Научная статья на тему 'A study into structural effects of mutual investment induction in sectoral economic systems'

A study into structural effects of mutual investment induction in sectoral economic systems Текст научной статьи по специальности «Экономика и бизнес»

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MUTUAL INVESTMENT INDUCTION / STRUCTURAL EFFECTS / MARGINAL RATE / ECONOMIC SYSTEM / INVESTMENT SUBSTITUTION / INVESTMENT RELATIONS

Аннотация научной статьи по экономике и бизнесу, автор научной работы — Myakshin V.N.

Importance As mutual relations and the effect of cross-sectoral financial flows shall be taken into account, new approaches need to be designed to study cross-sectoral investment and structural interactions through the mechanism of mutual investment induction and its structural effects. The article focuses on mutual investment induction as an economic phenomenon and respective structural effects in sectoral economic systems. Objectives The research identifies evident patterns of investment relations in sectoral economic systems arising from the mechanism of mutual investment induction and structural effects. Methods The methodological framework includes general scientific methods, i.e. scientific abstraction, analysis, synthesis, generalization, and systems and dialectical approaches. Data analysis is based on the methods of economic statistics (structural and dynamic analysis) and economic mathematics (methods of cross-sectoral balance) and the method of expert assessment. Results I prove the existence of the cause-and-effect relationship and patterns seen in arising structural effects of mutual investment induction. I also elaborate theoretical principles of structural effects of mutual investment induction, proposed a set of indicators for gauging them, determine the economic substance of the indicators, devise an assessment algorithm, and technique to evaluate the entire amount of mutual investment induction in line with its structural effects. Conclusions and Relevance The proposed set of indicators constitutes a toolkit, which would allow quantifying investment relations among adjacent industries, forecast investment processes and structural changes in sectoral economic systems and formulate investment policies subsequently.

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Текст научной работы на тему «A study into structural effects of mutual investment induction in sectoral economic systems»

pISSN 2073-8005 eISSN 2311-9438

Innovation and Investment

Translated Articlet

A STUDY INTO STRUCTURAL EFFECTS OF MUTUAL INVESTMENT INDUCTION IN SECTORAL ECONOMIC SYSTEMS

Vladimir N. MYAKSHIN

Northern (Arctic) Federal University named after M.V. Lomonosov, Arkhangelsk, Russian Federation mcshin@yandex.ru

Article history:

Received 7 February 2017 Received in revised form 1 March 2017 Accepted 31 March 2017 Translated 3 July 2017 Available online 15 September 2017

JEL classification: D92, L50, L52, L90

Keywords: mutual investment induction, structural effects, marginal rate, economic system, investment substitution, investment relations

Abstract

Importance As mutual relations and the effect of cross-sectoral financial flows shall be taken into account, new approaches need to be designed to study cross-sectoral investment and structural interactions through the mechanism of mutual investment induction and its structural effects. The article focuses on mutual investment induction as an economic phenomenon and respective structural effects in sectoral economic systems.

Objectives The research identifies evident patterns of investment relations in sectoral economic systems arising from the mechanism of mutual investment induction and structural effects.

Methods The methodological framework includes general scientific methods, i.e. scientific abstraction, analysis, synthesis, generalization, and systems and dialectical approaches. Data analysis is based on the methods of economic statistics (structural and dynamic analysis) and economic mathematics (methods of cross-sectoral balance) and the method of expert assessment.

Results I prove the existence of the cause-and-effect relationship and patterns seen in arising structural effects of mutual investment induction. I also elaborate theoretical principles of structural effects of mutual investment induction, proposed a set of indicators for gauging them, determine the economic substance of the indicators, devise an assessment algorithm, and technique to evaluate the entire amount of mutual investment induction in line with its structural effects.

Conclusions and Relevance The proposed set of indicators constitutes a toolkit, which would allow quantifying investment relations among adjacent industries, forecast investment processes and structural changes in sectoral economic systems and formulate investment policies subsequently.

