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18Human resource supply and demand situation analyzing and forecasting system for national physical education and sports sector
UDC 796.075
PhD, Associate Professor S.A. Vorobyev1
PhD, Associate Professor N.A. Breider1, 2
PhD A.V. Tsareva1
A.V. Malinin1
M.S. Mayrygin1
A.N. Shchennikov1, 3
1Saint Petersburg Research Institute of Physical Culture, Saint Petersburg 2Russian State Hydrometeorological University, St. Petersburg 3Lesgaft National State University of Physical Education, Sport and Health, St. Petersburg
Corresponding author: [email protected]
Abstract
Objective of the study was to test benefits of a new data analyzing system in application for the human resource (HR) supply and demand situation analyses and forecasts in the national physical education and sport sector by professions and regions.
Methods and structure of the study. The new data analyzing system concept analyzed herein was designed on a user-friendly basis, with the following data inputs:
- National statistics for the physical education and sport sector: SRF 1-PE, 5-PE, 3-APE;
- Corporate regulations in effect in the physical education and sport sector;
- Data on the federal and regional investment projects in the physical education and sport sector;
- Regional HR demand forecasts for the physical education and sport sector;
- Findings of the online HR flow profiling surveys of employers, governmental agencies, local authorities, relevant organizations, public associations and specialists interested in the professions-specific HR demand and supply situation in the physical education and sport sector; and
- Reports of the relevant recruiting agencies and employment services.
At the preliminary data flow processing stage, the system makes a primary data screening and analyses to rate the data reliability and consistency and form primary/ secondary data arrays for storage in the data analyzing system.
We gave a special priority in the study to an online questionnaire survey technology applicable by the employers, governmental agencies, local authorities, relevant organizations, public associations and specialists interested in the professions-specific HR demand and supply situation in the physical education and sport sector.
In June 2020 through April 2021 we used the data analyzing system to survey the physical-education-and-sports-con-trolling governmental agencies, authorities and organizations, with the two surveyed expert groups representing the local authorities and physical education and sports organizations. We sampled for the data analyzing system piloting tests officers of the relevant government agencies and authorities (n= 676) and managers of the physical education and sports organizations from the Central, Volga, Ural, Northwestern, Southern, Siberian, Far Eastern and the North Caucasian regions.
Results and conclusion. The HR demand and supply monitoring system for the national physical education and sport sector was tested beneficial as it offers an updatable HR database with analytical and forecast capacities to timely profile and predict the HR flows in the sector and rate efficiency of the relevant social mechanisms, initiatives, projects, governmental agencies, businesses and social interests - in the context of the HR training and employment and national physical education and sport sector progress policies and practices.
Keywords: physical education and sports human resource supply, data analyzing system (DAS), human resource demand monitoring.
Background. The human resource supply and demand situation monitoring, analyzing and statistical reporting system of the national physical education and sport sector needs effective toolkits to timely rate the human resource supply and demand and process the reporting data flows from the relevant physical
education and sports agencies and authorities [2-5]. Saint Petersburg Research Institute of Physical Culture has developed a data analyzing system applicable for the human resource supply and demand situation analyses and forecasts in the national physical education and sport sector
Theory and Practice of Physical Culture I teoriya.ru I September № 9 2021
Objective of the study was to test benefits of a new data analyzing system in application for the human resource supply and demand situation analyses and forecasts in the national physical education and sport sector by professions and regions.
Methods and structure of the study. The new data analyzing system concept analyzed herein was designed on a user-friendly basis, with the following data inputs:
- National statistics for the physical education and sport sector: SRF 1-PE, 5-PE, 3-APE;
- Corporate regulations in effect in the physical education and sport sector;
- Data on the federal and regional investment projects in the physical education and sport sector;
- Regional human resource demand forecasts for the physical education and sport sector;
- Findings of the online human resource flow profiling surveys of employers, governmental agencies, local authorities, relevant organizations, public associations and specialists interested in the professions-specific human resource demand and supply situation in the physical education and sport sector; and
- Reports of the relevant recruiting agencies and employment services.
At the preliminary data flow processing stage, the system makes a primary data screening and analyses to rate the data reliability and consistency and form primary/ secondary data arrays for storage in the data analyzing system [1]. The data analyzing system will process the data to generate analytical reports by sports, specialties, regions, etc. The output data will be uploaded to the relevant websites including special interactive recruiting platforms for the physical education and sport specialists with an authorized access, plus the free-access ones.
