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72
MOVEMENT POPULATION IN THE SECOND OF XX AND
BEGINNING OF XXI CENTURY: THE CASE NORTHEASTERN MONTENEGRO
Goran Rajovic, Jelisavka Bulatovic, Researchers College of Textile Design, Technology and Management, Belgrade, Serbia E-mail: dkgoran.rajovic@gmail.com, jelisavka.bulatovic@gmail.com Phone: 0038161/19-24-850, 003861/ 3082651
ABSTRACT
This paper analyzes population trends northeast of Montenegro in the second half of the twentieth and early twenty-first century. The population has increased in the period 19482003 to 2.16%, but with a tendency to decline from 1981. The population in are period 19812003, decreased by 14,674, or 21.16 %. Parameters of natural population indicate a negative trend. So the natural increase in 2003 in the municipality was Andrijevica - 4.6 %o, in the municipality of Plav 4.21 %0, and Berane 9.29 %o, significantly lower than in the beginning of the seventies. Population migration indicates uneven density and population concentration. The existence of a large number of settlements up to 500 populations (81) is not suitable for modern flow to vital economic development of the region.
KEYWORDS
Northeastern Montenegro; Density of population; Natural change; Migration.
Northeastern Montenegro covers an area of 1486 km2 and the population census in 2003 there lived 54 658 inhabitants, or 36.8 in/ km2. It covers three municipalities: Berane, Andrijevica and Plav. The paper provides a review and interpretation of the basic parameters of population trends northeastern of Montenegro in the second half of the twentieth and early twenty-first century.
Unlike the nineties of the last century, the population of the region during the seventies, moving out to a much lesser extent, we can explain the material well-being of the former Yugoslavia. Specifically, the seventies of the last century, many remained in my memory as a period when the well-earned and well-lived. In this regard, we should not be surprised that in most walks of socialism remained in my memory as the past is better than the present meager (Bolcic and Milic, 2002). But in the early eighties of the last century, Yugoslav economy began to show signs of crisis. In this regard, the fall in the population of northeastern region of Montenegro, at that time, it seems to us quite expected. In fact, many companies have started to noticeably reduce the workforce, and the process of job creation has slowed. It is also a time of mass migration of population from rural to urban areas, or temporary work abroad.
Nineties of the last century, represent an extremely complex period in the social life of our population. In addition to long-term demographic factors on the development of the region seemed a series of major historical events. "The disintegration of the former Yugoslavia, the war in the region, the sanctions of the international community, the social and political changes, the deep economic crisis, military intervention, political developments, institutional crisis... Feeling, above all, economic and existential uncertainty, the basic characteristics of people's lives during this period that the individual and psychological NEW” (Tucovic and Stevanovic, 2007). The account should be taken of the consequences of transition in 2000, the most important being the increase of unemployment, poverty, increased mortality rates, shorter life expectancy.
Migration of the population is characterized by uneven settlement density and population concentration. The classification of settlements in northeastern Montenegro by population size in 2003, show that in the region of the village had as many as 18 to 100 people, or 81 to 500 village residents. These settlements are characterized by demographic exhaustion of resources, due to the negative net migration, and because of the lack of biological population replacement, as well as age and education structure of the population. While the population of the village a little off, on the other hand there is a strong concentration of population in Berane, Luge Beranske, Gusinje and Plav, which results in
demographic imbalance and large differences in population density and population between spatial entities, with particular demographic, economic and social polarization.
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
This paper has several objectives. First of all, the analysis of the existing literature aims to establish the number and density of the population of northeastern Montenegro. The next goal is to show the change in population in the region. And finally, we need to identify the reasons and motives of population movements and highlight the factors that have led to the migration of the population.
The methodology is primarily based on an analysis of the existing literature on the population of the region and statistics. From the existing literature, we used both domestic and those published in the international literature. On this occasion of the international publication emphasize this: Holmes (1971), Foord (1975), Parr (1987), Zah (1994), van der Laan (1998), Artis and Romani & Surinach (2000). There are literature monographs on population, proceedings and textbooks. Were studied and written sources on the internet. The scientific explanation of terms, we applied two methods are used: analytic and synthetic. Analytical methods are considered some of the dimensions of the research topic, and a synthetic whole, the interconnections between the case and suggested measures that derive there from.
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
Number and population density. The population of Northeastern Montenegro is characterized by steadily declining in relation to the dynamics of the population. This in 1948 the population of the region seemed 14.17% of the population and 8.12% in 2003.
