Научная статья на тему 'Games with differently directed interests and their Application to the environmental management'

Games with differently directed interests and their Application to the environmental management Текст научной статьи по специальности «Математика»

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DIFFERENTIAL GAMES / SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT / COOPERATION / DYNAMIC STABILITY / HIERARCHICAL CONTROL

Аннотация научной статьи по математике, автор научной работы — Ougolnitsky Guennady A.

The resolution of numerous ecological problems on different levels should be realized on the base of sustainable development concept that determines the conditions to the state of environmental-economic systems and impacting control actions. Those conditions can’t be realized by themselves and require special collaborative efforts of different agents using both cooperation and hierarchical control. To formalize the inevitable trade-offs it is natural to use game theoretic models including the games with differently directed interests.

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Текст научной работы на тему «Games with differently directed interests and their Application to the environmental management»

Games with Differently Directed Interests and Their Application to the Environmental Management

Guennady A.Ougolnitsky

Southern Federal University,

8A Milchakov St., 344090 Rostov-on-Don, Russia E-mail: ougoln@mail.ru

Abstract. The resolution of numerous ecological problems on different levels should be realized on the base of sustainable development concept that determines the conditions to the state of environmental-economic systems and impacting control actions. Those conditions can’t be realized by themselves and require special collaborative efforts of different agents using both cooperation and hierarchical control. To formalize the inevitable trade-offs it is natural to use game theoretic models including the games with differently directed interests.

Keywords: differential games, sustainable development, cooperation, dynamic stability, hierarchical control

JEL classification codes: C70, Q56

1. Introduction

A rapid growth of production and human population, urbanization and activity of transnational corporations exert an essential influence on the environment and result in many ecological problems on local, regional, and global level. Those problems are environmental pollution, water and wind erosion, acid rains, global warming, extinction, non-renewable resource exploitation, and so on. A successful solution of the problems is possible only within a sustainable development due to which an economic growth doesn’t violate the ecological equilibrium. Sustainable development requires strong collaborative efforts of states, corporations, social organizations and individuals. Because of many concerned agents it is evident that sustainable development is a conflict controlled process which must be described by game theoretic models. A special attention has to be given to the classes of differential games describing hierarchical relations, cooperation and dynamic stability (time consistency) .

A general survey of non-cooperative differential games is given by Basar and Olsder (1995), hierarchical games are considered by Fudenberg and Tirole (1991). Group optimal cooperative solutions in differential games are proposed in Dockner and Jorgensen (1984), Dockner and Long (1993), Tahvonen (1994), Maler and de Zeeuw (1998), Rubio and Casino (2002). Haurie and Zaccour (1986, 1991), Kaitala and Pohjola (1988, 1990, 1995), Kaitala et al (1995), Jorgensen and Zaccour (2001) presented classes of transferable-payoff cooperative games with solutions which satisfy group optimality and individual rationality. In Leitmann (1974, 1975), Tolwinsky et al (1986), Hamalainen et al (1986), Haurie and Pohjola (1987), Gao et al (1989), Haurie (1991), Haurie et al (1994) are presented solutions satisfying group optimality and individual rationality at the initial time in cooperative games with non-transferable payoffs. In some papers (see Hamalainen et al (1986), Tolwinsky et al

(1986)) threats are used to ensure that no players will deviate from the initial cooperative strategies throughout the game horizon. Environmental applications are considered in Dockner and Long (1993), Hamalainen et al (1986), Jorgensen and Zaccour (2001), Kaitala and Pohjola (1988, 1995), Kaitala et al (1995), Mazalov and Rettieva (2005, 2005, 2006, 2007), Yeung (2009) and others.

The problem of dynamic stability in differential games has been intensively explored in the past three decades (Yeung 2009). Haurie (1976) raised the problem of instability when the Nash bargaining solution is extended to differential games. Petrosyan (1977) formalized the notion of dynamic stability in differential games. Kidland and Prescott (1977) introduced the notion of time consistency related to economic problems. Petrosyan and Danilov (1979, 1982) proposed an ’’imputation distribution procedure” for cooperative solution. Petrosyan (1991, 1993b) studied the dynamic stability of optimality principles in non-zero sum cooperative differential games. Petrosyan (1993a) and Petrosyan and Zenkevich (1996, 2007) have presented a detailed analysis of dynamic stability in cooperative differential games, in which the method of regularization was used to construct time consistent solutions. Yeung and Petrosyan (2001) designed time consistent solutions in differential games and characterized the conditions that the allocation-distribution procedure must satisfy. Petrosyan and Zenkevich (2009) proposed the conditions of sustainable cooperation. Those and other results permit to propose a mathematical formalization of the concept of sustainable development on the base of a game theoretic model (Ougolnitsky 2002).

2. Games with differently directed interests

A general model of game with differently directed interests may be represented as follows (case n = 2 is considered for simplicity):

where terms f describe coincident interests, terms g - antagonistic interests, and terms fi , f2 - independent interests of the players. Specific cases of the model (1) are games with partly coincident interests

U2(xi,X2) = f (xi,X2) - g(xi, X2) + f2(xi,X2) ^ max .

(1)

U2(xi, X2) = f (xi,x2) + f2(xi,X2) ^ max .

(2)

and games with partly antagonistic interests

U2(xi,X2) = -g(xi, X2) + f2(xi, X2) ^ max .

(3)

For example, a well-known Germeyer-Vatel model (1974)

ui(xi, X2) = f (ai — xi, a2 — X2) + fi(xi) ^ max ;

xi€Xi

U2(xi, X2) = f (ai — xi,a2 — X2) + f2(x2) ^ max . (4)

X2GX2

is a specific case of a game with partly coincident interests (2) for which an existence of strong equilibrium is proved.

There are many natural applications of models (1)-(3) to the management problems. Thus, a model of motivation (impulsion) management

ui(xi,x2)= xif (X2) + fi(xi, X2) ^ max ;

0<xi < i

U2(xi,X2) = (1 — Xi)f (x2) + f2(xi,X2) ^ max . (5)

0<x2<i

belongs to the type (3). In our previous paper (Ougolnitsky 2010) a specific case of the model (2) was considered, namely a pricing model of hierarchical control of the sustainable development of the regional construction works complex

ul(p,Po,p) = Spa(p) - Mp(p,p0) ->• max

0 < P0 < p < Pmax

uf(p,Po,p) =pa(p)+p£(p)( 1 ~ol(p)) ->• max 0 < p < Pmax.

Here p is sales price; p0 - normative price of social class residential real estate development; p - limit price of social class residential real estate development; M » 1

- penalty constant; p(p,p0) = { °’ p < pp0, ; 5 - Administration bonus parameter for

social class residential real estate development sales; pmax - ”overlimit” price of social class residential real estate development (there are no sales if p > pmax); a(p) is share of residential real estate development bought by Administration with warranty; £(p) - share of another residential real estate development successfully sold by Developer without help.

There are many other examples of game theoretic models of the described type in management, such as models of resource allocation considering private interests, models of organizational monitoring optimization, models of reward systems, corruption models and so on. The games are considered as hierarchical ones.

3. Cooperative differential game of resource allocation with partly coincident interests on the base of compulsion

A dynamical model of hierarchical control by resource allocation in a tree-like system may be represented as follows:

E / gi(x(t), ui(t))dt ^ max;

0 < qi(t) < 1; ri(t) > 0, i € M;^2 ri(t) = M € [to,T];

i^M

fi(x(t),Ui(t)) = gi(x(t),Ui(t)) + hi(x(t),Ui(t)),i € M,t € [to,T]; qi(t) < Ui(t) < ri(t),i € M,t € [to, T]; dx

— = F(x(t), wi(t),..., un(t)), x(0) = xQ. dt

The tree-like hierarchical structure consists of n +1 elements: one element of the higher level (Leader) designated by index 0 and n elements of the lower level (Followers). Let’s denote the whole set of elements by N = {0,1,..., n}, and the set of elements on lower level by M = {1,...,n}. The Leader controls the Followers separately by control variables of compulsion qi (administrative impacts) and control variables ri of impulsion (resources) (Ougolnitsky 2002). Without lack of generality we may consider the total resource equal to one. After receiving the values of qi and ri each Follower i € M chooses the control value ui (environmental protection efforts). The objective of Leader is to maximize the payoff function f0, and the objective of each Follower is to maximize fi . We suppose that gi represents the ecological interests for the whole system, and hi represents private economic interests of the i-th Follower; functions gi are non-negative, continuous, differentiable, monotonically increase on ui , gi(x(t), 0) = 0; functions hi are non-negative, continuous, differentiable, monotonically decrease on ui , hi(x(t),ri(t)) = 0 for each t € ^ T].

