Научная статья на тему 'THE WEIGHTED SABUR DISTRIBUTION WITH APPLICATIONS OF LIFE TIME DATA'

THE WEIGHTED SABUR DISTRIBUTION WITH APPLICATIONS OF LIFE TIME DATA Текст научной статьи по специальности «Науки о Земле и смежные экологические науки»

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Ключевые слова
Weighted distribution / Sabur distribution / Entropy / Order statistics

Аннотация научной статьи по наукам о Земле и смежным экологическим наукам, автор научной работы — Suvarna Ranade, Aafaq A. Rather

In this paper, we propose a weighted version of Sabur distribution. The Stability of distribution are studied with structural properties, moments generating functions, likelihood ratio test, entropy measures, order statistics and Fisher’s information matrix. The new model provides flexibility to analyse complex real data. Application of model on real data sets shows that the weighted Sabur distribution is quite effective. In this paper we utilize Monte Carlo simulation to evaluate the effectiveness of estimators. We used our weighted Sabur distribution on two real data set, Anderson-Darling and Cramer-von Mises class of quadratic EDF statistics utilize to test whether a given sample of data is drawn from a weighted Sabur distribution.

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Текст научной работы на тему «THE WEIGHTED SABUR DISTRIBUTION WITH APPLICATIONS OF LIFE TIME DATA»

THE WEIGHTED SABUR DISTRIBUTION WITH APPLICATIONS OF LIFE TIME DATA

Suvarna Ranade x, Aafaq A. Rather2*

12Symbiosis Statistical Institute, Symbiosis International (Deemed University), Pune-411004, India :Dr. Vishwanath Karad MIT World Peace University, Pune [email protected], ^'Corresponding Author: [email protected]

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a weighted version of Sabur distribution. The Stability of distribution are studied with structural properties, moments generating functions, likelihood ratio test, entropy measures, order statistics and Fisher's information matrix. The new model provides flexibility to analyse complex real data. Application of model on real data sets shows that the weighted Sabur distribution is quite effective. In this paper we utilize Monte Carlo simulation to evaluate the effectiveness of estimators. We used our weighted Sabur distribution on two real data set, Anderson-Darling and Cramer-von Mises class of quadratic EDF statistics utilize to test whether a given sample of data is drawn from a weighted Sabur distribution.

Key Words: Weighted distribution, Sabur distribution, Entropy, Order statistics.

1.Introduction

The concept of weighted distribution was first utilized by Fisher 1934 [8] in study of effect on form of distribution of recorded observations because of methods of ascertainment. The same concept was demonstrated and formulated by Rao 1965 [18] on modelling statistical data. The weighted distribution reduces to length biased distribution when the weight function considers only the length of units. The concept of length biased sampling was introduced by Cox [7] and Zelen [21]. Many newly introduced distributions along with their weighted versions exist in literature whose statistical behaviour is extensively studied during decades.

In recent years, researchers have made significant advancements in the study of the Lindley distribution and have proposed various one and two-parameter distributions to model complex datasets effectively. A notable contribution was made by Ghitney et al. [12], who conducted an extensive study on the Lindley distribution. They demonstrated that the Lindley distribution outperforms the exponential distribution when applied to modelling waiting times before bank customer service. Additionally, they highlighted that the contours of the hazard rate function for the Lindley distribution show an increasing trend, while the mean residual life function is a decreasing function of the random variable. Many authors modify the Lindley distribution by introducing new parameters and evaluating performance of these extended distribution with various dataset.

In this paper, we introduce a new distribution with three parameter, namely as weighted Sabur distribution with the hope that it provides more flexibility in various applications of Reliability, Survival Analysis, Biology etc.

