnm4mpJmh DhpmgfmJ, mumh ^bhm-pnhhbpD ^bmf t ^npSbh 4bpmhmumm-sb[ hpbhg ^mpUnp ^bpm^mmmpmpjmhD hmhpmjhh fm^mf m^mhmpjmhmJ (public policy) U bp^pnp^ 2m4hT.h ^h4mhmqh-

rnnLpjmh (track II diplomacy) n|npmni.d, mjrç. mqqmjhh 2mhh ^m2rn^mhni.-

pjmh, fmrçwfm^mh npn2ni.^bph mprçjnL-hm4bmni.pjmh pmpâpmgJmh U hmhpmjhh 4|mhfh mmppbp nLnpmhbph pmpbLm4Jmh qnpôniJ: Hpn2ni.J phrç.nlhnrçhbpp U hmhpnl-pjnLhp gmh^mhrnJ bh m4bLhh hJmhmL mmppbp ^npmhbph 4pm hmJm4mpm^h mq^bgmpjmh Jmuhh: <bmUmpmp' mhhpm-db2s t ^mumbph U ^npâmqhrnnLpjmh 4pm hh^4.mô mnmgmp^mpjmhhbpn^., n^ ^ophhm^ LnL^nL^kpn4, mjLQhmmhf mjhh JnmbgnL^bpn4, hpm4h^m^h hbmmqm qmpqmgJmh ugbhmpmjhh J2m^ni.^bpn4 U f wrçwpm^mhmpjmh bpm2^m4npmpjmh-hbpn4 (policy recommendations) hbpqpm4-4b qnpôphpmghbpniJ:

5. Oqbpwsh4nLPJmb- mhhpmdb2s t nprçbqpb «6h2s dmdwhw^hh» (just-in-time) Jnmbgni.Jp: <mJm^mp^m^ qb^nyghbpp U ôw4wLnih hbmmqnmnlpjni.hhbpp mhhpm-db2mmpjmh bh: Um^mjh, hm24h mnhbLn4 rçpmhg hpm^mhmgJmh dmJmhm^mmm-pm.pjni.hp U hpm4h^m^h upphpmg ^n^n-^mpjmhp, ^npômqhmm^mh ^^hmpm-hmpjmhhbph, hmJmnnm 4bpLmôm^mhhb-ph U fmrçwfm^mhmpjmh bpm2^m4npm-pjmhhbph ÔUm^m^n4 mp4n^. hpm^mpm-^rn^bpp ^mpn^ bh mnm4bL mprçjnlhm-4bm LhhbL U 2b2sm^hnpbh pmpâpmghbL mrçbrçwjhh ^bhmpnhh 6mhm^4mômpjmh m mqrç.bgh^nLpjmh Jm^mprçm^p:

6. <^wqnpq.w^gmpjmh. mhhpmdb2s t J2m^bL hmrçnprç.m^gni.pjmh nmqJm4mpnl-pjmh (communication strategy): Up^h Jmp-mmhpm4bphbphh rçhJm^mjJmh hpmJm-jm^mhp ^mprnm^pmJ t mpmqnpbh hmp-Jmp4bL ^n^n^4nT. hpm4h^m^hh U ^m-hmhghbphh, hh^p bhpm^pmJ t mnm4bL pmg, mnm4bL ^n^qnpôm^gmjhh qnpôb-Lmn6: Uhhpmdb2s t gmhfbp hbprç.hbf ^mJpgbLm qhsbLhfh m fwrçwfw^whnLpjni.-hp U m^rnh4mghbLm hm^np^m^gmpjm-hp hmhpmjhh fmrçwfm^mhmpjmh rnmp-pbp umpjb^rnhbph, qnpômpmp 2p2mhm^-hbph, 2U^-hbph U Lmjh hmhpmpjmh hbs:

7. Ungwbgiftgngwnmfàbp. hm24h mn-hbLn4 hmJm4mpm^n4 ^mjJmhm4np4mô

uwhJwhw^w^m^bpp U dwJwhw^w^hg rnb^hnLnq^whbp^ phdbnwS hhwpw4npm-pjmhhbpp1 whhpwdb2m t pw^wpw^whni.-pjmh J2w^n^hbph U Lwjh hwhpnipjwh hwJwp w4bLh hw6w^ ^wqJw^bp^bL wn-gwhg ^2ngwnm^bp:

8. id-tfwjfih opwtywpq. w2^wphh wpw-qnpbh p4wjhwg4^J t, hu^ w^wqwh w-nw4bL p4wjhh t LhhbLm: <bmUwpwp' hwh-pwjhh f w^wf w^whnLpjwh 4pw wq^bgni.-pjwh ^SwgJwh m ^wh^whJwh, phpw-^wjhh Luwpwhhh hwuhbLnL hwJwp whhpw-db2m t J2w^bL p4wjhh nwqJw4wpmpjmh (digital strategy) U p4wjhh rnhpmjpmJ hhw-pw4nphhu h^wrnbih H-wpShbL hwumwmnl-pjwh hbp^wjmpjmhp: Uju wnmJn4, ^w-^wu ^wpUnp ^t hwU hbrnwqnrnmpjmhhb-ph wp^.jmhfhbpp sbuwhbLh ^wpShbLm (visualization) b^whw^hbph Lwjh ^hpw-nmJp:

9. Ufi2qhSwtywPQwJhh linshgmd.

whhpwdb2m t g^gwpbpbL ^2qhmw^wp-qwjhh JnrnbgmJ U hpw^whwg4n^. w2-^wrnwhfhbpmJ m hbrnwqnrnmpjmhhb-pmJ hbpqpw4bL rnwppbp qhmw6jm^bph hbp^wjwgmgh^hbph, hh^p P^JL ^sw hw-Jw^n^Jwhhnpbh ^hmwp^bL wn^w ^h^hp-hbpp U qmhbL hwJwLhp L^Sm^bp:

10. bnp ipbNhn[nqfrwbbp. hbmwqn-mmpjmhhbpmJ hwJw^wpq^wjhh Spwqpb-ph ^hpwnmJp ^wpn^ t ^6w^bu pwp5-pwghbL w2^wmwhfhbph hpw^whwgJwh wpwqmpjwh m wp^.jmhw4bmmpjwh Jw-^wp^w^p: U"wuhw4npw^bu1 wphbumw-^wh pwhw^whmpjwh (artificial intelligence) U ^fbhwjw^wh mumgJwh (machine learning) ^hpwnmJp ^wpn^ t w4mnJw-mwghbL, Jn^bLw4npbL U tw^bu wpwqwg-

hbL pwqJwph4 ^h^hphbph LmSm^bp,

npnhg hpw^whwgJwh hwJwp hbmwqn-mn^hbphg hw6w^ ^wpn^ bh hmjhhu^ mwphhbp ^whwh24bi: Pwgh wj^, ^wh^w-mbum^bph U hpw4h^w^h qwpqwgJwh mwppbp ugbhwphbph J2w^Jwh hwJwp ^Sw^bu oqmw^wp ^wpn^ t LhhbL ^S m4jwLhbph (big data) mb^hninqhwhbph hbp^hmJp:

UJ^n^bLn4, h2bhf, np 4bpnh2jwL Jnmb-

gnL^hpQ ш]и ^d ш^ ^шфп^ nL бш^шщ^ ^ршпфьй ЬЬ Ш2^шph^ шпшзштшр т-^Ь^ш^ ^Ь^трп^ЬршЛ: ЩЬф^, T-bnLu Ьш^пр^. П-шрЬ 70-ш^ш^ ^nphp^wj^h ^^т^ш^ш^^Ьрр hшuшpш-^ш^ш^ q^mmpjm^^bpmJ hш2n^mpJшJp о^тш^пр6Ь[ ЬЬ p^wjh^ тЬ^п^^ш-hbp1 ^^.Ь|ш4.прЬ|п4 тшррЬр рш^ш^дш,-pjm^^bp, прп^р ЛбшщЬи ЬщшитЬ[ ЬЬ рЬ^шйЬф фп^^п^Ьр^ U ф2шqqш-j^h hшpшрЬpmpJm^^Ьp^ п|прт^ ршр^.

^ршфбшф ^трт^ фпфп^mpJшJр щш]-^^ш^пр^шб, hnijh^u^ шпш-

2штшр hшumшmmpJm^^Ьp^ щшршцш-jmJ ршqJшp^4. фрш^ш^^Ьр^ U шр-фш^ш^шдт^Ьр^ ш^рш0Ь2тш.р]шй ^ш: fah^ph шпш^Ь ршр^ t фпрр U иш^ ^^шфш^ пЬитри^Ьр пйЬдп^ т hшm-^шщЬи qшpqшдп^ Ьр^р^ЬршЛ qпpöп^ п^Ь^шфЬ ^Ь^трп^Ьр^ hшJшp: <ши^ш-^шф t, пр ^пр hшdшщш-

