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10Q^ùm^mù «^h^ qnrn^, tfh^ бшЬшщшрЪ» iiiu|iiiu?ihiîiiiiLp|iuii 2P2mùm^ùbpnLÛ шЬшЬиш^шЬ opш^шpq^
qui|iqiuyiïiuii шùhpшdЪ2mnLpJnLÙp к hùшpш4npnLpjnLÙùhpp
—п^иЬф]шй W.
^ЪшшЦшй SйmЪuшqfrmшtyшй ^шйш1ишршй, шищ^ршЬт (Ъркшй, ^ш]шишшй)
[email protected] UnnLuwmrfjmh S. S.
^ЪшшЦшй SйmЪuшqfrmшtyшй ^шйш1ишршй, ûшqfrumр,шйm (Ъркшй, ^ш]шишшй)
[email protected] ^hmpnujmh Ъ. Р.
^ЪшшЦшй SйmЪuшqfrmшtyшй ^шйш1ишршй, Shmhump^h Цшщш^щйшй к û^2шqqшJ^й шйшЬиш^шй hшршрhрnLpJnLййhрfi фшЦпцтктр, рш^шш^р^шт^, пшшйпц (Ьркшй,
^ш]шишшй) [email protected]
^finnpn2 ршпЪр" «Uh^ qnrn^, tfh^ бшЬшщшрЬ» bm^màhnbnLpjnLb, rnbrnhum^mb ^шщЬр, qmpqmgtfmb hhnшЬ^шpЬhp, hшJ-^frш^шfr hшpшphpnLpJnLЬЬhp
Необходимость и возможности развития армяно-китайской экономической повестки в
рамках китайской инициативы «Один пояс, один путь»
ОвсепянМ. О.,
Армянский государственный экономический университет, аспирант (Ереван, Армения)
[email protected] Арустамян Т. Т.,
Армянский государственный экономический университет, магистрант (Ереван, Армения)
[email protected] Петросян Н. Б.
Армянский государственный экономический университет, факультет Экономического регулирования и международных экономических отношений бакалавр (Ереван, Армения)
Аннотация. Все страны, находящиеся в этапе реформ и развития инфраструктур, заинтересованы в участии в китайской инициативе «Один пояс, один путь», который носит глобальный характер. Существует ряд оценок международных организаций, которые свидетельствуют о том, что данная инициатива эффективна в плане сокращения времени и затрат на внешнюю торговлю, а также в развитии инфраструктур. Участие Армении в инициативе зависит от ее собственных активных дипломатических, экономических и инвестиционных шагов. Отраслевое исследование двусторонних экономических отношений показывает, что существует ряд объективно-субъективных причин, препятствующих реализации имеющегося потенциала. Однако следует отметить, что армяно-китайские отношения в рамках инициативы могут включать как экономические, так и образовательные и культурные аспекты.
Ключевые слова: Инициатива «Один пояс, один путь», экономические связи, перспективы развития, армяно-китайские отношения
Necessity and opportunities for the development of the Armenian-Chinese economic agenda
within the framework of the Chinese "One Belt, One Road" initiative
Hovsepyan M. H.,
Postgraduate student of the Armenian State University of Economics (Yerevan, Armenia)
[email protected] Arustamyan T. T.,
Master of the Armenian State University of Economics (Yerevan, Armenia)
[email protected] Petrosyan N. B.
Bachelor of the Armenian State University of Economics, Faculty of Economic Regulation and International
Economic Relations (Yerevan, Armenia) [email protected]
Регион u Mup, 2021, № 2
Abstract. All countries that are in the stage of reforms and infrastructure development are interested in participating in China's Belt and Road Initiative, which is a global initiative. There are a number of assessments by international organizations that indicate that this initiative is effective in reducing the time and costs of foreign trade, as well as in developing infrastructures. Armenia's participation in the initiative depends on its own active diplomatic, economic and investment steps. A sectoral study of bilateral economic relations shows that there are a number of objective and subjective reasons that impede the realization of the existing potential. However, it should be noted that the Armenian-Chinese relations within the framework of the initiative can include both economic and educational and cultural aspects. Key words: "One Belt, One Road" initiative, economic ties, development prospects, Armenian-Chinese relations.
