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Stochastic Ageing and Dependence for Reliability
Chin-Diew Lai MinXie
■S Springer
STOCHASTIC AGEING AND DEPENDENCE FOR RELIABILITY
Chin-Diew Lai and Min Xie
Ageing and dependence are two important characteristics in reliability and survival analysis, and they affect significantly the decision people make with regard to maintenance, repair/replacement, price setting, warranties, medical studies, and other areas. There are many papers published at different technical levels. This book aims at providing a state-of-the-art review of the subject so the interested readers may have a panoramic view of the theory and applications of the two areas.
This book serves as reference book for professors and researchers involved in reliability and survival analysis. Students with basic probability and statistics knowledge interested in applications will also find the book useful.
Chin-Diew Lai obtained Ph.D. in Statistics from the Victoria University of Wellington. He held positions at the University of Auckland and the National Chiao Tung University (Taiwan) prior to coming to Massey in 1979. Professor Lai has published over 90 peer-reviewed papers and coauthored two well-received books. He is one of the two Editors-in-Chief of the Journal of Applied Mathematics and Decision Sciences.
Min Xie obtained his Ph.D. in Quality Technology from Linkoping University in Sweden. He joined the National University of Singapore in 1991 and was awarded the prestigious Lee Kuan Yew research fellowship. Professor Xie has authored numerous papers and several books, and serves as editor or editorial board member in several international journals.
ISBN 0-387-29742-1 www.springer. com
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Gregory Levitin
THE UNIVERSAL GENERATING FUNCTION IN RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND OPTIMIZATION
Й SpriltgLr
The author develops techniques of Universal Generating Function introduced by I. Ushakov in the middle of 80-e. The book offers a description of the universal generating function technique and its applications in Reliability Analysis of binary and multi-state systems and as well to optimization of series-parallel structures under certain constraints. The book supplies with a number of examples from engineering practice.
Many real systems are composed of multi-state components with different performance levels and several failure modes. These affect the whole system's performance. Most books on reliability theory cover binary models that allow a system only to function perfectly or fail completely. The Universal Generating Function in Reliability Analysis and Optimization is the first book that gives a comprehensive description of the universal generating function technique and its applications in binary and multi-state system reliability analysis. It features: an introduction to basic tools of multi-state system reliability and optimization; applications of the universal generating function in widely used multi-state systems; examples of the adaptation of the universal generating function to different systems in mechanical, industrial and software engineering.
Springer, 2005
Автор развивает метод универсальных производящих функций, введенных И. Ушаковым в середине 80-х годов. В книге предлагается описание метода и применение его к анализу надежности систем с двумя и многими состояниями, а также к решению задач оптимизации при наличии ограничений. Книга снабжена большим числом примеров практического применения метода.
Многие реальные системы состоят из элементов, имеющих несколько уровней функционирования, чьи состояния влияют и на оперативные возможности систем. В данной книге дается детальный анализ подобных систем с использованием метод универсальных производящих функций, приводится много практических примеров.
This monograph will be of value to anyone interested in system reliability, performance analysis and optimization in industrial, electrical and nuclear engineering.
Table of Contents
1. Basic Tools and Techniques
2. Universal Generating Function (UGF) in Reliability Analysis of Binary Systems
3. Introduction to Multi-state Systems (MSS)
4. UGF in Analysis of Series-parallel MSS
5. UGF in Optimization of Series-parallel MSS
6. UGF in Analysis and Optimization of Special Types of MSS
7. UGF in Analysis and Optimization of Consecutively Connected Systems and Networks
8. UGF in Analysis and Optimization of Fault-tolerant Software.
Книга будет интересна дл всех, кто интересуется надежностью различных технических систем и их оптимизацией.
