Научная статья на тему 'ASSESSMENT OF THE HEAT SUPPLY OF THE GROWING SEASON IN THE ALMATY REGION'

ASSESSMENT OF THE HEAT SUPPLY OF THE GROWING SEASON IN THE ALMATY REGION Текст научной статьи по специальности «Науки о Земле и смежные экологические науки»

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Ключевые слова
temperature / precipitation / vegetation / duration of the period / heat supply / продолжительность периода / среднесуточная температура воздуха / осадки / вегетационный период / теплообеспеченность

Аннотация научной статьи по наукам о Земле и смежным экологическим наукам, автор научной работы — M. Zhunisova, S. Baisholanov

Modern climate norms for the main indicators of heat supply during the growing season in the Almaty region have been established for the period from 1991 to 2021. By comparing the sum of daily air temperatures above 10 °C and 15 °C with 90 % reliability to the heat demand of agricultural crops, the types of agricultural crops that are fully provided with heat were determined based on meteorological stations. The longest growing season (190…200 days) is observed in the central part of the region in the foothill semi-desert zone. The highest heat supply during the growing season (3800…4000 °C) is noted in the central part of the region in the foothill semi-desert zone. In the northern and central parts of the Almaty region, crops with moderate heat demand and heat-loving crops are provided with heat. In the foothill zone, heat-loving crops are not provided with heat, and in the mountainous agricultural areas, late spring crops are also not provided with heat. Maps of the duration and heat supply of the growing season were constructed. The obtained results will be useful in solving practical and scientific problems in agriculture, such as the rational placement of crops, planning the development of the region, ensuring food security.

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ASSESSMENT OF THE HEAT SUPPLY OF THE GROWING SEASON IN THE ALMATY REGION

Были установлены современные климатические нормы основных показателей теплообеспеченности вегетационного периода в Алматинской области за период с 1991 по 2021 год. Сопоставляя сумму суточных температур воздуха выше 10 °С и 15 °С 90 %-ой обеспеченности с теплопотребностью сельскохозяйственных культур, по метеорологическим станциям были определены виды сельскохозяйственных культур, которые полностью обеспечены теплом. Наибольшая продолжительность вегетационного периода (190…200 суток) наблюдается в центральной части области в предгорной полупустынной зоне. Наибольшая теплообеспеченность вегетационного периода (3800…4000 о С) отмечается в центральной части области в предгорной полупустынной зоне. В северной и центральной части Алматинской области обеспечены теплом культуры умеренней теплопотребности и теплолюбивые культуры. В предгорной зоне теплолюбивые культуры не обеспечены теплом, а в горных земледельческих территориях – также не обеспечены теплом и поздние яровые культуры. Были построены карты продолжительности и теплообеспеченности вегетационного периода. Полученные результаты будут полезны при решении практических и научных задач в сельском хозяйстве. Например, рациональное размещение сельскохозяйственных культур, планирование развития региона, обеспечение продовольственной безопасности.

Текст научной работы на тему «ASSESSMENT OF THE HEAT SUPPLY OF THE GROWING SEASON IN THE ALMATY REGION»

Hydrometeorology and ecology №3 2024

UDC 631:551.50; 631:551.58

IRSTI 68.29.05

ASSESSMENT OF THE HEAT SUPPLY OF THE GROWING SEASON

IN THE ALMATY REGION

M. Zhunisova1*, S. Baisholanov2 candidate of geographical sciences, associate professor

1JSC «Institute of Geography and Water Safety»

2International Scientific Complex «Astana»

Е-mail: makpal80@mail.ru

Modern climate norms for the main indicators of heat supply during the growing season in

the Almaty region have been established for the period from 1991 to 2021. By comparing the

sum of daily air temperatures above 10 °C and 15 °C with 90 % reliability to the heat demand

of agricultural crops, the types of agricultural crops that are fully provided with heat were

determined based on meteorological stations. The longest growing season (190…200 days)

is observed in the central part of the region in the foothill semi-desert zone. The highest heat

supply during the growing season (3800…4000 °C) is noted in the central part of the region

in the foothill semi-desert zone. In the northern and central parts of the Almaty region, crops

with moderate heat demand and heat-loving crops are provided with heat. In the foothill zone,

heat-loving crops are not provided with heat, and in the mountainous agricultural areas, late

spring crops are also not provided with heat. Maps of the duration and heat supply of the

growing season were constructed. The obtained results will be useful in solving practical

and scientific problems in agriculture, such as the rational placement of crops, planning the

development of the region, ensuring food security.

Keywords: temperature, precipitation, vegetation, duration of the period, heat supply.

