Научная статья на тему 'MODELS OF OPTIMAL CONTROL IN TULLOCK RENT-SEEKING GAME'

MODELS OF OPTIMAL CONTROL IN TULLOCK RENT-SEEKING GAME Текст научной статьи по специальности «Математика»

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OPTIMAL CONTROL / TULLOCK RENT-SEEKING GAME / PARAMETRIZED EQUILIBRIUM / BELIEFS

Аннотация научной статьи по математике, автор научной работы — Fedyanin Denis N.

The paper constructs and investigates the models of the optimal control in the Tullock rent-seeking game. There are two types of control in the paper: an unlimited, but expensive resource, and a cheap, but an infinitely small resource. Before the game starts, players discuss parameters of the game, and then choose their strategies simultaneously and independently, competing for better rent. We consider two types of players and two types of communication and analyze combinations.

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Текст научной работы на тему «MODELS OF OPTIMAL CONTROL IN TULLOCK RENT-SEEKING GAME»

Contributions to Game Theory and Management, XIII, 132-141

Models of Optimal Control in Tullock Rent-Seeking Game *

Denis N. Fedyanin

V.A.Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences, Laboratory 57, Profsoyuznaya str. 65, Moscow, Russia E-mail: [email protected] WWW h,om,e page: www. ipu. ru/en

Abstract The paper constructs and investigates the models of the optimal control in the Tullock rent-seeking game. There are two types of control in the paper: an unlimited, but expensive resource, and a cheap, but an infinitely small resource. Before the game starts, players discuss parameters of the game, and then choose their strategies simultaneously and independently, competing for better rent. We consider two types of players and two types of communication and analyze combinations.

Keywords: optimal control, Tullock rent-seeking game, parametrized equilibrium, beliefs

1. Introduction

Players discuss competition parameters for a prize and compete by making costly-investments and choosing their strategies simultaneously and independently. Tullock introduced his model to describe how such players make decisions, but only if there were no negotiations and that the game parameters were common knowledge (Tullock, 1980).

Previous results and this paper (Fedyanin, 2020) incorporates utility functions from the Tullock rent-seeking game but pay attention to uncertainty and optimal control of players' beliefs. It provides tools to enrich investigations when players might have different initial beliefs, types, and protocols of preliminary negotiations before the game start (Aumann, 1999). Previous investigations (Fedyanin, 2019) introduced a model for the communication and results of belief interactions among players. We considered two types of players and two types of communication, and we analyzed all possible combinations. It leads us to the four unique combinations of types and communications for analysis. We have suggested epistemic models for all of them and calculated equilibriums for the first three of them.

— Game 1 is a classic Tullock rent-seeking game with common knowledge about the parameters. The optimal control is to control the true values of parameters. We consider this case as the simplest for comparison with other controls.

— Every player in Game 2 believes that all other players' beliefs and her beliefs about the values of the parameters coincide, and it is common knowledge.

— Game 3 assumes a consensus among players. Though players have initial beliefs, they change their beliefs to come to a single belief in a consensus. Though some expressions are very similar to those in Game 1, the control differs since we have to consider the influences.

* The paper was partially supported by the RSF grant 16-19-10609.

— Every player in Game 4 knows all others' beliefs but believes that only his belief is the true one. We do not investigate the optimal problem for this game since we could not find an equilibrium.

In the paper, we present the corresponding formal models for each game with the formal description of the equilibriums conditions. These conditions are the systems of equations.

This system is infinite and might require complicated analysis, but it has compactness for the Games 1-4. It means that there is only a finite number of equivalent strategies.

The sizes of the corresponding systems are the following.

— The system is the same as the equation for the Nash equilibrium. Thus, n equations for Game 1.

nn

n

— Though initial beliefs of players might be different - the consensus reduces the system to a modification of the Game 1. If there is no consensus and the players do not change their beliefs than the system becomes the same as for Game 4. Thus Game 1 and Game 3 might be examples of Game 3 if we do not assume consensus and require beliefs coincide with the real values of parameters. So, it

n

— It is n equations for the Game 4.