2. Weighted Sabur Distribution 2.1 Density and Cumulative Density functions

The probability density function (pdf) of the Sabur distribution with two parameters a and ( is defined as

f(x,a,B) =—+ B + ^x2)e-Px x > 0, a,B >0 (1)

Suppose X is a non-negative random variable with pdf f(x). Let w(x) be the non-negative weight function, then the pdf of the weighted random variable Xw is given by

f (x) = w(x)f(x) x>0 Jw(X) E(w(x)),X>0

Where w(x) is a non-negative weight function and

E(w(x)) = J w(x)f(x) dx

.In this paper, we will consider the weight function was w(x) = xc, and using the definition of weighted distribution, the pdf of the weighted Sabur distribution is given as

xcf(x)

Expected value is defined as

E(xc) — I xcf(x) dx

= I

0

W-^fêrc + l+Jffl (3)

Substituting equation (1) and (3) in equation (2) we obtain the density function of weighted Sabur distribution as follows

2pc+2xc(a+p+£x2)e-Px fw(x,a,P)= 2p(a+pxrc+i) + (rc+3) (4)

and the cumulative density function (cdf) of weighted Sabur distribution is obtained by

Fw(x) - J* fw(x)dx

JfX

—r-: p 2 '-dx (5)

2P(a+P)(rc+l) + (rc+3) v J

0

After simplification, the cdf of the weighted Sabur distribution is given by

p. / N _ 2P(a+P)Y(c+l,Px)+Y(c+3,Px) , -

w( ) 2P(a+P)(rc+l) + (rc+3) ( )

Fig.1 and Fig. 2 visually illustrates the pdf and cdf of Weighted Sabur Distribution.

|- a = 3.5,p = 1 5,c = 0.2 □ a = 3.5,p= 1,5,c = 0.3 □ a = 3.5,p= 1,5,c = 0.4 n- a = 3.5,p= 1,5,c = 0.6 |- a = 3.5,ß = 1 5,c = 0.8

Fig. 1: pdf plot of Weighted Sabur distribution Fig. 2: pdf plot of Weighted Sabur distribution 2.2 Survival, Hazard and Reversed Hazard Functions

In this section we discuss about the survival function, hazard and reverse hazard functions of the weighted Sabur distributions. The survival function or the reliability function of weighted Sabur distribution is given by

S(x) = 1 - Fw(x)

S(x) = 1- (

2ß(a+ß)y(c+1,ßx)+y(c+3,ßx)> 2ß(a+ß)(rc+1) + (rc+3) )

(7)

The hazard function is also known as the hazard rate function, instantaneous failure rate or force of mortality and is given for the weighted Sabur distribution as

ur fw(x)

h(X) = iM

2pC+2xc(a+p+lx2)e-Px 2fi(a+p)(rc+i) + (rc+3) ' ( 20(a+p)(rc+i) + (rc+3) )

h(x) =

(8)

h(x) =

2ßc+2xc(a+ß+^x2)e-Px

(2ß(a+ß)(rc+1) + (rc+3))- (2ß(a+ß)y(c+1,ßx)+y(c+3,ßx))

(9)

The reverse hazard function of the weighted Sabur distribution is given by

hr(X) Fw(x)

2pc+2xc(a+p+£x2)e-Px hJx) =---2—--

rv 7 2P(a+P)y(c+l,Px)+y(c+3,Px)

Fig. 3 and Fig. 4 depicts the graphical survival function and Hazard function plot of Weighted Sabur distribution.

Fig. 3: Plots of Survival function

Fig. 4: Plots of hazard rate function

3. Structural properties

In this section we investigate various structural properties of the weighted Sabur distribution. Let X denote the random variable of weighted Sabur distribution with parameters a, ( and c, then its r th order moment about origin is given by

ro

E(xr) = = j xrfw(x) dx

W V

0

E(xr) = J xr2^-y p 2 )-dx (U~)

v J J0 2fi(a+p)(rc+l) + (rc+3) y J

After simplifying the expression, we get

( ) pr[2fi(a+p)(rc+1) + (rc+3)] ( )

Putting r = 1, we get the expected value of weighted Sabur distribution as follows

Er -K = [2ß(a+ß)(rc+2)+(Yc+4)] - .