^hprnônLpjnLÙ: U2famphmpmqmpm^mù qmpqmgnLûùhp^ù qnLqpùpmg, ^mjmummù^ 2nLp2 mhq^ nLùhgnq ^pmqmp&nLpjnLùùhp^ dmûmùm^mhmm^mônLû, mùhpmdh2mnLpjnLù t mnm^mùnLû mpmmp^ù pmqmpm^mùmpjnLùp k q^mùmq^mnLpjnLùp ùnp ûm^mpqm^ mhqm-^n^b]; Ujù ^hmp^h, ^ ^hpmphpnLû m2famphm-pmqmpm^mù ^h^snp^ ^n^n^nLpjmùp, mji mnm^mmmp hp^pùhp^ hhm hmpmphpnLpjnLù-ùhp^ uhpmmgûmùp k mpqhù àkm^np^mô qnpôpù^hpmj^ù hmpmphpnLpjnLùùhp^ ^hpm-ùmjûmùp: ^.hp^frù mmuùmûjm^nLû mjq hp^pùh-p^g Q^&mumm&p 2mpnLùm^mpmp mûpm^ùqnLû t frp q^pphpp" u^qp qùhp^ ùmk « Ubty qnmfr, rihty âwàw^wph» ^mû «^nm^ k fimùm^mph» ùmfam&hnùnLpjmùp (mjunLhhm" 0-2), npp hp^m-pmdmû^hm pmqmpm^mùnLpjmù û^ûmjpgmûm-pmj^ù ùhpqpnLûmj^ù ôpmq^p t: "Umfam&hn-ùmpjmù ù^mmm^p ^mmûm^mù Uhmmpu^ fimùm^mphn^ hùpm^mnnLg^môpùhp^ qmpqmg-ûmûp hp%ùhp^ mùmhum^mù ^ùmhqpûmù mpmqmgnLûù t [1]: "Umfam&hnùnLpjmù 2p?m-ùm^ùhpnLû, u^umô 2013p.-^g Q^&mumm&p hmûmqnpôm^gnLpjmù ^mummpqphp t usn-pmqph m^hi^ pmù^ 126 hp%ùhp^ k 29 û^mqqmj^ù ^mqûm^hp^mpjnLùùhp^ hhm, np^ mpqjnLùpnLû ^mnnLg^hi hù m^h^ pmù 80 ommphp^jm mùmhum^mù k mnkmpmj^ù hmûmqnpôm^gnLpjmù qnm^ùhp, k mjq hp%ùh-pnLÛ umhqô^hi hù 2n^p? 300 hmqmp mhqm^mù m2fammmmhqhp, ^u^ pùqhmùnp ùhpqpnLûùhpp qhpmqmùgh hù m^hifr pmù 30 ûjpq qnimpp [2]: 02 ùmfam&hnùnLpjnLùp nppmù tl qpm^fe t mùmhum^mù mnmûn^, û^kùnijù dmûmùm^ ^mmùqùhp t ^mpnLùm^nLû ^p ûh^ ^mpmpmj^ù hùmpm^np n^u^hp^ hhm ^m^mô [3] : Gum tnpjmù, 0-2-ù n ph û^m^nqûmùk mji ^n^mqmpà ùhpqpnLûmj^ù ùmfam&hnùnLpjnLù t, k hhmkmpmp hùpm^mnnLg^môpùhp^ k ung^mjm^mù ômnmjnLpjnLùùhp^ ^pm ùhpp^ù ômfauhpp ^mpnq hù qqmj^nphù mnLdhi ^mpmpp u^mump^hpL hhmkmùpn^:
UjùnLmûhùmjù^ ^hmp t &2hl, np ^mjmumm&^ ^mpmqmjnLÛ qhn 4mq t mùhmùqummùmi hûm&mrn^q n^u^hp^ ^mnm^mpûmù ûmu^ù, pmù^ np ûhp hp^p^ ùhpqpm^mônLpjnLùp ùmfam&hnùnLpjnL&nLû qhnku ^nLù^ 2n2m^hj^ mpqjnLùpùhp: ^mj-
^ùm^mù hmpmphpnLpjnLùùhp^ qmpqmgnLÛp ^mphj^ t qfrmmp^hi hhùg 02 ùmfam&hnùnLpjmù, 2015p.-^ù ^mjmummù^ k Q^ùmummù^ û^k" ^ pM.u umnpmqp^mô mj]_ hmûm&mj&mqphp^ k hnL2mqphp^, «Uhmmpu^ fim&m^mph^ m&mh-um^mù qnmnL ^mnnLgûmù qnpônLÛ hmûm-qnpôm^gnLpjmù ^pm&ûmù ûmu^ù» hnL2mqp^ 2p?m&m^&hpnLÛ [4]:
Upmmumhûm&jmù k mhqm^mù qpm^mùnL-pjmù nLunLÛ&mu^pnLpjnL&p gnLjg t mmj^u, np ûhômûmumûp hhq^&m^&hpp û^m^mpô^p hù, np ^2 ùm^m&hnùnLpjnLÙp ù^mqmqnijù ^ùum^mnL-g^nùm]_mg4mô, um^mjù mûhùmhm^m^ùnm qppmi &m^m&hnùnLpjnLÙù t ^ù^^hu m2^mphm-qpm^mù m^pnijpnLÛ, mjù^hu tl mùop^ù^nq nhunipuùhpn^ [5]: U^kùnijù dmûmùm^, npn2 hhq^ùm^ùhp hp^m^^ hù ûh^ùmpmùnLÛ Q^ùmummù^" np^hu hmûm2^mphmj^ù ûm^mpqm^nLÛ ùhpqpnq^ pmqmpm^mùnLpjnLÙp ^ù^hu hùmpm^npnLpjnLÙùhp^ k oqnLmùhp^, mjù^hu tl û^mqqmj^ù k ùhpp^ù mù^mjnL-ùnipjnLùùhp^ k n^u^hp^ mhumù^jnLù^g [6] :