шши^шЬ шрфш^шЬшдт^ЬрЬ шphЬu-тш^шр^^шй, пшqdш4шpш^шh тЬи-

JпmЬдmJ, 0ш-U пЬитри^Ьр ЬЬ цш-hшh2Ь|nL, прп^р п^ рп|пр ^.ЬщрЬршЛ t h^шpш4пp фЬЬ|П1. [Ьшр^ЬрпрЬ^ шцшhп-Uju hшJшmЬfummJ шпш^Ь ^ш-^ш^п^тй t итш^шЛ ^ши, ш]ицЬи ^п^-^шб, back office-^ щштши^ш^штшйЬр^ шphЬumш4шpdmpJm^Q: U^h ^.ЬщршД hnijh^u^ £шфшqшhд uшhdшhшфш^ пЬ-итриЬЬрп^ и^Ь^ш^ ^Ь^трп^Ьр^ ^Ь-^ш^шр о^ш^Ьр^ ^п^фд пщртшЛ ^ hшJm Ь^п^ фтт^Ьрр d2mшфmшp^Ь|nL, ^.рш^р 6^2^ qhшhшmЬ|nL, hшJшhm^^ qпpöп^mpJш^ öpшq^p U modus operandi d2ш^Ь|nL цшpшqшJmJ ^Ьр^ш^и «hшdш-^шpqшJ^ фпрпр^р» h^шpш4пp t hш^-pшhшpЬL: Uфшd■шdшhш^, t,

пр ^Ь^трп^Ьр^ qпpöшпhnL-

^ш^ ршqJшp^4. шр^Ь^ ршрп-

]шцЬи ищшпф1-^ Ь^, ^прд^шЛ ^рЬЪд шр-^|П1йш4.Ьтп1.р]П1йр, U ЬЦЬ[ t hшJш^шp-qшJ^ 4.Ьрш^ш]т^Ьр^ т шрфш^ш^шд-

7 Торкунов Анатолий, интервью ИА «Интерфакс». Ректор МГИМО: науке о международных отношениях нужны цифровые технологии, 22/06/2020, https://www.interfax.ru/russia/714093

1. Upnjoiti, (2019), ПщЬ^^Ь Lbbyipnb-bbp. nuiqiJuiLluipuiLiuib qшqшфшpbbp^ r}uippbngbbpp, bp., «2uitiq.ixil|» hpuim.,

216 ta:

2. Торкунов Анатолий, интервью ИА «Интерфакс». Ректор МГИМО: науке о международных отношениях нужны цифровые технологии, 22/06/2020, https://www.interfax.ru/russia/714093

3. Atoyan, V. (2017). Some features of Armenian think tank industry. European Science Review, 3-4, 87-89.

4. Atoyan, V. (2017). Armenian Think Tanks influence aspects on Public Policy. European Journal of Law and Political Sciences, 2, 59-62.

5. Atoyan, V. (2015). University affiliated Think Tanks in Armenia. Austrian Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 11-12, 58-59.

6. Nichols Tom. (2017). The Death of Expertise. New York: Oxford University Press.

7. On Think Tanks COVID-19 Initiative, Retrieved 26 June, 2020, https://onthinktanks.org/initiatives/on-think-tanks-covid-19-response/

8. Think Tanks and Civil Societies Program, Retrieved June 25, 2020, https://www.gotothinktank.com/

9. World Health Organization. (2020). Situation Report 13, Retrieved 25 June, 2020, https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/ coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200202-si-trep-13-ncov-v3.pdf

Вардан АТОЯН

Заместитель директора-старший эксперт исследовательского центра «Амберд», АГЭУ, доктор политических наук, доцент

ОБРАЗОВАНИЕ, ИННОВАЦИИ, ЗНАНИЯ

ВОПРОСЫ СТРАТЕГИЧЕСКОЙ МОДЕРНИЗАЦИИ МОЗГОВЫХ ЦЕНТРОВ

Статья посвящена анализу вызовов и возможностей, стоящих перед индустрией мозговых центров, которые возникают вследствие пандемии COVID-19. Обсуждаются вопросы модернизации операционных моделей мозговых центров и используемого ими инструментария. Подчеркивается важность осуществления шагов в соответствии с меняющимися реалиями, в том числе для готовности к постпандемическому миру и более эффективного реагирования на будущие кризисы. Выработаны рекомендации, которые могут быть полезны сообществу мозговых центров «поддерживать баланс» в текущем кризисе и стать основой для стратегии «выживания», а в постпандемический период - для разработки всеобъемлющей стратегии развития.

Ключевые слова: мозговые центры, публичная политика, экспертное сообщество, COVID-19, пандемия, кризис, новая нормальность

Vardan ATOYAN

Deputy Director & Senior Expert of "Amberd" Research Center, ASUE,

Doctor of Sciences (Political Science), Associate Professor of Political Science

EDUCATION, INNOVATION, KNOWLEDGE

ISSUES OF STRATEGIC MODERNIZATION OF THINK TANKS

This paper is devoted to the analysis of the challenges and opportunities facing the think tank industry that arise as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. The issues of modernization of think tanks operating models and their toolkit are discussed. The research emphasizes the importance of taking steps in accordance with changing realities, including for preparedness for a post-pandemic world and a more effective response to current and future crises. Recommendations have been developed that can help the think tank community to keep balance and become the basis for a survival strategy during ongoing crisis, and to design a comprehensive development strategy in the post-pandemic period.

Keywords: think tanks, public policy, expert community, COVID-19, pandemic,

crisis, new normal

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