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1 Sb'u Cooper C., Fletcher J., Fyall A., Gilbert D., Wanhill S., Tourism Principles and Practice: (4th Edition). Harlow: Financial Times Prentice Hall, 2008:

2 Sb'u Ahiawodzi A. K., Tourism Earnings and Economic Growth in Ghana, British Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences, Vol. 7 (2), 2013, tg 187-203, Anson K. J., Thaliath A., A Study on Changes in GDP due to its Relative Dependence on Tourism Receipts, Atna, J Tour Stud, 11, 1, 2016, tg 17- 30, Eugenio-Martin J. L., Martin Morales N., Scarpa R., Tourism and economic growth in Latin American countries: A panel data approach, Social Science Research Network Electronic Paper. No. 26, 2004, http://www.feem.it/userfiles/attach/Publication/NDL20 04/NDL2004-026.pdf, Kreishan F. M.M., Tourism and economic growth: The case of Jordan, European Journal of Social Sciences, 15 (2), 2010, tg 229-234, Skerritt D., Huybers T., The effect of international tourism: An empirical analysis, Asia Pacific of Tourism Research, Vol.10, Issue 1,2005, t2 23-43:

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3 Sb'u De Mello-Sampayo F., De Sousa-Vale S., Tourism and Growth in European Countries: An Application of Likelihood-Based Panel Cointegration, Working Papers 17, 2012, tg 3:

4 https://www.su rrey.ac. u k/peopIe/leo-jago

5 Sb'u Jago L., The Value of Business Events, 2012, www.businesseventssydney.com.au:

6 Sb'u Stynes D. J., Economic Impacts of Tourism: A Handbook for Tourism Professionals, Illinois Bureau of Tourism, Illinois Department of Commerce and Community Affairs, Prepared by the Tourism Research Laboratory at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 1997, tg 4:

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8 Sb'u Коковский Г. И., Обеспечение конкурентоспособности туриндустрии России на международном рынке туристских услуг, Санкт-Петербург, 2010, tg 3:

9 Sb'u International Tourism highlights, UNWTO, 2019 edition, tg 2, https://www.e-

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(4th Edition). Harlow: Financial Times Prentice Hall, 2008, t2 87: " Sb'u Kumar J., Hussain K., A Review of Assessing the Economic Impact of Business Tourism: Issues and Approaches. International Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Systems, 7(2), 2014, tg 49-55, ISSN: 0947-6250 Print:

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https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/ST.INT.ARVL II https://www.unwto.org/statistics:

UrytiLuiulj 1

CiuJiu2liiiuphiujliti <LLL-fr U dfipuiqquijfiti qpnuui2p2iuj[iti blfiudniiptibp/i

Dependent Variable: RECEIPTS

Method: Least Squares

Sample(adjusted): 2006 2017

Included observations: 12 after adjusting endpoints

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C GDP

-232.8700 114.0334 -2.042121 0.0684 21.07666 1.621805 12.99580 0.0000

Adjusted R-squared S.E. of regression Sum squared resid Log likelihood

R-squared

0.944100 Mean dependent var

0.938510 S.D. dependent var

51.23658 Akaike info criterion

26251.88 Schwarz criterion

1236.567 206.6227 10.86180 10.94261 168.8909 0.00000

Durbin-Watson stat

-63.17078 F-statistic 0.340012 Prob(F-statistic)

0

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«шппг^шдйшЬ» qnpônnî:

Oqinuiq.np6i|iu6 q.puil]iutiru|a]ni.b

1. -Ppnjiuti LI., hjiu^|il|jiuti U., Uni|u|"iujiuti U., <iul|npjiuti 4., Stiinb-uuiq.|iinuil|uiti |xitir|.|nptibpfn i[|i6uil|uiq.piul|iutj SPSS фшрЬ[э[1 q.np&uir|.piiiuJp, i'TISi br|bq.tiui5np|i iIuiutiui6jnLrL, 2015, https://asue.am/upload/files/structure/SPSS_methodical_PDF.pdf:

2. Коковский Г.И., Обеспечение конкурентоспособности турин-дустрии России на международном рынке туристских услуг, Санкт-Петербург, 2010.