^hmmqnmnLpjmù dhpn^mpmbnLpjnLÙ: ^nq^mô^ hmûmp mhum^mù, ûhpnqmpmùm^mù, mhqh^mm^m^mù h^ûp hù ômnmjhi ^ù^^hu ommpmihqnL, mjù^hu tl hmjmihqnL m2^mmm-pjnLùùhpp, ^mjmummù^ ^hmm^mù ûmpû^ùùhp^ npn2nLûùhpp, ^^ ^^fim^mqpm^mù ^nû^mh^ ^ù^hu ùmk û^^mqqmj^ù mhqh^mm^m^mù pmqmùhpp, û^mqqmj^ù ^mnnijgùhp^ qh^nijg-ùhpù nL mû^n^mqphpp: ^^ùmû^^ 2mpphp^ pmgm^mjnLpjmù ^mjûmùùhpnLû hùmpm^np ^^ qmp&hi ^^pmnhi npkt t^nùnûhrnp^ ûnqhi: UjùnLmûhùmjù^^ hmûhûmmm^mù mùg^mgùhin^ mji hp^pùhp^ hhm, nLunLûùmu^phin^ hp^nL hp^pùhp^ mùmhum^mù hmpmphpnLpjnLùùhpp pùnLpmqpnq gnLgmù^2ùhpp, mpqjnLùpùhpp ùhp^mjmg^hi hù qpm^^^m^mù ^hpinLÔnLpjmù ûfengn^:
^hpinLÔnLpjnLÙ: Q^ùmummù^ ^2 ùm^m-àhnùnLpjnLùp hùpmqpnLû t 6 û^^mùgpùhp^ mn^mjnLpjnLù, npnùg^g 2-ù mùgùnLû hù ^hùmpnùm^mù Uu^mjn^ k ^n^^mun^: ^mpm-^mj^ù kn^^mup hùmqnLjù dmûmùm^ùhp^g hqhi t Uhmmpu^ fimùm^mph^ ^mpknp hmùqnLjg" û^ûjmùg ^m^hin^ mmpphp mmpmôm2p?mùùhp:
^mûm2^mphmj^ù pmù^ 2020 p^m^mù^ù hpm^mpm^mô «^mpm^mj^ù ^n^mu k
^hümpnüшЦшü Uu^. Q-nm^ к fiшüшщшph üшfaшàhnünLpJnLÜ. ^шJшumшü^ т^щш^ op^üшЦn4 nLunLÚüшu^pnLpJnLÜp» qh^mjgnLÚ Ü2^nLÚ t [8], np ^йш|ш0 0-2 npкt ü^^ügp ^шJшumшün4 ^ шügünLÚ, hp^pp qhn ^pnq t oqnLrn ршр^ üшfaшйhnünLpJnLÜ^g, к шщ oqnLrnühpp ^pnq hü pшphl_ш44hl, hph £шqш£шЦшünLpJшü ^pшЦшüшgúшüp qnLqшhhn
pшphl_ш4hü hüpшЦшnnLg4шÖEÜhpp:
Q-üшhшm4nLÚ t, np übpqprnúühp^ ühpqpш4-йшй к mpшüuщnpmшJ^ü üшfaшqöhpй ш4шpm^ü hшugühLnL шpqJnLÜ£nLÚ -^ШJШumшü^ шnш£úшü бш^йш^ Ц^бшт^ 2.8%-n^, ^u^ шnкmp^ öшfauhpp, 1%-n^" hüpшqphlnф np 0-2 mpшüu-^nprnm^^ü hüpшЦшnnLg4шÖ2Ühpp qrnqnpq^nLÚ hü шnкmp^ qJnLpшgúшü pшphlш4nLÚühpnф npnüf ^un^ ^шф ЦpfiшmnLÚ hü uшMшümфü hhmшйqnLÚühpp (Ц^ПшШЦ 1):
Unliuipji ifjigjili chilli mil mlj^i linhnqiji diuiJiuíiinljJi ljjiííminiiLii
3]iíiiuumiuíi Uimiii]iíi uiub itmtimsmiji 4tp]iü и iulll[uiíliu¿ui"l]l
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Tji ri quin lull 20,7 15,2 8,5 12,9
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U|l[. tqpniLjlil II 4blun. Uufiui
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^ЪП-fi (&ш^) к pmpbfybgnLp^ü ^рш (шр) [9]
2020 p^^üfr hrnü^u^ü ^шúш2^шphшJpü pшü^ ^nqú^g ^pшЦшüшgpшö 02 üшfaш-Ühnümp^ü 4hpшphpJШl Uqpph^ü^ üшfaшqh-hhmшqnmnLpJшü úh^ ^P-ü шnшüйüшgünLÚ t qшpqшgúшü 3 ughüшpühp. I ЩЬЬШРР ühpшnnLÚ t ú^mjü 0-2 hüpшЦшnnLg4шÖ2^ pшphlш4nLÚp, II ugb^pp ühpшnnLÚ t hüpшЦшnnLg4шÖ2Ühp^ pшphlш4nLÚp к 02 mümhunLpjrnüühp^ hшúшp uшMшüшJ^ü hhmшйqnLÚühp^ 50 rnn^nun^ ЦpfiшmnLÚp, III щШшрр ühpшnnLÚ t 0-2
hüpшЦшnnLg4шÖEÜhpfr pшphlш4nLÚp, uшhúш-üm^^ü nL2шgnLÚühp^ ü^qhgmúp к 0-2 mümhunLpjrnüühp^ й^к hp^nqú uшЦшqühp^ 50 rnn^nu^ ^^hgnLÚp:
örnü^rngrnö hp^p^ шpmшg^ü ф^üшüuшЦшü ühpqpnLÚühp^ шщшhn4úшü hшúшp ^p^p grngp^ühp^g úh^p qrnpqrngrnö inqpum^
hüpшЦшnnLg4шÖ2Ühp^ шnЦшJnLpJnLÜü t: ^шúш2^шphшJpü pшüЦp й2шЦтй t «Lnqpum^-Цшф шpqJnLÜш4hmnLpJшü hшúшpИ.P>> (Logistics Performance Index, LPI) [10], npp üшк hp^p^ mürnhump^ü qшpqшд4шönLpJшü ЦшpкnpшqnLJÜ gnLgшü^2 t: Ujü hш24шpknLÚ t inq^um^ qnpöpüprngühp^ шpqJnLÜш4hmnL-pjrnüp, npp úшuüш4npшщhu ^ümhqprng^nü ú^^np^ü 2P2шüшUühpnLÚ ЦhüuшЦшü Ü2шüшЦnLpJnLÜ rnü^ ^ü^hu ú^2шqqшJ^ü шnкmp^, шJÜщhu ti mümhurn^rnü шб^ hшúшp: Ц^щ^и^ ^шúш2^шphшJpü pшü^ inqpurn^-Цш]^ шpqJnLÜш4hmnLpJшü prnqürnqnpönü qüшhшmшЦшüühp^ hpúщü hüшpш4np t i^bnLÚ hшúhúшmhl ш2^шphp gшü 150 hp^pühp^
