Научная статья на тему 'THE OPERATIVE PROFIT MARGIN AND INTEREST COST IN RETAIL FOOD'

THE OPERATIVE PROFIT MARGIN AND INTEREST COST IN RETAIL FOOD Текст научной статьи по специальности «Экономика и бизнес»

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Ключевые слова
net profit / interest / tax / depreciation / amortization

Аннотация научной статьи по экономике и бизнесу, автор научной работы — Dragana Vojteski Kljenak, Radojko Lukic, Gordana Gavric, Milan Gavrilovic

Under the influence of different factors, the dynamics of the size of the operating profit margin of food trading companies in Serbia varies from comparable global food retailers in various countries. Based on the obtained results of empirical research, we can also conclude that the operating profit margin of the leading food trading companies in Serbia is lower than the in analyzed comparable food retail trade companies from the developed market economies. It points to the conclusion that it is necessary to efficiently manage revenues, costs, profit, assets, and financial structure in order to improve the performance of food trading companies in Serbia in the future. In order to increase the operating profit margin, as a measure of long-term performance, it is necessary to manage the financial structure of the food trading companies in Serbia as effectively as possible. The main objective of this paper is to apply dynamics of size and structure of operating margin of global retailers in Serbia by applying accounting methodology based on data from annual financial statements. It is an increasingly significant non-standard indicator of their performance. Therefore, this indicator will receive increasing attention in the future.

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Текст научной работы на тему «THE OPERATIVE PROFIT MARGIN AND INTEREST COST IN RETAIL FOOD»

THE OPERATIVE PROFIT MARGIN AND INTEREST COST IN

RETAIL FOOD

Dragana Vojteski Kljenak1, Radojko Lukic2, Gordana Gavric3, Milan Gavrilovic4 *Corresponding author E-mail: vojteski@live.co.uk

A R T I C L E I N F O Review Article Received: 04 August 2019 Accepted: 13 September 2019 doi:10.5937/ekoPolj1903799V UDC 631.2:[330.143+336.78 Keywords:

net profit, interest, tax, depreciation, amortization

JEL: L81, M31, M41, O32

A B S T R A C T

Under the influence of different factors, the dynamics of the size of the operating profit margin of food trading companies in Serbia varies from comparable global food retailers in various countries. Based on the obtained results of empirical research, we can also conclude that the operating profit margin of the leading food trading companies in Serbia is lower than the in analyzed comparable food retail trade companies from the developed market economies. It points to the conclusion that it is necessary to efficiently manage revenues, costs, profit, assets, and financial structure in order to improve the performance of food trading companies in Serbia in the future. In order to increase the operating profit margin, as a measure of long-term performance, it is necessary to manage the financial structure of the food trading companies in Serbia as effectively as possible. The main objective of this paper is to apply dynamics of size and structure of operating margin of global retailers in Serbia by applying accounting methodology based on data from annual financial statements. It is an increasingly significant non-standard indicator of their performance. Therefore, this indicator will receive increasing attention in the future.

© 2019 EA. All rights reserved.

1 Dragana Vojteski Kljenak, Ph.D., Associate Professor, Faculty of Business Economics and Entrepreneurship, Mitropolita Petra 8, Belgrade, Republic of Serbia, Phone: +381 11 2762 194, E-mail: vojteski@live.co.uk, ORCID ID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5707-1585

2 Radojko Lukic, Ph.D., Full Professor,University of Belgrade Faculty of Economics, Kamenica 6, Belgrade Republic of Serbia, Phone: +381 11 3021 112, E-mail: rlukic@ekof. bg.ac.rs ,ORCID ID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6529-0297

3 Gordana Gavric, Ph.D., Assistant Professor, Faculty of Business Economics and Entrepreneurship, Mitropolita Petra 8,Belgrade, Republic of Serbia, Phone: +381 11 2762 194, E-mail: gordana.gavric.bg@gmail.com, ORCID ID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0607-1075

4 Milan Gavrilovic, Ph.D., Assistant Professor, Faculty of Business Economics and Entrepreneurship, Mitropolita Petra 8, Belgrade, Republic of Serbia, Phone: +381 11 2762 194, E-mail: gavrilovicmilan82@gmail.com ORCID ID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0130-6496

Introduction

Considerable theoretical and practical attention has been paid in recent years to analyzing the operating profit margin or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA margin) as a measure of the long-term performance of companies. On the basis of it, special indicators of long-term performance of companies have been developed. They are comparatively analyzed by individual companies (from the same and different sectors) and based on this -their long-term business success is recognized. Bearing this in mind, the subject of research in this paper is a comparative analysis of the operational profit margin of food retail enterprises in Serbia and comparable foreign retailers.