3. Ahiawodzi А.К., Tourism Earnings and Economic Growth in Ghana, British Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences, Vol. 7 (2), 2013.

4. Anson K.J., Thaliath, A., A Study on Changes in GDP due to its Relative Dependence on Tourism Receipts, Atna, J Tour Stud, 11, 1, 2016.

5. Cooper C., Fletcher J., Fyall A., Gilbert D., Wanhill S., Tourism Principles and Practice: (4th Edition). Harlow: Financial Times Prentice Hall, 2008.

6. De Mello-Sampayo F., De Sousa-Vale S., Tourism and Growth in European Countries: An Application of Likelihood-Based Panel Cointegration, Working Papers 17, 2012.

7. Eugenio-Martin J. L., Martin Morales N., Scarpa R., Tourism and Economic Growth in Latin American countries: A Panel Data Approach, Social Science Research Network Electronic Paper. No. 26, 2004.

8. Jago L., The Value of Business Events, 2012, www.businesseventssydney.com.au.

9. International Tourism highlights, UNWTO, 2019 Edition.

10. Kreishan F. M.M., Tourism and economic growth: The Case of Jordan, European Journal of Social Sciences, 15 (2), 2010.

11. Kumar J., Hussain K., A Review of Assessing the Economic Impact of Business Tourism: Issues and Approaches. International Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Systems, 7(2),2014, ISSN: 0947-6250 Print.

12. Stynes D. J., Economic Impacts of Tourism: A Handbook for Tourism Professionals, Illinois Bureau of Tourism, Illinois Department of Commerce and Community Affairs, Prepared by the Tourism Research Laboratory at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 1997.

13. https://data.worldbank.org

14. https://www.unwto.org

15. https://www.armstat.am/am/

130 PlTbPbP CbSC 2020.3

ШОГИК МЕДЖЛУМЯН

Аспирант факультета экономики и менеджмента ЕГУ

Экономико-математическая оценка влияния международного туризма на мировую экономику,- В целом туризм можно рассматривать как одно из наиболее эффективных проявлений услуг международной торговли, наряду с финансовыми и банковскими услугами. Это важный экономический и социальный фактор, который генерирует инвестиции, рабочие места и доходы, развивая инфраструктуру страны и способствуя сохранению национальных ценностей. Потенциал международного туризма в мировой экономике обусловлен довольно большим весом совокупной и прямой доли туристических услуг в мировом ВВП. В этом контексте основной целью статьи является оценка влияния туристического сектора на общие тенденции развития мировой экономики. Автор оценивает существующие взаимосвязи доходов международного туризма и мирового экономического роста.

Ряд исследований демонстрируют потенциальное социально-экономическое значение туристического сектора с точки зрения экономического роста, роста доходов и общей конкурентоспособности. В этом контексте для Армении крайне важно оценить и понять с помощью эконометриического анализа, как сектор туризма влияет на среднемесячную номинальную заработную плату в стране.

Ключевые слова: международный туризм, мировая экономика, корреляционный анализ, регрессионный анализ, эконометрический анализ, деятельность туристических агентств, среднемесячная номинальная заработная плата. JEL: L83, С20

SHOGHIK MEJLUMYAN

PhD Student at the Department of Economics and Management at YSU

Economic-mathematical Assessment of the Impact of International Tourism on the World Economy.- Tourism can be considered as one of the most effective demonstrations of international trade services, together with financial and banking services. It is an important economic and social factor that brings investments, employment and income while developing the country's infrastructure and preserving national values. The importance of international tourism in the world economy relates to a quite large share of the total and direct share of tourism services in the world GDP. In this context, the main purpose of the paper is to assess how the tourism sector influences the

general trends of world economic development. The correlations between international tourism revenues and global economic growth have been assessed by the author.

Several studies demonstrate the potential socio-economic importance of the tourism sector in terms of a country's economic growth, revenue growth, and overall competitiveness. In this context, it is essential for Armenia to assess and understand through econometric analysis how the tourism sector affects the country's average monthly nominal salary.

Key words: international tourism, world economy, correlation analysis, regression analysis, econometric analysis, activities of travel agencies, average monthly nominal salary. JEL: L83, C20