Given these results, the paper focus on optimal control of beliefs about parameters. The optimal control problem in this paper is an optimization problem, where

— criteria of optimization is a function of strategies of players at the equilibria

— control is a parameter of the game, which is the parameter of the players' strategies at the equilibria.

We analyze the best way of spending a tiny amount of a resource to change the given beliefs and parameters of the game. Research plans to find an equilibrium for a given informational structure and calculate the partial derivatives. The most substantial partial derivative shows a belief or a parameter of the game, which is the first to apply control. We start from the straightforward models to show how the control algorithm works and proceed with the more sophisticated. We also provide examples.

The paper uses the following known results:

1. the formulation of the Tullock competition and expression for equilibria (Tullock, 1980),

2. the concept of beliefs (Harsanyi, 1967),

3. the concept of reflection game (Novikov et al. 2014),

4. the idea and formal model of weakening common knowledge required for the game by classifying the interaction of players into four combinations (Fedyanin, 2019),

5. the method to apply such weakening to a game and application to the Tullock competition (Fedyanin, 2020),

6. the idea and method of the linearization to find a maximum of the criteria and solve of control problem (Neudecker et al., 1988),

7. the methods to find global optimum with restrictions (Beavis et al. 1990; Curtis, 2015).

Previous results cover a full chain of steps from 1 to 5, and the literature describes 6 and 7. This paper applies methods from 6 and 7 to step 5. These results are new.

This paper focuses on control problems that are a reasonable step forward from previous investigations. We introduce two classes of optimization:

— an infinitely large amount of control resource, but there are quadratic expenses for using it. We suggest the Laplace method to find a global maximum.

— an infinitely small amount of control resource; thus, we can linearize and apply-all control to the control parameter, which derivative is greater than others.

2. Game

We consider Tullock rent-seeking game with uncertainty. There are applications: competition for monopoly rents, investments in R&D, competition for a promotion/bonus, political contests. A formal model is as the following.

Reflective version of Tullock rent-seeking game rI is a game described by the following tuple:

ri = {N, (Xi)ieN, fi( )ieN,1}

where

— N = {1,..., n > 2} is a set of players,

— X = {Xi,..., Xn} is a set of strategies of players, where Xi = {xi > 0} is a set of avalable strategies for the player i,

— F = {fi,..., fn}- is a set of the utility functions such that

fi(xi,..., xn, a, M, n) = —^— M - xi,

jeN

where the restrictions on the parameters are 0 < a < 1 < M.

An informational structure is a way to model uncertainty by a tree where a belief of an player is a node in the tree. This tree is infinite in a general case. Information structure is represented by a tree. We denote

— (M, a, n)ai,...,ak beliefs of an player ai about the belief of player a2 ... about player ak about the valu es of (M,a,n). I = {(M, a, n)ai,...,ak Vai, ...,ak G N}. We denote (Ma,aa,na) = (M,a,n)a. See Fig. 1.

_ xai,...,afc a strategy chosen by an image of player ak in a beliefs of an player ak-i ... in beliefs of an player a^. We assume that xai,...,ak,j G Xj

The equilibrium is a set of strategies of all images of players iff

B ^id-M\ n) ai ,...,ak 1? 1? 1? xai ,...,ak,n) ?

where BR is the best response of the player i to the fixed strategies of other players with values of parameter according to player's beliefs.

(M,n,a)

(Mi,ni,ai) ■•■ (Mi:nuai) ■■■ (Mn. a„)

/l\ /l\ /l\

Fig. 1. An example of an informational structure. It is similar to Harsanyie types approach (Harsanyi, 1967/68)

Wo introduced four Games and have investigated the first three of them. In Game 1. there is a common knowledge, and we have to find a solution for the system of the best responses (BR) of the players.

x* = M, n, a);...; x*n = BR„(i-n, M, n, a).

This solution gives us equilibrium.

