Научная статья на тему 'The accuracy of predicting eye and hair pigmentation based on genetic markers in Russian populations'

The accuracy of predicting eye and hair pigmentation based on genetic markers in Russian populations Текст научной статьи по специальности «Сельское хозяйство, лесное хозяйство, рыбное хозяйство»

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Ключевые слова
eye color / hair color / genetic markers / prediction / gene pool / indigenous people / HIrisPlex-S / цвет глаз / цвет волос / генетические маркеры / предикция / генофонд / коренное население / HIrisPlex-S

Аннотация научной статьи по сельскому хозяйству, лесному хозяйству, рыбному хозяйству, автор научной работы — Balanovsky O. P., Petrushenko V. S., Gorin Io., Kagazezheva Zh. A., Markina N. V.

Prediction of eye and hair color from DNA is being increasingly employed in forensic medicine and the studies of ancient populations. HIrisPlex-S is a prediction tool that was developed using the data collected from Dutch donors and verified for some other European populations. The accuracy of its predictions for other world populations has not been studied yet. Unlike the majority of other world populations, Russian populations are characterized not only by dark but also by light color eyes and hair and therefore pose a special interest in this respect. The aim of this work was to determine the accuracy of eye and hair color predictions for Russian populations. We studied 144 representatives of indigenous populations of Russia (Avars, Aleuts, Buryats, Itelmens, Karelians, Koryaks, Maris, Nanais, Russians, Rutulians, Chuvashes, Chukchi, Evenks, and Evens). Anthropological photos were taken of all individuals. Based on the photos, the anthropologists identified eye and hair color phenotypes. SNP-markers were genotyped using the HIrisPlex panel. Based on the genotypes, the phenotypes were predicted and subsequently compared to the actual phenotypes. We obtained a series of HIrisPlex accuracy indicators for the populations inhabiting the European part of Russia and Siberia. On the whole, prediction accuracy was satisfactory, although a bit lower than for West European populations. Further research could look for additional markers increasing the accuracy of predictions for Russian populations.

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Похожие темы научных работ по сельскому хозяйству, лесному хозяйству, рыбному хозяйству , автор научной работы — Balanovsky O. P., Petrushenko V. S., Gorin Io., Kagazezheva Zh. A., Markina N. V.

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ТОЧНОСТЬ ПРЕДИКЦИИ ПИГМЕНТАЦИИ ВОЛОС И ГЛАЗ ПО ГЕНЕТИЧЕСКИМ МАРКЕРАМ ДЛЯ ПОПУЛЯЦИЙ РОССИИ

Предикция цвета глаз и волос по генотипу становится распространенным инструментом в судебно-медицинской экспертизе и в исследованиях древних популяций. Для этого широко используется панель HIrisPlex-S, разработанная на выборке голландцев и верифицированная для некоторых других популяций Западной Европы. Однако точность ее предсказаний для представителей других регионов мира не изучена. Особый интерес представляют популяции России, в которых (в отличие от большинства других популяций мира) присутствуют не только темные, но и светлые оттенки цвета волос и глаз. Целью работы было определить точность предикции цвета глаз и волос для популяций России. Мы изучили 144 представителя коренного населения России (аварцев, алеутов, бурят, ительменов, карел, коряков, марийцев, нанайцев, русских, рутульцев, чувашей, чукчей, эвенков, эвенов). Для всех индивидов были сделаны антропологические фотографии. На основании фотографий эксперты-антропологи проводили определение цвета глаз и волос. Для тех же индивидов проводили генотипирование SNP-маркеров панели HIrisPlex. На основании генотипов предсказывали фенотипы и предсказанные фенотипы сопоставляли с реальными. Получена серия показателей точности HIrisPlex для популяций Европейской части России и Сибири. В целом точность оказалась удовлетворительной, хотя и несколько сниженной по сравнению с точностью для популяций Западной Европы. В будущих исследованиях возможно провести поиск дополнительных маркеров, повышающих точность предикции для популяций России.

Текст научной работы на тему «The accuracy of predicting eye and hair pigmentation based on genetic markers in Russian populations»

THE ACCURACY OF PREDICTING EYE AND HAIR PIGMENTATION BASED ON GENETIC MARKERS IN RUSSIAN POPULATIONS

Balanovsky OP12'3, Petrushenko VS1-2-4, Gorin IO1'2'4, Kagazezheva ZhA1,2, Markina NV2, Kostryukova ES5, Leybova NA6, Maurer AM7, Balanovska EV1-3 ^

1 Research Centre for Medical Genetics, Moscow, Russia

2 Vavilov Institute of General Genetics, Moscow, Russia

3 Biobank of North Eurasia, Moscow, Russia

4 Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology, Moscow, Russia

5 Federal Research and Clinical Center of Physical-Chemical Medicine, Moscow, Russia

6 Institute of Anthropology and Ethnography, Moscow, Russia

7 Anuchin Research Institute and Museum of Anthropology, Moscow, Russia

Prediction of eye and hair color from DNA is being increasingly employed in forensic medicine and the studies of ancient populations. HIrisPlex-S is a prediction tool that was developed using the data collected from Dutch donors and verified for some other European populations. The accuracy of its predictions for other world populations has not been studied yet. Unlike the majority of other world populations, Russian populations are characterized not only by dark but also by light color eyes and hair and therefore pose a special interest in this respect. The aim of this work was to determine the accuracy of eye and hair color predictions for Russian populations. We studied 144 representatives of indigenous populations of Russia (Avars, Aleuts, Buryats, Itelmens, Karelians, Koryaks, Maris, Nanais, Russians, Rutulians, Chuvashes, Chukchi, Evenks, and Evens). Anthropological photos were taken of all individuals. Based on the photos, the anthropologists identified eye and hair color phenotypes. SNP-markers were genotyped using the HIrisPlex panel. Based on the genotypes, the phenotypes were predicted and subsequently compared to the actual phenotypes. We obtained a series of HIrisPlex accuracy indicators for the populations inhabiting the European part of Russia and Siberia. On the whole, prediction accuracy was satisfactory, although a bit lower than for West European populations. Further research could look for additional markers increasing the accuracy of predictions for Russian populations.

Keywords: eye color, hair color, genetic markers, prediction, gene pool, indigenous people, HIrisPlex-S

Funding: the study was supported by the Ministry of Science and Education of the Russian Federation (State contract 011-17 dated 26.09.2017) as part of the Union State Research and Technical Project DNA-based identification, which included genotyping and phenotyping of European samples and preparation of this manuscript, and the State assignment of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation for the Research Centre for Medical Genetics (phenotyping of Siberian samples, creating a database, data analysis).

Acknowledgements: we thank all donors participating in our study. DNA samples and anthropological images were provided by the Biobank of North Eurasia.

Author contribution: Balanovska EV — supervision and study design; Petrushenko VS, Gorin IO — bioinformatic analysis, literature analysis, manuscript preparation; Maurer AM, Leybova NA — phenotyping of the samples; Kagazezheva ZhA — phenotyping of the samples, photography, photo processing, tabular data processing; Balanovsky OP Markina NV — manuscript preparation; Kostryukova ES — genotyping.