The aim of this research is to thoroughly investigate the problems of the operating profit margin as one of the determinants of the long-term performance of food trading companies in Serbia and, on that basis, to propose the measures for its improvement in the future. This gap is to a certain extent filled with this paper, in what we find its scientific and professional contribution.

The basic hypothesis of research in this paper is that the operating profit margin is a significant measure and determinant of the long-term performance of food trading companies. For these reasons it is necessary to investigate it more extensively on the example of food trade companies in Serbia, particularly the dynamics and factors of its size.

In this paper, we will explore the dynamics of the size of EBITDA margin of well-known global food retailers, such as Wal-Mart, Tesco and Ahold Delhaize, in order to make comparisons of the EBITDA margin with Serbian trading companies. This provides the basis for proposing adequate measures to increase the size of the EBITDA margin, as a measure of long-term performance of food trading companies in Serbia. The EBITDA margin of the analyzed leading food trading companies in Serbia (Ahold Delhaize Serbia, Mercator-S and IDEA) is lower than that of analyzed comparable food retail companies from the developed market economies.

Overall, more efficient management of the financial structure of capital, sales revenues, costs of goods sold (including operating costs, interest) and profit can significantly influence the increase in the EBITDA margin as a measure of the long-term performance of food trading companies in Serbia. This will definitely have a positive impact on the dynamics of the size and efficiency of investments, as a key factor in the performance of food trade companies in Serbia.

Interest costs are a component of operational costs of trading companies (Popovic, 2018). They are covered from the margin. Their size varies depending on the interest rate, foreign exchange rate, investment management efficiency, financial indebtedness, sales and other controlled and uncontrolled determinants ( Tao, 2019; Kenchington, 2019; Lambrinoudakis, 2019; Shamshur, 2019; Ye, 2019). This paper examines the dynamics and factors of the size of the costs of interest rates of food retail companies in Serbia for the period 2014 - 2017. The empirical results of the research show a con-

tinuous reduction of the interest costs in the last years of the analyzed period. This had a positive effect on the performance of retail companies in Serbia.

Materials and methods

For the needs of the research of the treated problems in this paper, empirical data from the Agency for Business Registers of the Republic of Serbia were used. They are completely comparable to the same type of other global food retailers 'data and, in this sense, there are almost no restrictions on the obtained research results in this paper due to the fact that we used empirical data from their publicly disclosed financial statements in this study. With the defined aim and research hypothesis, the basic methodology in this paper is the comparative analysis and application of the relevant statistical analysis. Also, to a certain extent, the historical and normative methodology was applied in researching the treated problem in this paper. The operating profit margin or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA margin) as a measure of performance has been used since the mid-1980s, especially since the 1990s in all companies, including wholesale and retail (Lukic, 11; Levy, 2019; Lekic et al., 2018; Lukic et al., 2018).

There is extensive literature written on the subject of general problem of measuring the significance of gross operating margin in financial reporting for the needs of more efficient company management (Sui, 2017). However, a number of published papers dedicated to the specificities of gross operating margin analysis in commercial enterprises (food retailers) is significantly lower (Berman, 2018; Levy, 2019; Corona, 2014; Spicka, 2016; Tan, 2016; Calva, 2017; Carstea et al, 2017; Ko et al., 2017; Hoe, 2017; Manini, 2017). This particularly applies to literature in Serbia (Lukic, 2017a, b; 2018) - as far as we know, there is no complete work that has been published so far on the issue of the importance of measuring and analyzing gross operational margin in Serbia's trade companies (food retailers).