шnкmp^ inqpurn^^ hüшpщ4npnLpJnLÜühpp: Gum ^hp^frfr 2018 p4шkшü^ Lnq^um^^ Цшшш-
U^IJnLuш^ 1: ^ß hш2tfшрfyйbрp übpqpnidübpfr шqцbgnLpJшй ФршрЬ[УШ1 [7]
Регион и мир, 2Q2Î, M 2
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üh^nL h^pnщшЦшü 2nL^rnjnLÚ ^p úшuüшpшd^üp к umшüшLnL lpшgnLg^^ [13]: Uju hшúш-mhpumnLÚ «^шpu^g öng - ик ön^» mpшüuщnpmшJ^ü ú^rnügp^ úшu Цшqúnp «^JnLи^и-hшрш4» ш4шnfiшùшщшрh^ Ьш^шЬ ^шппьдпьйр ^шJШumшünLÚ p^nLÚ t ^ü^hu ^шJшumшü^, rnjü^hu ti Q^ürnumrnü^ 2шhhp^g, ^ü^p opjh^m^4 h^úp t m4JШl üш^ш-qônLÙ ühpqpnLúühp^ ühpqpш4úшü
hшúшp [14]: U^кünLJÜ drnúrnürnk ШП-
üh^n^ Q^üшumшü^ ш2faшphшpшpшpшЦшü ü^pmnLúühpp к hшúш2^шphшJ^ü úшpmшhpш-^hpühpp, ^шpш4шJ^ü pninp hphp
p.hpшЦшmшpühpk ^шJшumшü^, Uppph2шü^ к Чpшumшü^ hrnúrnp Q^üшumшü^ ühpqpnLúühpp Цшpnp hü pkmrnp^hl np^hu ш2^шphшpш-pшpшЦшü nLdrnj^ü ^hümpnüühp^ шqp:hgnL-pjnLÜp hш4шuшpшЦ2nnp qnpönü: Uju^hu, mшpшöш2p2шü^ mшpшüg^Ц öpшqphp^g qnLpu ^úürnpL hшúшmhpumnLÚ ^шJшumшü^ hшúшp tшЦшü Ü2rnürn^nLpjnLÜ nLÜ^ ^шpu^g öng-ик ön^ ú^2шügpp, np^ 2nLp2 hшúшqnpöшЦgnLp)шü hшpgp ú2mrn^hu ^hmp t щшhhl_ opшЦшpqnLÚ, prng^ úшuüшq^mшЦшü qш2mnLÚ Ü2^nLú t, np к' ^pшgшЦшü, к' ^prnürn^rnü ^npú^ hhm hшЬq^щnLÚühpnLÚ ^шJшumшüp n^ ú^rnjü ^hmp t ühpЦшJшgü^ öprnqp^ üЦшmúшúp ^p hhmш-pppp4шönLpJnLÜp, шдк hшЬqhu qш шpq]nLÜш-4hm hшúшqnpöшЦgnLp)шüü nLpp4шö üш^ш-ÜhnünLpjnLÜühpn^ [15]: Urn^rnjü Ьpшü^ hшúшp mpшüuщnpmшJ^ü Цшpкnp ürnfarnqö^" «<íjnLu^u-^шpш4» mpшüuщnpmшJ^ü ú^2шügp^ 2nLp£ шünpn2nLp)nLÜühpp úhöшünLÚ hü ühpЦш mшpшöш2P2шüшJ^ü щшJÚшüш-
4np4шö: ^hnкu hrnjmü^ ^t, ph ^ü^ qшpqш-gnLúühp Цшpnp hü nLÜhüшl_ mшpшöш2P2шünLÚ, hrnm^rn^hu 2020 p4шЦшü^ ünjhúphp^ 10-^ bnrn^nqú hшúшйшJÜшqp^g hhmn, npmhp üшк 2h2m^nLú t шщш2P2шфшЦúшü, Uqpph2шüp к ^rnfa^^rnüp ЦШЩПР gшúшpшJ^ü fiшüшщшph^ úшu^ü, ^üp шügühlnL t UjnLÜ^p^ mшpшöpn4:
шùqшdшЦдnLpJnLÙp, hш4buшl_
qnpön^ü
Q^üшЦшü üш^шйhnЬnLp)nLÜ^g ^шJшu-mшüp Цшpnq t qMtohümühp 2шhhl üшк oqmшqnpöhln4 bUSU шЬqшúшЦgnLpJшü hшü-qшúшüpp: Фn^шqшpй 2шhhp^ hrnúpü^úrnü к qpшüg фn^Цшщ4шö qшpqшgúшü úrnu^ü hшJmшpшpnLp)шúp ^nqúhpp hшüqhu hü h^h]_ qhnкu 2015p.-^ü, ^u^ шpqhü 2018p. 17-
^ü UumшüшJnLÚ bUSU-^ к Q^üшumшü^ ú^2к ^üp^hi t шnкmpшmümhuшЦшü hшúшqnpöшЦ-gnLpJшü щшJÚшüшq^p: UjnLu ^nqú^g' ^ШJШu-mшüp bUSU rnüqrnú ^hmnLpjnLÜü t, npü nLÜ^ bU-^ hhm «^шúшщшpфшЦ к pü^^m-iü^ft qnpöpüЦhpnLpJшü hшúшйшJÜшq^p», ^ü^^hu üшк rnpmrnp^ü шnкmp^ шpmnÜJШl_ nhd^ú