Compliance with ethical standards: the study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Research Centre for Medical Genetics (Protocol No 3/1 dated September 5, 2018). The samples used in this work were obtained from a population genetic study. Informed consent was obtained from all study participants. Correspondence should be addressed: Elena V Balanovska

Moskvorechie, 1, Research Centre for Medical Genetics, Moscow, 115522; balanovska@mail.ru Received: 22.10.2019 Accepted: 26.10.2019 Published online: 28.10.2019 DOI: 10.24075/brsmu.2019.069

ТОЧНОСТЬ ПРЕДИКЦИИ ПИГМЕНТАЦИИ ВОЛОС И ГЛАЗ ПО ГЕНЕТИЧЕСКИМ МАРКЕРАМ ДЛЯ ПОПУЛЯЦИЙ РОССИИ

О. П. Балановский1,2,3, В. С. Петрушенко1,2,4, И. О. Горин1,2,4, Ж. А. Кагазежева1,2, Н. В. Маркина2, Е. С Кострюкова5, Н. А. Лейбова6, А. М. Маурер7, Е. В. Балановская1,3 и

1 Медико-генетический научный центр, Москва, Россия

2 Институт общей генетики имени Н. И. Вавилова Российской академии наук, Москва, Россия

3 Биобанк Северной Евразии, Москва, Россия

4 Московский физико-технический институт (Научно-исследовательский университет), Москва, Россия

5 Федеральный научно-клинический центр физико-химической медицины, Москва, Россия

6 Институт этнологии и антропологии Российской академии наук, Москва, Россия

7 Научно-исследовательский институт и музей антропологии имени Д. Н. Анучина, Москва, Россия

Предикция цвета глаз и волос по генотипу становится распространенным инструментом в судебно-медицинской экспертизе и в исследованиях древних популяций. Для этого широко используется панель HIrisPlex-S, разработанная на выборке голландцев и верифицированная для некоторых других популяций Западной Европы. Однако точность ее предсказаний для представителей других регионов мира не изучена. Особый интерес представляют популяции России, в которых (в отличие от большинства других популяций мира) присутствуют не только темные, но и светлые оттенки цвета волос и глаз. Целью работы было определить точность предикции цвета глаз и волос для популяций России. Мы изучили 144 представителя коренного населения России (аварцев, алеутов, бурят, ительменов, карел, коряков, марийцев, нанайцев, русских, рутульцев, чувашей, чукчей, эвенков, эвенов). Для всех индивидов были сделаны антропологические фотографии. На основании фотографий эксперты-антропологи проводили определение цвета глаз и волос. Для тех же индивидов проводили генотипирование SNP-маркеров панели HIrisPlex. На основании генотипов предсказывали фенотипы и предсказанные фенотипы сопоставляли с реальными. Получена серия показателей точности HIrisPlex для популяций Европейской части России и Сибири. В целом точность оказалась удовлетворительной, хотя и несколько сниженной по сравнению с точностью для популяций Западной Европы. В будущих исследованиях возможно провести поиск дополнительных маркеров, повышающих точность предикции для популяций России. Ключевые слова: цвет глаз, цвет волос, генетические маркеры, предикция, генофонд, коренное население, HIrisPlex-S

Финансирование: исследование выполнено при финансовой поддержке Министерства науки и образования РФ (Госконтракт № 011-17 от 26.09.2017) в рамках научно-технической программы Союзного государства «ДНК-идентификация» (работы по генотипированию, по фенотипированию европейских образцов, подготовке текста статьи) и Государственного задания Министерства науки и высшего образования РФ для Медико-генетического научного центра им. академика Н. П. Бочкова (работы по фенотипированию сибирских образцов, созданию базы данных, анализу данных). Благодарности: благодарим всех доноров образцов. Коллекция ДНК и антропологических фотографий предоставлена АНО «Биобанк Северной Евразии». Информация о вкладе авторов: Е. В. Балановская — дизайн и руководство исследованием; В. С. Петрушенко и И. О. Горин — биоинформатический анализ и анализ литературы, написание текста статьи; А. М. Маурер, Н. А. Лейбова — фенотипирование образцов; Ж. А. Кагазежева — фенотипирование образцов, фотографирование и обработка фотографий, работа с табличными данными; О. П. Балановский и Н. В. Маркина — написание текста статьи; Е. С. Кострюкова — генотипирование.

Соблюдение этических стандартов: исследование одобрено этическим комитетом Медико-генетического научного центра (протокол № 3/1 от 5 сентября 2018 г.), выполнено на образцах, полученных в ходе популяционно-генетического обследования генофонда; все обследуемые подписали добровольное информированное согласие. Для корреспонденции: Елена Владимировна Балановская

ул. Москворечье, д. 1, Медико-генетический научный центр, г Москва, 115522; balanovska@mail.ru Статья получена: 22.10.2019 Статья принята к печати: 26.10.2019 Опубликована онлайн: 28.10.2019 DOI: 10.24075/vrgmu.2019.069

In the last decade, prediction of eye and hair color from DNA has paved its way into forensic medicine and population genetics. Today, it is possible to predict the physical appearance of an unknown person from their biological sample. Phenotype prediction is used to help crime investigations, identify disaster victims, study DNA samples of ancient populations, conduct genetic genealogy analysis, etc. So far, there have been abounding studies [1-10] that have identified a number of key genes and genetic sites involved in pigmentation. The most critical of them were included in the HIrisPlex panel and its expanded version HIrisPlex-S [8-11]. Genotyping of 25 DNA markers (SNPs and indels) included in HIrisPlex [10] helps to rapidly and reliably predict eye and hair color; HIrisPlex-S analyzes these 25 polymorphisms + 16 more predictive of skin color.

Original publications on HIrisPlex [8-11] demonstrate that the system generates reliable results for European populations. HIrisPlex was developed using European datasets, primarily Dutch, and verified in Polish, Greek and Irish populations. The accuracy of HIrisPlex-based prediction has not been tested yet in the populations inhabiting other parts of the world. Because the majority of non-Europeans have dark eyes and dark hair, such tests will not have any informative value in most other non-European continents. However, in some populations living on the border between Europe and Asia (Altai region, the Caucasus, regions to the East of the Ural Mountains), both dark and light hair/eye phenotypes are common. Genetically, such individuals can significantly differ from Western Europeans [12]; this means that the range of genetic markers determining their hair/eye pigmentation may also be different. Even populations of the Ural region, which are genetically closer to Western Europeans than to the inhabitants of the Caucasus and Western Siberia, are more genetically distant from the Dutch as compared to Irish, Polish and Greek populations, whose specimens were used for HIrisPlex verification.

The aim of this work was to evaluate predictive power of HIrisPlex-S for eye and hair color prediction for the populations of North Eurasia using biological samples and photos of indigenous peoples taken during our expedition fieldwork.