In Game 2. players cannot communicate. A brief example of this model is the following. Let there are Ann and Bob. Ann watches the TV channel, and there is a claim that there is a storm nearby. She could think that it is such important news that everyone should know it. Bob does not know anything about the storm and thinks that nobody thinks that there is a storm know. Both of them are wrong in detail but make actions as they are right. We have to find a solution for the system of the best responses (BR) of the players.

x* = BR(x-1, M, n, a);...; x*n = BR(x-n, M, n, a); x^1 = BR(x!_'j, Mi, ni, ai);...; x^1 = B^x-^, Mi, ni, ai); x*j = BR(xl3i, Mj, nj, aj);...; x^ = B^x-r^, Mj, nj, a.j); x^n = BR(x!"i,M„,n„,a„);...; x*nn = Bfi(x!n„,M„,n„,a„);

x * = x * i. • x * = x * n

xi xi ; ...; ^n ^n '

This solution gives us equilibrium.

In Game 3. players are allowed to communicate and reach consensus. There could be communication between players, and they can communicate according to the de Groot model (DoGroot. 1974: Gubanov ot al.. 2009). There is no difference if the existence of such communication to the common knowledge among all players, or it is not.

M * = wMMi; a * = waaj; n * = ^ wnnj,

ieN ieN ieN

where , wf, wn are the final influences (Gubanov et al., 2009) of the player i on

M, a, n

We have to find a solution for the system of the best responses (BR) of the players.

x{ = BR(x>_l^wfi MuY^wnn^w? a);

i i i

x*n = BR(x*_n, £ wMMi, £ winn, £ w*a). i i i

This solution gives us equilibrium.

3. Optimal Control

We consider two types of optimal control: local and global, and the restrictions on control.

3.1. Unlimited, but Expensive Control Resource

We look for optimal control in the form of the maximum number of strategies of players reduced by the control's quadratic expenses. The criteria for the optimization are the following.

Game 1 The criteria for Game 1 is

F = xj - ((M - M0)2 + (a - a0)2 + (n - n0)2), j

n — 1

F

F =

n n — 1

n

aM - ((M - M0)2 + (a - a0)2 + (n - n0)2). aM - ((M - M0)2 + (a - a0)2 + (n - n0)2).

Hessian is

d n_1

tt^F =-a - 2(M - Mo)=0

dM n

d n_1

— F =-M - 2(a - a0) = 0;

da n

d 2 — n

t^F = —r-aM - 2(n - n0) = 0, on n2

( F = _2- d2 F = n-1 . d2 F = 2-na\

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dM2 1 2; dMda1 n . dMdn1 n2 a>

H (F ) =

d f _ _n— 1 . d f _ _2' d

dadM n ' da2 ' dadn

F = ^—n M

n2

\ d F = 2—n a' d F = 2—n M' —

\ dndM n2 ; dnda n2 ; dn2

F = -2;

det H (F)

2 (M2n(n - 2)2 - aM(n - 1)(n - 2)2) +

2n (4a2 + (a2 + l) n2 - 3n4 - 2n3 - 4a2n)

nn a maximum of F if the gradient is zero.

n

The zero points of the gradient are complicated, but there is a simple condition

Ma

a = M - M0 M a - ao Game 2 The criteria for Game 2 is

F = E xj - E ((Mj - Mjo)2 + (aj - ajo)2 + (nj - njo)2) ,

F = E Mk(nn- 1)ak - E ((Mj - Mjo)2 + (aj - a.jo)2 + (nj - njo)2) .

k=i k j

If the Hessian is negative definite then the zeros of the gradient are local maximums as in the Game 1. In this case there are similar conditions on some parameters in a maximum for any k G N:

a± = Mk - Mko Mk ak - ak0 nk

minant of a block diagonal matrix is a product of the determinants of its blocks. It matters since the Hessian here is a block diagonal one.

Game 3 The criteria for Game 3 is

F = £ xj - £ ((Mj - Mjo)2 + (aj - ajo)2 + (nj - njo)2) -jj

E ((wM - wjM)2 + (wa - wao)2 + (wn - w]fo)2) .