( ) ß[2ß(a+ß)(rc+l) + (rc+3)] ( 3

Put r = 2, we obtained second moment as

E(x2\= [2ß(a+ß)(rc+3)+(Tc+5)] ( 3 ß2[2ß(a+ß)(rc+l) + (rc+3)] ( 4

The variance of Weighted Sabur distribution is calculated as

V(x) = E(x2)-[E(x)]2

y(x\ = 2[ß(a+ß)(rc+3)+(Tc+5)] T [2ß(a+ß)(rc+2)+(Tc+4)] I2 ( 3 ß2[2ß(a+ß)(rc+l) + (rc+3)] Lß[2ß(a+ßXrc+l) + (rc+3)]J ( 5

3.1 Harmonic mean

The harmonic mean of the weighted Sabur distribution of random variable x can be written as

h=eQ= j^f-(x)dx 0

, P.,

f°1 2pc+2xc(a+p+—x2 )e-Px

H=\ ---( p 2 )-dx (16)

I x 2B(a+B)(rc+1) + (rc+3) v J

J0

After simplification we get

_ p[2 P(a+P)rc+rc+2]

2 P(a+P)rc+l+rc+3 ( 7

3.2 Moment generating function and characteristic function

Let X have a weighted Sabur distribution, then the Moment generating function of X is obtained as

Using Tayler's series, we obtain

Mx(t) = E(etx) = fQ etxfw(x)dx

C00 2

Mx(t) = E(etx) = J (l + tx+(^)-+..)fw(x)dx (18)

Mx(t)=\ y -xlfw(x)dx (19)

ti

t-E(xJ)dx

j=o

Mx

Mx(t) = y° 2[e(«+e)(n+c+i)+(ri+c+3)] (20)

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¿-ij=0J! 0J[2P(a+P)(rc+1) + (rc+3)] v J

Similarly, the characteristic function of weighted Sabur distribution of random variable X can obtain as

(it)j 2[p(a+P)(rj+c+1) + (V] + c+3)

jj=0

4. Likelihood Ratio Test

<Px(t) = Mx(it) = y (jni2[P("+P)(n+c+1)+(Ti+c+3)] (21)

X\ J X\ J j■ pl[2p(a+p)(rc+1) + (rc+3)] V J

Let X1, X2, X3.. ..be a random sample from the weighted Sabur distribution, we use the hypothesis

H0 ■ fix) =fix\a,p) against H1: f(x) = fwix\a,p,c) In order to test whether the random sample of size n comes from the Sabur distribution or weighted Sabur distribution, we will use following statistics

A=hi = nn f*>(*-«-№ (22)

Lo I li=1 f(x;a,P) y J

A = nn_ x c 2PC(aW2 + 1) ^

iii = 1 i 2P(a+P)rc+1+rc+3 ^ J

A = An n7i=1 xic where

_ 2fic(aP+fi2 + 1) - .

2P(a+P)rc+1 +rc+3 ( '

We reject the null hypothesis, if

A=An nt=1xic >k A* = Uf^xf >kAn

For large sample size n, 2log A is distributed as chi square distribution with one degree of freedom and also p-value is obtained from the chi-square distribution. Thus, we reject the null hypothesis, when the probability value is given by

P(A* > a*)

Where a* is less than a specified level of significance and n"i=1 xi° is the observed value of the statistics 4*.

eQ)-^log( I (--\ 2 j-) dxi (25)

)

5. Entropy Measures

The concept of entropy is important in different areas such as probability and statistics, physics, communication theory and economics. Entropy measures quantify the diversity, uncertainty or randomness of a system. Entropy of a random variable X is measure of variation of the uncertainty.

5.1 Renyi Entropy

It was proposed by Renyi (1957). The Renyi entropy of order % for a random variable X is given by e(0 = -^log(J" f^(x) dx) where f > 0 and 1

, / f" (2p<*2xc(a+p+&*2yi»\f

l-t g\J (2P(a+P)(rc+1) + (rc+3)) After simplifying the equation, we get

-ik'°g(u+;::+rJn o *+^ &(26)