Accepted:17.05.24

DOI: 10.54668/2789-6323-2024-114-3-40-50

INTRODUCTION

Climatic conditions are a determining factor

in the development of agricultural sectors. In recent

decades, the analysis of modern climatic conditions,

including agro-climatic conditions, has become

particularly relevant in addressing the sustainable

development of the regions in Kazakhstan.

The combination of climatic factors that

enable the production of agricultural products

is called agro-climatic resources. Quantitative

characteristics of climate and weather elements,

their combinations and ratios that affect the yield

and quality of agricultural products are called agroclimatic indicators. The agro-climatic resources of

the territory are characterized by indicators such

as solar radiation resources, thermal regime, and

humidification regime of the growing season, among

others.

The aim of the study is to assess the current

climatic norms of heat supply during the growing

season in the Almaty region in order to determine the

influence of temperature conditions on agricultural

production.

Methods for assessing heat resources in agroclimatology are used: dates of a steady transition of

air temperature through 5 °, 10°, 15 ° C, the duration

of the growing season with temperatures above 5 °,

10°, 15 °C.

Accordingly, the subject of the study is the

heat supply of the growing season, which is one

of the important agro-climatic indicators. After all,

the possibility of cultivating an agricultural crop is

primarily determined by the provision of its heat, i.e.

the correspondence of the temperature regime of the

area to the heat demand of the crop.

The object of research - Almaty region is located

in the south-east of the Republic of Kazakhstan and

borders on the east with the People’s Republic of China,

in the south – the Republic of Kyrgyzstan, in the west

– Zhambyl region, in the north – Zhetysu region. The

administrative center of the region is located in Konaev,

located on the western coast of the Kapshagai reservoir.

Since June 8, 2022, the region has been divided into 9

districts and 1 city of regional subordination (Figure 1).

40

Zhunisova, Baisholanov. Assessment of the heat supply...

Scientific article

Fig. 1. Schematic map of the Almaty region ( https://www.gov.kz/)

The region is located between the ridges

of the Northern Tien Shan in the south, Lake

Balkhash in the northwest and the Ile River in

the northeast. The territory of the region has

a difficult terrain. The northwestern part of the

region is a semi-desert plain, slightly inclined to

Lake Balkhash and indented by ancient riverbeds

of Ile, Karatal, Aksu, Koksu, Lepsy, Ayagoz, the

most significant of which is Bakanas river. Two

separate massifs – in the south and east – extend

the mountain ranges: the Ileysky Alatau and the

Zhungar Alatau (Tien Shan Mountain system).

The middle channel of the Ile River is located at the

junction of their gradually decreasing slopes. The

slopes themselves abound with cones of outflow

of its tributaries (Sharyn, Shelek, Bolshaya and

Malaya Almatinki, Kurty, etc.) (Uteshev, 1959).

The Almaty region is exposed to threats

related to climate change. Here, climatic changes

have already led to such consequences as changes

in the water regime of mountain rivers, degradation

of glaciers, depletion of water resources, an

increase in abnormal weather events: extreme

heat, droughts, dust storms, etc. This region is also

at increased risk of extreme hydrometeorological

situations such as avalanches, mudslides,

floods,

etc.

(https://qazaqgeography.kz/).

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It should be noted that in the study, a

certain difficulty was caused by the complex

relief of the region (the hypsometric difference

between the flat part and the towering

mountains reaches 4,600 m) and the sparsity

of the meteorological observation network.

The results of the study showed that in the

northern and central part of the Almaty region,

moderate heat demand and heat-loving crops

are provided with heat. In the foothill zone,

thermophilic crops are not provided with heat,

and in mountainous agricultural territories, late

spring crops are also not provided with heat.

In Kazakhstan, the first scientific work on

agro-climatic resources and zoning of agricultural

crops «Agro-climatic zoning of Kazakhstan» was

published by P.I. Koloskov in 1947 (Koloskov,

1947). In the light of modern information coverage,

in 2017 S.S. Baisholanov prepared scientific and

applied agro-climatic reference books for the

northern and western 6 regions of Kazakhstan.

The agro-climatic reference books

for the southern regions of Kazakhstan have

not yet been updated. The agro-climatic

reference book for the Almaty region under

study was published in 1978 (Agro-climatic

resources of the Alma-Ata region, 1978).

41

Hydrometeorology and ecology №3 2024

Similar studies on the northern regions of

Kazakhstan are highlighted in the works, which

provide estimates of the agrometeorological

conditions of the growing season and their

relationship with the yield of spring wheat in North

Kazakhstan and Akmola regions. (Baisholanov et

al. 2023).

This paper the agro-climatic resources of

the Republic of Kazakhstan and Central Asia for

the period from the beginning of the XXI century

to 2021. The spatial distribution of the sums of

precipitation during the active vegetation period,

the sums of active temperatures and HTC in

eastern Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and

southeastern Kazakhstan was studied. Calculated

indicators for the allocation of agro-climatic zones

of the flat part of Kazakhstan and Central Asia.