We gave a special priority in the study to an online questionnaire survey technology applicable by the employers, governmental agencies, local authorities, relevant organizations, public associations and specialists interested in the professions-specific human resource demand and supply situation in the physical education and sport sector
In June 2020 through April 2021 we used the data analyzing system to survey the physical-education-and-sports-controlling governmental agencies, authorities and organizations, with the two surveyed expert groups representing the local authorities and physical education and sports organizations. We sampled for the data analyzing system piloting tests officers of the relevant government agencies and authorities (n= 676) and managers of the physical education
and sports organizations from the following key eight regions (n=2584): Central, Volga, Ural, Northwestern, Southern, Siberian, Far Eastern and the North Caucasian regions.
Results and discussion. The survey generated data on the key issues of the human resource demand in the physical education and sport sector Given hereunder on Figure 2 is the reported human resource demands by professions and regions that make it possible to make the sports-specific demand profiles. Such profiles clearly show, on the one hand, needs of the sector for specific professions, and, on the other hand, highlight the still un-demanded specialties. The undemanded specialist supply analyses are rather important since they demonstrate what physical education and sports professions are marginalized for different reasons and need, therefore, special attention, promotion or market-sensitive training service.
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Coach/ senior coach Other service staff Athlete Sports instructor Sport event organizer Coaching educator Referee
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Figure 1. Human resource demand situation reported by the physical education and sports organizations, %
The system generates the human resource demand data for every region to provide a basis for the short-term forecasts of regional human resource demand and supply situations on the local labor markets. The human resource monitoring system also generates guiding mid-term (5-year in the case) HR demand forecasts. Figure 3 shows the five-year human resource demand forecast for sports and professions based on the expert survey data. Such mid-term forecasts are needed to sort out the human resource demand flows and find the most and least demanded specialties plus the regions in need of some physical education and sport specialists.
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Figure 2. Mid-term (five-year) human resource demand forecasts by sports and professions
The physical education and sports human resource demand and supply monitoring system makes it possible to analyze the corporate performance in the headhunting and recruitment domains. The corporate respondents mentioned the following two key problems in the above: (1) shortage of applicants for the vacant positions (reported by 29% of the group); and (2) low wages as compared with the other employers (28%). The corporate group also emphasized the growing competition of employers (2%) in headhunting - that is quite logical in terms of the short supply. This information is rather important for the data analyzing system updating goals to excel the system headhunting capacity, provided the specialists are lured by extra incentives to the positions. Of special importance for the recruitment efforts are the competitive advantages of the specific vacancies among the other incentives.
The physical education and sports human resource demand and supply monitoring system designed on a sound theoretical and practical basis with timely customizing options in response to the expert survey data and regulatory provisions - was tested beneficial as it gives the means to accurately rate and forecast the human resource demand situations by regions, professions, professional backgrounds and competences [6].
Conclusion. The human resource demand and supply monitoring system for the national physical
education and sport sector was tested beneficial as it offers an updatable human resource database with analytical and forecast capacities to timely profile and predict the human resource flows in the sector and rate efficiency of the relevant social mechanisms, initiatives, projects, governmental agencies, businesses and social interests - in the context of the human resource training and employment and national physical education and sport sector progress policies and practices.
References
1. Vorobyev S.A., Breider N.A., Mayrygin M.S. et al. Relevance of information-analytical system (IAS) for monitoring of physical education and sports specialists' demand in Russia. Modern Economy Success. 2020. No. 4. Pp. 86-91.
2. Gurtov V.A., Pitukhin E.A. Forecasting needs of economy in qualified personnel: overview of approaches and practices. Universitetskoe up-ravlenie: praktika i analiz. 2017. V. 21 no. 4). pp. 130-161.
3. Kuteynitsyna T.G. Labor force quality predicting methods: foreign experience and Russian practice. Professionalnoe obrazovanie i rynok truda. 2016. No. 3 (26). pp. 10-15.
4. Order of the Ministry of Labor and Social Protection of the Russian Federation of August 15, 2018 No. 527n "On approval of the methodology to determine needs of constituent entities of the Russian Federation, sectors of the economy and the largest employers in professional personnel in the medium and long term". Available at: https://www.garant.ru/products/ipo/prime/ doc/71981040
5. Strategy for the development of physical education and sports in the Russian Federation for the period up to 2030, approved by the order of the Government of the Russian Federation dated December 28, 2020 No. 3615-r.
6. Sergeeva M.G., Skripleva E.V., Usheva T.F, Lati-pova L.N., Palkin I.I., Breider N.A. Professional selfdetermination as a criterion for the quality of personnel training in the system of professional education. Journal of Critical Reviews. 2020. Vol 7. (no. 6). pp. 639-643.
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Theory and Practice of Physical Culture I teoriya.ru I September № 9 2021