5.2 Tsallis Entropy

A generalization of Boltzmann-Gibbs(B-G) statistical mechanics initiated by Tsallis has focussed a great deal to attention. This generalization of B-G statistics was proposed firstly by introducing the mathematical expression of Tsallis entropy (Tsallis, 1988) for a continuous random variable. Tsallis entropy of order A of the weighted Sabur distribution is given by

sA=j^(l-Jo"fÀ(x)dx) (27)

SÀ=^(l- J" dx | (28)

A A-ll I \2P(a+P)(rc+1) + (rc+3) I 1 v J

After simplifying the expression, we get

(l _ ( 2^+2 ^V" (A\ ( R)X-i (P_\ r(cA+2i+1)

V1 \2P(a+P)Tc+1+Tc+3j ) ^i=0\i)(U+P) \2/ pX^+2+

6. Order Statistics

(29)

Let X(1), X(2), X(3)......X(n) be the order statistics of a random sample X1,X2,X3...Xn drawn from the

continuous population with pdf fx(x) and cdf Fx(x) then the pdf of r th order statistic X (r) is given by

Mx) =^^fx(x№(x)]r-1[1 - Fx(x)]n-r (30)

Substituting equation (4) and (5) in equation (6), the pdf of order statistics X(r) of the weighted Sabur distribution is given by

2pc+2xc (a + p + ^x2)e-^x

fx(r)(x)

(r - 1)! (n - r)!\ 2fi(a + p)(rc + 1) + (re + 3)

r-1

(2p(a + P)y(c + l.px) + y(c + 3,px) X ( 2p(a + P)(rc + 1) + (rc + 3)

/ (2p(a + P)Y(c + 1,Px) + Y(c + 3,px)\ n-r

( ( 2p(a+p)(fc + 1) + (fc + 3) 11 ( )

Therefore, the pdf of the higher order statistics X(n) can be obtained as

/ 2pc+2xc(a+p+£x2)e-Px\ ^2Pia+P)Yic+1,px)+Yic+3,px)\n-1 Jxiji^ ) \2(3ia+(3)irc+1) + irc+3)) ( 2^ia+^)(rc+1) + (rc+3) ) ( )

And the pdf of the first order statistics X(i) can be obtained as

(y)_7i( xia+P+i^y^^ f (2i3ia+i3)Yic+1,i3x)+Yic+3,i3x)\\ -f*i1)(X> = n ({E+^)r(c+1)+±.r(c+3))X(1- ( 2^X^+1) + irc+3) )) (33

7. Income Distribution Curve

The Bonferroni and the Lorenz curves are not only used in economics in order to study the income and poverty, but it is also being used in other fields like reliability, medicine and demography. The Bonferroni and Lorenz curves are given by

B(p) = —(H x f(x)dx and

q

Lip) = PB(p) =— J xfix)dx №1 J

(34)

Here, we define the first raw moments as

' _ [2P(a+P)rc+2+rc+4] № 1 = p[2P(a+P)rc+1+rc+3]

And q = F 1 (p), Then we have

_ 2P(a+P)y(c+2,Bq)+y(c+4,Bq) , .

iP) p(2P(a+P)r(c+2)+r(c+4)) ( J

_ 2P(a+P)y(c+2,Bq)+y(c+4,Bq) , -

iP) (2P(a+P)r(c+2) +r(c+4)) ( '

8. Estimation

We will discuss the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) of the parameters of the weighted Sabur distribution. Consider X1,X2,X3..., Xn be the random sample of size n from the weighted Sabur distribution, then the likelihood function is given by

L(x; a,B,c = 1) = Vu=1Xi , y/2l)--(37)

v r J i1^1 1 2P(a+P)(rc+1) + (rc+3) v J

The loglikelihood function is obtained as

Log L = nlog2 + n(c + 2)logfi - nlog(2Pia + fi)Fc + 1 + Fc + 3) + clog^x^ + £logia + p-^*?) -

2 (39)

The MLEs of a, p, c can be obtained by differentiating Log L with respect to a, p, c and must satisfy the normal equation.

i

dloaL_ n{c+2) -U-2U+ £Xi= 0 (40)

dP ß ß ß a+p+^x?