The zoning of the heat supply during the active

vegetation period according to the sums of active

temperatures (above 10 °C), moisture content

according to the sums of precipitation during

the active vegetation period, the Selyaninov

State Customs Committee, the humidification

coefficient (HC), which also takes into account

the precipitation of the cold period of the year,

was carried out. (Nazarenko et al., 2023).

This at work considers the problem of

updating the maps of the agroclimatic zones of

Russia and Kazakhstan, taking current climate

warming into account. Agroclimatic zoning of a

territory is one of the most important parameters

of agroclimatic support of the economy; however,

the problem of creating modern specialized maps

on this topic and updating climate standards in

Russia and Kazakhstan remains. In the course

of this study, the sum of active temperatures

(ΣT10) was calculated for 270 meteorological

stations in Russia, Kazakhstan, and adjacent

territories for the 2001…2018 period. The results

recorded a noticeable shift in the boundaries of

agroclimatic zones and an increase in ΣT10 by

200…600°C depending on the specific territory

compared with data from the 1950s…1960s. The

agroclimatic zones shifted to the greatest extent to

1600…2200 and 2200…2800 °C, but Kamchatka,

the Aral Sea region, and the Syrdarya basin are

dominant in absolute value. The subtropical zone

also expanded significantly beyond the Black Sea

coast of Krasnodar krai, the southern coast of the

Crimea and the extreme south of the Turkistan

Region. (Mingalev, 2021).

Agriculture in Kazakhstan is sensitive

to climate, and wheat yields could be reduced

up to 70 % under climate change. With the

transition from a socialist economy to a free

market economy, decisions are being made now

that will affect Kazakhstan’s ability to cope with

climate change. A team of Kazakh and American

researchers examined the cost-effectiveness and

barriers to implementations of adaptation options

for climate change (Mizina et al., 1999).

Currently, this agro-climatic reference

book is information and technologically outdated,

since it used data from the 1940…1970 years.

Accordingly, it became necessary to re-evaluate

agro-climatic conditions based on modern data

and develop agro-climatic maps using GIS

technology. It should be noted that rain-fed and

irrigated agriculture, as well as pasture livestock

farming are developed in the Almaty region

(Agro-climatic resources of the Alma-Ata region,

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1978).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Long-term data from meteorological

stations (MS) of the Almaty region of RSE

«Kazhydromet» of the Ministry of ecology and

natural resources of the Republic of Kazakhstan

for the period from 1991 to 2021 (Auyl-4, Aidarly,

Aksengir, Bakanas, Esik, Zhalanash, Konaev,

Kyrgyzsai, Kegen, Narynkol, Uzynagash,

Shelek) were used as initial data to characterize

agro-climatic conditions. Long-term data were

processed using generally accepted statistical and

climatological data processing methods.

The growth and development of plants

begins from the date of the steady transition of the

average daily air temperature above the level of its

biological minimum temperature. For most crops,

this limit is 5 °C (early spring crops), 10 °C for

late spring crops and 15 °C for heat-loving crops.

For example, for wheat, the biological minimum

air temperature required for the formation of

vegetative organs is 5 °C, and for the formation

of generative organs – 12 °C. The biological

minimum of millet is 12 °C, cotton and rice in the

initial phases of development is 15 °C, and in the

ripening period – 20 °C (Losev, 1994).

Accordingly, to characterize there are

used the heat supply of the growing season, the

dates of the transition of air temperature through

5 °C, 10 °C and 15 °C, as well as the duration of

42

Zhunisova, Baisholanov. Assessment of the heat supply...

Scientific article

the period with such temperatures and the

sum of daily temperatures for this period.

In climatic studies, the time between the

transition of the average daily air temperature in

spring and autumn through 5 °C is designated as

the index of the duration of the growing season

- GSL, i.e. the growing season of cold-resistant

plants. Also, the GDDgrow10 index is used as

an indicator of heat accumulation - the sum of

temperatures above 10 °C during the growing

season (Gringof, 2011).

In agrometeorology, when establishing

heat supply and climatic boundaries of crop

cultivation, the sums of climatic and biological

temperatures are distinguished. The sum of

climatic temperatures characterizes the total

heat resources of a given area. The sums of

biological temperatures characterize the need of

plants for heat, which is understood as the sum

of the average daily air temperatures during

the growing season of a given crop, from the

beginning of growth to maturation (sowing–

maturation). For example, for wheat from sowing

to maturation, the sum of daily air temperatures of

1400…1700 ° C is required, and for millet –

1600…1900 °C, for corn – 2200…2900 °C

(Mishchenko, 2009)

Accordingly, to determine the supply of

plants with heat, it is sufficient to compare the

biological sum of plant temperatures with the

climatic sum of temperatures of 90 % of the

supply. For spring crops of moderate heat - with

the sum of active air temperatures above 10 °C,

for heat-loving crops – above 15 °C (Baisholanov

et al., 2017 y.).