(GSP+), frùp ^mpnq t bU-fr k Qfrùmummùfr, bU-fr k bUSU-fr ùfrgk mnkmpmmùmhum^mù hmpm-phpnLpjnLùùhpfr qmpqmgùmù hmùmp umhqôhi ipmgnLgfr^ hùmpm^npmpjnLùùhp [16]: Qfrùmu-mmùp hmùm2^mphmjfrù mùmhunLpjnLùnLù ifrùhin^ mnm^mrnrnp qhpmhpmpjnLù mnm&g-pmjfrù ù2mùm^nLpjnLù nLùfr ùmk bUSU hp^p-ùhpfr hmùmp hmùqfrumùmp^ ùfrmpjmù fan2np mnkmpmjfrù qnpôpù^hpp: Q^&mummùp bUSU mùqmù hp%ùhpfr hhs nLùfr hmgnq^mô qnpôpù^hpmjfrù k ùhpqpnLùmjfrù ùmfam&hn-ùmpjnLùùhpfr ^np&mnnLpjnLù, npp ^mpnq t opfrùm^hjfr ifrùhi hmj-^frùm^mù hmpmphpnL-pjnLùùhpfr hmùmmhpumnLù:
"uhp^mjnLùu -^mjmummùp &qmnLù t nLdh-qmgùh frp ^m^hpp ^jnLufru-hmpm^ ùfrgmqqmjfrù
mpmùu^npmmjfrù ùfrgmùgpfr ùfrgngn^, npnLù ùhpqpm^mô hù -^ùq^mummùp, ftnLumumw&p, fl-nLppfrmù, frpmùp, Uqpphgmùp k ùfr 2mpf mJl hp%ùhp: UfrkùnLjù dmùmùmk ^-ù umhùm-ùm^frg t 80 ùfrifrnùmùng frpmùfrù, npfr hhs bUSU-ù 2nLmn^ ^umnpmqpfr mqms mnkspfr hmùm&mjùmqfrp, fru^ ùmfaùm^mù hmùm&mjùm-qfrpù mpqhù fru^ 2020-fr ùnjhùphpfrg qnpônLù t: UfrkùnLjù tfmùmùm^ ^-frpmù umhùmùfrù umhqô^hl t Uhqpfrfr mqmm mùmhum^mù qnsfrù, npp ùmk hùmpm^npmpjnLù ^mm qmpqmgùh hmpmphpmpjnLùùhpù frpmùfr hhm" ùfrmdm-ùmùm^ ^mphjn^ qqnL2m^np pmqmpm^mùnL-pjnLk hm2^fr mnùhp^ hmj^m^mù 2nL^mjfr mnmù&ùmhmm^mpjnLùùhpp:
South Transport Corridor ÎNSTC)
-fimpmhq 1. ^jnrnfru-^wpwtf ûfywqquijfrh ûfywhgp
frpmùfr k U^qmùummùfr ùfrgk mnmgfrù hp^mpnLqfrù qnpômp^hl t 2020p. ^h^mhù-phpfrù, frù^p inLpg pmji t qh^fr m^qmùm^mù-frpmùm^mù mnkmmpp ùhômgùhinL k qh^fr ôn^ hip ^nLùhgnq U^qmùummùp m2famphfr ùjnLu hp^pùhpfr mngk pmghpL frpmùm^mù Qmpmhmp ùm^mhmùqumn^: U^qmùummùfr ùmfamqmh U2pm$ Q-mùfrù hp^mpqfrôp ù^mpmqphi t np^hu «frpmùfr ^nqùfrg pmù^mpdhp ù^hp», npp ^oqùfr ^hpm^mùqùhi hfrù Uhmmpufr fimùm^mphp: frpmùfr ùmfamqmh ^mumù frnhmùfrù nqgnLùh] t ùh^ùmp^p k hp^m. hp^pùhpfr hmùmp np^hu «^mmùm^mù op» k mjù npm^h np^hu U^qmùummùfr hmùmp qmp^mu qh^fr b^pn^m [17]: Qmpmhmp ùm^mhmùqfrump ^jnLufru-hmpm^ ùfrgmqqmjfrù mpmùu^npmmjfrù ùfrg-mùgpfr (INSTC) ùmu t, npp 2000 p. ^mùfr, -^ùq^mummùfr k ftnLumummùfr ùfrgk hmùm-
&mjùhg^mô nmqùm^mpm^mù mnkmpmjfrù nLpfr t: ftnLumummùp, ^pmùp k ^ùq^mummùp 2002 p^m^mùfr ùmjfrufr usnpmqphgfrù ù2^mô ùfrgmùgpfr ùm^mqôfr ùmufrù hmùm&mjùmqfrpp k 3 hp^frpù tl hmùqfrumùnLÙ hù hfrùùmqfrp hp^pùhp: Gum ^ùq^mumm&nLÙ phnùm^n^m-qpnqùhpfr ^hqhpmgfrmjfr qùmhmmm^mùfr, ^jnLufru-hmpm^ mpmùu^npmmjfrù ùfrgmùgpfr qnpômp^nLÙp hùmpm^npnLpjnLù ^mm bUSU hp^pùhpfr k ^ùq^mummùfr ùfrgk mmpmùgfr^ hhnm^npnLpjnLùp ^pfimmh] 40%-n^, mnkspfr hmùmp ôm^u^nq dmùmùm^p 50%-n^ k mpmùu^npmfr ôm^uhpp 30%-n^ [18]: ^ùmù hmùmqnpôm^gnLpjnLùp, mnmgfrù hhppfrù, hùpm-qpnLù t ^n^mqmp& mnkmpfr mqmmm^mùmgnLù pmphù^mum um^mqùmjfrù k n^ um^mqùmjfrù ^mpqm^npùmù nhdfrùùhpfr hmummmùmù ùfr-gngn^: Uju ^mjùmùùhpnLù hùq^m^mù pù^hpnL-
Регион и мир, 2Q2Ï, № 2
pjnLÜühpp hürnprn^npnLpjnLÜ ^nLÜhürnü únLrng qnpöhi bUSU-p 160 úplpnüшЬng puk
bUSU pü^hpnLpjnLÜühpp" ^üцkшumшüp 1,2 ü^rnp^. qn^p шpdnqnLpJшúp ^штЦш-
ü2rn^rnü t, np hüqЦшЦшü ^nqúp hhrn hшúш-qnpöшЦgnLpJшü qhpшЦш n^nprnühpü hü" tühpqh-mp^ü, qhqшqnpönLpJnLÜp, SS njnpmp, шпп^-2шщшhnLpJnLÜp, öшnшJnLpJnLÜühp^ njnpmp: шnühlnф np шщ nppmühpp rnnrn^rnrnrnp Цшй hbnшükшpшJpü hü ^ШJШumшüp hrnúrnp, ^üqЦшumшüp ^pnq t qшnüшl_ hbnшükшpшJpü ühpqpnq ^шJшumшünLÚ: U^hpü, bUSU-ü umhq-öhi t pЬqhшünLp qhqшqnpöшЦшü npp