dlog L n

da

dlog L

+ a+ß+^Xi2

= 0 (41)

de

= nlogß - nlogW(2ß(a + ß)Fc + 1 + Fc + 3) + log'£xi = 0 (42)

Where V(.) is the digamma function. Because of the complicated form of the above likelihood equations, algebraically it is very difficult to solve the system of nonlinear equations. Therefore, we use R and Wolfram Mathematica for estimating the required parameters. To obtain confidence interval we use the asymptotic normality results. We have that, if A = (a, ¡3, c) denotes the MLE of A = (a, p, c) we can state the results as follows

(A - A) ^N3(0,I-1(A))

Where I(A) is Fisher's Information matrix given by

(d2logl>

1(A) =

Here we define

I Kdßda)

W—)

\ V деда J

( dadß ) d2logl>

E

E

(d2logl\

( dß2 )

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2

E(Çf)

д ад

Е(д2о£\

( dßdc )

д ß д ß д ( dedß ) ( дс2 ) )

d2logL dß2 ' d2logL да2

(cn-n) (l+2zxi2) ß2 - (a+ß+fet2)2

n 1

a2 (a+ß+^xt2)2

д2logL дс2

= -nW{(2ß(a + ß)rc + 1 + Гс + 3))

(43)

(44)

(45)

(46)

д2logL дcдß

d2logL деда

= -nW((2ß(a + ß)rc + 1+ГС + 3))

Ж

д2logL _

дßда = - (a+ß+^Zxi2)2

(47)

(48)

where V' (.) is the first order derivative of digamma function. Since A being unknown, we estimate I-1(A) by I-1(A) and this can be used to obtain asymptotic confidence intervals for a, p, c.

9. Simulation

2

Simulations offer a comprehensive and flexible approach to comprehending the behaviour of maximum likelihood estimators across diverse sample sizes. This understanding serves as a valuable guide for enhanced decision-making, risk mitigation, and the enhancement of reliability and efficiency in statistical analysis within various domains, including finance, healthcare, and engineering. By utilizing simulations, we gain the ability to anticipate the behaviour of maximum likelihood estimators across a broad spectrum of sample sizes, even those challenging to attain in practical scenarios. This predictive capability aids in grasping how the bias, variance, and efficiency of the estimator evolve with fluctuations in sample size. Simulations play a crucial role in identifying the optimal sample size for the application of maximum likelihood estimators. Our investigation has delved into the performance of ML estimators across different sample sizes, namely n=25, 50, 75, 100, 200, and 300.

The inverse cumulative distribution function (cdf) technique was utilized for data simulation using the R-software, and this process was iterated 700 times to compute bias, variance, and mean squared error (MSE). Analysis of Table 1 reveals a consistent trend across various parameter values and sample sizes of the Weighted Sabur distribution, indicating a decrease in variance, bias, and MSE as the sample size increases. The diminishing bias suggests that Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimation approaches the true parameter values with an expanding sample size. Simultaneously, the declining

variance indicates that the estimators exhibit increased precision and stability with larger sample sizes, displaying reduced variability across repeated simulations.

