Научная статья на тему 'Economic consequences of Pandemics: what we have learned from history'

Economic consequences of Pandemics: what we have learned from history Текст научной статьи по специальности «История и археология»

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COVID-19 / pandemic / epidemic / history / world economy / COVID-19 / пандемия / эпидемия / история / всемирная экономика

Аннотация научной статьи по истории и археологии, автор научной работы — Shushan Movsisyan

Pandemics are believed to change the course of history. They caused significant economic disruption, but sometimes resulted in income increase. Coronavirus outbreak first identified in China in December, 2019, is declared to be a pandemic in March, 2020. In what way it will change global economy and what lessons international community have learned from history? The thoughts of the author leads to the following: in what way it will change global economy and what lessons international community have learned from history?

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ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОЕ ВОЗДЕЙСТВИЕ ЭПИДЕМИЙ: ЧЕМУ НАС НАУЧИЛА ИСТОРИЯ?

Эпидемии имеют историческое значение, часто также меняют ход истории. Они вызвали экономические потери, а иногда увеличивали доходы населения. Эпидемия, вспыхнувшая в Китае в декабре 2019 г., превратилась в глобальную пандемию в марте 2020 года. Как изменится глобальная экономика, и какие уроки извлекло мировое общество из истории? Рассуждения автора приводят к следующему: как изменится глобальная экономика, и какие уроки извлекло мировое общество из истории?

Текст научной работы на тему «Economic consequences of Pandemics: what we have learned from history»

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' What can the Black Death tell us about the global economic consequences of a pandemic? March 4, 2020, http:// theconversation.com/what-can-the-black-death-tell-us-about-the-global-economic-consequences-of-a-pandem-ic-132793

2 Th. Garrett, "Economic Effects of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic", 2007, p. 21, https://www.stlouisfed.org/~/media/ files/pdfs/community%20development/research%20reports/pandemic_flu_report.pdf

3 R.Barro, J. Ursua, J. Weng, The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from the "Spanish Flu" for the Coronavirus's Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity, NBER Working Paper No. 26866

March 2020, https://www.nber.org/papers/w26866.pdf

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4 J. Fox, Remember the Last Global Pandemic? Probably Not, 10 March, 2020, https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/ articles/2020-03-10/how-coronavirus-compares-with-2009-s-h1n1-in-spread-and-reaction

5 A.Frangoul, Counting the costs of a global epidemic, 5 Feb. 2014, https://www.cnbc.com/2014/02/05/counting-the-costs-of-a-global-epidemic.html

6 The global economy is woefully unprepared for biological threats. This is what we need to do, 05 Mar 2019, https:// www.weforum.org/agenda/2019/03/our-economy-is-woefully-underprepared-for-biological-threats/

7 A world at risk: annual report on global preparedness for health emergencies. World Health Organization; 2019, https://apps.who.int/gpmb/assets/annual_report/GPMB_annualreport_2019.pdf

8 K. Hopkins, Pandemics that changed the course of history, 12 Jul 2009, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2009/ jul/12/flu-pandemic-economic-impact

9 R.Barro, J. Ursua, J. Weng, The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from the "Spanish Flu" for the Coronavirus's Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity, NBER Working Paper No. 26866

March 2020, https://www.nber.org/papers/w26866.pdf

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"A world at risk: annual report on global preparedness for health emergencies". World Health Organization; 2019, https://apps.who. int/gpmb/assets/annual_report/GPMB_annu-alreport_2019.pdf

A. Frangoul, "Counting the costs of a global epidemic", 5 Feb. 2014, https://www.cnbc. com/2014/02/05/counting-the-costs-of-a-global-epidemic.html J. Fox, "Remember the Last Global Pandemic? Probably Not", 10 March, 2020, https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti-cles/2020-03-10/how-coronavirus-compares-with-2009-s-h1n1-in-spread-and-reaction K. Hopkins, "Pandemics that changed the course of history", 12 Jul 2009, https://www. theguardian.com/world/2009/jul/12/flu-pan-demic-economic-impact R. Barro, J. Ursua, J. Weng, "The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from the "Spanish Flu" for the Coro-

navirus's Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity", NBER Working Paper No. 26866, March 2020, https://www.nber. org/papers/w26866.pdf

6. "The global economy is woefully unprepared for biological threats. This is what we need to do", 05 Mar 2019, https://www.weforum.org/ agenda/2019/03/our-economy-is-woefully-un-derprepared-for-biological-threats/

7. Th. Garrett, "Economic Effects of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic", 2007, p. 21, https:// www.stlouisfed.org/~/media/files/pdfs/com-munity%20development/research%20reports/ pandemic_flu_report.pdf

8. "What can the Black Death tell us about the global economic consequences of a pandemic?" March 4, 2020, http://theconversation. com/what-can-the-black-death-tell-us-about-the-global-economic-consequences-of-a-pan-demic-132793

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iНе можете найти то, что вам нужно? Попробуйте сервис подбора литературы.

ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОЕ ВОЗДЕЙСТВИЕ ЭПИДЕМИЙ: ЧЕМУ НАС НАУЧИЛА ИСТОРИЯ?

Эпидемии имеют историческое значение, часто также меняют ход истории. Они вызвали экономические потери, а иногда увеличивали доходы населения.

Эпидемия, вспыхнувшая в Китае в декабре 2019 г., превратилась в глобальную пандемию в марте 2020 года. Как изменится глобальная экономика, и какие уроки извлекло мировое общество из истории? Рассуждения автора приводят к следующему: как изменится глобальная экономика, и какие уроки извлекло мировое общество из истории?

Ключевые слова: COVID-19, пандемия, эпидемия, история, всемирная экономика

Shushan MOVSISYAN

Expert at AMBERD Research Center, ASUE

ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF PANDEMICS: WHAT WE HAVE LEARNED FROM HISTORY

Pandemics are believed to change the course of history. They caused significant economic disruption, but sometimes resulted in income increase.

Coronavirus outbreak first identified in China in December, 2019, is declared to be a pandemic in March, 2020. In what way it will change global economy and what lessons international community have learned from history? The thoughts of the author leads to the following: in what way it will change global economy and what lessons international community have learned from history?

Keywords: COVID-19, pandemic, epidemic, history, world economy

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