The percentage increase of population, accounted for 1948-2003, 43.96%. However, northeastern Montenegro shows significant deviations from these population dynamics. Thus, the percentage increase in population during the period amounted to 1948-2003, 2.16%, but with a tendency to decline from 1981. Namely, in the period 1981-1991 population of Northeastern Montenegro is reduced from - 0, 63% to - 6.31%, from 19912003 - 6.31% to - 15.9%. The general conclusion is that the Northeastern Montenegro, had over a period of extreme depopulation of 1981, which had a negative impact on the overall social and economic developments, and that means the population decline in the near past thirty years. The population in northeastern Montenegro, in are period 1981-2003 decreased by 14,674, or 21,16%.
Table 1. Change of population in Montenegro and the region in the period 1948-2003
- 1948. 1953. 1961. 1971. 1981. 1991. 2003.
POPULATION
Montenegro 377.189 419.873 471.896 529.604 584.310 615.037 673.094
Region 53.477 57.973 62.993 68.893 69.332 64.954 54.658
the percentage share of the population of Montenegro
Region 14,18 13,81 13,35 13,01 11,87 10,56 8,12
the percentage increase or decrease in population
- 1948/53. 1953/61. 1961/71. 1971/81. 1981/91. 1991/2003. 2003/48.
Montenegro 42.684 52.023 57.708 54.706 30.727 58.060 295.905
11,32% 12,40% 12,23% 10,33% 5,26% 9,44% 43,96%
Region 4.496 5.020 5.900 - 439 - 4.378 -10.296 1.181
8,41% 8,66% 9,37% -0,63% -6,31% -15,9 2,16 %
Source: Statistical Office of Montenegro, Census of Population (appropriate year), calculations by.
Under the influence of general demographic principles, but also many geographical, historical, socio-economic factors in northeastern Montenegro demographics present significant spatial differences. "Urbanization and industrialization, and geographic environment and unfavorable, as the dominant factors of population transfer, led to the
emergence of the concentration of people in a favorable area, and the depopulation of the neighboring mountain of unfavorable areas, or to discharge them from the population and their" drip "in one of the first, the more favorable areas "(Jacimovic, 1989).
Based on the demonstrated tendency of the forward movement of the total population in northeastern Montenegro, it is possible to single out one hand and on the other depopulated areas of population concentration areas (see map no. 1). The depopulation of areas which include 85 from a total of 113 villages, or 72.81% (1082 km2), the total area of the region (1.1486 km2), census 1971 lived 37 851 inhabitants (59.94% of total population), and in 2003.year 9578 population (17.52% of total population). Therefore, depopulation is
evident in the demographic sphere in ........... its lack of natural regeneration, changes in
distribution and density.... (Spasovska and Ilic, 1989). For example, pronounced depopulation in rural areas, and who could not keep the population was (an index for the period 1971-2003, settlements Kurikuce 28.8, Dulipolje 29.0; Seoca 30.0, Bastahe 38.5; Kralje 40.3, Upper Rzanica 45.2...). Areas of population concentration in growth of population, 1971 census they were living in 31 042 people (45.06% of total population), and 45 080 inhabitants in 2003 (82.47% of total population). A substantial population growth in that period, record the settlement in the vicinity of Berane: Dolac (index 212.5), Pesca (index 197.9), Luge (index 150.6), Beran Selo (index 162.9), Luzac (index 107, 5).
5 0 5 10Km
Figure 1. Zone of concentration and zone depopulation in northeastern Montenegro The general conclusion is that the depopulation of the north-eastern Montenegro, after the 1971 settlement was higher in remote mountainous areas and municipal centers, while growth had community centers, which lie along important roads, especially the road, and one in the valley widening which the overall living conditions were more favorable (Bakic et al 1991). Thus, the hallmark of are modern development of rural areas in the region, given that the process of depopulation processes of industrialization and urbanization. . Age groups, due to migration and the reduction of fertility change and take on unfavorable characteristics, reduces the proportion of younger and older increases the proportion of the population. In
both cases, the disturbed age structure has a reverse effect on the movement of the population (the size of reproductive contingent), but also to all other structures of the population (the size of contingent employment, population, compulsory school contingent, contingent dependent population ratio)( see more Rajovic and Bulatovic, 2012).
Table 2. Movement of the total population in northeastern Montenegro 1971-2003
Space Total population Index 71/03. Area in km2 Density (the population km j 1971. 2003.
1971. 2003.