Оглавление книги:
1. Описание метода
2. Универсальная производящая функция (УПФ) в расчетах надежности систем с двумя состояниями
3. Введение в анализ систем с многими состояниями (СМС)
4. Использование УПФ для анализе последовательно -параллельных СМС
5. Использование УПФ для оптимизации последовательно -параллельных СМС
6. Использование УПФ для оптимизации специальных видов СМС
7. Использование УПФ для оптимизации последовательно соединенных систем и сетей
8. Использование УПФ для анализа и оптимизации программного обеспечения
1. Gertsbakh
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Reliability Theory
With Applications to Preventive Maintenance
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И. Герцбах
elyager@bezeqint. net
ТЕОРИЯ НАДЕЖНОСТИ С ПРИЛОЖЕНИЯМИ К ПРОФИЛАКТИЧЕСКОМУ ОБСЛУЖИВАНИЮ
Москва 2003 - 263 стр.
Перевод с английского М.Г. Сухарева Под ред. В.В.Рыкова Rykov@rykov1 .ins.ru ГУП Изд-во "Нефть и газ" РГУ им. И.М. Губкина,
Для приобретения книги обратиться по адресу: РГУ нефти и газа им. И. М. Губкина, 11991, Москва, Ленинский просп., 65 Тел: 135-84-06, 930-97-11. Факс : 135-74-16
Эта книга - перевод с английского монографии I. Gertsbakh, Theory of Reliability With Applications to Preventive Maintenance, Springer-Verlag- 2000.
Автор - известный специалист в области теории надежности - написал ее на основе лекций, прочитанных в 1997-1999 гг. в Университете им. Бен-Гуриона (Израиль) для студентов инженерных специальностей. И.Герцбах знаком русскому читателю по книгам "Модели отказов" (совместно с Х.Б. Кордонским, 1966) и "Модели профилактики" (1969).
"Теория надежности" написана просто и доступно, в ней нет длинных и громоздких доказательств, в ней много интересных примеров и задач с подробными решениями и алгоритмами, написанными на пакете Mathematica.
В Приложении дается Нормальная и Вейбулловская вероятностная бумага . Детальную информацию об этой книге (по-английки) можно найти на сайте www.amazon.com , under "books" , "Gertsbakh"
Книга содержит сведения о статистической обработке неполных (усеченных) данных, теорию распределений в надежности, модели профилактического обслуживания систем с многими состояниями, новый материал по обслуживанию с обучением и по выбору оптимальных шкал времени.
Эта книга идеально подходит как учебник или учебное пособие по Теории надежности, Приложениям теории вероятностей, Введению в случайные процессы, и может быть использована студентами, аспирантами и научными работниками инженерных специальностей и прикладными математиками.
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Organized by
The Maintenance Professional Committee, China Ordnance Society (MPCCOS) In Cooperation With
University of Electronic Science and Technology of China (UESTC) International Foundation for Research in Maintenance
Remanufacturing Technology Committee, China Association of Plant Engineering Construction Machinery Maintenance Committee, China Association of Plant Engineering Maintenance Engineering Institution, China Construction Machinery Society Repairing Ship Academic Committee, CSNAME
Sponsor
IEEE Reliability Society (Technical Sponsor) National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) Chinese Academy of Engineering Reliasoft (China) Corporation
Call for Papers (ICME'06)
The purpose of ICME'06 is to promote interactions between academic researchers and industrial practitioners. We are particularly interested in exchanging practical approaches, concepts, prototypes, and other results which could contribute to the academic arena and also benefit business and the industrial communities.
The conference aims to bring together researchers and practitioners that are interested in sharing the latest theoretical and practical ideas/results in the maintenance field. The conference features keynote presentations from Jay Lee, Min Xie, Basim Al-Najjar, Jinji Gao, Hoang Pham, Wenbin Wang, and Xisheng Jia.
The conference includes paper sessions, panel sessions and product exhibition. We sincerely expect your participations and presentation of new ideas and experiences in the maintenance field. Interested parties and personnel other than the authors are also welcome.
Papers submitted to the conference should describe original work in the maintenance filed. Case studies, empirical research and experimental results are particularly welcome. Papers should be in English and 2000 - 8000 words in length. Papers should be submitted in PDF or PostScript format via email to yangbo@uestc.edu.cn or mqiang@uestc.edu.cn .