METHODS

Sample collection and phenotyping

As part of the field study of gene pools conducted by our team [13], we took images of the indigenous populations of Russia and bordering countries. The populations included in the study were examined during a few expeditions in 2015-2019. The following inclusion criteria were applied: 1) age over 18 years; 2) 4 ancestors (two grandfathers and 2 grandmothers) identifying themselves as belonging to the studied ethnic group; 3) the anthropological image of a participant; 4) written informed consent to participate. Exclusion criteria were as follows: 1) the lack of enough images preventing reliable identification of eye and hair color; 2) incomplete profile of the genotyped markers.

The study was carried out in 144 individuals representing the following populations:

1) European Russia — Russian, Mari, Chuvash, Karelian, Rutulian, Avar (n = 66, 65 males and 1 female);

2) Siberia and Far East — Buryat, Evenk, Even, Nanai, Koryak, Itelmen, Chukchi, Aleut (n = 78, 45 males and 33 females).

Eye/hair color was identified from the obtained photos by 3 experts; 2 of the experts were physical anthropologists with extensive experience in phenotyping; the other one was a

geneticist specially trained in phenotyping. The experts worked independently. If the results were inconsistent with each other, the phenotyping procedure was repeated: this time, the experts worked together in order to reach a consensus. Eye color (dark, blue or intermediate) was successfully determined for 144 study participants. Hair color identification was successful in fewer cases because it was impossible to tell the natural hair color of most women from the photos and because some men had grey hair or were bald. Phenotyping results are shown in Table 1.

Genotyping and prediction of eye and hair color from genotypes

DNA was isolated from blood/saliva samples by classic phenolchloroform extraction [14]. Genotyping was done using an Infinium Omni5Exome-4 v1.3 BeadChip kit (Illumina; USA) and an iScan array scanner. The quality of genotyping data was analyzed in GenomeStudio v2.0 (Illumina; USA). For all samples, the call rate (CR) was over 0.99, suggesting that the obtained data were suitable for further analysis. The BeadChip array can genotype over 4 million SNPs; the data it generates can be used in a variety of different studies. Genotypes matching 29 markers for eye/hair/skin color prediction included in the HirisPlex panel were extracted from the obtained array of genotyping data. The HIrisPlex-S panel contains a total of 25 predictive DNA markers for eye/hair color and 16 DNA markers for skin color. Of them, we successfully genotyped 19 markers of eye/hair color and 10 markers of skin color. The HIrisPlex panel allows prediction from a partial genotyping profile (a few obligatory markers are critical, others merely improve the accuracy of prediction), therefore a set of 19 out of 25 markers is sufficient to achieve good quality of prediction with HIrisPlex (predictive markers of skin color were not accounted for in our study). Nevertheless, clarification should be provided about the excluded marker rs312262906. Without it, predictions were generated only for eye color but not for hair color. The rs312262906 polymorphism causes a reading frame shift in the MC1R gene and is associated with red hair color. According to ExAC, the frequency of this polymorphism reaches 0.0038 in European populations and is 0.0000 (< 0.0001) in Asian populations; therefore, the probability of occurrence of at least 2 alternative alleles in our sample was negligible. This allowed us to assign the 0/0 genotype to this marker for all samples in order to predict hair color.

Genotypes were shortlisted using PLINK 1.9 [15]. The obtained genotypes are presented in Table 2.

HIrisPlex-S and the online webtool of the Department of Genetic Identification (Erasmus MC) [16] generated predictions for eye color (light, intermediate, or dark) and hair color (red, light, intermediate, or dark) for all the samples.

Evaluation of eye/hair color prediction accuracy

Phenotypes predicted by HIrisPlex from the obtained genotypes were compared to the actual phenotypes identified by the anthropologists from the images taken during our expeditions; quality metrics were calculated for all 144 samples. The constructed 5-grade scales for eye/hair pigmentation were converted into conventional 3-grade scales in order to make phenotyping results suitable for comparison with HIrisPlex-S data.

To analyze the accuracy of HIrisPlex-S-based predictions, the following quality metrics were calculated:

- precision (the ratio of true positives to the total number of positive predictions);

Table 1. Phenotypes (eye and hair color) Identified from anthropological Images

Sample Metapopulation Ethnicity Sex Age at the time of sample Hair color Eye color

FES-0001 Siberia evenk m 63 not analyzed dark

FES-0002 Siberia nanal m 33 dark dark

FES-0003 Siberia nanal m 42 dark dark

FES-0004 Siberia nanal m 29 dark dark

FES-0005 Siberia nanal m 58 dark dark

FES-0006 Siberia nanal m 62 dark llght

FES-0007 Siberia nanal m 68 dark dark

FES-0008 Siberia nanal m 64 not analyzed dark

FES-0009 Siberia nanal m 52 dark dark

FES-0010 Siberia nanal m 55 dark dark

FES-0011 Siberia nanal m 46 not analyzed dark

FES-0012 Siberia nanal m 51 dark dark

FES-0013 Siberia even m 52 lntermedlate llght

FES-0014 Siberia even m 21 dark llght

FES-0015 Siberia even m 39 dark dark

FES-0016 Siberia even m 21 dark dark

FES-0017 Siberia even m 20 dark dark

FES-0018 European Russia bashklr m 64 not analyzed dark

FES-0019 Siberia buryat m 76 not analyzed dark

FES-0020 Siberia buryat m 68 not analyzed dark

FES-0021 Siberia buryat m 50 dark dark

FES-0022 Siberia buryat m 68 dark dark

FES-0023 European Russia chuvash m 33 lntermedlate llght

FES-0024 European Russia chuvash m 51 blond llght

FES-0025 European Russia chuvash m 53 lntermedlate llght

FES-0026 European Russia chuvash m 42 dark llght

FES-0027 European Russia chuvash m 41 dark dark

FES-0028 European Russia chuvash m 36 red llght

FES-0029 European Russia chuvash m 55 not analyzed dark

FES-0030 European Russia chuvash m 45 dark dark

FES-0031 European Russia chuvash m 33 red dark

FES-0032 European Russia chuvash m 46 lntermedlate dark

FES-0033 European Russia chuvash m 32 lntermedlate dark

FES-0034 European Russia chuvash m 41 not analyzed llght

FES-0035 European Russia chuvash m 49 lntermedlate dark

FES-0036 European Russia chuvash m 53 not analyzed dark

FES-0037 European Russia chuvash m 46 lntermedlate dark

FES-0038 European Russia chuvash m 57 dark dark

FES-0039 European Russia chuvash m 42 not analyzed llght

FES-0040 European Russia chuvash m 47 red llght

FES-0041 European Russia chuvash m 23 lntermedlate llght

FES-0042 European Russia avar m 52 not analyzed dark

FES-0043 European Russia avar m 55 not analyzed llght

FES-0044 European Russia avar m 20 lntermedlate llght

FES-0045 European Russia rutullan m 36 not analyzed dark

FES-0046 European Russia rutullan m 38 dark dark

FES-0047 European Russia rutullan m 83 not analyzed dark

FES-0048 European Russia rutullan m 57 not analyzed dark

FES-0049 European Russia rutullan m 55 dark dark

FES-0050 European Russia rutullan m 56 dark dark

FES-0051 European Russia rutullan m 65 not analyzed dark

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FES-0052 Siberia even f 46 not analyzed dark