Zone concentration 37.851 45.080 395,2 1.082 76,8 8,85
Zone depopulation 31.042 9.578 68,9 404,1 35,0 111,6
Total 68.893 54.658 126,0 1.486 46,4 36,8
Source: Statistical Office of Montenegro, Census of Population (appropriate year), calculations by
General population density is one of the basic demographic characteristics that indicate the spatial distribution of population. In northeastern Montenegro, it was reduced from 46.4 in/km2 (in 1971) to 36.8 in/km2 (in 2003). In areas of depopulation density is reduced from 35.0 in/km2 (in 1971) to 8.85 in/km2 (in 2003). In some rural areas of hill and mountain areas it is extremely low, for example: Cecuni 2.7 in/km2 (in 1971 10.0 in / km2), Kuti 3.3 in /km2 (in 1971 8, 8 in/km2), Vuca 2.6 in/km2 (in 1971 15.4 in/km2). In contrast, in zones of concentration of population density increased from 76.8 in/km2 in 1971 to 111.6 in/km2 in 2003. Densely populated, urban areas in addition, characterized the settlement in the vicinity of urban centers and municipal Berane and Plav: Pesca 1497.5 in/km2; Gusinje 808.3 in /km2; lower Luge 607.5 in/km2; Dolac 175, 8 in/km2; Budimlja 173.4 in/km2.
Formed from such a density, we can state the following:
1. First that the distribution of the population in northeastern Montenegro in 1971 was in correlation with the impact of geographic relationships of natural conditions (physical) type and
2. Second those rural settlements are still a source of power of the population (Bakic et al 1991).
Beginning of the eighties was the decisive moment. That in this period begin with the preservation of rural settlements, construction of traffic infrastructure, development of small businesses, today northeastern Montenegro, would not confirm the model selected as representative (typical), as in all categories figures as part of the dominant and widespread occurrence and trends in rural areas of Montenegro, which is treated and considered underdeveloped. With great certainty, it can be argued, that this distribution of the population in northeastern Montenegro had its causes in the economic underdevelopment, but also adverse effects on the natural growth and migration, which will show the following analysis.
Natural movement of population. The population in northeastern Montenegro depended on the balance of natural and migratory movements. The population issue, in addition to the rural exodus and the concentration of population in municipal areas, came to the fore the ongoing process of reducing population growth.
The birth rate in the municipalities of Berane, Andrijevica and Plav for decades has a tendency to decline. The birth rate of 22.2 / in municipalities Berane and Andrijevica and 25.4 / in the municipality of Plav, 1971 shows that for every 1,000 inhabitants in the municipalities of Berane and Andrijevica 22.2 babies born in the municipality of Plav 25.4 babies while in 2003, 11.1 children born in the municipality Andrijevica, 12.5 in Berane and 12.9 in the municipality of Plav (by the division of the People's Republic of Montenegro to the municipalities of 15.04.1960.godine Andrijevica municipality was abolished and then connected communication Ivangrad. From then until 1991, official statistics provide unique data for Ivangrad or municipality Berane, which applies to the municipality Andrijevica) (Rajovic and Bulatovic, 2013).
So in terms of territorial distribution of fertility in northeastern Montenegro, we can draw the following conclusions:
1. The birth rate would be more likely, that there is a higher standard of living, better conditions of employment, housing, education, childcare and
2. That of Berane, Andrijevica and Plav no longer an inexhaustible source of labor force
and population.
Despite falling birth rates, death rates show that for every 1,000 inhabitants in 1971 in the municipalities of Berane and died Andrijevica 6.2, 3.0 and the municipality of Plav population. So, there was an increase in the mortality rate. This is confirmed by data for 2003 and indicates that the mortality rate ranged from 3.21 deaths in Berane, 8.69 in the municipality of Plav Municipality and 15.7 Andrijevica. The biggest change in the relationship between fertility and mortality, and thus change the rate of natural increase had Andrijevica municipalities. These municipalities had negative population growth in 2003 -4.6/. In the municipality of Plav population growth that year was 4.21/, and Berane 9.29 /. In the future we should expect a stagnation of population growth rate, due to the migration and adaptation of the current population in the region, a new way of life and plan members in the family)(see more Rajovic and Bulatovic, 2013).
The changes that have occurred in our society in the last decade of the last century, in between census 1971 and 2003.years, were affected by changes in population trends in the region. In addition to mechanical and natural movement of the population was under the influence of social change, namely the social crisis. If we take into account the determinants of fertility decline: decrease in the share of agricultural population (9.1% of the total rural population), housing, health care, social protection, later marriage, and the changes that have occurred in this period, the apparent the social impact of the crisis on the level of the birth rate. Another consideration, and transition effects, the most important being the increase of unemployment, poverty, increased mortality rates, shorter life expectancy. The reduction in the already small number of live births are affected just unemployment, a very poor financial situation and social instability. On the other hand, the mortality rate has steadily increased due to inadequate health care, lack of medicines, poor diet, but also because of the increase in the proportion of the population over 60 years (Stojsin, 2004).
As a basic form of existence, the whole family during the emergence of development northeastern of Montenegro was a pillar of the organization of life and economic activities. Some reasons for its closure are deep, as the reasons for termination of life in many rural areas of our country. Probably the wrong attitude of society towards the family and relationships in it and caused the disturbed relations in other spheres of life and work. Not at this point, you can get into all of the importance of family in the development of population and economy of the region. "Modern science has neglected the role of family in shaping economic - demographic processes, which makes the totality of these processes can not explain, and some of them receive a stencil - an abstract form" (Boonefozc, 1968).