^pnp t шpшqшgühl_ hüq^rn^rnü шpmшцpшÜ£p únLrngp bUSU [19]:
UJuщpun4, -^шJшumшüp bUSU-p шЬ^ш-úшЦgnLpJnLÜp к rnrnprnüg^ qppgp ^pnq hü IprngnLg^ шqqшЦ hшqnpцhl hшJ-^püшkшü hшpшphpnLpJnLÜühppü, шщ p^nLÚ 0-2 üшfaш-йbnünLpJшüp: bUSU-ü npщhu pümhqpшgpnü úpш4npnLÚ ^ШJШumшüp hrnúrnp ^pnq t Ц^pшn4hl_ npщhu ü^rnü^jrni оршЦ ühpцpnLÚШJpü üшfaшйhnЬnLpJnLÜühpp шnш2úqúшü qnpöpü-pшgnLÚ:
ЪqpшЦшgnLpJnLÙùhp: ШФПФЬР^ ü2hüg, np ^ürn^rnü üш^шйhnünLpJnLÜp kpnLú t qinprni_ pünijp к ^шJшumшüp щЬш£ t ^rnü^hp qnpöшцpp ühpqpш44шönLpJnLÜ шщшhn4hlnL niqqnLpjrnüp: Up2шqqшJpü kшnnLJgühpp ^nqúpg ^ü úp 2ШP2 qüшhшmшЦшüühp, npnüg фшumnLÚ hü üш^шйhnЬnLpJшü шpцJnLÜш4h-rnnLpjnLÜp шpmш£pü шnкmpp ^ш öш^u4nq dшúшüшkp Цpfiшmúшü, örnfauhp^ ü4шqhgúшü, hüpшЦшnnLg4шÖ2Ühp^ qшpqшgúшü rnhugn^: Gum ^P qüшhшmшkшüühpp, шщ шqцhgnL-pjnLÜp Цqqшü pü^hu üшfaшйhnünLpJшüp шüúp-grn^rnü úшuüшЦgnLpJnLÜ nLÜhgnq hpkpühpp, шJÜщhu ti mшpшöш2p2шüp hpkpühpp: Uju hшúшmhgumnLÚ, ^шJшumшüp mшpшügpk ш2^шphшqpшЦшü qpppp fip2m úrnrnnLgúrnü, bUSU шüqшúшЦgnLpJшü к frpшüp hhrn rnüú^rnkrnü uшhúшüp шnЦшJnLpJшü hшüqш-úrnügp oqmшqnpöhLnL щшpшqшJnLÚ hüшpш4np klpüp ^ürn^rnü ^nqúp hhmш£p£pnLpJnLÜp u^-nh]_ ^ШJШumшünLÚ ühpцpnLÚШJpü üшfaшqöhpp ppшqnpöúшü nщqnLpJшúp: Urnkrnjü ü2hüg, np ршд^ 4hpnÜ2JШl hшüqшúшü£ühppg, gшükшgшö ühpqpnq, шщ p^nLÚ ^ürn^rnü ühpцpnLÚШJpü pükhpnLpjnLÜühpp üш^кшnш2 ^p^phinL hü mшpшöш2p2шüp шü4wшüqnLpJnLÜü nL krnjnL-ünLpjnLÜp, nLump rn^u hшpghpp шпш^Ь prnü hpшmшщ hü qшnünLÚ hш24p rnnühin^ üшк fiqüшdщúшJ^ü ^pшqpnLpJnLÜp: U^кünLJÜ бшйш-üшk, 4hp?^ü 2P2шü^ qшpqшgnLÚühpp gnLjg hü mш|^u, np mшpшöш2P2шünLÚ 4hpшqш-
uш4npnLÚühp^ dщúшüшkühp hüg rn^nLÚ,
npnüg kшpnq hü tшkшünphü к hpúfrn^ü фп^Ь! mümhuшkшü knÜJnLkmnLpшü ^шJшumшünLÚ:
bpkknqú mümhuшkшü hшpшphpnLpJnLÜ-ühp^ ninprnrnj^ü nLunLÚüшu^pnLpJnLÜp gnLjg t mшl^u, np krnü ú^ 2ШP2 opjh^rn^^ к unLpjh^rn^^ щшmfiшnühp, npnüg ^n^púqnrnnLÚ hü шпЦш щnmhüg^ш|^ ^pшgnLÚp: Uшuüш4npшщhu, ^ p^^u шл ^n^püqnrnühp^" hpknL hpkpühp^ й^^к hhnш4npnLpJnLÜp, oqrn^^ü к gшúшgШJ^ü nLqpühpn^ phnüшфn^шqpnLÚühp^ kшqúшkhpщ-úшü qd^rnpnLpjnLÜühpp, pшpйp úшguшmnLp-ghpp, öш^uhpp к rnjiü, шпЦш hü üшк rnpmrng^ü gшqшgшkшü úшkшpqшkn4 pшgpnqnLÚühp, hü op^ürnk üшк ^ШJШumшü^ pnLjj_ ühpkшJшgnLg^nLpJnLÜp Q^üшumшünLÚ, hpkp^ hhq^üшknLpJшü к ^prnqhk^rnfrnLpjnLÜ pшpйpшgúшü шühpшdh2mnLpJnLÜp: Q^üшkшü 2nLkшJnLÚ mшpшöш2p2шü^ hpkpühp^ hшúhúшm hшJkшkшü шpmшqpшüg^ úpgnLÜrnknLpjnLÜp q^^nLÚ t ^ hш2^4 prnp&p úшguшmnLpghp^, npnüg uшhúшü4nLÚ hü ^ürn^rnü 2nLkш únLrng qnpöшö omшphpkpJШ rn^rnügühp^ úшuüш4npш-
