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' Dany Bahar, Diversification or specialization: What is the path to growth and development?, November 2016, https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/global-20161104-diversification.pdf
2 https://unctadstat.unctad.org/wds/TableViewer/tableView.aspx
3 H. Carlos de Oliveira, E. Jegu, V. Eliane Santos, Dynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013, 2018, https://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttex-t&pid=S0104-06182020000100029&tlng=en
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https://knoema.com/infographics/lujqesc/export-concentration-index-a-measure-of-economic-vulnerability
Broadman Harry G., From Disintegration to Reintegration: Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union in International Trade. Washington, DC: World Bank, 2005.
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1. Broadman Harry G., From Disintegration to Reintegration: Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union in International Trade. Washington, DC: World Bank. 2005.
2. Dany Bahar,"Diversification or specialization: What is the path to growth and development?", November 2016, https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/up-loads/2016/11/global-20161104-diversification.pdf
3.
4.
5.
6.
H. Carlos de Oliveira, E. Jegu, V. Eliane Santos, Dynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013, 2018.
https://knoema.com/infographics/lujqesc/ex-
port-concentration-index-a-measure-of-econom-
ic-vulnerability
https://unctadstat.unctad.org
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Шушан МОВСИСЯН
Эксперт исследовательского центра «Амберд», АГЭУ
АРМЕНИЯ И МИР
СТРУКТУРНЫЕ РИСКИ ЭКСПОРТА РА
Традиционные теории международной торговли утверждают, что в условиях открытой экономики страны будут специализироваться в производстве товаров, по которым они имеют сравнительные преимущества. Эмпирические исследования, однако, показывают, что чем выше уровень развития страны, тем выше степень диверсификации экспорта. Основной аргумент в пользу диверсификации заключается в том, что последний снижает уязвимость к внешним шокам и нестабильность доходов от экспорта.
Хотя за последние двадцать лет экспорт РА показал тенденцию к снижению концентрации, тем не менее, он остается высоко сконцентрированным на экспорте сырьевых товаров.
Ключевые слова: экспорт, диверсификация, специализация, индекс Херфиндаля - Хиршмана
Shushan MOVSISYAN
Expert at "Amberd" Research Center, ASUE
ARMENIA AND WORLD
STRUCTURAL RISKS OF EXPORT OF THE RA
Early theories of international trade state that, in open economy, countries will specialize in production of goods, in which they have comparative advantage. Yet, empirical analyses show that countries with higher level of development have greater export diversification. The main argument for the importance of diversification is that it reduces country's vulnerability to external shocks and volatility of export earnings.
Although over the past few years RA export demonstrated decline in terms of concentration, it remains highly concentrated in the sector of primary commodities.
Keywords: export, diversification, specialization, Herfindahl-Hirschman index