© Publishing house FINANCE and CREDIT, 2017

The editor-in-charge of this article was Irina M. Komarova Authorized translation by Irina M. Komarova

The potential production output is possible to enhance only if substantial investment is injected into the fixed capital of priority industries, as a result of growth in the investment attractiveness of sectoral economic systems.

fFor the source article, please refer to: Мякшин В.Н. Исследование структурных эффектов инвестиционной самоиндукции в отраслевых экономических системах. Финансовая аналитика: проблемы и решения. 2017. Т. 10. Вып. 6. С. 631-646. URL: https://doi.Org/l0.2489l/fa.l0.6.631

Having performed a structural and dynamic analysis of various investment processes by sector and tenet of the systems approach, I figure out that the existing investment potential is insufficiently utilized, thus indicating the low efficiency of the State-Business relations [1]. The level of investment, its purpose and structure fail to satisfy the real sector's needs in the innovative refurbishment of the potential production capabilities. Investment resources are

mainly concentrated within export and natural resource processing enterprises. It obstructs the development of the real economy to a certain extent [2].

Short-term interests of the Russian and foreign investors cause so uneven allocation of investment, since investors tend to those types of economic activities that have high capital turnover and payback. Innovative industries, including processing ones, see insignificant investment indeed. It means that investors have little motivation, and contravenes the current global trends showing that knowledge-intensive production lures investors most [3].

The transition to the market economy modifies ownership and property relations. It is revealed through structural and dynamic changes in the investment process seen in various ownership forms [4].

Whereas the period of reforms saw a drastic rearrangement in the profile of economic agents that made investment decisions, the structure of financial sources of fixed capital investment changed as well. Before 1990, the public sector financed 3/4 of all investment and entities' equity accounted for about 20-25 percent. Currently, budgets of all levels provide no more than 25 percent of investment. Nowadays the equity and extra-budgetary funds account for 64 percent, i.e. the proportion became almost reverse [5]. Hence, private investors play the leading role in shaping the investment process and its specifics.

Whereas the investment process is predominantly financed with non-governmental sources, it is reasonable to incentivize private investors. It becomes the main reason for regulating the investment and structural interactions in sectoral economic systems [6, 7].

Considering the systemic nature of this matter, its relation to macroeconomic and structural policies, the Russian economy can be modernized provided that there will be an effective mechanism for financing the investment process and regulating cross-sectoral interactions of investment and structures [8, 9].

This paper presents the outcome of a study into the structural effects of mutual investment induction on the basis of my own theoretical principles.

The sectoral economic system stands for types of economic activities that have production-based links and result from mutual investment induction.

Investment and structural interactions mean

cross-sectoral interactions arising during

the investment process and influencing the sectoral structure of the ultimate product.

Regulating the investment and structural interactions refers to a set of techniques to influence priority types of economic activities leading to co-investment in mutually related industries.

Investment and structural constructs are characterized with such key economic categories as mutually induced investment, mutual investment induction, mutual investment induction mechanism, key points of investment growth, structural effects of mutual investment induction.

The economic substance of mutual investment induction is that an additional demand for investment or a structural effect emerges in related industries as investing activities intensify in priority types of economic activities (key points of investment growth).

Mutually induced investment means additional investment resulting from a growth in investment needs in related industries after the inducing industry attracts investment. Mutually induced investment constitutes contributions that are made to create new production capacity, or structurally modify the process of creating ultimate product [10].

My approach to studying the processes of mutual investment induction includes methodological principles of the mutual investment induction mechanism, conceptual framework for identifying this phenomenon (mutual investment induction, mutually induced investment, mutual investment induction mechanism, key points of investment growth), set of indicators (coefficient of mutual investment induction, integral coefficient of mutual investment induction, multirator* [11]) to gauge mutual investment induction. My previous papers cover all these concepts and indicators1.

* Translator's note: The term derived from multirate, coined by the author.

1 Myakshin V.N. [Regulation of the investment structural interaction among sectors: Outlining a methodological approach]. Digest Finance, 2016, no. 3, pp. 23-37. (In Russ.)

Mutual investment induction2 subsequently generates mutually induced investment and the structural effect of mutual investment induction that builds up as a phenomenon of mutually induced investment compensated with changes in the structure and volume of ultimate product.

To examine the structural effect of mutual investment induction and assess the total mutual investment induction in line with the structural effects, I propose a set of indicators. Their economic substance and assessment algorithm are given in Table 1. The assessment is based on the cross-sectoral balance method [12-15].

