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DOI: 10.52174/2579-2989 2022.2-25
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MEETING PROBABILITIES
MEETING DAtE ii-50 S0-7S 74-100 100-125 12S-1SO ISt-175 ITS-!» 3»J2S 235-250 250.J75 275 300 300-325 325-350 350-375
3/16/2022 96.3% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 00%
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11ffli022 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 3.4% 17 0% 35.1% 32 5% 11.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
12/14^2022 0.0% 0.0% 00% 1.1% 7.3* 121% 34 3% «4% 0.3% 0.0% 00% 0,0% 0.0%
2/1/2023 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 39% 14.1* 27 7% 30.7% 16.2% 4.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3/15/2023 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 1 4% 6.4% 17 5% 27.6% 14.6% 3.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1* 00% 17% 13.6* 24.6% 27 9% 19.3% 7.5% 1,3* 0.0% 0-0%
6/11^023 0.0% 0.0% 00% 0.0% 04% 2 4% % 16.0* 25. S% 24.5% 14.6% 5.0% 0.6% 0.0%
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2. ^muшumшhh l|bhisipnhiiil|iiih pшh^h ^ШJft2, www.cbr.ru:
3. CME FedWatch Tool lшJft2, www.cmegroup. com:
4. www.fitchratings.com
5. www.ft.com
6. www.investing.com
7. www.moodys.com
8. www.spglobal.com
Диана ТЕРЯН
Аспирант, АГЭУ
РЕАКЦИЯ МЕЖДУНАРОДНЫХ ФИНАНСОВЫХ РЫНКОВ НА РОССИЙСКО-УКРАИНСКИЙ
КОНФЛИКТ
Военный конфликт между Россией и Украиной, безусловно, оказывает влияние на экономику и финансовые рынки не только этих двух стран, а также всего мира. В условиях высокого риска, неопределенности, пессимистичных ожиданий инвесторы и финансовые институты стараются оперативно реагировать на постоянно меняющиеся реалии. Участники рынка следят за сложившимися тенденциями на рынке, прогнозами авторитетных организаций, шагами, предпринимаемыми конфликтующими странами для обслуживания государственного долга, смягчения введенных санкций и т.д.
Ключевые слова: конфликт, ставка рефинансирования, финансовые рынки, пессимистические ожидания
Diana TERYAN
PhD student, ASUE
REACTION OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS TO THE CONFLICT BETWEEN RUSSIA
AND UKRAINE
The military conflict between Russia and Ukraine, surely, affects the economy and financial markets not only of these two countries, but also of the whole world. In the conditions of high risk, uncertainty, pessimistic expectations, investors and financial institutions try to respond quickly to the ever-changing realities. Market participants observe the prevailing tendencies in the market, the forecasts of famous organisations, the steps taken by the conflicting countries for the public debt service and mitigation of the consequences of the implemented sanctions, etc.
Keywords: conflict, refinancing rate, financial markets, pessimistic expectations