In the temperate zone, the duration of

the period with an average daily air temperature

above 10 °C corresponds to the growing season

of most crops. Therefore, the thermal resources

of the growing season are most often estimated by

the sum of active air temperatures above 10 °C.

To analyze the spatial distribution of

the main heat supply indicators, maps based

on GIS technology were built – ArcGIS-10.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

Heat supply of the growing season

To characterize the heat supply of the growing

season, the dates of the transition of air temperature

(D) through 5 °C (early spring crops), 10 °C (late

spring crops), 15 °C (thermophilic crops), the

duration of the period with such temperatures

(N) and the sum of daily temperatures for these

periods (∑T) were used (Polevoy, 1992).

The characteristics of heat supply indicators for

the meteorological stations in the Almaty region

are presented in Table 1.

Table 1

Indicators of thermal resources in the Almaty region (transition dates (D), duration of the period (N,

day), sum of temperatures (∑T, °C) of air 5, 10 and 15°C above) (s-spring, a-autumn)

Ms

D5(s)

D10(s)

D15(s)

D15(a)

D10(a)

D5(a)

N5

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N10

N15

∑Т5

∑Т10

∑Т15

Aul-4

21.03

08.04

25.04

24.09

13.10

04.11

228

188

152

4099

3776

3505

Aidarly

20.03 08.04

The Accelerator

22.03 12.04

Bakanas

21.03 08.04

Esik

22.03 12.04

Zhalanash

07.04 02.05

Konaev

20.03 08.04

Kyrgyzsay

23.03 14.04

Kegen

12.04 14.05

Narynkol

07.04 03.05

Uzynagash

22.03 12.04

Shelek

17.03 03.04

Note: (s)-spring,(a)-autumn

25.04

09.05

25.04

10.05

07.06

29.04

13.05

24.06

20.06

09.05

22.04

27.09

21.09

24.09

23.09

03.09

28.09

21.09

13.08

22.08

19.09

30.09

15.10

11.10

13.10

13.10

20.09

15.10

10.10

17.09

25.09

09.10

18.10

07.11

02.11

04.11

07.11

21.10

07.11

04.11

10.10

15.10

02.11

08.11

232

225

228

230

197

232

226

181

191

225

236

190

182

188

184

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149

190

179

126

145

180

198

155

135

152

136

88

152

131

50

63

133

161

4264

3774

4100

3751

2620

4112

3497

2250

2415

3613

4224

3917

3452

3776

3380

2250

3762

3182

1753

2050

3302

3964

3481

2835

3505

2790

1480

3280

2500

785

1010

2689

3499

43

Hydrometeorology and ecology №3 2024

As can be seen from Table 1 in the Almaty

region on the flat territory (MS Shelek, Konaev,

Bakanas, Aidarly, Aul-4), the air temperature

steadily passes through 5 °C in the spring on

March 17…21, in the autumn it goes back to

November 4…8 and the duration of such a period

is 228…236 days. The duration of the period

with an air temperature above 10 °C is 188…198

days, and with an air temperature above 15°C –

152…161 days. During the period with an air

temperature above 5 °C, heat accumulates in the

amount of 4100…4264 °C, with an air temperature

above 10 °C, it is 3762…3964 °C, and with an air

temperature above 15 °C, it is 3280…3505 °C.

At meteorological stations located in the

foothill territories of the region (MS Aksengir,

Uzynagash, Esik, Kyrgyzsai), the air temperature

steadily passes through 5 °C from spring on

March 22…23, in autumn it goes back to

November 2…7 and the duration of such a period

is 225…230 days. The duration of the period

with an air temperature above 10°C is 179…184

days, and with an air temperature above 15 °C

– 131…136 days. During the period with an air

temperature above 5 °C, heat accumulates in the

amount of 3497…3774 °C, with an air temperature

above 10°C – 3182…3452 °C, and with an air

temperature above 15 °C – 2500…2835 °C.

In

the

mountainous

agricultural

territories of the region (villages of Zhalanash,

Kegen, Narynkol), the air temperature

steadily passes 5 °C on April 7…12 in spring,

returns to October 10…21 in autumn and the

duration of such a period is 181…197 days.

The duration of the period with an air

temperature above 10 °C is 126…149 days, and

with an air temperature above 15 °C – 50…63

days. During the period with an air temperature

above 5 °C, heat accumulates in the amount

of 2250…2620 °C, with an air temperature

above 10 °C – 1750…2250 °C, and with an

air temperature above 15 °C – 785…1480 °C.