Having analyzed the extensive corpus of official data pertaining to the Federal State Statistics Service, Bureau of Economic Analysis at the U.S. Department of Commerce, materials of certain researches into industries of the Arkhangelsk Oblast (Russia), I prove the existence of the cause-and-effect relations and patterns of the structural effect of mutual investment induction. I also investigated the consequences of structural changes in the industries as a result of mutual investment induction. Those changes imply that mutually induced investment can be offset by changes in the sectoral structure of the economy.

To estimate the absolute value of a probable structural effect in each industry, I assess the marginal rate of investment substitution, i.e. a measure of the interchangeability of ultimate product and mutually induced investment. This indicator shows how many measurement units of ultimate product in the /'-industry in monetary terms account for a unit of substitutable mutually induced investment in fixed assets of the /-industry:

A FUL

mrisl=^~a^'

where AFUL. stands for a change in ultimate product of the /-industry, where the structural effect of mutual investment induction originates as a result of investment in the /-industry;

AI l stands for a change in mutually induced investment in the inducing /'-industry instigating mutual investment induction.

Table 2 presents the assessment of the marginal rate of investment substitution for sectoral economic systems of the USA for 2013.

To evaluate structural changes in an economic system as a result of the structural effect of mutual investment induction, I suggest using elasticity indicators:

• elasticity indicator of ultimate product structure as a result of investment represents a coefficient reflecting the relative change in ultimate product in case

of the structural compensation of mutually induced investment:

= AFUj FAj 13 A FA FU

FAi

= -MRIS 3--3

-MRISH-A FA, FA3

._3_J _J .

A FA

FU

FU,

where A FU, stands for a change in the amount of ultimate product as a result of the structural compensation;

MRISj stands for the marginal rate of investment substitution;

A FAj stands for a change in the amount of fixed assets that triggers mutual induction and the structural effect;

FAj stands for the value of fixed assets;

FUi stands for the amount of ultimate products;

• elasticity indicator of the structure of idle production capacity as a result of investment. It reflects the relative change in idle production capacity in case of the structural compensation of mutually induced investment:

Efcu = iJ

A FCU, FA3

A FA3 FCU '

where A FCUi is a change in idle production capacity due to structural compensation;

A FAj is a change in fixed assets that instigates mutual induction and the structural effect;

FA, is the value of fixed assets;

2 Ibid.

FCUi is the amount of idle production capacity.

To assess potential structural changes in the economic system due to the structural effect of mutual investment induction, I propose such indicators as coefficients of investment pressure on the sectoral structure of ultimate product and structure of unutilized production capacity.

The following formula below is used to compute the coefficient of investment pressure on the sectoral structure of ultimate product. It shows how many percentage points of product output in the /'-industry change due to the structural effect given a unit cost of mutually induced investment is compensated in the /-industry:

MRIS

KIPij = _ „ v -100%,

FU,

" CUPij "

FCU,

The following formula below is used to compute the coefficient of investment pressure on the sectoral structure of gross product. It reflects how many percentage points of gross product output change in the /-industry due to mutual investment induction given a unit cost of mutually induced investment is incurred in the / -industry:

Kij —

MRIS ,,

Ii

j-100%,

where MRIS- is the marginal rate of investment substitution between the /-industry and /-industry;

FUi is the volume (in monetary terms) of ultimate product in the /-industry where the structural effect takes place.

The following formula is used to compute the coefficient of investment pressure on the structure of idle production capacity. It reflects how many percentage points of idle production capacity in the /-industry change due to the structural effect given a unit cost of mutually induced investment is compensated in the /-industry:

MRIS

Kcupj-100%,

where MRIS- is the marginal rate of investment substitution between the /-industry and /-industry;

Ii is the volume (in monetary terms) of the gross product in the /-industry where mutually induced investment is made.

The following formula below is used to compute the coefficient of investment pressure on the structure of production capacity. It reflects how many percentage points of production capacity in the /-industry change due to the structural effects given a unit cost of mutually induced investment is incurred in the / -industry:

MRIS -Kcu- =^rjl-100%,

CU,

where MRISi- is the marginal rate of investment substitution between the /-industry and /-industry;

FCUi is the volume (in monetary terms) of idle production capacity in the /-industry, where the structural effect of mutual investment induction takes place.

To assess the total mutual investment induction in line with its structural effects, it is necessary to add coefficients of investment pressure on the sectoral structure of gross product and the structure of production capacity.

where MRIS- is the marginal rate of investment substitution between the /-industry and /-industry;

CUi is the volume (in monetary terms) of production capacity in the /-industry, where mutually induced investment is made.

Mutually induced investment and structural effects of mutual investment induction spring from the mutual investment induction mechanism. It is implausible to assume that there will be mutually induced investment or the structural effect only as a result of a very improbable concurrence of circumstances.

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To assess the total mutual investment induction, I assume that, the more the ultimate product structure should be changed to offset mutual investment induction, the less the probable structural effect is, in comparison with changing the structure of the gross product in the same industry during mutual investment induction.

Total mutual investment induction shall be defined as a combination of mutually induced investment and structural effects. Thus, mutually induced investment will be higher than that assessed using integral coefficients of mutual investment induction (CM//).

Considering the structural effect, integral CM// are computed with the proportion of mutually induced investment and structural effects.

The operational intensity of production capacity is important for assessing the total mutual investment induction. To determine how much the structural effect of production capacity contributes to offsetting mutual investment induction, the structural effect is assumed to be less probable if the structure of production capacity in the industry is to be changed to a greater extent to offset mutual investment induction in comparison with changing the structure of production capacity in the same industry during mutual investment induction (contributions always imply an increase in production capacity).

Analyzing an impact of idle production capacity on mutual investment induction, it is necessary to deny the assumption that idle production capacity means the ineffective use of capital [16]. In my opinion, idle production capacity constitutes a non-monetary form of savings. That is why they cannot be arbitrarily directed to offset mutual investment induction [17, 18].

Total mutual investment induction linking the /-industry and /-industry, in line with the structural effect by sector ( CMIITTL- ), can be estimated as CMII multiplied by coefficients of structural compensation for idle production capacity and the ultimate product output:

CMII TTL- = CMII-■ K'FI-KCUF ,

where CMII - is the value of CMII regarding related /- and /-industries, net of the structural effect;

KF is the coefficient of structural compensation for ultimate product of the /-industry;

K'CUF is the coefficient of structural compensation for idle production capacity in the /-industry.

The assessment of coefficients of structural compensation poses another separate question. While

addressing it, I suggest assuming that the structural effect is proportionate to the extent to which the ultimate product structure in each industry is changeable against the gross product of the industry [19]. The changeability can be measured with the mean square deviation of ultimate product and idle production capacity for an 11-year period, according to the Juglar cycle theory.

The coefficient of structural compensation is the difference between a unit and the amount of the mean square deviation.

Structural compensation is a particular case of structural effects of mutual investment induction. Structural compensation for ultimate product implies that fixed assets of the /'rindustry are reallocated from the ultimate product output to the production of resources needed to ensure an increment in the ultimate product output in the /2-industry as a result of investment made in the /^-industry and higher production volumes.

In this case, the expected increase in investing activity in the /1-industry is offset by structural changes in the ultimate product output in the /^-industry.

If the ultimate product output changes in the /^-industry, it may completely offset mutual investment induction. It may happen so that the ultimate product output will decrease in the receiving industry instead of the expected increase in investing activity.

Considering the economic logic of structural effects as a phenomenon, the structural compensation for ultimate product may lead only to a decrease in the ultimate product output in the receiving industry, i.e. the elasticity of ultimate product in relation to mutually induced investment is negative within the limits of the structural effect.

Structural compensation for the idle production capacity constitutes an increase in the use of production capacity, involvement of non-utilized fixed assets of the /1-industry into the process of producing the resources that ensure an increment of the ultimate product output in the /2-industry as a result of investment in the /1-industry and increase in production volumes in the latter.

In this case, the expected increase in investing activity in the /'rindustry can be offset by structural changes in idle production capacity of the /^-industry. If idle production capacity is more utilized in the /^-industry, it may completely offset mutual investment induction. The usage of production capacity may happen to intensify instead of the expected growth in investing activity, but the ultimate product output will still remain unchanged.

I believe the two phenomena lay the basis for the phenomenon of structural effects of mutual investment induction.

It is difficult to forecast which industry reduces its ultimate product output due to the fact that some of necessary resources in the /^-industry are allocated for increasing the ultimate product output of the inducing /2-industry.

There is no linear correlation in this respect. In theory, resources can be withdrawn from any industry, which effectuates its production process using resources manufactured in the industry experiencing the effect of mutual investment induction.

I reckon any economic structure strives to preserve its dimensions. While assessing the structural effects, I, therefore, adhere to the principle of minor changes. However, it is no doubt than structural effects can become large-scale and steer the development trajectory of sectoral structures.

Such elements as CMII L and the total value CMIITTLl form a matrix that characterizes the level of mutual investment induction as assessed for industries. This algorithm is certainly not a final and exhaustive solution to the issue of assessing the total amount of integral CMII TTLi in line with the structural effect, but rather becomes a starting point in addressing this issue. Determining the vector of the total value of integral CMII TTLi is the subject of another detailed research.

Table 3 indicates the amount of integral coefficients of mutual investment induction ICMIITTL j assessed in line with the structural effect and the proposed technique for the U.S. industries within 1997-2013.

An analysis of the given data results in the conclusions below.

Structural effects of mutual investment induction and their effect reduced integral coefficients. However, the industries still remain in the same groups (points of investment growth, key points of investment growth, types of economic activities with the medium and low level of mutual investment induction) [10].

The following industries may still be referred to as points of investment growth:

• construction - 4.12;

• wholesale trade - 1.92;

• professional and business services - 1.79;

• educational services, health care, and social assistance - 1.41;

• manufacturing - 1.35;

• arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation, and food services - 1.3;

• other services, except government - 1.22;

• retail trade - 1,17.

The following industries can be considered as key points of investment growth:

• construction - 4.12;

• wholesale trade - 1.92;

• professional and business services - 1.79;

• educational services, health care, and social assistance - 1.41;

• manufacturing - 1.35.

The low level of mutually induced investment is detected in the following types of economic activities:

• transportation and warehousing - 0.87;

• agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting - 0.69;

• information - 0.51;

• government - 0.18;

• mining - 0.14;

• utilities - 0.14;

• finance, insurance, real estate, rental, and leasing -0.07.

Based on the findings, I conclude that the inducing industry, which has the highest integral CMII net of the structural effect, remains the key point of investment growth even if a correlation among integral coefficients of mutual investment induction changes in assessing the total integral coefficient of mutual investment induction. The reason is that the inducing industry having the highest integral CMII anyway has the strongest effect on the industries it

cooperates with, whether through mutually induced investment or structural changes.

Under certain circumstances (changes in the market situation, novelties, price shocks, etc.), structural effects may grow stronger, thus significantly influencing the development of sectoral economic systems, in particular, and the national economy, as a whole [20].

The proposed set of indicators provides public administration authorities with an investment planning tool in sectoral economic systems, allows controlling the process of sectoral finance reallocation driven by the economic mechanism of mutual investment induction.

Table 1

A set of indicators to study the structural effect of mutual investment induction

Indicator

Mathematical formula

Computational technique

Economic substance

The marginal rate of investment substitution

A FU.

MRIS'=—sj

The ratio of change in ultimate product of the /-industry, where the structural effect of mutual investment induction takes place as a result of investment in the /industry, to the change in mutually induced investment in the inducing /-industry provoking mutual investment induction

A measure of interchangeability of ultimate product and mutually induced investment. It shows how many measurement units of the ultimate product in the ¿industry, in monetary terms, accounts for a unit of substituted and mutually induced investment in fixed assets of the /-industry_

Elasticity of the ultimate product structure to investment

FU fa,

Ej=-MRIS-JU-

The product of the marginal rate of investment substituted and the ratio of the value of fixed assets in the /industry to the ultimate product value in the /-industry

The relative change in ultimate product in case of structural compensation for mutually induced investment

Elasticity of the idle production capacity structure to investment

eFcu _A fcui fa ,

fa, fcu.

The product of the ratio of the change in idle production capacity in the ¿industry due to structural compensation to the change in the amount of fixed assets in the /-industry that instigate mutual investment induction and the structural effect and the ratio of the value of fixed assets in the /-industry to the value of idle production capacity in the iindustry_

The relative change in idle production capacity in case of structural compensation of mutually induced investment

The coefficient of investment pressure on the sectoral structure of ultimate product

The ratio of the marginal rate of investment substitution to the ultimate product value in the iindustry, where the structural effect takes place

It shows how many percentage points of the ultimate product output change in the iindustry due to the structural effect if a unit cost of mutually induced investment is compensated in the /-industry

The coefficient of investment pressure on the structure of idle production capacity

k^-mcrt1-1000/0

The ratio of the marginal rate of investment substitution to the value of idle production capacities in the iindustry, where the structural effect takes place

It shows how may percentage points of idle production capacity change in the iindustry due to the structural effect if a unit cost of mutually induced investment is incurred in the /-industry_

The coefficient of investment pressure on the sectoral structure of the gross product

mris..

k,-—^.1000/0

The ratio of the marginal rate of investment substitution to the value of the gross product in the iindustry, where mutually induced investment originates

It shows how many percentage points of the gross product output change in /-industry due to investment self-induction if a unit cost of mutually induced investment is incurred in the iindustry_

The coefficient of investment pressure on the structure of production capacity

Kcu,--CS-1000/

The ratio of the marginal rate of investment substitution to the value of production capacities in the iindustry, where mutually induced investment originates

It shows how many percentage points of production capacity change in the /-industry due to mutual investment induction if a unit cost of mutually induced investment is incurred in the iindustry_

Source: Authoring

Table 2

Marginal rate of investment substitution for types of economic activities in the USA, 2013

Industry

c c

I 1

3 .i

o ju

O.

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Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 0.29152 0.00398 0.00197 0.14689 0.20992 0.01836 0.01183 0.02343

Mining 0.05579 0.04555 0.02610 0.31686 0.39162 0.03669 0.01883 0.04825

Utilities 0.01450 0.00292 0.00164 0.03827 0.03355 0.01843 0.01446 0.01134

Construction 0.01261 0.00503 0.00270 0.02516 0.02008 0.01728 0.01128 0.01191

Manufacturing 0.40553 0.06344 0.03228 2.24229 1.32471 0.29053 0.14473 0.38612

Wholesale trade 0.09785 0.01034 0.00552 0.37891 0.20716 0.12682 0.04368 0.06837

Retail trade 0.00292 0.00078 0.00055 0.38384 0.01106 0.00557 0.00821 0.00847

Transportation and warehousing 0.06003 0.01300 0.01199 0.23185 0.13294 0.18654 0.09535 0.14602

Information 0.01485 0.00540 0.00287 0.11161 0.05828 0.11050 0.05450 0.02703

Finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing 0.09835 0.02235 0.01106 0.39791 0.15083 0.37187 0.23542 0.13621

Professional and business services 0.08322 0.03975 0.01687 0.60769 0.35880 0.60119 0.25314 0.14500

Educational services, health care and social assistance 0.00141 0.00007 0.00010 0.00332 0.00104 0.00316 0.00738 0.00075

Arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation and food services 0.00693 0.00216 0.00186 0.04317 0.02550 0.04028 0.01665 0.01091

Other services, except government 0.00752 0.00153 0.00087 0.04951 0.01982 0.05425 0.01937 0.01106

Government 0.01821 0.00391 0.00279 0.08010 0.05023 0.06907 0.03010 0.05382

Continued from the table above

Industry

E o

u fü

IS

n

u fü £ ^

- £ s «

IS S

ä^äS.la

re^ — c±äre

!S "S

- .2 = IS

i-Ss 1 ! i£

t .2 <t re

£ S I ■¡S E

Q 3 a

•s Ss

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 0.01056 0.00121 0.02764 0.01703 0.03694 0.01686 0.00476

Mining 0.02063 0.00308 0.04994 0.03284 0.04968 0.03410 0.01112

Utilities 0.00628 0.00458 0.01929 0.02013 0.02020 0.01240 0.00344

Construction 0.00634 0.01021 0.01749 0.01173 0.01292 0.01613 0.00802

Manufacturing 0.16916 0.01859 0.39440 0.26076 0.39545 0.27284 0.07484

Wholesale trade 0.03542 0.00361 0.06611 0.04820 0.06500 0.04359 0.01065

Retail trade 0.00185 0.00127 0.00717 0.00379 0.01339 0.01804 0.00092

Transportation and warehousing 0.02822 0.00433 0.09034 0.03784 0.04851 0.03205 0.01170

Information 0.20117 0.00915 0.16675 0.05497 0.04987 0.04388 0.01440

Finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing 0.10134 0.07114 0.44519 0.30186 0.22001 0.25873 0.02205

Professional and business services 0.17286 0.04021 0.75918 0.25966 0.29209 0.16978 0.04361

Educational services, health care and social assistance 0.00098 0.00010 0.00179 0.01586 0.00303 0.00491 0.00310

Arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation and food services 0.03313 0.00456 0.09035 0.03257 0.04948 0.01672 0.00533

Other services, except government 0.01272 0.00307 0.04874 0.03163 0.02427 0.01991 0.00399

Government 0.02381 0.00653 0.05457 0.02780 0.03561 0.02981 0.00664

Source: Authoring

Table 3

Full value of integral coefficients of integral self-induction in line with the structural effect calculated on the basis of the cross-sectoral balance of the USA, 1997-2013

Industry 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 0.688 0.690 0.700 0.662 0.727 0.722 0.681 0.650 0.644

Mining 0.271 0.249 0.271 0.329 0.263 0.201 0.200 0.185 0.180

Utilities 0.239 0.273 0.323 0.421 0.555 0.341 0.374 0.343 0.465

Construction 5.794 5.578 5.406 5.442 5.758 5.718 5.874 6.066 6.399

Manufacturing 1.144 1.090 1.123 1.193 1.205 1.236 1.214 1.275 1.437

Wholesale trade 1.623 1.434 1.580 1.619 1.542 1.723 1.732 1.924 2.068

Retail trade 1.264 1.100 1.186 1.148 1.038 1.078 1.133 1.240 1.200

Transportation and warehousing 0.708 0.677 0.683 0.745 0.700 0.695 0.760 0.863 0.939

Information 0.461 0.480 0.504 0.615 0.580 0.524 0.530 0.504 0.532

Finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing 0.062 0.065 0.068 0.075 0.067 0.062 0.063 0.070 0.074

Professional and business services 1.760 1.823 1.819 1.834 1.806 1.680 1.756 1.848 1.978

Educational services, health care and social assistance 1.117 1.161 1.154 1.205 1.308 1.356 1.378 1.352 1.388

Arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation and food services 1.373 1.321 1.298 1.323 1.313 1.248 1.277 1.340 1.407

Other services, except government 1.178 1.226 1.202 1.167 1.384 1.331 1.389 1.380 1.315

Government 0.168 0.169 0.174 0.182 0.201 0.209 0.217 0.213 0.216

Continued from the table above

Industry 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 0.613 0.707 0.794 0.730 0.688 0.715 0.739 0.688

Mining 0.160 0.133 0.135 0.079 0.109 0.128 0.137 0.140

Utilities 0.386 0.366 0.389 0.222 0.226 0.163 0.127 0.137

Construction 6.203 5.491 5.236 4.697 4.212 3.968 4.014 4.117

Manufacturing 1.480 1.462 1.500 1.251 1.337 1.372 1.364 1.351

Wholesale trade 2.070 2.123 2.071 1.267 1.778 1.925 1.898 1.918

Retail trade 1.195 1.165 1.022 0.934 1.105 1.078 1.126 1.165

Transportation and warehousing 1.022 1.038 1.095 0.954 0.924 0.953 0.898 0.873

Information 0.550 0.513 0.490 0.476 0.447 0.467 0.502 0.511

Finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing 0.074 0.074 0.082 0.071 0.079 0.077 0.072 0.070

Professional and business services 1.997 1.998 1.819 1.729 1.814 1.780 1.773 1.785

Educational services, health care and social assistance 1.352 1.334 1.290 1.352 1.367 1.347 1.391 1.407

Arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation and food services 1.403 1.380 1.310 1.166 1.228 1.284 1.274 1.301

Other services, except government 1.331 1.307 1.310 1.221 1.256 1.235 1.257 1.221

Government 0.212 0.206 0.216 0.219 0.212 0.194 0.189 0.184

Source: Authoring

Acknowledgments

The article was supported by the Russian Foundation for Humanities, project No. 16-12-29004. References

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Conflict-of-interest notification

I, the author of this article, bindingly and explicitly declare of the partial and total lack of actual or potential conflict of interest with any other third party whatsoever, which may arise as a result of the publication of this article. This statement relates to the study, data collection and interpretation, writing and preparation of the article, and the decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

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