As a measure of long-term performance of (food) retailers, the operating profit margin has its advantages and disadvantages. It is considered that during the usage of this criterion retailers are focused on the performance of fundamental business rather than on financial decision-making related to depreciation of fixed assets, interest and financial structure (lending instead of increasing equity by selling shares) (Levy, 2019). In view of this, it provides bankers, investors, creditors, fiscal authorities and others an insight into the long-term potential options for collecting their retailers' claims.

More and more financial analysts are aware of certain problems of interpreting the EBITDA margin, and in order to overcome them, the model of economic additional value (the so-called EVA model) is recommended. Nevertheless, it should also be noted that the very model of economic value addition has its own weaknesses, which primarily relate to subjective assumptions regarding the calculation of capital costs. In conclusion, it is necessary to use both models (EBITDA margin, EVA model) concurrently when assessing the long-term performance of retailers.

We are well aware of the fact that in recent years many global retailers, and what we consider quite right, also regularly report on the economic value added (for example, METRO group and others) in the context of integrated financial reporting. In this way, the problem of interpreting the EBITDA margin is partially mitigated. Due to the specifics of the nature itself, way of doing business and the applied financial management strategy, the dynamics of the size of the operating profit margin varies by individual types of trade (wholesale and retail), retail companies and countries in which they operate, retail chains (types of shops) and product categories. This is scientifically proven by the empirical analysis of EBITDA-size dynamics of retailers 'margin which has been carried out from different perspectives.

Model of calculating the EBITDA margin, it is determined in the following way: EBITDA = Revenue - Expenses (excluding interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization), i.e.

EBITDA = Net profit + Interest + Tax + Depreciation + Amortization.

From this last formula it follows that:

Net profit = EBITDA - (Interest + Tax + Depreciation + Amortization).

For illustration purposes Table 1 shows the model for calculating the EBITDA margin in the global retailer Wal-Mart. Therefore, it is consistent with the model shown above.

Table 1. Model of calculating the EBITDA margin at Wal-Mart (USD $ million)

January 31, 2018 January 31, 2017

Net income 9,862 13,643

Add: Net income attributable to noncontrolling interest Less: Income from discontinued operations, net of income tax Add: Income tax expense 661 4,600 650 6,204

Earnings before tax (EBT) 15,123 20,497

Add: Interest expense, debt, capital lease and financing obligations 2,330 2,367

Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) 17,453 22,864

Add: Depreciation and amortization 10,529 10,080

Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization(EBITDA) 27,982 32,944

Source: Retrieved from https: // www.stock-analysis-on.net (July 10,2018)

Results and discussion

The value multiplier is determined as follows:

Enterprise Value / EBITDA = (Market Value of Equity + Value of Debt-Cash) / EBITDA.

It shows how the market values the (retail) firm in accordance with the ability to generate operational profits (Enterprise value/EBITDA (EV/EBITDA). As an illustration, Table 2 shows a value multiplier on the example of a food value chain in the US.

Table 2. Food value chain value multiplier in US, January 5, 2018

EV/EBITDA

Farm/Agriculture 13.07

Food processing 13.01

Food wholesale 10.43

Retail (grocery and food) 8.40

Restaurant/Dining 12.69

Source: Enterprise Value Multiples by Sector (US), January 5, 2018, Retrieved from ,http:// pages.stem.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/vebitda.html (July 10, 2018)

Note: Enterprise Value / EBITDA = (Market Value of Equity + Value of Debt-Cash) / EBITDA.

The data in a given table show that the value multiplier is different for some members of the food value chain in the US. Thus, for example, it is significantly higher for farming/agriculture (13.07) than for retail (8.49). This is partly due to differences in the very nature of their business. In order to make in-depth analysis of the EBITDA margins in the food retail sector, Table 3 shows a value multiplier of the Wal-Mart retailer and its competitors for 2017 and 2018.