The thermal resources of the growing

season are most often estimated by the sum of

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active air temperatures above 10 °C. Accordingly,

on the basis of such data there were built maps of

the duration and heat supply of the growing season.

The longest growing season (190…200

days) is observed in the central part of the region,

specifically in the foothill semi-desert zone

(MS Aidarly, Konaev, Shelek). To the north and

south of this zone, the duration of the growing

season is shortened. In the northern part of the

region, the growing season lasts 170…190 days up

to Lake Balkhash, as well as in the foothill zone of

the southern part of the region. In the mountainous

agricultural territories of the region, the duration

of the growing season is 120…170 days (figure 2).

Fig. 2. Spatial distribution of the duration of the growing season in the Almaty region at

an air temperature above 10 °C

44

Scientific article

Zhunisova, Baisholanov. Assessment of the heat supply...

The greatest heat supply of the growing

season (3800…4000 ° C) is observed in the

central part of the region in the foothill semidesert zone. To the north and south of this

zone, the heat supply of the growing season

decreases. In the northern part of the region, up

to Lake Balkhash, the heat supply temperature

is 3600…3800 °C. In the foothill zone of the

southern part of the region, the heat supply is

3000…3800 °C. In the mountainous agricultural

territories of the region, the heat supply during

the growing season is 1700…3000 °C (figure 3).

Fig. 3. Spatial distribution of heat supply in the growing season of the Almaty region at a total air

temperature above 10 °C

Provision of agricultural crops with heat

Based on the assessment of agro-climatic

indicators, heat and moisture availability, taking

into account soil types, it is possible to determine

the crops that are grown in this area. In this case,

the main factor may be the heat supply. Thus, in

this work, the heat supply of 26 types of agricultural

crops was determined, according to which their heat

needs are known. Such needs are expressed by the

sum of the average daily air temperatures required

during the entire growing season from the beginning

of growth to full ripeness (Baisholanov, 2020).

The need of agricultural crops for

heat, expressed in the biological sum of air

temperatures for northern latitude 55 °C,

currently accepted for practical use, is highlighted

in the works (Gordeev A.V. et al., 2006).

As they move south from 55 °C north latitude,

due to the photoperiodic reaction, the required sum

of temperatures increases for plants with a long day

and decreases for plants with a short day. For plants

that are neutral to daylight, the required temperature

remains the same. In the works (Baisholanov, 2020;

Baisholanov et al., 2017), the heat demand of the

main agricultural crops was determined, expressed in

the biological sum of air temperatures for the south

of Kazakhstan, i.e. for latitudes 42…46 °C north

latitude. To facilitate calculations and analysis, crops

were grouped according to the need for heat, expressed

by the required sum of average daily air temperatures

above 10 °C for moderately thermophilic crops and

above 15 °C for thermophilic crops. Table 2 shows

agricultural crops grouped by heat demand, taking

into account the precocity of varieties (hp – the

earliest ripe, p – early ripe, c – medium ripe, sp –

medium late, p – late ripe), as applied to the south of

Kazakhstan (42…46 °C). At the moment, for spring

moderately warm crops (A1…A9), the average daily

air temperature above 10 °C was taken into account,

and for thermophilic crops (B1…B5) – above 15 °C.

45

Hydrometeorology and ecology №3 2024

Table 2

Distribution of spring cereals, legumes, oilseeds, industrial and vegetable crops into groups according

to heat demand (Baisholanov, 2020)

Gr.

А1

∑tб, оС

1200...1400

А2

1400...1600

А3

1600...1800

А4

А5

А6

А7

А8

А9

B1

B2

B3

B4

B5

1800...2000

2000...2200

2200...2400

2400...2600

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2600...2800

2800...3000

2500...2700

2700...2900

2900...3300

3300...3600

3600...4000

Culture (r–early maturing, c–middle maturing, p–late maturing)

Buckwheat–r, Buckwheat–s, Peas–r, Potatoes–r,

Cucumbers–r, Cucumbers–C.

Buckwheat–p, Peas–s, Peas–p, Potatoes–s, Cucumbers–p, Barley–r, Barley–s, Oats–r,

Wheat (m)–r, Wheat (t)–r, Millet–r, Millet–s, Beans–r, Rank–r, Lentils–r, Lentils–s,

Chickpeas–r, Chickpeas–s, Lupin–r, Beans–r, Oilseed flax–r, Flax long–r, Flax long–s,

Cabbage–r, Cabbage–s, Tomatoes–R.