Population growth is the result of natural relations of movement and migration processes. If the region does not make any migration of the population, then the growth rate and population growth were the same, that there would be a territorial population balance. "However, this situation actually exists nowhere" (Ilic, 1973). There is not in the northeastern part of Montenegro. Therefore, the municipality Berane, Andrijevica and Plav has very complex demographic components related to population growth. In addition, to note that these components are territorially unevenly distributed causing the demographic imbalance, unstable economic conditions. These facts, as well as uneven economic development, compared to other regions of Montenegro, causing significant migration movements. These processes are 70's of last century were intense. "Therefore, their amounts in the general public are often taken as an important proof of the vitality of our socio-economic system. However, in our opinion, the right score can be obtained if the process is put in an objective framework or, if you locate the temporal, geographical and socio-economic "(Ilic, 1973). How long and to what extent the rate of population growth in the region should fall very hard to say because we do not have the necessary indicators of economic development in the future. But if the population growth rate is still declining, may be considered space in the time to get into a lot of difficult economic situation, due to demographic aging and reduce the working population.
Migration. From the aspect of nationality, it is possible to partition the migration: external (mobility across national borders) and internal (within the country). "The fact is that
most developed migration in contemporary urban stage especially since the beginning of the seventies of the twentieth century to the present time" (Stamenkovic, 1996). By their nature were radical and immediately noticeable. Changing the image of the village in a short period of time, the effects are achieved with a different sign, occur primarily in rural areas and are born out of poverty. It is not very well known that it occurred where space is economically developed. With the rugged northeastern mountains of Montenegro, the whole are family down to the valley, moving closer to roads and easier life in urban areas. "This movement resembles a river that is constantly going down are mountain or the constant wind flow from higher to lower areas") (Pavlovic and Radivojevic & Lazic, 2008). Whether you are coming or inhabited part of the Northeast Montenegro from local or distant parts, whether they are leaving the region in search of a better life, the residents had a strong influence on developments in the area. Arriving, they brought new customs, system of construction, aesthetics and culture of living. Leaving, we changed the image of the village, as removing the previous spatial relationships, and creating opportunities for someone new and not adapted to the environment adapts in space, which is happening quite often.
Their impact is evident in all areas of the territorial space of the complex considered in any relevant geographic features of the settlement (demographic, morph-physiognomic and functional). In this sense, is characterized by continuous changes in demographic characteristics (1948-53477, 1961- 62993, 1971-68993, 1981- 69332, 1991-64954 and 2003 -54658 inhabitants), morph-physiognomic structure (modern functional zoning, types of houses...) and regional-functional characteristics (increase in functional capacity and development of new external functions - industrial, tourism..).
Group of important and characteristic features of population migration northeast of Montenegro in the last forty years, belonging to the following:
1. Changes in the territorial structure of the immigration population,
2. Matching period of industrial development with the continuing dominance of the migration phase of migration,
3. Significant representation of labor migration (temporary work) population abroad and
4. Developed and diversified regional daily movement of workers, pupils and students to other places in the same municipality, other municipalities in Montenegro, another of the Republic (Serbia) or a foreign country or to an unknown place of work or schooling.
Table 3. Indigenous and migrant population in municipalities with respect to the total
population of the region in 2003
Space Total Since the birth of lives in the same place Total immigrant Settlers from the territory of a municipality Displaced from other municipalities of the same Republic -Autonomous Province Migrants from other Republic - Autonomous Province
Broj % Broj % Broj % Broj % Broj %
Andrijevica 5.785 4.427 76,53 1.358 23,47 559 9,66 612 10,58 187 3,23
Berane 35.068 28.088 80,10 6.980 19,9 3.559 10,15 2.062 5,88 1.359 3,88
Plav 13.805 11.711 84,83 2.094 15,17 1.257 9,11 386 2,79 451 3,27
Region 54.658 44.226 80,91 10.432 19,09 5.375 9,83 3.060 5,60 1.997 3,66
Source: Statistical Office of Montenegro, Census of Population (appropriate year), calculations by.
The territorial structure of the studied population migration geo-space, suggests the following structural and developmental characteristics:
1. Major presence in the region has an indigenous population of 80.91% by municipalities Andrijevica 76.53%, 80.10% Berane and Plav 84.83% compared to the total population in 2003,
2. Total immigrant population in the region is 19.09%, have a major presence, settlers from the territory of a municipality 5375 or 9.83%, followed by settlers from the
territories of other municipalities in Montenegro 3060 or 5.60%, and finally, immigrants from Serbia and other state 1997 or 3.66%.
3. Fluctuations in the level of participation of individual territorial categories are negligible, except for the categories of immigrant population from the same municipality and
4. Highlighted the apparent displacement of the population in the short geographic distance.
Per iodization of immigration in the northeastern part of Montenegro, is determined by the pace of socio-economic development, because the phase of the urban socio-economic development coincides with periods of immigration. Namely, in are period before 1940 and moved to the region 89 persons or 0.85% of the total number of immigrants (-26 Andrijevica or 1.91%, Berane - 53 or 0.76%, Plav 10, or 0, 48%), 1941-1960 1300 persons or 12.47% (Andrijevica - 256 or 18.85%, Berane - 894 or 12.81%, Plav -150 or 7.16%). In the period 1961-1970, the number of settlers in the region amounted to 1221 persons or 11.70% (Andrijevica - 166 or 12.22%, Berane - 951 or 13.62%, Plav -104 or 4.97%).
Table 4. Per iodization and the volume of immigration
Space Total immigran t 1940 and before 1941-1960 1961-970 1971-1980 1981-1991 1991-2003 Unknown
Numbe r % Numbe r % Numbe r % Numbe r % Numbe r % Numbe r % Numbe r %
Andrijevic a 1.358 26 1,9 1 256 18,8 5 166 12,2 2 167 12,3 0 226 16,6 4 378 27,8 4 139 10,2 4
Berane 6.980 53 0,7 6 894 12,8 1 951 13,6 2 971 13,9 1 1.006 14,4 1 1.194 17,1 1 1.911 27,3 8
Plav 2.094 10 0,4 8 150 7,16 104 4,97 112 5,35 209 9,98 445 21,2 5 1.064 50,8 1
Region 10.432 89 0,8 5 1.300 12,4 7 1.221 11,7 0 1.250 11,9 8 1.441 13,8 2 2.017 19,3 3 3.114 29,8 5
Source: Statistical Office of Montenegro, Census of Population (appropriate year), calculations by
In the period 1971-1980, the number of settlers in the region amounted to 1250 persons or 11.98% (Andrijevica - 167 or 12.30%, Berane - 971 or 13.91%, Plav -112 or 5.35%). In the period 1981-1991, the number of settlers in the region amounted to 1441 persons or 13.82% (Andrijevica - 226 or 16.64%, Berane - 1006 or 14.41%, Plav -209 or 9.98%). The largest volume of immigration is related to the period 1991-2003 and then moved into the region 2017 persons or 19.33% (Andrijevica - 378 or 27.84%, Berane - 1194 or 17.11%, or 21 -445 Plav, 25%). Therefore, the scope immigration related to the period of industrial development since the beginning of the 60s of last century onwards that culminated in the early 90 of last century. Highlight the extent of the migration periods: 1981-1991. -1441 or 13.82%, and 1991-2003. - 2017 or 19.33%.
The exact number of displaced inhabitants of Montenegro and their descendants around the world, certainly, we can not have definitive data. Various sources mention a figure of 90,000 to 120,000 Montenegrin emigrants. The fact is that there is no institution in Montenegro, which has accurate data on the number of Montenegrin emigrants abroad, and therefore not considered in the geo-space. However, all agree that this number is not small and it is increasing every year (Rajovic, 2011). According to the census of 2003, 54 816 citizens of Montenegro was temporarily working abroad, which was 8.84% compared to the total population of Montenegro. In relation to the total population of the municipality, the municipality of Plav temporarily working abroad was 57.4%, 16.9% Berane and Andrijevica 12.0% of the population (htpp://www.cg.dijaspora@cg.yu). In the meantime are ceased to operate the State Union of Serbia and Montenegro which means that the status has changed and people who are from Montenegro and live and work in Serbia. The exact number of people, it is difficult to give precise figures, but various estimates suggest that at least this number is between 60,000 and 80,000. Reasons for not determine exact number of Montenegrin emigrants were numerous, and especially emphasize, illegal migration that have characterized the ex-Yugoslav space, as well as recording people with Montenegrin
space in the receiving countries as Yugoslavs, Serbia and Montenegro citizens and ex-Yugoslavs (htpp://www.cg.dijaspora@cg.yu). "There is no doubt that the departure of many, especially young people, is much more complex socio-geographical problem. State of the economy, level of industry and failure of agricultural development are decisive effect on the migration process. Job opportunities, job creation and the amount of personal income, are the causes that affect the process of movement of labor abroad. The desire to earn a short time to buy an apartment, made a house, bought the estate, car, tractor or other machinery, are common and expressed motivations of migration abroad"(Rodic, 1972). Spatial effects of our workers abroad are numerous and conspicuous in the region (spatial and functional changes in the organization of rural backyards, modern types of rural houses, commercial buildings).
