КОМПЛЕКСНЫЙ АНАЛИЗ МИГРАЦИОННОЙ СИТУАЦИИ РЕСПУБЛИКИ АРЦАХА Текст научной статьи по специальности «Экономика и бизнес»

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2 Sh'u United Nations, Recommendations on Statistics of International Migration, Revision 1, New York, 1998, t2 10, https://unstats.un.org/unsd/publication/seriesm/seriesm_58rev1e.pdf

3 Shu Ц'шр^пщшЬ U., ЪшqшpJшfa Ч., Сш^^ЬрШшЪ ^h2шqqшJhh mhmhuшLшh hшpшph-pnLpjnLhhhp// nLunLdЪшLшh ЙhnhшpL, 2 dшun4,, dшu II, bp., 2012, t2 151:

4 Sh'u Багратян Г.А., Мегаэкономика и глобальные экономические проблемы: учебно-методическое пособие. Ер., Издательство РАУ, 2013, t2 31:

5 Sh'u Koser Kh., International Migration: A Very Short Introduction, Oxford University Press, Great Clarendon Street, Oxford, United Kingdom, 2016, t2 10:

6 Sh'u International Organization for Migration, International Terrorism and Migration, Geneva, 2010, t2 6:

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7 «Причиной миграции в 80% случаев являются война и насилие», 14 июля 2017, https://tass.ru/pl us-

one/4415331?utm_source=google.com&utm_medium=organic&utm_campaign=google.com&utm_re ferrer=google.com

8 Sb'u Moon B., Paradigm in migration research: exploring morning as a schema. Progress in Human Geography, V.19, No. 4, 1995, t2 505-506:

9 Sb'u Collier P., Post-conflict Recovery: How Should Strategies Be Distinctive? Journal of African Economies, Vol. 18, AERC suppl.1, 2009, t2 99-131:

10 Sb'u Sklias P., Roukanas S., Development in Post-Conflict Kosovo, South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics 2, 2007, tg 272:

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11 Sb'u ^^fwjbuwb <., Upmmfhh Jhqpmghmh <wjwurnwhnLJ. JhrnnLJbbpQ, nL^^nLpjnLhhbpQ, p^mfmhm^Q, http://www.noravank.am/arm/articles/detail.php?ELEMENT_ID=6836#19_b

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12 Sb'u Upgm^h íi^hpmi^bmnLpjmh mqqmjhh ^hrámlimqpmlimh ôwnmjnLpjnLh, http://www.stat-nkr.am/

13 Sb'u <mjmummhh Cmhpmi^bmnLpjmh ^hrámlimqpmlimh |nJhsb, https://armstat.am/am/

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14 Sb'u https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iaT7BEJOXSA

15 Sb'u Upgii^h <nhpn^bmnLpjiih шqqшJhh 4h6il|iqpil|ih ôiniijnLpjnLh, http://www.stat-nkr.am/

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17 Sb'u Upgm^h íi^hpmi^bmnLpjmh mqqmjhh ^hrámlimqpmlimh ômnmjnLpjnLh, http://www.stat-nkr.am/

18 Sb'u <mjmummhh Cmhpmi^bmnLpjmh ^hrámlimqpmlimh l|nd|imb, https://armstat.am/am/

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jhh ^Jph hшJшp « Mrnnrn^rnpnLpjnLhD hш^шmbubL t Jh 2rnpg ш2ш|gnLрJшh öpшqpbp:

19 Sb'u Ц^^ршр^Ь t., «U^uumuh hujgn^hbp», «hbpphh uhöhhp», «huplu-^hp 4bpшphш|4шô/mb^шhшh4шô rnhöhhp» bqpnLjphbpD, |шpqш4hбш|hbpD. ^pшhg hJ^Lb-Jbhmrnghrnjh шhhpшdb2mnLрJnLhh Upgш^h hprn4mlmh ^Ш2mnLJ, «qhmm|rnh Upgш^», № 2(9), 2021, t2 127-139:

20 Sb'u http://mss.nkr.am/?page_id=21851

21 Sb'u https://www.arlis.am/documentview.aspx?docID=155100

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cl-¿шщшm^Ьp 5. Upgifafi CbU-b (d[b « r¡.pil), Upgifafi22 U ^ijiuipibfi23 <hU i6fi sbJufbpp (%)