To define a cooperative differential game with initial state x0 and time horizon [t0,T] on the base of compulsion it is sufficient to build a characteristic function v : 2n ^ R using the definition of compulsion (Ougolnitsky 2002). In this case the values of ri are fixed, and the Leader chooses qi , i € M, as open-loop strategies qi(•) = {qi(t)}, t € [to, T]. We have

v ({0}; xo,T - to) =

max min

o<qi(,)<ri(,),ieMu(t)eRi(qi(»),ri(,)),ieM ^ Jt0

y~] / gi(x(t),ui(t))dt

Jt 0

E / gi(x(t),ri(t))dt; t0

Ri(qi(t),ri(t)) = Arg max fi(x(t),u(t)), i € M,t € [to,T];

qi(*)<ui(t)<ri(*)

the compulsion mechanism has a form qi(t) = ri(t) ^ u*(t) = ri(t), i € M, where u*(t) is an optimal reaction of i-th Follower on qi(t), t € [to,T]. Respectively,

v({i}; xo,T - to) = I gi(x(t),ri(t))dt +f hi(x(t),r (t))dt =

t0 t0

I gi(x(t),ri(t))dt,i € M;

t0

v(K; xo ,T - to) = E/ fi(x(t),ri (t))dt = E/ gi(x(t),r (t))dt,K C M.

t0 t0

So, if Leader has full possibilities of compulsion, he can compel all Followers to follow the ecological interests only. Farther we get

v({0} U K; xo, T - to) =

= max max min [> / Qi(x(t),ui(t))dt

o<qi(^)<ri(.)1ieMqi(.)<ui(t)<ri(.)1ieKqi(.)<ui(t)<ri(.)1ieM\K ^ J ,

ieM t0

r t pT

+ E / gi(x(t),ui (t))dt + E/ hi(x(t),ui(t))dt] =

ieK^to ieK^to

f t

= max max min [>(2 / gi(x(t),ui(t))dt

o<qi(*)<ri(*),ieM qi(*)<ui(t)<ri(*),ieK qi(*)<ui(t)<ri(*),ieM\KfK J^

r T ,-T

+ hi(x(t),ui(t))dt) + ^2 / gi(x(t),ui(t))dt] =

to ieM\K 0

= E/ (2gi(x(t),u*(t))dt + hi(x(t),u*(t)))d,t + ieK^to

f t

+ E / gi(x(t),ri(t))dt, t0

ieM\K '

!■ T

where E / (2gi(u*(t)) + hi (u*(t)))dt =

ieK o

r T

max max > / (2qi(x(t),ui(t)) + hi (x(t),ui(t)))dt,

o<qi(.)<ri(.),ieKqi(.)<^(.)<ri(.),ieKieK./to

u* (•) i G K

the mechanism of compulsion is q* (•) = j , .. . At last,

^ w L ri(^), i € M \ K.

v(N; xo, T — to) = max max / [2gi(x(t),ui(t)) +

o<qi(*)<ri(*),ieM qi(*)<ui(t)<ri(*),ieM ^ Jt0

r T

+hi(x(t),ui(t))]dt = / [2gi(x(t),u^(t))dt + hi(x(t),u*i (t))]dt.

ieM ‘

So, if the Leader forms a coalition with Followers, he begins to consider their private interests, and the point of maximum shifts.

Lemma 1. Function v is superadditive.

Proof (of lemma). It is sufficient to consider three cases:

1. VK,L C M(K n L = 0)

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v(K; xo, T - to) + v(L; xo,T - to) = E / gi(x(t),r (t))dt +

ieK-*to

+ E/ gi(x(t),ri (t))dt = E / gi(x(t),ri (t))dt = v(K U L; xo,T - to). ieL 0 ieK UL,'to

2. K M

v ({0}uK ; xo,T - to) - v ({0}; xo,T - to) - v (K; xo,T - to) —

,-T ,■ T

= E/ [2gi(x(t),u*(t)) + hi(x(t),u*(t))]dt + E [ gi(x(t),ri(t))dt -

ieK 0 ieM\K t0

, T ,-T

gi(x(t),ri (t))dt gi(x(t),ri(t))dt =

ieM t0 ieK t0

/• T

= E / [2gi(x(t),u*(t)) + hi(x(t),u*(t)) - 2gi(x(t),ri(t))]dt > 0;

ieK t0

3. for VK, L C M(K n L = 0) as far M \ K = M \ (K U L) U L we get

v({0} U K U L; ^ T - to) - v({0} U K; ^ T - to) - v(L; x0, T - to) =

E / [2gi(x(t),u* (t)) + hi(x(t),u* (t))]dt +

ieKUL t0

/• t

+ E / gi(x(t),ri(t))dt -t0

ieM\(KUL)

fT CT

-E / [2gi(x(t),u* (t)) + hi(x(t),u* (t))] - E / gi(x(t),ri (t))dt

ieK t0 ieM\K t0

/■ t

/ gi(x(t),ri(t))dt =

ie L t0

/• T

= E / [2gi(x(t),u* (t)) + hi(x(t),u* (t)) - 2gi(x(t),ri (t))]dt > 0;

ieL t0

Thus, the function v is superadditive and generates a cooperative differential game on the base of compulsion I, = (N; v; x0, T -10) = I,(x0, T -10) Let’s remind that the set of non-dominated imputations in the game 1^,(x0,T - t0) is called C-core and denoted as C, (x0, T -10) , and the Shapley value (x0, T -10) is determined by formulas

(xo, T - to) = E Y(k)[v(K; xo, T - to) - v(K \{i}; xo,T - to)], (6)

K CN (ieK)

i = 1,...,n,

m={n~k)l?~1)\k = \Kln=\N\. (7)

Theorem 1. In the game r,(xo,T - to) it is true that (xo,T - to) € C,(xo,T -

to).

Proof (of theorem). Let’s calculate the components of Shapley value subject to (6): $0(xo, T - to) = Y(1)v({0}; xo, T - to) +

+Y(2) [v(K; xo, T - to) - v(K \ {0}; xo, T - to)] + ••• +

{0}eK,|K| = 2

+Y(n) E [v(K; xo, T - to) - v(K \{0}; xo,T - to)] +

{o}eK,|K|=n

+Y(n + 1)[z/(N; xo, T - to) - v(M; xo, T - to)] =

= y(1) E/ gi(x(t),ri(t))dt + y(2) E / [E(2gi(x(t),u**(t)) +

ieM t0 {o}eK,|K|=2 t0 ieK

+ h (x(t),u; (t)))+ £ gi(x(t),ri(t)) - E gi(x(t),ri (t))]dt +-------+

ieM\K ieK

+Y(n) E I [E(2g i(x(t),u* (t)) + hi(x(t),u* (t))) +

{0}eK, |K|=n 0 ieK

+ E gi(x(t),ri(t)) gi(x(t),ri(t))]dt +

ieM\K ieK

+Y(n +1)[E ^ (2gi (x(t), ui (t )) + hi(x(t) ui (t )))dt + E v f gi{.x(~t),'ri (t )) dt]

ieM t0 ieM t0

= y(2) E E/ (2gi(x(t),ui(t)) + hi(x(t),ui(t)))dt +

t0

{o}eK,|K|=2ieK t0

+y(3) E E/ (2gi(x(t),u* (t)) + hi(x(t),u* (t)))dt +-----------+

{0}eK,|K|=3 ieK 0

+Y(n) E E T

(2gi(x(t),u* (t)) + hi(x(t),u* (t)))dt +

{o}eK,|K|=nieK t0

+Y(n +1) E / (2gi(x(t),u*(t)) + hi(x(t),u*(t)))dt] =

ieN 0

= El] y(s) E E / Ai(t)dt,

s=2 {0}eK,|K|=s ieK 0

Ai(t) = 2gi(x(t),u* (t)) + hi(x(t),u*(t)). As each of n players of lower level takes part Cizl times in the set of coalitions of s players than

n “+1 T"1 T"1

^0(xo, T - t0) = E ^(s)gn~j E f Ai(t)dt = 0, 5^ f Ai(t)dt. Thus,

s = 2 ieM^0 ieM^0

(xo,T-to) = E / (di(x(t), ui (t)) + 0, 5hi(x(t),u* (t)))dt = 0, 5v (W; xo,T - to)

A /- li /T ” 10

As far Shapley value is Pareto-optimal we get

'y ' (xo, T - to) = 0, 5v(N; xo, T - to) = (xo, T — to)

ieM

and as far all Followers are completely symmetrical we get

&v(xo, T - to) = I (gi(x(t),u* (t))+0, 5hi(x(t),u* (t)))dt,i G M.

Jt 0

To complete the proof it is sufficient to verify directly the inequalities of three types:

1- 'Sy^J (xo, T - to) + @j ^, T - to) > v(K U L; xo,T - to);

ieK jeL

2. (xo, T - to) + (xo, T - to) > V({0} U K; ^ T - to);

ieK

3. (xo,T - to) + E (xo, T - to) + E ^ (xo, T - to) > v({0} U (K U L)),

ieK jeL

K n L = $,K,L C M. □

A cooperative game on the base of impulsion is built similarly. Unfortunately, the optimality principle <PV (xo, T - to) G CV (xo, T - to) is not dynamically stable (time consistent). To provide the dynamic stability a regularization procedure (payoff distribution procedure) has to be used (Petrosyan and Zenkevich 2007). Define

<PV(xo, T - to) = f Bi(s)ds,Bi(t) > 0, E Bi(t) = 1,t G [to, T].

Jto ieN

d^v (x t t )

The quantity B*(t) = —----------------- is the instantaneous payoff to the player i at

the moment t. The vector B(t) = (Bo(t), B1 (t),..., Bn(t)) determines a distribution of the total gain among all players. By the proper choice of B(t) it is possible to ensure that at each instant t G [to, T] there will be no objections against realization of the original agreement <PV(xo, T - to), i.e. the imputation <PV(xo, T - to) is time consistent. It is proved under general conditions that the regularization procedure B(t), t G [to,T], leading to the time consistent cooperative solution, exists and is realizable (Petrosyan and Zenkevich 1996).

4. Conclusion

The resolution of numerous ecological problems on different levels must be implemented on the base of sustainable development concept that determines the conditions to the state of environmental-economic systems and impacting control actions. Those conditions can’t be realized by themselves and require special collaborative

efforts of different agents using both cooperation and hierarchical control. To formalize the inevitable trade-offs it is natural to use game theoretic models including the games with differently directed interests. Unfortunately, the main optimality principles of hierarchical control (compulsion, impulsion) are not dynamically stable and therefore can’t be recommended as the direct base for collective solutions. The most prospective is the conviction method which is formalized as a transition from hierarchy to cooperation and allows a regularization that provides the dynamic stability. However, in current social conditions other methods of hierarchical control also keep their actuality. To provide the dynamic stability of those optimality principles it is necessary to build cooperative differential games on their base. An example of the approach is considered in this paper. The following directions of the game theoretic modeling of the concept of sustainable development are of specific interest: investigation of general game theoretic models of the hierarchical control of sustainable development (Ugolnitsky 2002a, 2005; Ougolnitsky 2009); modeling of the hierarchical control of sustainable development of the ecological-economic systems (Ugolnitsky 1999; Ugolnitsky and Usov 2007a, 2009; Ougolnitsky 2002; Ougolnitsky and Usov 2009); modeling of the hierarchical control of sustainable development of the systems of another types (Ugolnitsky 2002b); modeling of the multilevel hierarchical systems of different structure (Ugolnitsky and Usov 2007b, 2010); modeling of the corruption in hierarchical control systems (Rybasov and Ugolnitsky 2004; Denin and Ugolnitsky 2010); development of the information-analytical systems of decision support in the hierarchically controlled dynamical systems (Ugolnitsky and Usov 2008).

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