щhu knüjшk^ qh^nLÚ" 63%, qpünL qhщpnLÚ" 48%, puk úpqrn^^ü q^ü^ühp^ qh4EnLÚ" 82%: Urn rnjü qhщgnLÚ, hpp hшpкшü ^.prnumrnü^ к Q^üшumшü^ й^^к qnpônLÙ t rnqrnrn шnкmp^ hшúшйшJÜшq^p, npp rnpqjnLÜpnLÚ ^pшgшkшü шщpшügühpp pш4шkшü^ü úpgnLÜшk hü qrnnünLÚ ^püшkшü 2nLkшJnLÚ: ^ШJШumшüp úrnuürnkgnLpjnLÜp Цш^^ш^ t pp puk üшqpmшkшü, mümhuшkшü к ühpqpnLÚшJpü шЦтр4 ErnJlhppg: ^ШJ-^püшkшü фn^qnpöшkgnL-PJшü nLunLÚürnuppnLpjnLÜp gnLjg t mшlpu, np pЬqhшünLp mшp4nq шpmшgpü ршршршкш-ЬnLpJшü úh^ hpphúü шupшkшü hpkpühpp hшpшphpnLpJnLÜühpp qprnrnpk^nLú hü ünLjü hшppnLpJшü úh^, úpü^qhn hpkpühpp úp2к йкш4np4шö hшpшphpnLpJnLÜühpp к kшщhpü tшkшünphü mшpphp4nLÚ hü: «Uju hшúш-rnhgurnnLú mümhuшkшü фn^qnpöшkgnLpJшüü rnnü^nq ^üqppühpp lnLÖúшü qnpónLú n^ щhmшkшü qhpшkшmшpühpp, фnpйшqpmшkшü hшüpnLJpp püumpmnLgpnüшl к шühшmшkшü úшkшpqшkn4 púqqpknLúp kшpnq t tшkшünphü pшphl_ш4hl gшqшgшkшü, mümhuшkшü, ú2rn-knLprnjpü к qpmшkppшkшü n^nprnnLú kшщhpp, üщшumhl_ hpkknqú opшkшpqpü шnü^4nq prnq-úшpp4 ^üqppühpp lnLÖúшüp» 2шhnLJp [20]:
шnühLn4 mшpшöш2P2шüшJpü qшp-qrngnLúühpp к hшpкшü hpkpühpp qnpönLÜ grnjLhpp üш^шйhnЬnLpJшüp ühpqpш44hlnL к шpqhü puk 2n2шфhlp шpq)nLÜgühp qpшüghlnL nLqqnLpJшúp, ^ШJШumшüp щЬш^ t ühpqüp 2шhшnnL knqúhpp 2шüghpp úhq hшúшp kшpкnp Ü2rnürnknLpjnLÜ nLÜhgnq ^JnLupu-hшpш4 ш4mnúшJpnLqnL 4hp2üшkшü pprnqnpóúrnüp: Uju hшúшmhgumnLÚ pшqúpgu Ü24hl t «^jnLupu-
hmpmU» mUmndmjpnLqnL ^mnnLgdmfrp Qfrfrmu-mmfrfr dmufrm^gmpjmfr mfrhpmdh2mnLpjnLfrp (ph' dmufrm^np pfr^hpnLpjnLfrfrhpfr, ph' qhmm-^mfr dm^mpqm^nU), frfr^p ^mpnq t hmfrqhgfrhi frfr^hu hp^m. hp%frhpfr, mjfr^hu tl hmpkmfr hp^pfrhpfr k mmpm&m2p2mfrmjfrfr frfrmhqpmgfrnfr ^mnnygfrhpfr' bU-fr k bUSU-fr dfr^k 2mhhpfr fam^dmfr ^mpknp hmfrqp^mfrfr [21]:
^hk ^mpknp^nLd t frhpqpnLdmjfrfr frmfam-fthnfrmpimfrp dmufrm^gmpjnLfrp k
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1. Belt and Road Initiatives, https://www.beltroad-initiative.com/belt-and-road/
2. BRI Connect: An Initiative in Numbers https://www.refinitiv.com/content/dam/marketing/en _us/documents/reports/refinitiv-zawya-belt-and-road-initiative-report-2019.pdf
3. Xiang De Bao, ( 2016 ), One Belt, One Road: China's reconstruction for global communication and international discourse power, International Institute for Asian Studies, https://www.iias.asia/the-newsletter/article/one-belt-one-road-chinas-reconstruction-global-communication-international
4. -^h^frmd ^mjmghi hfr huij-^frm^mfr pmp5p dm^mpqm^^ pmfrm^gnLpjnLfrfrbpp, 2015p. president.am
5. Ian Bond, The EU, the Eurasian Economic Union and One Belt, One Road: Can they work together? Center for European Reform, 2017
6. China's 40 Years of Reform and Development: 1978-2018 'The political economy causes of China's economic success' pp. 75-92 (18 pages) https://www.jstor.org/stable/j.ctv5cgbnk
7. South Caucasus and Central Asia: The Belt and Road Initiative Armenia Country Case Study https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/han dle/10986/34120/South-Caucasus-and-Central-Asia-The-Belt-and-Road-Initiative-Armenia-Country-Case-Study.pdf?sequence=4&isAllowed=y,