Sample Metapopulation Ethnicity Sex Age at the time of sample Hair color Eye color

FES-0053 Siberia koryak f 74 not analyzed dark

FES-0054 Siberia even m 50 dark dark

FES-0055 Siberia even f 18 not analyzed dark

FES-0056 Siberia even f 56 not analyzed dark

FES-0057 Siberia even f 51 not analyzed dark

FES-0058 Siberia chukchi f 47 not analyzed dark

FES-0059 Siberia koryak f 68 not analyzed dark

FES-0060 Siberia itelmen f 56 not analyzed dark

FES-0061 Siberia koryak f 56 not analyzed dark

FES-0062 Siberia koryak f 34 not analyzed dark

FES-0063 Siberia even m 63 not analyzed dark

FES-0064 Siberia even f 66 not analyzed dark

FES-0065 Siberia kamchadal f 82 not analyzed dark

FES-0066 Siberia itelmen m 62 intermediate dark

FES-0067 Siberia itelmen f 53 not analyzed dark

FES-0068 Siberia aleut f 66 not analyzed dark

FES-0069 Siberia aleut f 35 not analyzed dark

FES-0070 Siberia aleut m 42 dark dark

FES-0071 Siberia aleut f 72 not analyzed dark

FES-0072 Siberia aleut f 69 not analyzed dark

FES-0073 Siberia aleut m 63 dark dark

FES-0074 Siberia aleut f 53 not analyzed dark

FES-0075 Siberia koryak m 59 not analyzed dark

FES-0076 Siberia koryak m 62 dark dark

FES-0077 Siberia chukchi f 69 not analyzed dark

FES-0078 Siberia koryak m 69 dark dark

FES-0079 Siberia koryak m 43 dark light

FES-0080 Siberia koryak m 55 dark dark

FES-0081 Siberia koryak f 52 not analyzed dark

FES-0082 Siberia koryak f 55 not analyzed dark

FES-0083 Siberia even f 55 not analyzed dark

FES-0084 Siberia koryak f 57 not analyzed dark

FES-0085 Siberia chukchi m 27 dark dark

FES-0086 Siberia even m 48 not analyzed light

FES-0087 Siberia chukchi m 58 dark dark

FES-0088 Siberia chukchi m 58 dark dark

FES-0089 Siberia chukchi m 56 not analyzed dark

FES-0090 Siberia koryak f 31 not analyzed dark

FES-0091 Siberia even m 35 dark dark

FES-0092 Siberia chukchi m 34 dark dark

FES-0093 Siberia itelmen f 59 not analyzed dark

FES-0094 Siberia itelmen f 58 not analyzed dark

FES-0095 Siberia itelmen m 49 dark dark

FES-0096 Siberia itelmen f 70 not analyzed dark

FES-0097 Siberia itelmen m 38 dark dark

FES-0098 Siberia itelmen f 60 not analyzed dark

FES-0099 Siberia itelmen f 60 not analyzed dark

FES-0100 Siberia itelmen m 20 dark dark

FES-0101 Siberia itelmen f 55 not analyzed dark

FES-0102 Siberia itelmen f 40 not analyzed dark

FES-0103 Siberia itelmen m 39 dark dark

FES-0104 Siberia itelmen f 56 not analyzed dark

Sample Metapopulation Ethnicity Sex Age at the time of sample Hair color Eye color

FES-0105 Siberia itelmen f 71 not analyzed dark

FES-0106 Siberia itelmen m 59 not analyzed dark

FES-0107 Siberia itelmen f 47 not analyzed dark

FES-0108 Siberia itelmen m 58 dark dark

FES-0109 European Russia mari m 64 not analyzed dark

FES-0110 European Russia mari m 56 dark light

FES-0111 European Russia mari m 59 not analyzed dark

FES-0112 European Russia mari m 38 dark light

FES-0113 European Russia mari m 49 intermediate light

FES-0114 European Russia mari m 58 dark dark

FES-0115 European Russia mari m 50 dark light

FES-0116 European Russia mari m 54 dark dark

FES-0117 European Russia mari m 46 dark intermediate

FES-0118 European Russia mari m 45 dark light

FES-0119 European Russia mari m 70 not analyzed dark

FES-0120 European Russia mari m 66 dark intermediate

FES-0121 European Russia mari m 66 not analyzed light

FES-0122 European Russia mari m 23 red intermediate

FES-0123 European Russia mari m 51 blond intermediate

FES-0124 European Russia mari m 37 red light

FES-0125 European Russia mari m 58 not analyzed dark

FES-0126 European Russia mari m 64 intermediate light

FES-0127 European Russia mari m 61 not analyzed dark

FES-0128 European Russia mari m 57 intermediate dark

FES-0129 European Russia russian m 59 dark light

FES-0130 European Russia russian m 34 intermediate light

FES-0131 European Russia russian m 34 dark light

FES-0132 European Russia russian m 40 dark dark

FES-0133 European Russia russian m 32 dark light

FES-0134 European Russia russian m 52 intermediate light

FES-0135 European Russia russian m 30 dark dark

FES-0136 European Russia russian m 41 dark light

FES-0137 European Russia karelian m 75 intermediate light

FES-0138 European Russia karelian m 79 not analyzed light

FES-0139 European Russia karelian m 70 not analyzed light

FES-0140 European Russia karelian m 66 intermediate light

FES-0141 European Russia karelian f 79 not analyzed light

FES-0142 European Russia karelian m 68 dark light

FES-0143 European Russia karelian m 59 not analyzed light

FES-0144 European Russia karelian m 62 dark light

- recall (the ratio of true positives to the sum of true positives and false negatives in the class);

- accuracy (the proportion of correct predictions);

- Fi score (the harmonic mean of precision and recall),

- AUC (area under curve) for ROC-curves (the true positive rate plotted against the false-positive rate at various threshold settings).

Quality metrics values are provided in Tables 3 and 4. RESULTS

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We photographed 144 representatives of the indigenous populations inhabiting European Russia and Siberia. Their

DNA samples were genotyped for the markers included in the HirisPlex panel. Phenotyping and genotyping data obtained for each study participant were saved to a combined database.

To evaluate the quality of eye/hair color prediction by HIrisPlex-S in new populations phenotyped in advance, we predicted eye and hair color from their genotypes using the online webtool [16]. Results of eye color prediction for each individual case are shown in Table 5. Tables 1 and 5 allow comparing the observed and predicted phenotypes for each individual sample. Prediction quality metrics for the entire dataset are provided in Table 3.