Potatoes–p, Barley–p, Oats–s, Oats–p, Wheat (m)–s, Wheat (t)–s, Millet–p, Beans–s,

Rank–s, Chickpeas-p, Oilseed flax–s, Cabbage–p, Tomatoes–s, Tomatoes– P.

Wheat (m)–p, Wheat (t)–p, Beans–p, Lupin–s, Sunflower–r, Rapeseed–R.

Lupin–p, Sunflower–c, Rapeseed–p, Soy–hp, Sugar beet–r

Sunflower–p, Soy–r, Sugar beet–c, Corn–r, Sorghum–R.

Soy–c, Sugar beet–p, Corn–c, Sorghum–c

Soy–sp, Corn–sp, Sorghum–P.

Soy–p, Corn–P.

Rice–р.

Rice–с.

Rice–p, Cotton–R.

Cotton–C.

Cotton–P.

Crops are sown when the soil has warmed

up sufficiently and has reached its soft-plastic

state, when the average daily air temperature

already exceeds 10 °C. Therefore, to determine

the supply of plants with heat, it is sufficient to

compare the biological sum of temperatures with

the climatic sum of temperatures, i.e. with the

sum of active air temperatures above 10 °C. At

the same time, for accuracy, it must be counted

from the date of completion of sowing the crop

(Zhunisova M.A., 2023 y.).

To assess the compliance of climatic

resources with the requirements of agricultural

crops, the values of climatic indicators of various

security are determined. For example, 80…90 % is

sufficient to provide plants with climatic resources

(Losev, 1994 y.; Baisholanov et al., 2017 y.).

Table 3 shows the sum of air temperatures

above 10 and 15 °C. 90 % of the norm for the

studied meteorological stations.

Table 3

The sum of temperatures above 10 and 15 °C is 90 % safe, the climatic terms of sowing early spring

(Dс1) and thermophilic (Dс2) crops in the Almaty region

MS

Aul-4

Aidarly

Aksenger

Bakanas

Esik

Zhalanash

Konaev

Kyrgyzsay

Kegen

Narynkol

Uzunagash

Shelek

∑Т10 (90 %)

3625

3760

3314

3625

3245

2124

3611

3024

1667

1942

3170

3805

∑Т15(90 %)

3365

3342

2721

3365

2678

1436

3148

2409

743

971

2582

3359

46

Zhunisova, Baisholanov. Assessment of the heat supply...

Scientific article

To determine the heat supply of crops, we

compare the sum of daily air temperatures above

10 °C (for moderately thermophilic spring crops)

and above 15 °C (for thermophilic crops), which

account for 90 % of the supply, with the heat demand

of crops shown in Table 2. For example, for an earlyripening variety of spring wheat the biological sum

of temperatures from sowing to maturation at the

level of 1400…1600 °C is required. Accordingly,

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spring wheat can be grown in areas where the

temperature of 1600 °C is provided by 80…90 %

with the sum of active temperatures above 10 °C.

(Zhunisova M.A., 2023 y.). To fully determine the

possibility of cultivating an agricultural crop without

irrigation, it is necessary to further analyze soil fertility

and moisture availability by the moisture coefficient K.

Comparing the sum of the daily air

temperatures above 10 °C and 15 °C of 90 %

availability with the heat demanding of crops, there

were determined the types of crops that are fully

provided with heat by meteorological stations. In

the area of MS Aul-4, Aidarly, Bakanas and Shelek,

groups of crops from A1 to B3 are provided with

heat, in the area of MS Konaev – from A1 to B2,

in the area of MS Aksengir, Esik, Kyrgyzsai and

Uzynagash – from A1 to A9, in the area of MS

Zhalanash and Narynkol – from A1 to A4, in

the area of MS Kegen is A1 and A2 (Table 4).

Table 4

Groups of crops provided with heat

MS

Aul-4

Aidarly

Aksenger

Bakanas

Esik

Zhalanash

Konaev

Kyrgyzsay

Keygen

Narynkol

Uzynagash

Shelek

Group А

А1…А9

А1…А9

А1…А9

А1…А9

А1…А9

А1…А4

А1…А9

А1…А9

А1…А2

А1…А4

А1…А9

А1…А9

Thus, in the northern and central part of the

Almaty region, crops of moderate heat demanding

and heat-loving crops are provided with heat

(table 4) In the foothill zone, thermophilic crops

are not provided with heat, and in mountainous

agricultural territories, late spring crops are

also not provided with heat. It should be noted

that in particularly cold years, late spring and

early autumn frosts can be a limiting factor. To

make a final decision on the cultivation of crops,

in addition to heat, it is necessary to consider

the properties of the soil, the availability of

precipitation or irrigation water.