Topics of interest include but are not restricted to the following:
♦ Equipment Management and Maintenance
♦ The Theory, Technology and Method of Active Maintenance
♦ Condition Based Maintenance (CBM)
♦ Reliability Centered Maintenance (RCM)
♦ Software Maintenance
♦ Emergency Maintenance
♦ Tele-Diagnosis and Maintenance
♦ e-Maintenance
♦ Maintainability & Maintenance Modeling
♦ Reliability, Maintainability, Testability, Supportability
♦ Analysis and Design Technology
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Important Dates
Deadline for paper submission: June 15th, 2006 Notification of acceptance July 31st, 2006 Early registration: September 10th, 2006 Deadline for registration: September 30th, 2006 Date of Conference: Oct.15th -Oct.18th, 2006
The Organization of ICME 2006
Conference Chair
Binshi Xu Professor
Academician Chinese Academy of Engineering National Key Laboratory for Remanufacturing, China
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Co-Chairs
Jinji Gao
Shanghe Liu Min Xie
A. K.S. Jardine Jay Lee
Dong Ho Park
Academician Chinese Academy of Engineering
Professor Beijing University of Chemical Technology, China
Academician Chinese Academy of Engineering
Professor Shi Jiazhuang Mechanical Engineering College, China
Professor National University of Singapore, Singapore
Professor University of Toronto, Canada
Chair Professor Ohio Eminent Scholar & L.W. Scott Alter Chair Professor
in Advanced Manufacturing, USA
Professor University of Cincinnati, USA
Honorary President Korean Reliability Society
Professor Hallym University, Korea
Program Committee Chairs
Xisheng Jia Hong-Zhong Huang Hoang Pham Renkuan Guo Wenbin Wang
Program Committee
Basim Al-Najjar
G. Levitin Changping Liu Mingjian Zuo Eui Yong Lee Rui Kang Lirong Cui Jiashan Jin Maozhi Gan Jianping Hao Liyang Xie Yuan Lu Yuanshun Dai Jianfeng Yang Bo Yang
General Secretary Maintenance Professional Committee, China Ordnance Society
Professor University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
Professor Rutgers University, USA
Professor University of Cape Town, South Africa
Senior Lecturer University of Salford, UK
Members
Chair Centre of Industrial Competitiveness (CIC)
Professor Växjö University, Sweden
Engineer-Expert Israel Electric Corporation Ltd., Israel
Vice Chair Total Productive Maintenance Committee, CAPE, China
Professor University of Alberta, Canada
Professor Sookmyung Women's University, Korea
Professor Beijing Institute of Technology, China
Professor Beijing Institute of Technology, China
Professor Naval University of Engineering, China
Professor Shijiazhuang Mechanical Engineering College, China
Associate Professor Shijiazhuang Mechanical Engineering College, China
Professor Northeastern University, China
Assistant Professor Technische Universiteit Eindhoven, Netherlands
Assistant Professor Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis (IUPUI), USA
Professor Beijing University of Chemical Technology, China
Associate professor University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
Steering Committee Chairs
Li Du University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
Senlin Zhang Shijiazhuang Mechanical Engineering College, China
Kevin Zhao Reliasoft (China) Corporation
Keynote Speakers:
1. Jay Lee Chair Ohio Eminent Scholar & L.W. Scott Alter Chair Professor in Advanced Manufacturing, USA
Professor University of Cincinnati, USA
2. Jinji Gao Academician Chinese Academy of Engineering
Professor Beijing University of Chemical Technology, China
3. Min Xie Professor National University of Singapore, Singapore
4. Basim Al-Najjar Chairman Centre of Industrial Competitiveness (CIC) to Professor Vaxjo University, Sweden
^ 5. Hoang Pham Professor Rutgers University, USA
^ 6. Xisheng Jia General Secretary Maintenance Professional Committee China Ordnance Society, China
i Professor Shijiazhuang Mechanical Engineering College, China
^^ 7. Wenbin Wang Senior Lecturer University of Salford, UK
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Conference Secretariat
JJ^ Bo Yang University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
^ Qiang Miao University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
Zongwen An University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
^ Xusen Xu Shijiazhuang Mechanical Engineering College, China
Runsheng Wang Shijiazhuang Mechanical Engineering College, China