Table 1: Estimation of Bias, Variance and MSE for different sample sizes

n P = 1 a = 1.5 C=2

Bias Variance MSE Bias Var. MSE Bias Var. MSE

20 1.288 0.54226 2.20300 -1.4594 0.01567 2.1456 4.01555 11.02994 27.15457

30 1.452 0.36401 2.47277 -1.4999 0 2.2470 5.12954 7.216834 33.52903

50 1.520 0.21295 2.52622 -1.4999 0 2.2470 5.48211 5.147884 35.20144

75 1.400 0.08699 2.04928 -1.4999 0 2.2470 4.84093 0.868977 24.30359

100 1.626 0.19394 2.83889 -1.4999 0 2.2470 5.64059 4.11263 35.92895

200 1.458 0.11823 2.24448 -1.499 0 2.2470 5.08705 2.425165 28.30325

300 1.436 0.02933 2.09309 -1.499 0 2.2470 5.18147 0.397811 27.24549

P = 1 a = 2 C=1.2

Bias Variance MSE Bias Var. MSE Bias Var. MSE

20 1.775 1.155957 3.91724 -1.999 0 3.9960 3.91724 7.448396 22.79317

30 1.041 0.081519 1.16448 -1.9999 0 3.9603 3.67425 6.102347 19.60251

50 1.216 0.132173 1.61203 -1.9999 0 3.9960 2.96087 1.464504 10.23129

75 1.271 0.16421 1.78079 -1.999 0 3.9960 2.65069 1.099146 8.12533

100 1.229 0.102218 1.61407 -1.999 0 3.9960 2.68728 0.816670 8.038174

200 1.079 0.073882 1.23887 -1.9999 0 3.9960 2.24187 0.459616 5.485583

300 1.046 0.018731 1.11406 -1.9999 0 3.9960 2.30047 0.149156 5.441353

P = 1 a = 1.5 C=0.9

Bias Variance MSE Bias Var. MSE Bias Var. MSE

20 1.279 0.360584 1.99845 -1.999 0 3.9960 2.6694 3.71722 10.84287

30 1.161 0.211514 1.56024 -1.9999 0 3.9603 2.1697 1.086474 5.794367

50 1.199 0.202216 1.64052 -1.9999 0 3.9960 2.3040 1.318587 6.627044

80 1.139 0.170998 1.47002 -1.999 0 3.9960 2.0790 1.098943 5.421277

100 1.014 0.157921 1.18775 -1.999 0 3.9960 1.6903 0.799668 3.656934

200 0.976 0.094923 1.04934 -1.9999 0 3.9960 1.6897 0.579610 3.434744

300 0.918 0.025004 0.8694 -1.9999 0 3.9960 1.5269 0.128867 2.460371

P= 1.5 a= 0.5 C=0.8

Bias Variance MSE Bias Var. MSE Bias Varianc e MSE

20 1.631 0.73142 3.3928 -0.499 0 0.2490 2.1509 2.752424 7.379041

30 1.413 0.61655 2.6138 -0.499 0 0.2490 1.7945 1.282839 4.503185

50 1.173 0.19589 1.5725 -0.499 0 0.2490 1.5009 0.681053 2.933925

75 1.516 0.26232 2.5634 -0.499 0 0.2490 1.9730 0.482302 4.375146

100 1.354 0.14775 1.9834 -0.499 0 0.2490 1.5451 0.351610 2.738881

200 1.210 0.05982 1.5258 -0.499 0 0.2490 1.4653 0.141682 2.288914

300 1.177 0.03884 1.4216 -0.499 0 0.2490 1.4216 0.101695 2.122741

9. Application

In this section we consider survival period data of 45 patients treated with chemotherapy only were made by Bekker et al.4 and Fulment et al.10. The data set are:

0.047, 0.115, 0.121, 0.132, 0.164, 0.197, 0.203, 0.260, 0.282, 0.296, 0.334, 0.395, 0.458, 0.466, 0.501, 0.507, 0.529, 0.534, 0.540, 0.641, 0.644, 0.696, 0.841, 0.863, 1.099, 1.219, 1.271, 1.326, 1.447, 1.485, 1.553, 1.581, 1.589, 2.178, 2.343, 2.416, 2.444, 2.825, 2.830, 3.578, 3.658, 3.743, 3.978, 4.003, 4.033. The second data set represents the failure time of 50 items 13

0.12, 0.43, 0.92, 1.14, 1.24, 1.61, 1.93, 2.38, 4.51, 5.09, 6.79, 7.64, 8.45, 11.9, 11.94, 13.01, 13.25, 14.32, 17.47, 18.1, 18.66, 19.23, 24.39, 25.01, 26.41, 26.8, 27.75, 29.69, 29.84, 31.65, 32.64, 35, 40.7, 42.34, 43.05, 43.4, 44.36, 45.4, 48.14, 49.1, 49.44, 51.17, 58.62, 60.29, 72.13, 72.22, 72.25, 72.29, 85.2, 89.52.

In order to compare the weighted Sabur distribution with the Erlang Truncated Exponential distribution, Exponential distribution, Power Lindley distribution, we consider the criteria like Bayesian information criterion (BIC), Akaike Information criterion (AIC), Akaike Information Criterion Corrected (AICC) and -2logL. The distribution having lower values of BIC, AIC, AICC and -2log L can be consider better. Along with this we calculate goodness of (GoF) metrics statistic Schwarz Information (SIC), Hannan-Quinn Information (HQIC) criteria, we also assess the Anderson-Darling (A*), Cramer-Von Mises (W*), Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) statistic and associated P-value (PV). Table 2 and Table 3 represents parameter estimation of data set 1 and set 2 with GoF metrics. Figure 5 and Figure 6 shows the diagrammatic representation of density curve of data set 1 and data set 2. Figure 7 and Figure 8 shows the QQ plot of weighted Sabur distribution of data set 1 and data set 2.

2k(k + 1)

AIC = 2k - 2logL, BIC = klogn - 2logL,AICC = AIC + (jl_k_ ^

Table 2 : Parameter estimation and goodness of fit test statistics for survival data set 1

Distributions and estimations Weighted Sabur distribution Erlang Truncated Exp distribution Power Lindley Distribution Exponential Distribution

MLE <2=0.00100 ¡3=2.09088 C=0.66942 p = 1.140789 0= 1.059767 p = 0.9465414 0=1.135077 0= 0.7454655

SE a=NaN ¡3=0.278 C=0.276 P=70.36128 0= 116.3132 p = 0.107625 0=0.146510 0=0.111127

-2log L 96.2613 116.437 116.805 116.437

AIC 107.681 120.4372 120.8056 118.4372

BIC 107.681 124.0506 124.4189 120.2439

AICC 108.26666 120.72291 118.72291 120.89862

SIC 107.681 124.7229 124.4189 124.0506

HQIC 104.282 121.7842 122.1526 121.7842

A* 2.507 0.44535 0.56555 0.44535

W* 0.255 0.05897 0.08453 0.05897

K-S 0.255 0.09083 0.11044 0.16968

(0.819) (0.603) (0.1332)

Table 3: Parameter estimation and goodness of fit test statistics for failure data set 2

Distributions and estimations Weighted Sabur distribution Erlang Truncated Exp distribution Power Lindley Distribution Exponential Distribution

MLE a=6.997702e+04 P=.00332 C=.001 P= 0.1437169 9= 0.2621020 P = 0.72807201 9=0.07252873 9= 0.033142

SE a=1.186329e+04 P=.0074 C=.0176 P = 1.9452922 9= 4.0561881 9=0.16807702 9=0.04478477 9=0.004683

-2log L 440.7604 440.7133 442.1001 440.7133

AIC 446.7604 444.7133 446.1001 442.7133

BIC 452.4965 448.5374 449.9242 444.6253

AICC 447.28214 444.96861 446.35542 446.35541

SIC 452.4965 448.5374 449.9242 448.5374

HQIC 448.9448 446.1695 447.5563 446.1695

A* 0.8861 0.8852 0.9367 169

W* 0.11426 0.13171 0.13959 8.571

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K-S 0.11426 0.11434 0.13959 0.6958

(0.495) (0.4947) (0.4631) (8.882e-16)

0 12 3 4

Fig. 5: Fitting density curves of data set 1

Fig. 6: Fitting density curves of data set 2

0,0

Fig. 7: Custom cdf values for data set 1

Fig.8 : Custom cdf values for data set 2

10. Conclusion

This paper introduces the weighted Sabur distribution with three parameters, a novel extension of the Sabur distribution, and explores its comprehensive statistical properties. The model parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood estimation, incorporating a weighted approach to enhance precision. The analysis encompasses various mathematical aspects and reliability measures, including the hazard rate function, to evaluate the distribution's performance as a lifetime model. Additionally, we benchmark the weighted Sabur distribution against other established distributions such as the exponential, power Lindley, and Erlang truncated exponential, using two sets of real-world data for validation. This comparative analysis confirms the potential of the weighted Sabur distribution as a robust and versatile model for lifetime data analysis.

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