Table 3. Value multiplier,Wal-Mart (January 31, 2017 and 2018)

Wal-Mart Inc., EV / EBITDA calculation January 31, 2018 January 31, 2017 January 31, 2016 January 31, 2015 January 31, 2014 January 31, 2013

Enterprise value (EV), (USD $ million) 305,207 260,427 260,724 306,165 300,184 297,926

Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA), (USD $ million) 27,982 32,944 33,640 36,433 35,861 36,489

Ratio EV / EBITDA 10.91 7.91 7.75 8.40 8.37 8.16

Benchmarking EV / EBITDA competition

Amazon.com Inc. - 43.74 31.40 33.08 33.45 41.58

Costco Wholesale Corp. - 12.63 13.27 13.49 12.08 12.30

eBay Inc. - 14.50 8.04 8.92 12.34 12.88

Home Depot Inc. 13.46 12.90 13.23 12.90 11.11 11.74

Lowe's Cos.Inc. 11.24 11.43 12.18 12.79 10.47 9.60

Wal-Mart Inc., EV / EBITDA calculation January 31, 2018 January 31, 2017 January 31, 2016 January 31, 2015 January 31, 2014 January 31, 2013

Netflix Inc. - 18.03 11.80 10.59 8.22 9.62

Target Corp. 6.96 5.59 7.47 9.21 7.85 8.09

TJX Cos.Inc. - 11.16 11.83 11.14 10.70 9.10

EV / EBITDA, Sector

General retailers - 15.92 12.72 12.34 10.93 10.95

EV / EBITDA, Industry

Customer service - 12.26 11.49 10.91 10.77 10.30

Source: Retrieved from https: // www.stock-analysis-on.net (July 28, 2018)

The data in the given table show that the value multiplier differs between some food retailers. Thus, for example, on January 31, 2018, in Target Corp. it was 6.96 and in Wal-Mart 10.91, respectively. The Wal-Mart value multiplier is lower than the average of the sector and industry. These differences are certainly the result of the implementation of different financial management strategies (lending versus the increase in equity by selling shares). Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization differ among individual food retail companies. Table 4 illustrates the dynamics ofthe EBITDA margin of the global retailer Wal-Mart for the period 2008 - 2017.

Table 4. Dynamics of EBITDA margin of Wal-Mart, 2008 - 2017

End of period WMT

January 2008 NA

January 2009 7.3%

January 2010 7.6%

January 2011 7.9%

January 2012 7.7%

January 2013 7.7%

January 2014 7.5%

January 2015 7.5%

January 2016 7.0%

October 2016 6.8%

January 2017 6.8%

October 2017 6.6%

Source: Retrieved from https://finbox.io/WMT/explorer/ebitda_margin (July 10,2018)

Recently, the EBITDA margin has decreased in Wal-Mart compared to the previous period. Compared to some competitors it is larger and compared to others - smaller (for example, Target Corporation 9.9%) (Table J). This is, partly, the result of the very nature of the industry operations of its own, sector, company size and business operations model (i.e. the applied financial strategy of the business).

Table 5. EBITDA margin of Wal-Mart and its competitors, 2017

Company EBITDA margin

Spartan Nash Company (SPTN) -0.3%

Smart & Final Stores, Inc. (SFS) 3.1%

Kroger Company (The) (KR) 4.5%

CompanhiaBrasileira de Distribuicao (CBD) 6.1%

Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) 6.2%

Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY) 6.2%

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CVS Health Corporation (CVS) 6.6%

Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (WMT) 6.6%

Target Corporation (TGT) 9.9%

Consumer Staples (SECTOR:STPL) 12.5%

Procter & Gamble Company (The) (PG) 25.6%

#ERROR! (CNCO) NA

Source: Retrieved from https://finbox.io/WMT/explorer/ebitda_margin (July 11, 2018)

Table 6 shows the dynamics of EBITDA margin of Tesco for the period 2014 - 2018.

Table 6. EBITDA margin of Tesco, 2014 - 2018

Fiscal year March-February. All values are expressed in millions of pounds (GBP) 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014

Sales/Revenue 57,491 55,917 53,933 56,925 63,557

EBITDA 2,957 2,581 2,202 (1,733) 4,757

EBITDA growth 14.57% 17.21% 227.06% -136.43% -

EBITDA margin 5.14% - - - -

EBIT 1.663 1.284 - - 3.225

Source: Retrieved from https://quotes.wsj.com/UK/XLON/TSCO/financials/annual/income-

statement (July 11, 2018)

The data in the given table show that the share of EBITDA margin in revenues is lower in Tesco (5.14%) than in Wal-Mart (6.6%). This is partly a consequence of a different model of doing financial operations. Table 7 shows the EBITDA margin of Ahold Delhaize, which operates in Serbia as Delhaize Serbia.