CONCLUSION

As a result of the conducted research,

there were established modern climatic norms of

the main indicators of heat supply of the growing

season in the Almaty region. To characterize the

Group B

B1…B3

B1…B3

B1…B3

B1…B2

B1…B3

heat supply of the growing season, the dates of

the transition of air temperature through 5 °C, 10

°C and 15 °C, the duration of the period with such

temperatures and the sum of daily temperatures

for these periods were used.

In the Almaty region, on a flat territory,

the air temperature steadily passes through 5 °C in

the spring on March 17…21, in the autumn it goes

back on November 4…8 and the duration of such

a period is 228…236 days. In the foothill areas

of the region, the air temperature steadily passes

through 5 °C from March 22…23 in spring, back

in autumn – November 2…7 and the duration of

such a period is 225…230 days. In mountainous

agricultural areas, the air temperature passes

through 5 °C from April 7…12 in spring, back in

autumn – October 10…21 and the duration of the

period is 181…197 days.

Based on air temperature data above 10 °C,

47

Hydrometeorology and ecology №3 2024

maps of the duration and heat supply of the

growing season were constructed.

The longest growing season (190…200

days) is observed in the central part of the region,

particularly in the foothill semi-desert zone. To

the north and south of this zone, the duration of

the growing season is shortened. In the northern

part of the region, the distance to Lake Balkash, as

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well as in the foothill zone of the southern part of

the region is 170…190 days, in the mountainous

agricultural territories of the region – 120…170

days.

The greatest heat supply of the growing

season (3800…4000 °C) is observed in the central

part of the region in the foothill semi-desert zone.

To the north and south of this zone, the heat supply

of the growing season decreases. In the northern

part of the region to Lake Balkash, the heat supply

is 3600…3800 °C, in the foothill zone of the

southern part of the region – 3000…3800 °C, and

in the mountainous agricultural territories of the

region – 1700…3000 °C.

Comparing the sum of the daily air

temperatures above 10 °C and 15 °C of 90 %

availability with the heat demand of crops, the

types of crops that are fully provided with heat

were determined by meteorological stations.

In the northern and central part of the Almaty

region, moderate heat demand and heat-loving

crops are provided with heat. In the foothill zone,

thermophilic crops are not provided with heat, and

in mountainous agricultural territories, late spring

crops are also not provided with heat.

The results obtained will be useful in solving

practical and scientific problems in agriculture.

The results of the work are recommended to be

used in planning the development of the region to

ensure food security. For example, when dealing

with issues such as the rational placement of

crops, management decisions, the development of

scientific recommendations, etc.

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Scientific article

Zhunisova, Baisholanov. Assessment of the heat supply...

АЛМАТЫ ОБЛЫСЫНДА ВЕГЕТАЦИЯЛЫҚ КЕЗЕҢНІҢ ЖЫЛУМЕН

ҚАМТАМАСЫЗ ЕТІЛУІН БАҒАЛАУ

М.А. Жунисова1*, С.С.Байшоланов2 г.ғ.к, қауымдастырылған профессор

1«География және су қауіпсіздігі институты» АҚ, Алматы, Қазақстан

2«Астана Халықаралық ғылыми кешені» ЖМ, Астана, Қазақстан

Е-mail: makpal80@mail.ru

1991 жылдан 2021 жылға дейінгі кезеңде Алматы облысында вегетациялық кезеңнің

жылумен қамтамасыз етілуінің негізгі көрсеткіштерінің қазіргі заманғы климаттық

нормалары белгіленді. 10 °С және 15 °С жоғары тәуліктік ауа температурасының 90 %

қамтамасыз етілуін ауыл шаруашылығы дақылдарының жылу қажеттілігімен салыстыра отырып, метеорологиялық станциялар бойынша жылумен толық қамтамасыз етілген ауыл шаруашылығы дақылдарының түрлері анықталды. Вегетациялық кезеңнің ең

ұзақ ұзақтығы (190…200 тәулік) облыстың орталық бөлігінде тау бөктеріндегі шөлейт

аймақта байқалады. Вегетациялық кезеңнің ең жоғары жылумен қамтамасыз етілуі

(3800…4000 оС) облыстың орталық бөлігінде тау бөктеріндегі шөлейт аймақта байқалады. Алматы облысының солтүстік және орталық бөлігінде жылу қажеттілігі орташа

дақылдар мен жылу сүйгіш дақылдар жылумен қамтамасыз етілген. Тау бөктеріндегі

аймақта жылу сүйгіш дақылдар жылумен қамтамасыз етілмейді, ал таулы егіншілік аумақтарында жаздық кеш дақылдар да жылумен қамтамасыз етілмейді. Вегетациялық

кезеңнің ұзақтығы мен жылумен қамтамасыз етілу карталары салынды. Алынған нәтижелер ауыл шаруашылығындағы практикалық және ғылыми мәселелерді шешуде пайдалы болады. Мысалы, дақылдарды ұтымды орналастыру, аймақтың дамуын жоспарлау, азық-түлік қауіпсіздігін қамтамасыз ету.