In our study, AUC values, the most widely used quality metric, ranged between 0.89 and 0.59 for different phenotypic classes, averaging 0.79. For Russian populations, AUC values

Table 2. Genotypes of markers included in the HIrisPlex panel for eye and hair color prediction

RS rs11547464 rs1805005 rs1805006 rs1805007 rs2228479 rs1110400 rs28777 rs12821256 rs4959270 rs12203592 rs1042602 rs1800407 rs2402130 rs12913832

Color prediction Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair

CHROM 16 16 16 16 16 16 5 12 6 6 11 15 14 15

POS 89986091 89985844 89985918 89986117 89985940 89986130 33958959 89328335 457748 396321 88911696 28230318 92801203 28365618

REF G C C G G A C A C G C G A A

ALT A A A A A G A G A A A A G G

FES-0001 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0002 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0003 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0004 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0005 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1

FES-0006 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0007 ./. 0/1 0/0 ./. 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0008 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0009 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0010 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0011 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0012 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0013 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0014 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0

FES-0015 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0

FES-0016 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0

FES-0017 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0

FES-0018 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0019 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0020 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0021 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0022 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0023 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1

FES-0024 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1

FES-0025 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0026 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1

FES-0027 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 ./. 0/0 0/0

FES-0028 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1

FES-0029 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 ./. 0/0 /. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0030 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0031 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1

FES-0032 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1

FES-0033 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1

FES-0034 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0035 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0036 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0037 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0038 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1

FES-0039 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1

FES-0040 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1

FES-0041 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1

FES-0042 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 /. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0043 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1

FES-0044 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1

FES-0045 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0

FES-0046 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0047 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1

FES-0048 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1

FES-0049 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 /. 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0050 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0

FES-0051 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1

FES-0052 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 ./. 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0053 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0

rs2378249 rs12896399 rs1393350 rs683 rs3114908 rs1800414 rs10756819 rs17128291 rs1129038 rs1667394 rs1126809 rs1470608 rs1426654 rs6059655 rs8051733

Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin

20 14 11 9 16 15 9 14 15 15 11 15 15 20 16

33218090 92773663 89011046 12709305 89383725 28197037 16858084 92882826 28356859 28530182 89017961 28288121 48426484 32665748 90024206

A C G C G A A A G A G A A G A

G A A A A G G G A G A C G A G

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 ./. ./. 0/1 0/0 /. 0/1 /. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 /. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 /. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 /. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 /. 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 /. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 /. 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 /. 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 /. 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1

0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 /. 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 /. 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 /. 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 /. 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 /. 0/1 0/1 0/0 1/1

0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 1/1 0/0 /. 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 /. 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 1/1 0/0 /. 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1

0/0 0/1 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 /. ./. 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 /. 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1

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0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 /. 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

1/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 /. 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1

0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 /. 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

1/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

RS rs11547464 rs1805005 rs1805006 rs1805007 rs2228479 rs1110400 rs28777 rs12821256 rs4959270 rs12203592 rs1042602 rs1800407 rs2402130 rs12913832

Color prediction Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair

CHROM 16 16 16 16 16 16 5 12 6 6 11 15 14 15

POS 89986091 89985844 89985918 89986117 89985940 89986130 33958959 89328335 457748 396321 88911696 28230318 92801203 28365618

REF G C C G G A C A C G C G A A

ALT A A A A A G A G A A A A G G

FES-0054 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 ./. 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0055 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0

FES-0056 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0057 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0058 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0

FES-0059 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0060 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0061 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0062 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0063 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0064 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0065 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0066 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0067 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0068 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0069 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1

FES-0070 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0071 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1

FES-0072 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0073 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1

FES-0074 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0075 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0076 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0077 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0078 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0079 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0

FES-0080 0/0 ./. 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0081 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0082 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 ./. 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0083 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0

FES-0084 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0085 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0086 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0087 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0088 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0089 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0090 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 ./. 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 /. 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0091 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0092 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0093 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0094 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0095 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0096 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0

FES-0097 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0098 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0099 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0100 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1

FES-0101 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0102 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0103 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0

FES-0104 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0105 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0106 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

rs2378249 rs12896399 rs1393350 rs683 rs3114908 rs1800414 rs10756819 rs17128291 rs1129038 rs1667394 rs1126809 rs1470608 rs1426654 rs6059655 rs8051733

Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin

20 14 11 9 16 15 9 14 15 15 11 15 15 20 16

33218090 92773663 89011046 12709305 89383725 28197037 16858084 92882826 28356859 28530182 89017961 28288121 48426484 32665748 90024206

A C G C G A A A G A G A A G A

G A A A A G G G A G A C G A G

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 ./. 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0

iНе можете найти то, что вам нужно? Попробуйте сервис подбора литературы.

1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1

1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/1

0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 y. 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 y. 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 y. 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 y. 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 y. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 y. 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 y. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 y. 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 y. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 y. 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 y. 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 y. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 y. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 1/1 y. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 y. 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 y. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 y. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 y. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

1/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 y. 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 y. 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 y. 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1

1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 y. 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/1

0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 y. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 y. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 y. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0

RS rs11547464 rs1805005 rs1805006 rs1805007 rs2228479 rs1110400 rs28777 rs12821256 rs4959270 rs12203592 rs1042602 rs1800407 rs2402130 rs12913832

Color prediction Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair

CHROM 16 16 16 16 16 16 5 12 6 6 11 15 14 15

POS 89986091 89985844 89985918 89986117 89985940 89986130 33958959 89328335 457748 396321 88911696 28230318 92801203 28365618

REF G C C G G A C A C G C G A A

ALT A A A A A G A G A A A A G G

FES-0107 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0108 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0

FES-0109 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0110 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0111 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0112 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0113 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0114 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0115 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0116 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0117 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0118 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1

FES-0119 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0

FES-0120 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1

FES-0121 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1

FES-0122 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0123 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0124 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1

FES-0125 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0126 0/1 0/1 /. ./. 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0127 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0

FES-0128 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0129 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 ./. 1/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 ./. 1/1

FES-0130 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1

FES-0131 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 1/1

FES-0132 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

FES-0133 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1

FES-0134 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1

FES-0135 1/1 1/1 1/1 0/1 ./. 0/0 /. 0/0 ./. 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/1

FES-0136 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1

FES-0137 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 1/1

FES-0138 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1

FES-0139 0/0 ./. 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1

FES-0140 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1

FES-0141 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 1/1

FES-0142 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 1/1

FES-0143 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1

FES-0144 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1

are a bit lower than those observed in Western Europeans (0.89). For example, AUC for light eye color is 0.94 for Western Europeans vs 0.89 for Russians. A decrease in AUC values can be observed for all eye and hair color phenotypes represented in our study. Of note, prediction quality metrics for intermediate eye color and light hair color are not provided in this article because these 2 phenotypes were underrepresented in our sample. If necessary, they can be calculated using the data from Tables 1 and 5. Their values turned out to be even lower than in Western European populations, but due to a very small sample size of these 2 phenotypic classes ( < 5 individuals), the obtained results cannot be considered reliable.