Table 7. EBITDA margin of Ahold Delhaize

12/16A 12/17E 12/18E 12/19E

Revenue (€ million) 63,093 63,943 65,348 66,920

EBITDA (€ million) 4,142 4,267 4,507 4,836

EBIT (€ million) 2,420 2,386 2,638 2,923

EBIT growth (%) 7.9 (1.4) 10.6 10.8

EBITDA margin (%) 6.6 6.7 6.9 7.2

EBIT margin (%) 3.8 3.7 4.0 4.4

EV/EBITDA (x) 6.7 6.4 6.0 5.5

EV/EBIT (x) 11.4 11.4 10.3 9.2

Source: Retrieved from https://research-doc.credit-suisse.com/docView?language=ENG&for mat=PDF&sourceid=emgpm&documentJd=1077229781&serialid=7°/o2F°/o2FS9ldDW4ewM MX6A26zlMtYs6VxLxiTmpgD2zQdGM%3D (July 22, 2018)

In Ahold Delhaize, the EBITDA margin is higher than at Tesco (5.14%) and is approximately the same as with Wal-Mart (6.6%). In the future, there is an estimated growing trend. The EBITDA margin is certainly different among observed countries in which Ahold Delhaize operates. Ahold Delhaize's operating profit margin, observed by individual countries in which it operates, is significantly higher in the US and the Netherlands than in Belgium and Central and Southeastern Europe (to which the Delhaize Serbia belongs). These differences are the result of different general business conditions and applied (financial) business strategies. Table 8 shows the EBITDA margin of the Russian company X5 Retail Group for the period 2012-2016.

Table 8. Dynamics of EBITDA margin of the company X5 Retail Group, 2012-2016

EBITDA Margin (Rub bn) EBITDA margin, %

2012 35,1 7.1%

2013 38,4 7.2%

2014 46,4 7.3%

2015 59,4 7.3%

2016 79,5 7.7%

2016/2015 33.8%

Source: Q1 2017 Financial Results, X5 Retail Group, Moscow, Russian Federation 27 March 2017, Retrieved from https://www.x5.ru/en/Documents/X5-Q1-2017-Financial-results.pdf

(July 12, 2018)

The data in the given table clearly show that the EBITDA margin of the company X5 Retail Group is higher than in Wal-Mart, Tesco and Ahold Delhaize. In other words, its profitability measured by cash flows from operations (using EBITDA margin) is slightly better than the observed retail companies.

In order to make anin-depth analysis of long-term trade performance in Serbia measured by the EBITDA margin, we will show the respective margin for three significant (food retail) trade companies in Serbia for 2016 (Table 9). Based on the data presented in the given table, we can also conclude that the EBITDA margin of the leading (food) trading companies in Serbia is lower than the analyzed comparable (food retail) trade companies from the developed market economies.

Table 9. EBITDA margin of significant trade companies in Serbia, 2016

EBITDA margin, (million dinars) EBITDA margin, (% from sales)

Ahold Delhaize Serbia 3,719 4.3%

Mercator-S 3,081 2.9%

IDEA 117 3.99%

Source: Author's calculation based on data of Business Registers Agency, Belgrade.

In order to make a more complex analysis of the issues discussed in this paper, we will look at the dynamics of interest costs of Delhaize Serbia and Mercator-S. These two companies are the most important retailers in Serbia (according to the realized business revenues in 2017). Table 10 shows the dynamics of interest costs of Delhaize

Serbia and Mercator-S, and some global retail chains for the purpose of international comparisons.

Table 10. Interest costs of selected retailers in Serbia

Delhaize Serbia Mercator-S

Revenues (million dinars) Interest cost (million dinars) Interest costs (% of revenues)* Interest revenues (million dinars) Net interest costs (million dinars) Revenues (million dinars) Interest costs (million dinars) Interest costs (% revenues)* Interest revenues (million dinars) Net interest costs (million dinars)

2014 74,943 13 0.02 179 166 72,554 555 0.76 68 487

2015 77,383 11 0.01 239 228 112,229 975 0.87 83 892

2016 85,025 1 0.00 215 214 100,042 1.247 1.24 64 1,183

2017 94,884 1 0.00 410 409 90,747 1.314 1.45 12 1,302

Global retailers Interest costs (% from revenues), 2017

Wal-Mart Q4 2017 0.47

Target Q4 2017 0.92

Kroger Co. Q4 2017 0.49

Tesco 1.56

Carrefour 0.40

Ahold Delhaize 0.46

X5 Retail Group 1.16

Source: Business Registers Agency of the Republic of Serbia, CSIMarket, Retrieved from https://csimarket.com/ (December 14, 2018), and Annual Report Tesco 2017, Annual Report Carrefour 2017, Annual Report Ahold Delhaize 2017, X5 Retail Group Annual Report 2017, Retrieved from https://ar2017.x5.ru/en (December 24, 2018)

Note: *Calculation performed by the author(s)

The data in the given table show that the interest costs in Delhaize Serbia decreased in the observed period, and increased with Mercator-S from year to year. In 2017, interest costs in percentages of revenues are higher in the company Mercator-S, and lower in Delhaize Serbia in comparison to the observed global retail chains (Wal-Mart, Target, Kroger Co.).

Table 11 shows the interest coverage ratio of selected retailers in Serbia in 2017.

Table 11. Interest coverage ratio of selected retailers in Serbia, 2017

Net profit (million dinars) Interest (million dinars) Tax (million dinars) Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) (million dinars)* Interest coverage ratio (Earnings before interest and tax / Interest)*

Delhaize Serbia 4,264 1 237 4,502 4.502

Mercator-S (6,851) 1,314 144 (5,393) (4.10)

Global retailers

Wal-Mart 9.08

Target 13.74

Kroger Co. 10.99

X5 Retail Group 3.77

Source: Business Registers Agency of the Republic of Serbia, CSIMarket, Retrieved from https://csimarket.com/ (December 14, 2018) and X5 Retail Group Annual Report 2017, Retrieved from https://ar2017.x5.ru/en (December 24, 2018)

Note: *Calculation performed by the author(s)

The data in the given table show that the interest coverage ratio of selected retailers in Serbia is lower compared to the observed global retailers. This is, among other things, the result of more unfavorable general conditions of business in Serbia. In addition to the unfavorable financial structure, we need to add that there is also a lower level of implementation of modern concepts of business as well as modern technology in the retail market of Serbia.

More recently, in addition to the standard indicators, non-standard performance indicators such as operating margin (EBITDA) have been increasingly analyzed in all companies. In this way, as the results of the research in this paper on the example of global food retailers and in Serbia show, the financial performance is realized.

Due to the importance of food retailers, therefore, in the future, they should pay increasing attention to the operating margin indicator in order to improve the efficiency of financial performance management. This is especially true for food retailers in Serbia. Overall, it is recommended that food retailers in Serbia increasingly measure their performance using the operating maze indicator as presented in this paper.

Conclusions

For trade companies in Serbia, there is a tendency of reducing interest costs. This was influenced by numerous factors, among other things, by reducing the banking interest rate, a stable exchange rate and improving general business conditions.

According to the realized business income in 2017 in Serbia, the two most important retailers are Delhaize Serbia and Mercator-S. The general conclusion is that their interest coverage ratio is lower than with the global retailers such as Wal-Mart, Target and Kroger Co. This is due to the fact that there are unfavorable structures of the capital of the observed retailers in Serbia.

The EBITDA margin of the analyzed leading trading companies in Serbia (Ahold Delhaize Serbia, Mercator-S and IDEA) is lower than that of analyzed comparable retail (primarily food) trade companies from the developed market economies. Overall, more efficient management of the financial structure of capital, sales revenues, costs of goods sold (including operating costs, interest) and profit can significantly influence the increase in the EBITDA margin as a measure of the long-term performance of trading companies in Serbia. This will definitely have a positive impact on the dynamics of the size and efficiency of investments, as a key factor in the performance of trade companies in Serbia.

There is a tendency of increasing interest coverage ratio in trading companies in Serbia. It is slightly higher than a defined comparable industry standard. In view of this, the solvency of trading companies in Serbia is increasing.

Conflict of interests

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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