F =jj1 E jai E Mj w? -Ej=i njw" j=i j j=i j

1 £ ((Mj - Mjo)2 + (aj - ajo)2 + (nj - njo)2) -j

r E ((wM - wMo )2 + (wa - w*o)2 + (wn - wn)2) , j

where

M* =£ MjwM a* =£ ajwa; n* = Y^ njwn j=1 j=1 j=1

The gradient will be zero if

n* — 1 n* — 1

-— a*wM = 2(Mk - Mko);-— M*wa = 2(ak - ako);

n* n*

2 — n*

-a*M*wn = 2(nk - nko);

(n

2

^^a*Mfc = 2(wf - wf); ^^afcM* = 2« - <0); 2 — n*

2— «*M* = 2(w" - w").

There are restrictions: 0 < ak < 1,1 < M, 0 < wf < 1, 0 < wf < 1, 0 < w" < 1, j wM = 1, 2 j wa = 1, j w" = 1- Restrictions assumes that we should use Lagrange multiplier in general case or Boarded Hessian. These methods are well known, though complicated for our case.

The Hessian can also be applied in the next section if we use not linear but quadratic approximation since the corresponding Taylor series include Hessian.

3.2. Cheap, but Infinitely Small Control Resource

The criteria F consists of continuous and discrete variables because usually, the number of players is discrete. However, if the number is large enough, we can approximate it by a constant value.

If there is only a small amount of a resource, we cannot apply the approach that we use for unlimited resources. In this case, we rewrite the criteria as F = ^j xj with the following restrictions: M2 + a2 + n2 < R for Game 1,

]T ((Mj - Mjo)2 + (aj - ajo)2 + (nj - njo)2) < R j

()

E ((Mj - Mjo)2 + (aj - ajo)2 + (nj - njo)2) -j

E ((wf - wf )2 + K - wjo)2 + (w" - w"o)2) < R j

for Game 3.

R

by choing the maximum of derivatives like

max ()

\ j j j / and apply all control to an argmax.

Game 1 Linearization leads to the following expression for the linear approximation

R

no - 1 no - 1 no - 2

R max -ao,-Mo,-2— aoMo .

V no no no )

0<a<1<M

is always spend all resource to increase a up to a = ao + R if ao < 1 - R. The increase of the criteria F will be approximately

no

since the largest derivative is

da

d V^ n — 1M

da j n '

j

because

(no - 1 no - 1 ^ no - 2 A/r\

R max -ao,-Mo,-2— aoMo =

V no no no J

R—-max\ao, Mo, n°-aoMo) = Rn-max (ao, Mo) =

no no - 1 no

no-1 RMo,

no

if ao > 1 - R. The optimal control is to spend resource 1 - ao to increase a up to 1, and spend the rest to the increasing M up to M = Mo + R - 1 + a.o. The increase of the criteria F will be approximately

((1 - ao)Mo + (R - 1 + ao)ao).

no

Game 2 We can use the following expression for the linear approximation of the

R

, (nko— 1)ako Mko(nko - 1) Mko(nko - 2)ako

R ^o.ax

keN V n2k0 n2k0 nk03

„ f (nko — 1)ak0 Mko(nko — 1)\ „ Mko(nko — 1) n Mko R mai -s-,-s- = R max-^-« R max -

keN \ n\o n\o J keN n\o keN nko '

n - j ajo > R

1. Assign M := N.

2. Choose an player from M with maximum Mko(nko - 1)/nko among all players in M. Denote such player by j

3. If 1 - ajo is larger then R then spend R to increase aj up to aj = ajo + R and exit.

4. If 1 - ajo is smaller than R or equals it then spend 1 - ajo to increase aj up to

aj = 1

5. Assign R := R - 1 + ajo

6. Exclude j from M, and if M is not empty and R> 0 go to step b.

Game 3 We can use the following expression for the linear approximation of the

R

* 1 / * f) * f)

Rn - max a*wMM,Mwa, n - a*M*wn, a*Mk, akM*, n - a*M* n* keN V n* — 1 n* — 1

where

M * ^^ Mj wjM a* ^^ aj wja; n* ^^ nw

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a. * _ \ n

j w j a — ^ aj wj ; n — ^ nj Wj .

j=1 j=1 j=1

4. Conclusion

The paper provides the solutions for special cases of the optimal problems for Tullock rent-seeking game with preliminary negotiations when there are unlimited large or infinitely small amounts of control resources. The solution for the stubborn players with communication (Game 4) is unknown since there is no known expression for equilibrium. There are known straight, but complicated ways to solve the optimization problem in general, but the investigation obtained simple expressions for some critical cases. This paper makes an essential step at the transition from the previously obtained expressions for parametrized equilibrium to the solved control problems.

5. Acknowlegments.

The paper was partially supported by the RSF grant 16-19-10609.

Appendix. Parametrized equilibriums

1. Game 1. Players with common knowledge

Actions of players are

n _ -

x* = —T- aM; Vi e N. n2

Furthermore, the following derivatives will be monotonicity could be found by an analysis of For short, we will use xj = x*.

Vx* = n—- aM

d n — - d n — - d 2 — n

—— > xj = -a; —— > xj = -M; — > x,- = —aM

dM ^ j n ' da ^ j n ' Bn^ j n2 j j j

2. Game 2. Players without communication

Actions of players are

x* = nj 2 - ajMj. n2

Moreover, monotonicity abe found by an analysis of the following derivatives.

Ex* = E

Mk (nfc — 1)afc

k= 1

dMh

(nk — 1)a^ d

; da, '

Mk (nk — 1).

Bui

dak^ nk2

%

Mk (2 — nk )ak nk 3

d

*

*

2

k

d

3. Game 3. Players with communication and consensus

Actions of players are

n* — 1

~ * * n/T *

x* = . *,„ a M . i (n* )2

Moreover, the following derivatives are useful for the analysis of the monotonicity. d ^ n * - 1 _ „ d n * -1

En - 1 * m d v^ n - 1 *

xn = -a wk ; —— > xn = -M w

j n* k ' 8ak^ j n*

j j

d ST 2 - n * * M * n

dn^ xn = m*w aMwk j

d n * - 1*, d ^ n * - 1

l^Xj = Mk; -f^aLs xj = n* akM

dwM ^ j n* ' dwk *—' " n

k j k j

dw

d ^ 2 - n **

/ Xj = , a*M*

A^t j (n*

References

Tullock, G. (1980). Efficient rent-seeking. In Buchanan, J.; Tollison, R.; Tullock, G. (eds.). Toward a theory of the rent-seeking society. College Station: Texas A & M Press, 97-112.

Aumann, R.J. (1999). Interactive epistemology I: Knowledge. International Journal of Game Theory, 28(3), 263-300.

Harsanyi, J. C. (1967-1968). Games with Incomplete Information Played by Bayesian Players, I-III. Management Science, 14(3), 159-183 (Part I), 14(5), 320-334 (Part II), 14(7), 486-502 (Part III).

Novikov, D., Chkhartishvili, A. (2014). Reflexion Control: Mathematical models.// Series: Communications in Cybernetics, Systems Science, and Engineering (Book 5). CRC Press. P. 298.

DeGroot, M. H. (1974). Reaching a Consensus. Journal of American Statistical Association, 69(345), 118-121.

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Fedyanin, D. (2020). Reflexive and epistemic properties of the Tullock rent-seeking game. Frontiers of Dynamic Games. Springer (in press).

Beavis, B., Dobbs, I. M. (1990). Static Optimization. Optimization and Stability Theory for Economic Analysis. New York: Cambridge University Press. P. 40.

Neudecker, H., Magnus, J. R. (1988). Matrix Differential Calculus with Applications in Statistics and Econometrics. New York: John Wiley& Sons. P. 136.

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