^ Yuhong Gan Shijiazhuang Mechanical Engineering College, China
^ Contact
Dr. Bo Yang yangbo@uestc.edu.cn " Dr. Qiang Miao mqiang@uestc.edu.cn
Addr.:
Department of Industrial Engineering, School of Mechanics and Electronics Engineering, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, Si Chuan, P.R.China, 610054 G Tel: 86-28-83202570
1 ^ Fax: 86-28-83202570
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LOCATION
ICME '06 is to be held in Chengdu, which is situated in the middle of Sichuan Province, the West Sichuan Plain. The annual average temperature is around 16.4 degree. Chengdu is a paradise for food-lovers. As is known, Si Chuan Cuisine is one of four the best well-known Chinese cuisines. According to current statistical figures, there are 4000 different kinds of dishes in Si Chuan Cuisine and 300 of them are well-known ones. Si Chuan dishes can be summed up as "fine ingredients, refined combinations, skilled cooking and varied tastes", which emphasizes "taste", particularly "Ma" (Spicy) and "La" (Hot). Famous Chuan dishes include steamed jiangtuan, guoba squid, pocket bean curd, duck made with zhangcha, hot bean curd, duck stuffed with bean mud, fried chicken blood, etc. Chengdu is also a shopping paradise where various shopping centers can be found. As Chengdu is a famous cultural and historical city of China, different from department stores in general, shopping centers here also sell Chinese herbal medicines, antiques, classic books, handcrafts etc. In particular, "Buxing Jie" is a recommended street with different kinds of shops there. Goods here have been appraised by experts. In Songxianqiao Art City one can find antiques paintings, coins and handcrafts, etc. Scenery Spots around Chengdu include:
JIUZHAI GOU
Jiuzhaigou is recognized by the UN as one of the greatest natural legacies in the world. It is located in the Nanping county of Aba province which lies 450 kilomiles away from Chengdu. With the total area of over 72,000 hectares, it is named as JiuZhaigou because there were 9 "Zang" (a Chinese clan) stockaded villages. The tourist spot is divided into 5 scenic areas including Baojing Rock, Shuzheng, Rizi, Jian Rock, Chang Sea and ZhaYu. Most of the spots are found within the 3 main Y-shaped gaps. Besides, there are more than 100 highland lakes scattered like a terraced field. The turquoise water is clear and fresh. In particular, Jiuzhaigou's KeSiTe image, the magnificent waterfall and fountain are attractive sites. Jiuzhaigou is known as "kingdom of fairy tale".
SANXING DUI
SanXing Dui Ancient City is the eldest and largest Shu ancient city found in China. In 1986, two enormous altars from the Shang dynasty, the top copper statue of the world—bronze human figures and a gold masks were found. SanXing Dui ancient city is a top attraction and is regarded as one of the biggest business cities in ancient China.
E'MEI MOUNTAIN
Emei Mountain is also recognized by the UN as one of the greatest legacies of ancient culture and natural landscape. It is situated 160 kilometers away from the southwest Chengdu. The mountain extends more than 200 kilometers and the epic reaches 3099 meters above the sea level. Tourists can reach 3077m above the sea level. It was said that there is an old man called Old Pu in the 6th Wing Ping year of the King Ming in East Han Dynasty. One day, he saw a magic deer so he followed it to the Golden Top. The deer disappeared suddenly. Old Pu asked Bao Zhang, a monk, about it. The monk told him that Puxian Buddha has changed into a deer. Since then, Old Pu became a monk and worshipped Puxian Buddha. In Emei Mountain its features are craggy, the cliffs are layered and the trees are a lush green, and that is why there is a Chinese saying that "Emei is the most graceful place in the world".
WUHOU TEMPLE
Wuhou Temple was built in commemoration of Zhuge Liang, the Prime Minister of the Shu Han Dynasty. In the beginning of the Ming Dynasty, it was merged with the Chao Lie Temple in commemoration of Liu Bei. The temple displays the suppleness of the Chinese garden. There are numerous historical relics like horizontal cribbed boards, couplets, inscribed tablets, penmanship, furnaces, Chinese tripods, etc. The San Jui (Three-Bests) horizontal inscribed board, Zhuge Liang's Lung Gun couplets, Chu Si Biao and the tomb of Liu Bei are the most famous one.
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