Түйін сөздер: кезең ұзақтығы, ауаның орташа тәуліктік температурасы, жауын-шашын, вегетациялық

кезең, жылумен қамтамасыз ету.

ОЦЕНКА ТЕПЛООБЕСПЕЧЕННОСТИ ВЕГЕТАЦИОННОГО ПЕРИОДА

В АЛМАТИНСКОЙ ОБЛАСТИ

М. А. Жунисова1*, С. С. Байшоланов2 к.г.н., ассоциированный профессор

1АО «Институт географии и водной безопасности», Алматы, Казахстан

2ЧУ «Международный научный комплекс Астана», Астана, Казахстан

Е-mail: makpal80@mail.ru

Были установлены современные климатические нормы основных показателей теплообеспеченности вегетационного периода в Алматинской области за период с 1991 по

2021 год. Сопоставляя сумму суточных температур воздуха выше 10 °С и 15 °С 90 %-ой

обеспеченности с теплопотребностью сельскохозяйственных культур, по метеорологическим станциям были определены виды сельскохозяйственных культур, которые полностью обеспечены теплом. Наибольшая продолжительность вегетационного периода

(190…200 суток) наблюдается в центральной части области в предгорной полупустынной зоне. Наибольшая теплообеспеченность вегетационного периода (3800…4000 оС)

отмечается в центральной части области в предгорной полупустынной зоне. В северной и центральной части Алматинской области обеспечены теплом культуры умеренней теплопотребности и теплолюбивые культуры. В предгорной зоне теплолюбивые

культуры не обеспечены теплом, а в горных земледельческих территориях – также не

обеспечены теплом и поздние яровые культуры. Были построены карты продолжительности и теплообеспеченности вегетационного периода. Полученные результаты будут

49

Hydrometeorology and ecology №3 2024

полезны при решении практических и научных задач в сельском хозяйстве. Например,

рациональное размещение сельскохозяйственных культур, планирование развития региона, обеспечение продовольственной безопасности.

Ключевые слова: продолжительность периода, среднесуточная температура воздуха, осадки, вегетационный период, теплообеспеченность.

Information about author/Автор туралы мәліметтер/Сведения об авторе:

Baisholanov Saken – Candidate of geographical sciences, associate professor (docent), Chief Researcher

of the CHU «Astana International Scientific Complex», Kabanbai Batyr Avenue, Building 8, Astana,

saken_baisholan@mail.ru

Zhunisova Makpal – Researcher, JSC «Institute of Geography and Water Safety», Seifullina ave., 458/1,

Almaty, Makpal80@mail.ru

Байшоланов Сәкен Советұлы – география ғылымының кандидаты, қауымдастырылған профессор (доцент), «Астана Халықаралық ғылыми кешені» ЖМ бас ғылыми қызметкері, Қабанбай Батыр

даңғылы, 8 ғимарат, Астана, saken_baisholan@mail.ru

Жүнісова Мақпал Асанқызы – «География және су қауіпсіздігі институты»АҚ, ғылыми қызметкері,

Сейфуллина даңғылы,458/1, Алматы, Makpal80@mail.ru

Байшоланов Сакен Советович – кандидат географических наук, ассоциированный профессор (доцент), главный научный сотрудник ЧУ «Международный научный комплекс Астана», проспект Қабанбай Батыр, здание 8, Астана, saken_baisholan@mail.ru

Жунисова Макпал Асановна – научный сотрудник, АО «Институт географии и водной безопасности»,

пр. Сейфуллина, 458/1, Алматы, Makpal80@mail.ru

Authors’ contribution/ Авторлардың қосқан үлесі/ Вклад авторов:

Baisholanov S. – сoncept development, мethodology development, сonducting a research, preparing and

editing the text, visualization

Zhunisova M. – сoncept development, conducting statistical analysis, сonducting a research, preparing and

editing the text, visualization

Байшоланов С. С. – тұжырымдаманы әзірлеу, әдістемені әзірлеу, зерттеу жүргізу, мәтінді дайындау

және өңдеу, көрнекілік

Жүнісова М. А. – тұжырымдаманы әзірлеу, статистикалық талдау жүргізу, зерттеу жүргізу, мәтінді

дайындау және өңдеу, көрнекілік

Байшоланов С. С. – разработка концепции, разработка методологии, проведение исследования, подготовка и редактирование текста, визуализация

Жунисова М. А. – разработка концепции, проведение статистического анализа, проведение исследования, подготовка и редактирование текста, визуализация

50

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