Russian populations are very heterogeneous genetically. We purposefully included genetically contrasting groups of indigenous populations of European Russia and Siberia in the

sample. Table 4 describes the quality of eye color prediction by HIrisPlex for these 2 metapopulations (the quality of hair color prediction was not evaluated due to a small sample size, see Methods). The accuracy of eye color prediction for the populations of European Russia was close to the prediction accuracy for the pooled sample. There was some decline in accuracy, in comparison with Western European samples, but, on the whole, the accuracy of prediction was satisfactory (AUC about 0.8). For Siberian populations, prediction quality was much poorer (AUC = 0.6).

DISCUSSION

The collection of anthropological images of the indigenous peoples of Russia laid the foundation for our study. The photos

rs2378249 rs12896399 rs1393350 rs683 rs3114908 rs1800414 rs10756819 rs17128291 rs1129038 rs1667394 rs1126809 rs1470608 rs1426654 rs6059655 rs8051733

Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Eyes and hair Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin Skin

20 14 11 9 16 15 9 14 15 15 11 15 15 20 16

33218090 92773663 89011046 12709305 89383725 28197037 16858084 92882826 28356859 28530182 89017961 28288121 48426484 32665748 90024206

A C G C G A A A G A G A A G A

G A A A A G G G A G A C G A G

1/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 /. 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 1/1 /. 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

iНе можете найти то, что вам нужно? Попробуйте сервис подбора литературы.

0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/1 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/1 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/1 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 1/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1

0/0 0/0 0/1 /. 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/1 /. 0/1 ./. 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1

0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/1 0/1

0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 /. 1/1 0/0 ./. 0/1

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/1 0/1 1/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 ./. 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/1 0/1 0/1 0/1 ./. ./. /. 0/0 1/1 0/1 1/1 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1

0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/1 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0

0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1

taken in 3 planes in accordance with anthropological standards are a valuable resource for research into the associations between phenotypic traits and genotypes. In this study, such images were used to identify eye and hair color. The fact that phenotyping was independently conducted by 3 different experts and the availability of photos for verification render the results of our study reliable and reproducible.

For genotyping, we used the most comprehensive, state-of-the art, popular HirisPlex-S system that has proven its accuracy in the studies of modern and ancient Western European populations [8, 11, 17]. HirisPlex-S prediction accuracy for the populations outside Western Europe was evaluated by comparing the observed phenotypes identified from the photos to the phenotypes predicted from DNA. Of all quality metrics (Table 3), AUC posed the greatest interest

because AUC values characterizing HIrisPlex performance are available for Western European populations [16]. So, we were able to directly compare the accuracy of HIrisPlex predictions between Western European and Russian populations.

On the whole, the values of prediction quality metrics obtained for the majority of phenotypic classes (Table 3) were quite high (0.6-0.9), suggesting that use of HIrisPlex in Russian populations is justified. None of the systems predicting phenotypes from DNA is 100% accurate; for some classes, HIrisPlex prediction accuracy is below 0.9 even for Western European populations. In our opinion, this study has demonstrated the fitness of HIrisPlex for use in Russian populations and its satisfactory accuracy of prediction. However, HIrisPlex prediction accuracy is lower for Russian populations than for Western Europeans (0.8 vs 0.9 on average). Therefore,

Table 3. Parameters of prediction accuracy of HIrisPlex for Western European populations and Russia

Western European populations Russia

AUC AUC Precision Accuracy Recall

Llght eye color 0.94 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.63

lntermedlate eye color 0.74 - - - -

Dark eye color 0.95 0.89 0.85 0.87 0.98

Red halr color 0.93 0.59 0.33 0.92 0.2

Blond halr color 0.81 - - - -

lntermedlate halr color 0.74 0.72 0.32 0.66 0.56

Dark halr color 0.86 0.84 0.94 0.68 0.57

Table 4. Prediction accuracy of HIrisPlex for Russian regions

European Russia Siberia

Light eyes 0.89 0.57

Dark eyes 0.86 0.56

we believe that HIrisPlex can be used in Russian populations but still recommend to account for the detected decline in accuracy when interpreting the obtained data.

In our study, Russian populations were divided into 2 datasets: European Russia and Siberia. Previous population genetic studies [18, 19] revealed that these metapopulations are contrasting in terms of their genetic origin. They also turned out to be contrasting in terms of phenotype prediction quality, which was considerably lower for Siberia (Table 4). The data in Tables 1 and 5 demonstrate that HIrisPlex predicts dark eyes for almost all Siberian samples, although some representatives of Siberian populations have light color eyes; the division into light and intermediate shades is arbitrary, but even so, the color of their eyes is not dark as predicted by HIrisPlex. Perhaps, light color eyes sometimes seen in indigenous Siberian populations is associated with other alleles or other genes, as compared to Europeans,

meaning that the system based on Western European datasets cannot correctly predict light (not dark) color of eyes in those populations. A decrease in the prediction accuracy for the inhabitants of European Russia may have the same nature, but because this population is genetically closer to the populations of Western Europe, the differences in the allele spectrum and the decrease in prediction accuracy are not so pronounced. This can inspire new research aimed at identifying additional genetic markers that could improve the accuracy of prediction of pigmentation phenotypes from genotypes.

CONCLUSIONS

The analysis of correlations between genotypes and eye/hair pigmentation phenotypes of Russian populations aided by the widely used HIrisPlex-S panel confirmed its fitness for use in these

Sample Predicted eye color Predicted hair color

FES-0001 dark not analyzed

FES-0002 dark dark

FES-0003 dark dark

FES-0004 dark dark

FES-0005 dark dark

FES-0006 dark dark

FES-0007 dark not predlcted

FES-0008 dark not analyzed

FES-0009 dark dark

FES-0010 dark dark

FES-0011 dark not analyzed

FES-0012 dark dark

FES-0013 dark dark

FES-0014 dark dark

FES-0015 dark dark

FES-0016 dark dark

FES-0017 dark dark

FES-0018 dark not analyzed

FES-0019 dark not analyzed

FES-0020 dark not analyzed

Table 5. Phenotypes (eye and hair color) predicted from genotypes included in the HIrisPlex panel

Sample Predicted eye color Predicted hair color

FES-0021 dark dark

FES-0022 dark dark

FES-0023 dark intermediate

FES-0024 light blond

FES-0025 dark intermediate

FES-0026 light blond

FES-0027 dark intermediate

FES-0028 light red

FES-0029 dark not analyzed

FES-0030 dark intermediate

FES-0031 dark blond

FES-0032 dark intermediate

FES-0033 dark intermediate

FES-0034 dark not analyzed

FES-0035 dark intermediate

FES-0036 dark not analyzed

FES-0037 dark intermediate

FES-0038 dark blond

FES-0039 light not analyzed

FES-0040 light intermediate

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FES-0041 light intermediate

FES-0042 dark not analyzed

FES-0043 dark not analyzed

FES-0044 light blond

FES-0045 dark not analyzed

FES-0046 dark intermediate

FES-0047 dark not analyzed

FES-0048 dark not analyzed

FES-0049 dark dark

FES-0050 dark intermediate

FES-0051 dark not analyzed

FES-0052 dark not analyzed

FES-0053 dark not analyzed

FES-0054 dark dark

FES-0055 dark not analyzed

FES-0056 dark not analyzed

FES-0057 dark not analyzed

FES-0058 dark not analyzed

FES-0059 dark not analyzed

FES-0060 dark not analyzed

FES-0061 dark not analyzed

FES-0062 dark not analyzed

FES-0063 dark not analyzed

FES-0064 dark not analyzed

FES-0065 dark not analyzed

FES-0066 dark intermediate

FES-0067 dark not analyzed

FES-0068 dark not analyzed

FES-0069 light not analyzed

FES-0070 dark dark

FES-0071 dark not analyzed

Sample Predicted eye color Predicted hair color

FES-0072 dark not analyzed

FES-0073 dark lntermedlate

FES-0074 dark not analyzed

FES-0075 dark not analyzed

FES-0076 dark dark

FES-0077 dark not analyzed

FES-0078 dark dark

FES-0079 dark dark

FES-0080 dark dark

FES-0081 dark not analyzed

FES-0082 dark not analyzed

FES-0083 dark not analyzed

FES-0084 dark not analyzed

FES-0085 dark dark

FES-0086 dark not analyzed

FES-0087 dark dark

FES-0088 dark dark

FES-0089 dark not analyzed

FES-0090 dark not analyzed

FES-0091 dark dark

FES-0092 dark dark

FES-0093 dark not analyzed

FES-0094 dark not analyzed

FES-0095 dark dark

FES-0096 dark not analyzed

FES-0097 dark dark

FES-0098 dark not analyzed

FES-0099 dark not analyzed

FES-0100 dark lntermedlate

FES-0101 dark not analyzed

FES-0102 dark not analyzed

FES-0103 dark dark

FES-0104 dark not analyzed

FES-0105 dark not analyzed

FES-0106 dark not analyzed

FES-0107 dark not analyzed

FES-0108 dark dark

FES-0109 dark not analyzed

FES-0110 dark lntermedlate

FES-0111 dark not analyzed

FES-0112 dark lntermedlate

FES-0113 dark dark

FES-0114 dark lntermedlate

FES-0115 dark dark

FES-0116 dark lntermedlate

FES-0117 dark lntermedlate

FES-0118 llght lntermedlate

FES-0119 dark not analyzed

FES-0120 llght lntermedlate

FES-0121 llght not analyzed

FES-0122 dark blond

Sample Predicted eye color Predicted hair color

FES-0123 dark intermediate

FES-0124 light blond

FES-0125 dark not analyzed

FES-0126 dark not predicted

FES-0127 dark not analyzed

FES-0128 dark intermediate

FES-0129 light intermediate

FES-0130 light blond

FES-0131 light blond

FES-0132 dark intermediate

FES-0133 light intermediate

FES-0134 light blond

FES-0135 light red

FES-0136 light intermediate

FES-0137 light blond

FES-0138 light not analyzed

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FES-0139 light not analyzed

FES-0140 light blond

FES-0141 light not analyzed

FES-0142 light red

FES-0143 light not analyzed

FES-0144 light blond

previously unstudied populations, although its prediction accuracy was lower than in Western European datasets that had served as a basis for this classifier. A decrease in accuracy (from 0.94 to 0.89) is not that dramatic for the populations of European Russia, as

compared to Siberian samples. This decrease might be associated with an impact of population-specific SNPs well-represented in the populations of North Eurasia but rarely found in Western Europe and, therefore, not included in the HIrisPlex-S panel.

References

1. Bouakaze C, Keyser C, Crubezy E, Montagnon D, Ludes B. Pigment phenotype and biogeographical ancestry from ancient skeletal remains: inferences from multiplexed autosomal SNP analysis. Int J Legal Med. 2009; 123 (4): 315-25.

2. Branicki W, Brudnik U, Kupiec T, Wolanska-Nowak P, Szczerbinska A, Wojas-Pelc A. Association of polymorphic sites in the OCA2 gene with eye colour using the tree scanning method. Ann Hum Genet. 2008; 72 (Pt 2): 184-92.

3. Candille SI, Absher DM, Beleza S, Bauchet M, McEvoy B, Garrison NA, et al. Genome-wide association studies of quantitatively measured skin, hair, and eye pigmentation in four European populations. PLoS One. 2012; 7 (10): e48294.

4. Han J, Kraft P, Nan H, Guo Q, Chen C, Qureshi A, et al. A genome-wide association study identifies novel alleles associated with hair color and skin pigmentation. PLoS Genet. 2008; 4 (5): e1000074.

5. Lippert C, Sabatini R, Maher MC, Kang EY, Lee S, Arikan O, et al. Identification of individuals by trait prediction using whole-genome sequencing data. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 2017; 114 (38): 10166-71.

6. Liu F, van Duijn K, Vingerling JR, Hofman A, Uitterlinden AG, Janssens AC, et al. Eye color and the prediction of complex phenotypes from genotypes. Curr Biol. 2009; 19 (5): R192-3.

7. Maronas O, Sochtig J, Ruiz Y, Phillips C, Carracedo A, Lareu MV. The genetics of skin, hair, and eye color variation and its relevance to forensic pigmentation predictive tests. Forensic Sci Rev. 2015; 27 (1): 13-40.

8. Walsh S, Chaitanya L, Clarisse L, Wirken L, Draus-Barini J, Kovatsi L, et al. Developmental validation of the HIrisPlex system:

DNA-based eye and hair colour prediction for forensic and anthropological usage. Forensic Sci Int Genet. 2014; 9: 150-61.

9. Walsh S, Kayser M. A Practical Guide to the HIrisPlex System: Simultaneous Prediction of Eye and Hair Color from DNA. Methods Mol Biol. 2016; (1420): 213-31.

10. Walsh S, Liu F, Wollstein A, Kovatsi L, Ralf A, Kosiniak-Kamysz A, et al. The HIrisPlex system for simultaneous prediction of hair and eye colour from DNA. Forensic Sci Int Genet. 2013; 7 (1): 98-115.

11. Chaitanya L, Breslin K, Zuniga S, Wirken L, Pospiech E, Kukla-Bartoszek M, et al. The HIrisPlex-S system for eye, hair and skin colour prediction from DNA: Introduction and forensic developmental validation. Forensic Sci Int Genet. 2018; (35): 123-35.

12. Pagani L, Lawson DJ, Jagoda E, Mörseburg A, Eriksson A, Mitt M, et al. Genomic analyses inform on migration events during the peopling of Eurasia. Nature. 2016 Oct 13; 538 (7624): 238-42. DOI: 10.1038/nature19792.