8. South Caucasus and Central Asia - The Belt and Road Initiative : Armenia Country Case Study https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986 /34120
9. The World Bank, (June 2020), South Caucasus and Central Asia Belt and Road Initiative - Azerbaijan Country Case Study, https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986
/34329
10. -<udu2fauphuJfrfr pmfrk (2018), «Lnqpum^mjfr upq)nLfru4bmnLp]ufr ^mpUmfrfr?», https://lpi.worldbank.org/international/global/2018
11. "One Belt One Road": A Vision for the Future of China-Middle East Relations (May,2017) https://studies.aljazeera.net/en/reports/2017/05/belt-road-vision-future-china-middle-east-relations-170509102227548.html
12. By Current Affairs Correspondent West Asia, ( Sept, 2019 ), China to Invest $400 bn in Iran's Energy, Transport Sectors, https://www.beltandroad.news/2019/09/07/china-to-invest-400-bn-in-irans-energy-transport-sectors/
13. Full text of Joint Statement on Comprehensive Strategic Partnership between I.R. Iran, P.R. China http://www.president.ir/EN/91435
14. 2012-pfr Uu^m^mfr qmpqmgdmfr pmfr^ Ump^fr d^gngn^ (hbmmqmjnLd bU hmpkmfrnLpjmfr frbpqpnLdmjfrfr Spmqpfr (NIF) k EIB-p odufrqu^nLpJudp) -mjmurnmfrp db^frmp^bg 556 ^frindbmpmfrng —jmufru-hmpmU fiufru^uphuJfrfr dfrgmfrgpfr frm^mqfrdp, npp ^m^fr —uJuumufr-
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15. Uptfhfr ^upmjhpm&, (2019), 4pmummfrp frpmhh hmpm^hnUhmujmh gmqmgmhmhnLpjmfr mppnijpnL^ https://orbeli.am/hy/post
16. -<mtfm^mp^mh k p&muijh4m& qnp&phhhpnLpjrnh hmtfm&mjhmqhp, https://www.mfa.am/filemanager/eu/CEPA_ARM_1 .pdf
17. Iran's railway ambitions go beyond Afghanistan https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/iransource/ira ns-railway-ambitions-go-beyond-afghanistan/
18. Bipul Chatteijee and Surendar Singh, (May, 2015), An Opportunity for India in Central Asia, The Diplomat, http://thediplomat.com/2015/05/an-opportunity-for-india-in-central-asia/
19. Yuan Jiang, ( January, 2020 ), Russia's Strategy in Central Asia: Inviting India to Balance China, The Diplomat, https://thediplomat.com/2020/01/russias-
strategy-in-central-asia-inviting-india-to-balance-china/
20. Upnjmh (2019), niqtquyhh hhhmpnhhhp. nmq^m^mpmhmh qmqm^mphhph qmpphnghhpp, «Qmhqmh» hpms., bp, 216 t2, hfr^hu frmk Upnjmfr (2019), ^mjmummhh bphpnpq
qhUmhmqhmnLpjmh fahqhphhph 2^2, https://asue.am/amberd/publications/analytics/diplo macy-issues-of-armenia-second-trace
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https://hti.am/main.php?lang=1&page_id=664
22. Silk Road Cities Alliance, http://www.chinagoabroad.com/en/contributor/silk-road-cities-alliance
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