ф^фкиги^шЬ hшL|frpó t|шpшq^pß ^öшщшm|Ьp 5-h m[^hbph [bpLnLÔnLpjnLhQ gnLjg t mшLhu, np 20122020 pp. QhpшgfnLJ Ц^ш^ ^U-h ш6Ь[ t mшpЬ|шh Jh2hhQ 6.7%-n[: Chrç npnLJ, JhшJh 2012-2019 pp. mшpЬ|шh шбh Jh2hh mbJ^Q ^qJbL t 10.5%: U^b[hh, 2012 p[m^hh hшJЬJшmnLpJшJp Upgш^h ^U-h 2019 p[m^hhh ш6Ь[ t Jnm 1.3 шhqшJ, hшuhЬLn[ 342463.6 J[h « ^шф: ^ШjJшhш[np[шö hh^^bu 2020 p[m^hh u|qpnLJ pnh|[mô COVID-19 hшJш[шpш|n[, ШJhщЬu tL 44-opJШ цшmЬpшqJh |npöшhшpшp hЬmUшh£hЬpn[, 2019 p[m^hh hшJЬJшmnLpJшJp Upgш^h ^U-h 2020 p[m^hhh h[mqb t 21%-n[' ^q-JbLn[ 270907.2 JLh « ^ш^ ^шmЬpшqJh U hшJш[шpш|h hpш|шh hшp-[môhbph Upgш^h mhmЬunLpJшh фш qhшhшmЬLnL hшJшp шhhpшdЬ2m t шpÖшhшqpЬL, np 2019 p[m^hh hnLh[mp-ub^mbJpbph hш JЬJшmnLpJШ Jp 2021 p[m^hh hnLh[mp-ub^mbJpbphh <LU-h h[mqb t 25.5%-n[' ^qJbLn[ 162773.5 JLh « rç^J: <ШJШumшhh <LU шбh mbJ^h hbm hшJЬJшmш|шh i[bpLnLÓnLpjnLhQ gnLjg t mшLhu, np rç.hmшp|ф^ 2012-2020 p[m^hhbph QhpшgfnLJ <ШJШumшhh <LU шбh Jh2hh mbJ^Q ^qJbL t 3.4%: Chrç npnLJ, 2020 p[m^hhh, 2019 p[m^hh hш JЬJшmnLpJшJp, <ШJШumшhh <LU-h |pбшm[ЬL t 5.5%-n[' ^qJbLn[ 6181664.1 JLh « rç^J: UjnLu |n^Jhg' 2012 p[m^hh hшJЬJшmnLpJшJp <ШJШumшhh <LU-h 2020 p[m^hhh шфLшgЬL t 44.9%-n[:

2020 p[m^hhh Upgш^h ^U шpmшrç.pnLpJшh ^nnLg[môfh nLunLJhш-uhpnLpjnLhQ gnLjg t mшLhu, np щЬmш|шh |шпш[шpJшhQ U щш2mщшhnL-PJшhQ, цшpmшrçhP unghшLш|шh шщшhnфLpJшhQ pшdhh t Qh|bL 25.2%-q, hшhf шqnpöш|шh шprç.JnLhшpЬpnLpJшhQ U pшgшhшhfЬph 2шhшqnpöJшhQ, 13.5%-q, 2hhшpшpnLpjшhQ, 10.4%-q, qjnLrçmmhmbunLp^hQ1 9.4%-q24: Chrç npnLJ, rçhmшp|[n^ 2012-2020 pp. <LU шpmшrç.pnLpJшh ^nnLg[môpnLJ

22 Sb'u Upgm^h ii^hpmi^bmnLpjmh mqqmjhh [Jrámlimqpmlimh ómnmjnLpjnLh, http://www.stat-nkr.am/

23 Sb'u <mjmummhh Cmhpmi^bmnLpjmh [Jrámlimqpmlimh L|nJ|imb, https://armstat.am/am/?nid=12&id=01001

24 Sb'u Upgm^h O^hpmi^bmnLpjmh mqqmjhh [Jrámlimqpmlimh ómnmjnLpjnLh, Upgm^h [Jrámlimqpmlimh mmpbqhpp. 2021, http://stat-nkr.am/files/yearbooks/2021/Taregirq_2021_kr.pdf

Jh2s qbph2^n^ П-hpp t nLhbgb[ ^brni^ih lini^ipmJQ U ^i2m^ihnLpjnL-hQ, ^ipmi^hp unghi[i^ih i^ihn^nLpjrnhQ: UprçjnLhipbpnLpjih pid^hQ CbU-mJ 2020 p^iliihhh liqJb t 26.6%' 2016 p^ihh 16.9%-h hi-JbJimnLpjiJp: UJpn^2 iprçjnLhipbpnLpjih Jb2 46.9%-q pid^h t QhlhnLJ hihf iqnpôilih iprçjnLhipbpnLpjihQ U pigihihfbph 2ihiqnpôJihQ: <imlih2ilih t, np 2019 p^ilihhh, 2020 p^ilihh hi JbJimnLpji Jp, gnLgihh2Q h^iqb[ t 23.1%-n^ liqJb|n^ 48394.2 J|h « rç.piJ:

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25 Sb'u http://stat-nkr.am/hy/component/content/article/762-2017-11-02-11-14-14

26 Sb'u http://stat-nkr.am/hy/component/content/article/766-2017-11-03-12-46-45

27 Sb'u http://stat-nkr.am/hy/component/content/article/758-2017-10-24-13-13-06

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28 Sb'u http://www.stat-nkr.am/