The importance of the study of commuting between the village stems from the complexity of the relationship of commuting and migration of people to the outcome of the change of residence. Commuters are often potential migrants, and people with previous experience of migration, a daily migration for short distances most common method of adjusting the alternative migration (Holmes, 1971; Zax, 1994, Artis and Surinach & Romani, 2000).
Daily migrants considered geo-space, which are the subject of our interest, can be divided into two categories: workers (2534 or 52.33%) and school youth - students (2,318 or 47.67%). The workers usually commute to the workplace in urban areas by the center of the municipality. The modernization of the economic structure, as a result of the transition from the dominance of production dominance of the service sector, in particular the development of information technology, leading to changes in the spatial distribution of commuting (Van der Laan, 1998). Of the total number of commuters (4852), workers who are employed or work in other places in the same municipality within the region is - 60.22%, the second Montenegrin municipality of -31.89%, the Republic or another foreign country - 3,95% and an unfamiliar area of waste also 3.95% of workers. Quantitative indicators of the relations of people commuting by activity in a certain way about the organization are functional division in the economy and relations between different branches of activity" (Stamenkovic, 1989). Intense population growth of secondary sector of the economy (27.80%) multi-influenced phenomenon of commuting, for accelerated development of the secondary sector follows the decline of the primary (13.78%), on the one hand, while on the other, in parallel with the secondary sector, developed following the tertiary (19.82%) and quaternary (24.88%). This finding, among other things, vividly illustrated, the daily migration of the active population by occupation (see table no. 5).
Table 5. Commuting active population by occupation 2003
Space Active who are employed work in
Total Other settlements within the municipality Another municipality of Montenegro Second Republic or a foreign country Unknown place of work
Number % Number % Number % Number %
Andrijevica 669 349 52,17 292 43,65 13 1,94 15 2,24
Berane 1.551 975 ^ 62,86 460 29,66 71 4,58 45 2,90
Plav 314 202 64,33 56 17,83 16 5,10 40 12,74
Region 2.534 1.526 60,22 808 31,89 100 3,95 100 3,95
Source: Statistical Office of Montenegro, Census of Population (appropriate year), calculations by
Strengthening the spatial mobility of population in the northeastern part of Montenegro is following growth in the daily movement of students. Of the total number of commuting students (2,318), students who study in other places in the same municipality within the region is 66.01%, the second Montenegrin municipality of 17.33%, other foreign country or the Republic 14.50 % and an unfamiliar area of waste education 1.77% of their students.
"Spatial distribution of daily mobility .. school youth in municipalities ... inseparable from the
natural and geographical features, geopolitical situation and the current level of socio-
economic development, hence the important differences between them in terms of volume of commuting "(Stamenkovic, 1989) (see table no. 6).
Table 6. Commuting students in 2003
Space Students are educated in
Total Other settlements within the municipality Another municipality of Montenegro Second Republic or a foreign country Unknown place of work
Number % Number % Number % Number %
Andrijevica 458 288 59,38 162 33,40 29 5,98 6 1,24
Berane i .358 994 73,20 109 8,03 233 17,16 22 1,62
Plav 475 248 52,21 140 29,47 74 15,58 13 2,74
Region 2.318 1.530 66,01 411 17,33 336 14,50 41 1,77
Source: Statistical Office of Montenegro, Census of Population (appropriate year), calculations by.
Until are advent of commuting between the different levels of the hierarchy within the network of settlements brought a number of factors. One is the desire to live on the second level of the hierarchy than the one in which the worker is employed (either in terms of the opportunities it offers a level of hierarchy or the presence of relatives, friends). In this case, the worker is willing to submit commuting costs, including the time needed (spent) on the daily journey. Another factor is the fact that an individual employed in a particular level of the hierarchy can not afford the cost of living at that level, but can not afford the cost of living in the second level, along with the cost of commuting. The third factor includes the possible benefits derived from the physical separation of work and residence (Parr, 1987).
Rue picture of the distribution of population in the region is difficult to assess. Among the external factors, not economic migration an important role in choosing the type of spatial mobility of the population and the migration flows have space organization. Imply a set of organizational factors that may influence or control to facilitate migration between the two spaces (Swindle and Ford, 1975). It is useful to ask why the border village of 500 inhabitants. This is the minimum number of inhabitants will assure the development of certain central functions, which will serve a wider area (Simonovic and Ribar, 1993). Although the population of the rural villages is divide into two groups: (0 - 100 and 100 -500 people) for both can be said to belong to a group of rural settlements which are substantially flat. In this first, size of the group (18 settlements) has further depletion trend of space, a second group (63 villages), this trend is mitigated.
Today is very unevenly distributed network of settlements in northeastern Montenegro, make settlements with small populations. Most of them are from 100 - 500 (63 settlements), followed by 500-1000 (18 villages) and over 1000 (16 settlements). It is noticeable lack of settlements with over 2000 people (only 4 settlements with over 2000 inhabitants: 12 651 Berane; Luge Beranske 2011; Gusinje 3015; Plav 5554). Only in these settlements, we can talk about the real potential for the development of central functions, and this size appears as other important Joints in numerical terms (the symbols used in Table 7 ♦ village belongs to the municipality Berane * village belongs to the municipality of Plav ▼ village belongs to the municipality Andrijevica).
Table 7. Distribution of the population to population in urban areas
0-100
Villages Population Villages Population
Bastahe ♦ 70 Murovac ♦ 59
Velide ♦ 29 Poroca ♦ 92
Vuce ♦ 26 Pracevac ♦ 49
Zagrad ♦ 55 Rujista ♦ 56
Jasovici» 33 Skakavac ♦ 89
Kuti T 49 Novsici * 87
Ljesnica ♦ 64 Cecuni T 77
Oblo Brdo T 69 Lazi ♦ 99
Orali ♦ 90 Tmusici ♦ 39
100 -500
Azanje ♦ 146 Velika * 417
Andzelati T 146 Lubnice ♦ 256
Babino ♦ 446 Luge Andrijevicke T 165
BoziciT 292 Marsenic Rijeka T 414
Bojovici T i 37 Maste ♦ 210
Bor ♦ 317 Mezgalji ♦ 208
Bubanje ♦ 212 Dolja * 315
Vrsevo ♦ 475 Dosude * 438
Glavica ♦ 130 Orahovo ♦ 165
Gnjili Potok T 118 Pahulj ♦ 141
Godocejje ♦ 243 Ponor♦ 146
Gornje Zaostro ♦ 236 Prisoja T 387
Gracanica T 336 Radmuzevici ♦ 106
Dasca Rijeka» 195 Rovca ♦ 105
Dobro Dole ♦ 272 Savin Bor ♦ 449
Trepca T 267 Seoca T 125
Donje Zaostro» 149 Sjenozeta T 121
Dracjosava ♦ 1' 73 Slatina T 419
Dulipolje» 1' 35 Duricka Rijeka * 438
Bulici T 130 Ulotina T 284
Zagrade ♦ 296 Crljevine ♦ 118
Zagroje ♦ 330 Crni Vrh ♦ 146
Zabrde T 342 Stitari ♦ 288
Javorova ♦ 170 Visnjevo * 190
Johovica ♦ 258 Gornja Rzenica * 269
Josanica T 166 Grncar * 360
Kaludra ♦ 267 Kolenovici * 484
Kalica ♦ 250 Masnica * 314
Kosutici T 143 Trepca T 267
Kralje T 268 Skic * 443
Kruscica ♦ 109 Kurikuce ♦ 115
Criievine ♦ 1" 1" 8
500 - 1000
Donja Vrbica ♦ 831 Radmanci ♦ 646
Hoti * 585 Tresnjevo T 600
Vinicka ♦ 639 Tucanje» 655
Meteh * 586 Bogajici * 599
Gorazde ♦ 599 Krusevo * 505
Gornja Vrbica ♦ 833 Murino * 580
Dapsici ♦ 779 Petnjica ♦ 778
Donja Rzen ica ♦ 829 Petnjik ♦ 713
Lagatori ♦ 969 Luzac ♦ 842
1000 -2000
Beran Selo ♦ 1.568 Trpezi * 1.416
Budimlja ♦ '1.745 Vusanje* 1.887
Dolac ♦ 1.335 Vojno Selo * 1.036
Pesca ♦ 1.857 Prnjavor * 1.306
Andrijevica T 1.193 Buce ♦ 1.048
Brezojevica * 1.035 Martinovici * 1.312
Preko 2000
Berane ♦ 12.651 Plav * 5.554
Luge Beranske ♦ 2.011 Gusinje * 3.015
Source: Statistical Office of Montenegro, Census of Population (appropriate year), calculations by.
The existing network of settlements is a consequence of the no uniform density and concentration of population. A large number of settlements up to 500 people (81 settlements) are not suitable for modern developments vital for economic development. Namely, there is a lack of rural villages with rural center of over 1000 inhabitants (municipality Andrijevica) as a category that would connect the primary rural settlements of the municipality, with the center of the region - Berane.
Historical experience shows that the village still giving the city a vital workforce, the best people and the demographic they zoom in and refreshed. The villages are a long held tradition, positive character traits, maintains love for the preservation of national values (Bakic, 1988). Taking all this into account subjective factors of decision making and planning
would have to bear in mind all these facts, and commitments to ensure their planning activities of the agents that will keep the life in the villages and preserve the demographic vitality, as prerequisites to secure national life on the cliff north-eastern region of Montenegro. Such a conception of the network of settlements would have created favorable socio-economic conditions for the spatially homogeneous development of all parts of the municipal territory, and that means a region as a whole.
1. Berane as a regional center
2. Municipal centers
3. Community centers in rural villages with over 1000 population
4. Other rural settlements
• The numbers in circles indicate the village in a given territorial unit
The foregoing facts suggest the following conclusion:
1. Migrations are one of many factors in the evolution and transformation of the region,
2. Evident correspondence between migration flows and industrial development,
3. Contemporary migration flows in complex geographical regions have the highest representation of commuting workers, students, labor migration for temporary work abroad and
4. Notes the lack of rural settlements with the center, as a category that would connect the primary rural settlements of the region with the center - Berane.
In a variety of demographic changes caused by migration, as well as some relevant morph-physiognomic and functional changes, such as:
1. Significant increase in urban population, and in connection with the representation of new urban facilities and
2. Regional-functional development, which is achieved through a gradual change of economic structure of urban settlements (Stamenkovic and Bacevic, 1992).
The spatial development of urban settlements is to achieve the expansion in the peripheral, the construction of residential, commercial and recreational facilities. General urban plan is planning to functional zoning is constituted. Make it a center of urban areas, residential areas, recreational and work. This is accomplished using urban territory it is a functional need zone conditions of urban life.
Regional Development is functional mark major changes. They are reflected in the decline of primary and strengthening secondary, tertiary and quaternary functions of urban settlements. The main change is reflected in the fact that the leading agricultural functions ceded its place industry (transfer of agricultural to an industrial population). At the same time, due to increased mechanical influx of population, mostly from the surrounding rural areas, there is a transfer of rural to an urban population (Stamenkovic and Bacevic, 1992). Some further analysis needs to show what is in today's economic conditions more acceptable and reasonable. Life according is to scattered small remote rural areas or urban settlement and development of industry in them. The urban areas of the region are still far from the actual extent of urban development.
The overall data presented in this northeastern part of Montenegro, can serve as a good framework to display the size of the chosen model in the context of global events. The studied region is one of the underdeveloped regions, where the dispersion due to the morphological structure of the picked-there were significant disparities in the relative size and growth trends in municipal centers (Berane, Andrijevica and Plav) and other settlements in the considered area. As the shattered village, structured by dense fragments (hamlet), remote and scattered on the territory of the corresponding region, the northeastern part of Montenegro is an interesting and distinctive way, fit into a systematic picture of the village of Montenegro. "Because it takes such a medium supplemented with new and more effective activities this achieving a more balanced economic development at the country level, which is one of the primary goals of local economic development. Positive examples of local and regional development, with well-defined strategy, were recorded in the following areas: Werttenberg Baden in Germany, Lorraine in France, Westphalia in the UK, Veneto and Friuli in Italy, Slovenia nearest us. This development concept is practical, since it includes all who want to cooperate; it does not cost much and gives results, which is of particular importance for underdeveloped countries "(Vojnovic and Riznic &Boric, 2009).
CONCLUSION
Results of analysis of population trends northeastern of Montenegro in the second half of the twentieth and early twenty-first century, suggests the following conclusions:
1. The population has increased in the period 1948-2003 to 53 477 to 54 658 population. Looking generally in relation to the 1948 population of the region increased by 2.16% in 2003, but with a tendency to decline from 1981.
2. On the basis of demonstrated tendencies in the movement of the total population in the region can be identified: depopulation zone and zones of concentration of population. The depopulation of areas which include 85 from a total of 113 villages, or 72.81% (1082 km2), the total area of the considered geographic space (1.1486 km2), census 1971 lived 37 851 inhabitants (59.94% of total population), and 2003, 9578 people (17.52% of total population). Areas of concentration in growth of population, census 1971 they lived in 31 042 people (45.06% of total population), and 45 080 inhabitants in 2003 (82.47% of total population).
3. Parameters of natural increase are negative tendencies. The birth rate decreases, mortality increases. Thus, the birth rate is decreasing since the beginning of the seventies. So in 2003 the municipality Andrijevica was -4.6/, in the municipality of Plav 4.21/, and Berane 9.29/.
4. Migration of population indicates an uneven population density and concentration of population. A large number of settlements up to 500 people (81 settlements) are not suitable for modern vital flow of economic development in the region. It is noticeable lack of settlements with over 2000 people (only 4 settlements with over 2000 inhabitants: 12 651 Berane, Luge Beranske 2011, 3015 Gusinje, Plav 5554). Only in these settlements, we can talk about the real potential for the development of central functions, and this size appears as another important fact in numerical terms.
Finally, the demographic-economic problems of North-Eastern Montenegro should be
viewed realistically, without undue optimism, pessimism and even less. The process of
general and qualitative transformation of the region will be relatively very slow and time
consuming. So you should work on it patiently, but persistently and continuously.
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