13. Balanovska EV, ZHabagin MK, Agdzhoyan AT, CHukhryayeva MI, Markina NV, Balaganskaya OA, et al. Populyatsionnyye biobanki: printsipy organizatsii i perspektivy primeneniya v genogeografii i personalizirovannoy meditsine. Genetika. 2016; (12): 1371-87. Russian.

14. Powell R, Gannon F. Purification of DNA by phenolextraction and ethanol precipitation. Practical Approach Series. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2002.

15. Chang CC, Chow CC, Tellier LCAM, Vattikuti S, Purcell SM, Lee JJ. Second-generation PLINK: rising to the challenge of larger and richer datasets. GigaScience. 2015 December; 4 (1):

s13742-015-0047-8. DOI: 10.1186/s13742-015-0047-8.

16. Department of Genetic Identification of Erasmus MC. HIrisPlex-S Eye, Hair and Skin Colour DNA Phenotyping Webtool. [software]. Available from: https://hirisplex.erasmusmc.nl/.

17. Draus-Barini J, Walsh S, Pospiech E, Kupiec T, Glab H, Branicki W, et al. Bona fide colour: DNA prediction of human eye and hair colour from ancient and contemporary skeletal remains. Investigative Genetics. 2013 January; (4): 3. DOI: 10.1186/2041-2223-4-3.

18. Jeong C, Balanovsky O, Lukianova E, Kahbatkyzy N, Flegontov P, Zaporozhchenko V, et al. The genetic history of admixture across inner Eurasia. Nat Ecol Evol. 2019 Jun; 3 (6): 966-76. DOI: 10.1038/s41559-019-0878-2.

19. Triska P, Chekanov N, Stepanov V, Khusnutdinova EK, Kumar GPA, Akhmetova V, et al. Between Lake Baikal and the Baltic Sea: genomic history of the gateway to Europe. BMC Genet. 2017 Dec 28; 18 (Suppl 1): 110. DOI: 10.1186/s12863-017-0578-3.

Литература

1. Bouakaze C, Keyser C, Crubezy E, Montagnon D, Ludes B. ц. Pigment phenotype and biogeographical ancestry from ancient skeletal remains: inferences from multiplexed autosomal SNP analysis. Int J Legal Med. 2009; 123 (4): 315-25.

2. Branicki W, Brudnik U, Kupiec T, Wolanska-Nowak P, Szczerbinska A, Wojas-Pelc A. Association of polymorphic sites in the OCA2 gene 12. with eye colour using the tree scanning method. Ann Hum Genet. 2008; 72 (Pt 2): 184-92.

3. Candille SI, Absher DM, Beleza S, Bauchet M, McEvoy B, Garrison NA,

et al. Genome-wide association studies of quantitatively measured 13. skin, hair, and eye pigmentation in four European populations. PLoS One. 2012; 7 (10): e48294.

4. Han J, Kraft P, Nan H, Guo Q, Chen C, Qureshi A, et al. A genome-wide association study identifies novel alleles associated with hair color and skin pigmentation. PLoS Genet. 2008; 4 (5): e1000074. 14.

5. Lippert C, Sabatini R, Maher MC, Kang EY, Lee S, Arikan O, et al. Identification of individuals by trait prediction using whole-genome sequencing data. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 2017; 114 15 (38): 10166-71.

6. Liu F, van Duijn K, Vingerling JR, Hofman A, Uitterlinden AG, Janssens AC, et al. Eye color and the prediction of complex phenotypes from genotypes. Curr Biol. 2009; 19 (5): R192-3. 16.

7. Maronas O, Sochtig J, Ruiz Y, Phillips C, Carracedo A, Lareu MV. The genetics of skin, hair, and eye color variation and its relevance

to forensic pigmentation predictive tests. Forensic Sci Rev. 2015; 17 27 (1): 13-40.

8. Walsh S, Chaitanya L, Clarisse L, Wirken L, Draus-Barini J, Kovatsi L, et al. Developmental validation of the HIrisPlex system: DNA-based eye and hair colour prediction for forensic and 18. anthropological usage. Forensic Sci Int Genet. 2014; 9: 150-61.

9. Walsh S, Kayser M. A Practical Guide to the HIrisPlex System: Simultaneous Prediction of Eye and Hair Color from DNA. Methods Mol Biol. 2016; (1420): 213-31. 19.

10. Walsh S, Liu F, Wollstein A, Kovatsi L, Ralf A, Kosiniak-Kamysz A, et al. The HIrisPlex system for simultaneous prediction of hair and eye colour from DNA. Forensic Sci Int Genet. 2013; 7 (1): 98-115.

Chaitanya L, Breslin K, Zuniga S, Wirken L, Pospiech E, Kukla-Bartoszek M, et al. The HIrisPlex-S system for eye, hair and skin colour prediction from DNA: Introduction and forensic developmental validation. Forensic Sci Int Genet. 2018; (35): 123-35.

Pagani L, Lawson DJ, Jagoda E, Morseburg A, Eriksson A, Mitt M, et al. Genomic analyses inform on migration events during the peopling of Eurasia. Nature. 2016 Oct 13; 538 (7624): 238-42. DOI: 10.1038/nature19792.

Балановская Е. В., Жабагин М. К., Агджоян А. Т., Чухряева М. И., Маркина Н. В., Балаганская О. А. и др. Популяционные биобанки: принципы организации и перспективы применения в геногеографии и персонализированной медицине. Генетика. 2016; (12): 1371-87.

Powell R, Gannon F. Purification of DNA by phenolextraction and ethanol precipitation. Practical Approach Series. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2002.

Chang CC, Chow CC, Tellier LCAM, Vattikuti S, Purcell SM, Lee JJ. Second-generation PLINK: rising to the challenge of larger and richer datasets. GigaScience. 2015 December; 4 (1): s13742-015-0047-8. DOI: 10.1186/s13742-015-0047-8. Department of Genetic Identification of Erasmus MC. HIrisPlex-S Eye, Hair and Skin Colour DNA Phenotyping Webtool. [software]. Available from: https://hirisplex.erasmusmc.nl/. Draus-Barini J, Walsh S, Pospiech E, Kupiec T, Glab H, Branicki W, et al. Bona fide colour: DNA prediction of human eye and hair colour from ancient and contemporary skeletal remains. Investigative Genetics. 2013 January; (4): 3. DOI: 10.1186/2041-2223-4-3. Jeong C, Balanovsky O, Lukianova E, Kahbatkyzy N, Flegontov P, Zaporozhchenko V, et al. The genetic history of admixture across inner Eurasia. Nat Ecol Evol. 2019 Jun; 3 (6): 966-76. DOI: 10.1038/s41559-019-0878-2.

Triska P, Chekanov N, Stepanov V, Khusnutdinova EK, Kumar GPA, Akhmetova V, et al. Between Lake Baikal and the Baltic Sea: genomic history of the gateway to Europe. BMC Genet. 2017 Dec 28; 18 (Suppl 1): 110. DOI: 10.1186/s12863-017-0578-3.

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