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JEL: L16, L72

DOI : 10.52174/1829-0280_2022.3-81

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1 Sb'u Malthus T. R., An Essay on the Principle of Population. London, 1798, Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project, 1998:

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2 Sb'u Mill J. S., The Collected Works of John Stuart Mill, Volume III - The Principles of Political Economy with Some of Their Applications to Social Philosophy (Books 11IV and Appendices), ed. John M. Robson, Introduction by V.W. Bladen (Toronto: University of Toronto Press, London: Routledge and Kegan Paul, 1965, 801). (https://0ll.libertyfund.0rg/titles/243#Mill 0223-03_673)

3 Sb'u Mill J. S., The Collected Works of John Stuart Mill, Volume XVII - The Later Letters of John Stuart Mill 1849-1873 Part IV, ed. Francis E. Mineka and Dwight N. Lindley (Toronto: University of Toronto Press, London: Routledge and Kegan Paul, 1972), 1651. (https://oll.libertyfund.Org/titles/254#MilL0223-17_436)

4 Sb'u Crowson P., Mining and sustainable development: measurement and indicators. Raw Mater. Rep. 13 (1), 1998, tg 27-33:

5 Sb'u Worrall R., Neil D., Brereton D., Mulligan D., Towards a sustainability criteria and indicators framework for legacy mine land. J. Clean. Prod. 17 (16), 2009, tg 1426-1434:

6 Sb'u Rajaram V., Dutta S., Parameswaran K., Sustainable Mining Practices: a Global Perspective. CRC Press, 2005:

7 Sb'u Von Below M.A., Sustainable mining development hampered by low mineral prices. Resour. Pol. 19, 1993, 177-181:

8 Sb'u Allan R., Introduction: sustainable mining in the future. J. Geochem. Explor, 52 (1-2), 1995, tg 1-4:

9 Sb'u Eggert R., Mining, sustainability and sustainable development. In: Maxwell, Ph (Ed.), Mineral Economics. Second ed., Chapter 13. Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, 2006:

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10 Hobbs J., Enhancing the contribution of mining to sustainable development, Sustainable Minerals Operations in the Developing World, 2005, tg 9-11:

11 Uiutipujiiujuti rnb'u <uipni|3jiutjjujtj L., Sliuibuujt[jn[nq.fimL|mli qiupq.ujgi5iutj 1лЬиш1|ш1| iSnuibgnnSbbpfi n.bpQ pmr^mpujljujbnLp-jujb 152шL|i5mb q.npônLi5, Регион и мир, научно-аналитический журнал, Общественный институт политических и социальных исследований Черноморско-Каспийского региона, том X, N 6, 2019:

12 Sb'u Daly H. Е„ Steady-state economics (2nd éd.). Washington, DC: Island Press, 1991, tg 180-194:

13 Sb'u Carvalho F., Mining industry and sustainable development: Time for change, Food and Energy Security, № 6(2), 2017, tg 61-77:

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16 Sb'u Dorin I., Diaconescu C., loan D., The Role of Mining in National Economies, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences Vol. 4, No.3, July 2014, HRMAR, tg 5-6:

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17 Sb'u Final consumption expenditure (current US$), The World Bank, http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.CON.TOTL.CD/countries?display=default

18 Sb'u Brown J. T. et al, World Mineral Data 2010-2014, British Geological Servey, NERC 2016, Keyworth Nottingham, https://www.bgs.ac.uk/downloads/start.cfm?id=3084

19 Sb'u Goodland R., Responsible mining: The key to profitable resource development, Sustainability, №4, 2012, t2 2112:

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Siupfi ^ЗШШШШШЯШШ <t>n¡xiuipábB

nhniiiliiiih iiinmiiin- ninitiiiinhniiiliniii iim- П 1П itllll П Hn III llllltl 1НП-

í_ и 11 LU LI LU U UJ / f ly f Ш 9 L 1 LI 11 LU UJ L¿ U1 1 UV LI UJ Li UJ 11 1 LI 11 LU UJ LUMШ LI UJ LJ UJ 11 (Ulf Ъ цприр)

пшЬр (Jib при/J) тшппшЬр, Jib nnujJ) шшппшЬр. Jib nnuiJ)

2000 16059 20431 62396 552.18

2001 20231 21349 60114 561.81

2002 30821 24565 100016 584.89

2003 46655 28300 188478 566

2004 97099 48584 141865 485.84

2005 113328 41868 156666 450.19

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2006 113459 49800 113776 363.5

2007 113824 52934 90353 304.22

2008 93266 53064 93553 306.73

2009 91898 55172 40434 377.89

2010 145537 111576 57787 363.44

2011 170169 155851 82941 385.77

2012 193326 162643 72241 403.58

2013 196779 165096 119664 405.64

2014 193401 183338 143916 474.97

2015 220819 230749 57083 483.75

2016 256629 227936 78398 483.94

2017 341099 327252 112795 484.1

2018 300745 312019 139320 483.75

2019 356781 356417 143910 479.7

2020 403456 425911 75253 522.59

https://www.armstat.am/file/doc/99489228.pdf, https://www.armstat.am/file/doc/99489228.pdf, https://www.armstat.am/am/7nidH2&id=01001 , https://www.armstat.am/file/doc/99526873.pdf, https://www.armstat.am/file/doc/99510793.pdf, https://www.armstat.am/file/doc/99489228.pdf

ипт-зпкшрьпичиъ шт.и.шчи.ъг^га-зпкь 89

■ СшЬршргупЛшрЬрш^шЬ lupmiuripiutip, J[ti « r|piuJ

■ UpmrnhmbriLj (ИшЬршр^пЛшрЬрш^шЬ шртшрршЬр, ií[b « ppiuiï) с TjhpiïnLÔruJ (ИшЬршргупЛшрЬрш^шЬ шршшг|.ршЬр, J[b « rj-ршJ)

Фп[ишрс)-Ьр, lilTL Г).П[шр

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Liryniuml| 2

2000-2020 pp. huibpiuprijnibiupbpnipjuib шрциицршЬр/! дш^шф, bbpdniàduib, uipipuihuibduib, ifin[uuupdbf>li /nquipftpduilfiub uipdbgbbpp «-nid23

ШШЖШ Y(log) Im(log) С (loe)

2000 9.684 9.924792 11.04126 6.313874

2001 9.914952 9.96875 11.00399 6.331164

2002 10.33595 10.10909 11.51309 6.371424

2003 10.75053 10.25062 12.14674 6.338594

2004 11.48349 10.79105 11.86263 6.185879

2005 11.63804 10.64227 11.96187 6.10967

2006 11.6392 10.81576 11.64198 5.895779

2007 11.64241 10.87681 11.41148 5.717751

2008 11.44321 10.87926 11.44628 5.725968

2009 11.42843 10.91821 10.60743 5.934603

2010 11.88818 11.62246 10.96452 5.895614

2011 12.04454 11.95666 11.32588 5.955241

2012 12.17214 11.99931 11.18776 6.000375

2013 12.18984 12.01428 11.69244 6.005466

22 4iuqi5b[ t ИЬф1|ш1|р' puui шгутиш1| 1-fi ini|juj|tibp|i:

23 <ш2ь[шр1|Ь[ t hhr|jitiiul|Q:

2014 12.17252 12.11909 11.87698 6.163252

2015 12.3051 12.34908 10.95225 6.181568

2016 12.45539 12.33682 11.26956 6.181961

2017 12.73993 12.69848 11.63333 6.182291

2018 12.61402 12.65082 11.84453 6.181568

2019 12.78488 12.78386 11.87694 6.173161

2020 12.90782 12.96199 11.22861 6.258797

Y = 4.650364 + 0.829108EX + 0.379963IM - 1.111139C + ct (2)

lirynLUUll] 3

Wnrpbifi qhiuhiuipiliuh uipqjnitijjhbpp24

Included observations: 20 V=a(0)+a(1 )*EX+a(2)*IM+a(3)*C

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

a(0) a(1) a(2) a(3)

4.650364 0.829108 0.379963 -1.111139

1.956011 0.047873 0.120303 0.254742

2.377474 17.31885 3.158391 -4.361816

0.0294 0.0000 0.0057 0.0004

R-squared 0.952794 Mean dependent var 11.72545

Adjusted R-squared 0.944463 S.D. dependent var 0.909018

S.E. of regression 0.214222 Akaike info criterion -0.073966

Sum squared resid 0.780147 Schwarz criterion 0.124991

Log likelihood 4.776644 Hannan-Quinn criter. -0.030787

F-statistic 114.3735 Durbin-Watson stat 1.269966

Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000

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ипт-зпкшрьпичиъ шт.и.шчи.ъпьга-зпкь 91

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lIjlinLUJiihliiujli|ii{, l|iup&nLii blip hiulipiupqinLlnuphprupjiuli n|npin|i quip-qiugdiuli hliiupiui|npni.|ajniMjbpli ru fuliq|iplibpli uilihpiudt^m t г|-|птшрЬ|Ь^ l|iu-jmli qiupqiugdiuli Ьпш^шф Jnqb[|i 2P2wliiul|libpni.d, uijli t' 1|Ьр|ги&Ь[ n[npmp ш1лпЬиш1|ш1|, pliiuu|iuhu|iuliiul|iuli li ипд|лш[ш1|ш1| mqqbgnLpjmli mbumliLjjnL-1фд U fulir|.|iplibp|i |nL&m.dp npnlibL d|i2iuqqiuj|'ili |iui[iuqnLjli фпрЙ|л ru linpiu-ршрш1|шЬ dninbgni.dlibp|i 2P2wliiul|nLd:

Oqinuiqnp6ilm6 q.puil|iiitinLpjnLti

1. « фбш1|ш^рш1|ш1| L|nJ|nnb|i Иршьцшрш^п^Ьр' https://www.armstat.am/file/doc/99489228.pdf, https://www.armstat.am/file/doc/99489228.pdf, https://www.armstat.am/am/?nid=12&id=01001, https://www.armstat.am/file/doc/99526873.pdf, https://www.armstat.am/file/doc/99510793. pdf, https://www.armstat.am/file/doc/99489228.pdf

2. <iupnL|3jnLtijiuti L, Sliinbuiut;l|n|nq.|iuil|uili qiupquigJiuti inbuui-1|ш1| JninbgriLJlibp[i П-trpQ pmqiu{)ujl|UjtinL|3jujti il2iul|Jiuti qnpdnul, Регион и мир, научно-аналитический журнал, Общественный институт политических и социальных исследований Черноморско-Каспийского региона, том X, N 6, 2019:

3. Allan R., Introduction: sustainable mining in the future. J. Geochem. Explor. 52 (1-2), 1995.

4. Brown J. T. et al, World Mineral Data 2010-2014, British Geological Servey, NERC2016, Keyworth Nottingham,

https://www.bgs.ac.uk/downloads/start.cfm?id=3084

5. Carvalho F., Mining industry and sustainable development: Time for change, Food and Energy Security, № 6(2), 2017.

6. Crowson P., Mining and sustainable development: measurement and indicators. Raw Mater. Rep. 13 (1), 1998.

7. Daly H. E., Steady-state economics (2nd ed.). Washington, DC: Island Press, 1991.

8. Dorin I., Diaconescu C., loan D., The Role of Mining in National Economies, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences Vol. 4, No.3, July 2014, HRMAR.

9. Eggert R., Mining, sustainability and sustainable development. In: Maxwell, Ph (Ed.), Mineral Economics. Second ed., Chapter 13. Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, 2006.

10. Goodland R., Responsible mining: The key to profitable resource development, Sustainability, N2 4, 2012.

11. Hobbs J., Enhancing the contribution of mining to sustainable development, Sustainable Minerals Operations in the Developing World.

12. Final consumption expenditure (current US$), The World Bank, http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.C0N.T0TL.CD/countries7dis play=default

13. Malthus T. R., An Essay on the Principle of Population. London, 1798, (Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project, 1998, http://www.esp.org/books/malthus/population/malthus.pdf)

14. Mill J. S., The Collected Works of John Stuart Mill, Volume III - The Principles of Political Economy with Some of Their Applications to Social Philosophy (Books lll-V and Appendices), ed. John M. Robson, Introduction by V.W. Bladen (Toronto: University of Toronto Press, London: Routledge and Kegan Paul, 1965, 801),

https://ol I. I ibertyfu nd. org/titles/243#Mil l_0223-03_673

15. Mill J. S., The Collected Works of John Stuart Mill, Volume XVII -The Later Letters of John Stuart Mill 1849-1873 Part IV, ed. Francis E. Mineka and Dwight N. Lindley (Toronto: University of Toronto Press, London: Routledge and Kegan Paul, 1972), 1651, https://ol I. I ibertyfu nd ,org/titles/254#Mi 11_0223-17_436

iНе можете найти то, что вам нужно? Попробуйте сервис подбора литературы.

16. Rajaram V., Dutta S., Parameswaran K., Sustainable Mining Practices: a Global Perspective. CRC Press, 2005.

17. Von Below M.A., Sustainable mining development hampered by low mineral prices. Resour. Pol. 19, 1993.

18. Worrall R., Neil D., Brereton D., Mulligan D., Towards a sustainability criteria and indicators framework for legacy mine land. J. Clean. Prod. 17 (16), 2009.

um-зпкьирьпичиъ шашэцчиъгичэ-зпкь 93

ЛУСИНЕ АРУТЮНЯН

Эксперт по устойчивому развитию

Экономическая оценка горнодобывающего сектора РА,- Цель статьи - оценить макроэкономические показатели, влияющие на горнодобывающий сектор республики, а также потенциал и возможности развития этого сектора. Проблемы, возникающие в горнодобывающей отрасли, носят системный характер (экология, охрана здоровья населения), так как оценка экономических механизмов отрасли требует активного сотрудничества государства и общества.

Минеральные ресурсы играют исключительно важную роль в развитии экономики любой страны, находя применение в различных отраслях хозяйства. В настоящее время, сколько бы усилий ни было направлено на выявление возобновляемых источников энергии и энергосбережения, вторичное использование ресурсов, расширение мощностей по переработке отходов и повышение технологичности, с другой стороны, на вопросы, связанные с защитой окружающей среды, которые продолжают подниматься на различных платформах, тем не менее, рост населения, а также увеличения объёмов международного потребления приводят к годовому устойчивому росту объёмов большей части добываемых полезных ископаемых.

Оценка между добычей полезных ископаемых, импортом, экспортом и обменным курсом показала, что потенциал развития этого сектора оказывает положительное влияние на внешнюю торговлю независимо от колебаний обменного курса.

Ключевые слова: горнодобывающая продукция, обменный курс, регресс, импорт, экспорт, долгосрочное благосостояние, социально-экономическое развитие JEL: L16, L72

DOI: 10.52174/1829-0280_2022.3-81

LUSINE HARUTYUNYAN

Expert on Sustainable Development

Economic Evaluation of the Mining Sector in RA.- The

aim of the article is to evaluate the macroeconomic indicators affecting the mining sector in the republic, as well as the development potential and opportunities of that sector. The problems caused in the mining sector are systemic (environmental, public health protection). Besides, the assessment of the economic mechanisms of the sector requires active cooperation of the state and society.

Mineral resources play an extremely important role in the development of the economy of any country, finding application

94 PiiTjPbn c^sc

2022.3

in various branches of the economy. Currently, no matter how much effort is directed towards the identification of renewable energy sources and energy saving, secondary use of resources, expansion of waste processing facilities and increase of technological efficiency, on the other hand, issues related to environmental protection continue to be raised on various platforms.

The assessment between mining output, import, export and exchange rate showed that the development potential of this sector has a positive effect on foreign trade, regardless of exchange rate fluctuations.

Keywords: mining products, exchange rate, regression, import, export, long-term welfare, socio-economic development JEL: L16, L72

DOI: 10.52174/1829-0280_2022.3-81

ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ ОЦЕНКА ГОРНОДОБЫВАЮЩЕГО СЕКТОРА РА Текст научной статьи по специальности «Социальная и экономическая география»

Аннотация научной статьи по социальной и экономической географии, автор научной работы — Арутюнян Лусине

Похожие темы научных работ по социальной и экономической географии , автор научной работы — Арутюнян Лусине

ECONOMIC EVALUATION O F THE MINING SECTOR IN RA

Текст научной работы на тему «ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ ОЦЕНКА ГОРНОДОБЫВАЮЩЕГО СЕКТОРА РА»