29 Sb'u Upgw^h <whpwi^bmnLpjwh wqqwjhh 4h6wL|wqpwl|wh dwnwjnLpjnLh, Upgw^h unghw|wl|wh i^wml|bpQ U w^fwmnLpjnLhp. 2021, http://stat-nkr.am/hy/2010-11-24-11-24-22/1355-2021

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30 Sb'u Upgm^h Oihpm^bmnLpjih iqqijhh 4h6nlnqpnliih ôinmjnLpjnLh, http://stat-nkr.am/hy/component/content/article/762-2017-11-02-11-14-14

31 Sb'u <mjiumihh Cmhpi^bmnLpjih 4h6nlnqpnliih InJhmb, https://armstat.am/am/?nid=12&id=08001

32 Sb'u « i2^immhfh U unghi[ilmh hipgbph hm^ipipnLpjnLh, https://www.mlsa.am/?p=24151

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2. «U.pgшfrlJшb u|шsbpшqt2020. linpnLuyibbp, tJшpsшhpш^bpbbp b фtJшl|ШJnLpJшb qшpqшgtшb hbшpш^npnLpJnLbbbp» hbmuiqnmnLpjiiih hhJhmiiiiih bqpuihixihqnLiitibp, <uijiiiumiiihh unghuiLixiiiiiih ix^mmnqhbph шunghшghш, bp., 2021:

3. Lbnhmjhh 4_uipiiipiiiq]i ^wihpixiii|bmnLpjiiih $|ihwihuhbph U tinhn-Jhioijh hui^iuipiiiph 2014 p[oiiiiiihh hnimbJpbph 20-h'

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http://www.noravank.am/arm/articles/detail.php?ELEMENT_ID=6836 #19_b

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ТАТЕВИК ВАРДАНЯН

Преподаватель кафедры международных экономических отношений АГЭУ

ТИГРАН МИКАЕЛЯН

Аспирант кафедры международных экономических отношений АГЭУ

Комплексный анализ миграционной ситуации Республики Арцаха33.- Основной целью статьи является оценка миграционных процессов в Арцахе в демографическом контексте. Основной задачей статьи является проведение комплексного анализа миграционной ситуации в Арцахе в результате изучения и анализа численности населения Арцаха и Армении, а также годовых темпов прироста населения, естественного и механический роста, количества людей, приезжающих в Арцах и уезжающих из Арцаха. В данном контексте посредством методов анализа исторических рядов, сравнительного анализа, авторы представили миграционные процессы в Арцахе, сопоставляя их с демографическими процессами. Колебание численности постоянного населения Арцаха и Армении показало, что темпы ежегодного прироста населения

33 Статья опубликована в рамках краткосрочной грантовой программы по арменоведению, финансируемой Фондом Галуста Гюльбенкяна.

в Арцахе выше, чем в Армении. Причем то же самое можно зафиксировать как для естественных, так и для механических показателей роста. В целом анализ миграционной ситуации в Арцахе показывает, что причины и последствия миграции менялись с годами. Последний, самый существенный фактор - развязанная Азербайджаном 27 сентября 2020 года 44-дневная война, влияние которой на миграционные настроения арцахцев наблюдаются до сих пор.

Ключевые слова: Арцах, Армения, демографическая ситуация, миграция, постоянное население, естественное движение, механическое движение, 44-дневная война JEL: O15, R23

DOI: 10.52174/1829-0280_2022.2-146

TATEVIK VARDANYAN

Lecturer of the Chair of International Economic Relations of ASUE

TIGRAN MIKAYELYAN

PhD Student of the Chair of International Economic Relations of ASUE

Comprehensive Analysis of the Migration Situation of the Republic of Artsakh34.- The main purpose of the paper is to assess the migration processes in Artsakh in a demographic context. The main objective of the research is to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the migration situation in Artsakh as a result of studying and analyzing the de jure population of Artsakh and Armenia, as well as the annual population growth rate, natural and mechanical growth, the number of people arriving and leaving Artsakh. In this context, through the methods of analyzing historical series, comparative analysis, the authors presented the migration processes in Artsakh, combining them with the processes taking place in the demographic situation. The movement of the population of Artsakh and Armenia has shown that the rate of annual de jure population growth in Artsakh is higher than in Armenia. Moreover, the same can be recorded for both natural and mechanical growth indicators. In general, the analysis of the migration situation in Artsakh shows that the causes and consequences of migration have changed over the years. The last, most significant factor is the 44-day war unleashed by Azerbaijan on September 27, 2020, the influence of which on the migration propensity of the Artsakh people continues to this day.

Keywords: Artsakh, Armenia, migration, de jure population, natural movement, mechanical movement, 44-day war JEL: O15, R23

DOI: 10.52174/1829-0280_2022.2-146

34 The article was published within the framework of a short-term grant program on Armenian Studies funded by the Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation.